Final day for Canada's premiers to meet at Deerhurst Resort in Huntsville, Ont.
Canada's premiers are set to meet for the third and final day in Ontario cottage country Wednesday with internal trade, public safety and health care on the agenda.
The premiers met with Prime Minister Mark Carney yesterday as the August 1 deadline looms to strike a trade deal with U.S. President Donald Trump.
Carney says he's not worried about the impending deadline, stating that his government will use all the time that's necessary to get the best deal.
The prime minister described his ideal agreement as one that preserves, reinforces and stabilizes the trade relationship between Canada and the U.S. while still leaving Canada free to pursue other interests.
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"Even though we're facing a deadline right now of August 1st … we're much better off having no deal than a bad deal that will result in a continued bleed of investment and jobs out of this country." Only thing that will help is a trade deal While he doesn't have a prediction for Canada's trade deal, president and CEO of Global Automakers of Canada David Adams says he hopes the rate will be zero, at the very least for CUSMA-compliant cars and parts. "The reality is that any tariff is problematic," Adams said. "If you start doing the math … you're talking, you know, billions [of] dollars per year in terms of the extra cost associated with the tariff." At any rate higher than zero, he says automakers would slowly start to shift production to the U.S. Adams says it won't necessarily be easy to strike an agreement, and that Canada should be very careful about what it puts on the table, given the free trade deal between the U.S., Canada and Mexico is up for review in 2026. So far, goods that are subject to that deal have been sheltered from any tariffs, which has helped Canada weather the tariff storm. WATCH | Why the American auto industry needs the Canadian market: Why the American auto industry needs the Canadian market 28 days ago "We don't have a lot of cards to play, and we need to play the cards that we do have very carefully and strategically," Adams said. Given that the European Union and Japan recently reached deals with the U.S. that will allow those countries to sell products to Americans at a 15 per cent rate, Fiorani says he expects cars and parts not covered by CUSMA might face a similar rate. Fiorani said the deals with the EU and Japan are a sore spot for car companies and suppliers in North America, given that rates for cars coming from Europe or Japan are lower than the 25 per cent currently on cars from Canada. "These are companies that have built their business case on shipping parts across the border. And now they're competing with vehicles that are coming from either the EU, U.K. or Japan, with potentially a lower tariff than they're currently applying to Canadian parts and vehicles," Fiorani said. That said, Fiorani points out that the deals that U.S. President Donald Trump has struck so far are still "handshakes at best," as none of them have yet been signed on paper, which means that reality could still change. In the long term, Greig Mordue, an associate professor at McMaster University in Hamilton, says putting any kinds of tariffs on the auto sector would be a dismantling of the last 60 years of North America's joint auto industry. And while that won't happen overnight, Mordue says Canada will need to find ways to distance itself from the U.S. in the long run. He added that while the Detroit Three have been the focus of the auto sector in North America historically, they don't produce as many cars in Canada anymore. And of the 1.3 million cars made here in 2024, 533,000 were Toyotas and 420,550 were Honda models. Given that, and the global shift from gas-powered cars to electric vehicles, he says Canada should try to find partnerships abroad.
