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India needs entrepreneurship 2.0 with risk-taking, visionary founders

India needs entrepreneurship 2.0 with risk-taking, visionary founders

India, in fact, was a major exporter to West Asia, where two large empires - the Safavid and the Ottoman - provided a lucrative marketing area
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Nitin Desai
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The entrepreneurship that India requires must have two key characteristics. First, it must be willing to be innovative in the sense that it takes on new products and processes as part of its business. Second, it must be global in its marketing orientation so that it can compete with foreign suppliers in India and in global markets.
This was the case in the past. A very readable book by Lakshmi Subramanian provides useful information about entrepreneurship in the pre-Independence era. In Mughal times, innovation was not prominent, as it was a pre-Industrial Revolution era. What mattered was finance, where the
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Embattled diamond industry stares at deeper crisis with 25% tariff
Embattled diamond industry stares at deeper crisis with 25% tariff

Time of India

time4 hours ago

  • Time of India

Embattled diamond industry stares at deeper crisis with 25% tariff

Surat: US President Donald Trump's imposition of 25% tariff on Indian goods is feared to inflict a crippling blow to the Surat's famed diamond cutting and polishing industry which already struggling to keep its head above water due to falling demand, declining polished diamond prices, sanctions on Russian roughs and rise of cheapter alternatives. Tired of too many ads? go ad free now Exports of natural cut and polished diamonds (CPD) have already fallen sharply — from $23.8 billion in 2018-19, the pre-Covid year, to $13.2 billion in 2024-25. While the market had shown signs of stabilising in recent months, industry players fear that the new tariff will further deepen the 30% of India's natural CPD exports — worth around $4 billion — are shipped to the US in the form of loose gems and studded jewellery. "The sweeping 25% tariff on all Indian goods, along with vague penalties affecting strategic ties, is a deeply concerning development. If implemented, this move could have far-reaching repercussions across India's economy, disrupting critical supply chains, stalling exports, and threatening thousands of livelihoods," said Kirit Bhansali, chairman, Gem and Jewellery Export Promotion Council (GJEPC). "The Indian gem and jewellery sector, in particular, stands to be severely impacted. The US is our single largest market, accounting for over $10 billion in exports — nearly 30% of our industry's total global trade. A blanket tariff of this magnitude will inflate costs, delay shipments, distort pricing, and place immense pressure on every part of the value chain — from small artisans to large manufacturers," he added. Vipul Shah, former GJEPC chairman and a diamantaire, said, "We were hopeful of a recovery this festive season. Tired of too many ads? go ad free now But if the new tariff takes effect, it will severely impact the industry." The majority of around 5,000 small and medium diamond CPB units have reduced working hours due to the slowdown in the last three years. As the natural diamond market stabilises and lab-grown diamonds (LGD) polishing gains momentum, the industry started to providing full-time employment. The CPD sector employs about 12 lakh workers, and the state government recently announced a relief package for the struggling industry. The package includes Rs 13,500 in school fee support per child for jobless artisans, an interest subsidy on loans, and a waiver of electricity duty. "In this scenario, fresh orders and supply to the US will slow down drastically. Local buying has already stopped, and manufacturing will be hit severely if the tariff is not withdrawn," said Jagdish Khunt, president of the Surat Diamond Association.

Indian hospitality sector dips on geopolitical tensions in June quarter
Indian hospitality sector dips on geopolitical tensions in June quarter

Business Standard

time7 hours ago

  • Business Standard

Indian hospitality sector dips on geopolitical tensions in June quarter

India's hospitality sector experienced a slowdown in the June quarter (Q2 CY2025), a period already known for seasonal weakness. This year's dip, however, was amplified by external shocks including the Pahalgam terror attack and an Air India crash in Ahmedabad, which significantly dented travel sentiment across key markets. 'The dip in Q2 CY2025 (April–June) performance was largely driven by a seasonal slowdown and early monsoon impact, further compounded by external national incidents such as the Indo-Pak tensions and the Air India crash, which curtailed travel demand across key markets,' noted consultancy firm HVS Anarock in its monthly hospitality monitor. Average room rates (ARR) declined sequentially across major cities. Jaipur saw the steepest drop, with rates down 37–39 per cent from the March quarter. New Delhi and Goa followed with ARR dips of 27–29 per cent, while Mumbai and Gurugram saw declines of 20–22 per cent. Occupancy levels also fell across cities, with Jaipur reporting the highest drop of 20–22 per cent, followed by New Delhi at 11–13 per cent. The dip reflects a sharp pullback in travel, particularly in markets that are heavily dependent on tourism and business travel. Domestic air travel also mirrored the softening trend, with passenger traffic falling 2.8 per cent sequentially to 41.9 million. IHCL, ITC Hotels report impact, but signal resilience Indian Hotels Company (IHCL), which operates the Taj chain, reported a 3 per cent top-line impact due to geopolitical tensions in northern India. Despite this, IHCL posted a 32 per cent year-on-year rise in revenue from operations to Rs 2,041.8 crore. Revenue per available room (RevPAR) at domestic properties rose 11 per cent YoY. ITC Hotels also flagged disruptions in May due to geopolitical events but noted a recovery following ceasefire announcements. 'While the geopolitical developments in May had temporarily affected business in certain locations, the hospitality sector bounced back progressively thereafter,' the company said, adding that long-term fundamentals remain strong. Festive and monsoon demand expected to lift Sept quarter Industry insiders remain optimistic about the upcoming quarter. 'We have a slew of festivals in the September quarter and the Independence-Day long weekend, too, is showing good booking trends early on. With monsoon demand also inching up now amid a steady geopolitical environment, the September quarter should be that of recovery,' an executive said. Puneet Chhatwal, managing director and CEO of IHCL, expressed confidence in a strong second half. 'Notwithstanding geopolitical tensions, we are expecting a strong performance in August, followed by an equally strong September,' he told analysts earlier this month. The combination of a favourable demographic profile, rising consumption, and sustained domestic demand is expected to support the hospitality sector's recovery in the quarters ahead.

How Trump's tariffs are a bump, not a blockade
How Trump's tariffs are a bump, not a blockade

First Post

time11 hours ago

  • First Post

How Trump's tariffs are a bump, not a blockade

Tariffs erode trust in the dollar as a safe haven—if the US can slap duties arbitrarily, why hold dollars? read more US President Donald Trump has said that his administration has struck a trade deal with Pakistan, which include joint development of the country's "massive" oil reserves. Reuters Picture this: It's a humid evening in Delhi, the kind where the air hangs heavy with the scent of street-side chaiwallahs brewing their spicy concoction. Families huddle around flickering TV screens, debating everything from Operation Sindoor's latest century to the price of petrol. But suddenly, the news flashes – Donald Trump, that larger-than-life American uncle with the golden hair, slaps a 25 per cent tariff on Indian goods. 'India is our friend,' he says, but then adds the kicker: penalties for cozying up to Russia. It's like inviting someone to a Diwali party and then charging them extra for the sweets. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD As an Indian at heart, we know our country has weathered Mughal invasions, British Raj, and even those endless monsoon floods. But this? This is Trump ka tariff tamasha—a spectacle that's got everyone from Mumbai stock traders to Kerala farmers scratching their heads. Will it burn our pockets in the short run? What does Trump mean by 'not much trade in the past', and what's the script for the future? And hey, could this actually help dethrone the mighty US dollar, especially here in Bharat? Let's dive in, sip by sip, like a proper desi chai session—no sugar-coating, just straight facts right on your forehead. The Backstory Let's rewind the reel a bit, Bollywood-style. Donald Trump, back in the White House as of early 2025, has made tariffs his signature move – think of it as his version of a Shah Rukh Khan blockbuster, full of drama and high stakes. On July 30, 2025, he announced via his Truth Social platform (because where else?) that starting August 1, 2025, all imports from India would face a 25 per cent tariff. Why India? Trump called us a 'friend' but lambasted our 'far too high' tariffs on American goods and those 'obnoxious non-monetary trade barriers.' Add to that our continued purchases of Russian oil and military gear amid the Ukraine conflict, and boom – penalties on top. This isn't Trump's first rodeo with India on trade. Remember 2019? He pulled India's preferential trade status under the Generalised System of Preferences (GSP), hitting exports like chemicals and auto parts. Fast-forward to 2025, and it's escalated. Trump's broader agenda is 'reciprocal trade'—if you tariff us, we'll tariff you back, harder. He's already imposed 10 per cent baseline tariffs on most countries under emergency powers, but India gets the special 25 per cent treatment, plus extras for Russia ties. It's part of his America First playbook: wipe out trade deficits, boost US manufacturing, and use tariffs as leverage for deals. From an Indian lens, this feels like a plot twist from a Bollywood film—we thought the Modi-Trump bromance (remember 'Namaste Trump' in Ahmedabad?) meant smooth sailing. But no, Trump cannot be trusted; geopolitics isn't a feel-good movie. India's trade surplus with the US hit $36 billion in 2024, exporting everything from pharma to textiles, while importing tech and aircraft. Trump sees this as unfair, especially with India's average tariffs at 17 per cent versus the US's 3 per cent. And our Russian oil buys? We've ramped them up to 40 per cent of imports post-Ukraine war, saving billions in discounted crude – a smart desi bargain, but it irks Uncle Sam. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Short-Term Shock Let's not mince words—this tariff isn't a gentle pat on the back; it's a solid slap to our exporters. Internal estimates from India's commerce ministry suggest about 10 per cent of our $120 billion annual exports to the US could be affected in the July-September quarter alone if the 25 per cent sticks. That's roughly $3-4 billion in extra costs, passed on to American buyers or absorbed by Indian firms, squeezing margins like the last drop of juice from a lemon. Key sectors in the firing line? Textiles and apparel—our cotton kurtas and jeans might cost more in Walmart, leading to lost orders as buyers shift to Vietnam or Bangladesh. Pharma, India's pride (we supply 40 per cent of US generics), could see hikes in drug prices stateside, but with inelastic demand, it might weather better—though smaller exporters could fold. Auto parts and chemicals? Hit hard, with potential job losses in Tamil Nadu and Gujarat hubs. And don't forget IT services—while not directly tariffed, US firms might cut outsourcing to India amid economic jitters, affecting Bengaluru's silicon valleys. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Economically, expect rupee volatility—it dipped 0.5 per cent on announcement day, pushing inflation up as imported goods (hello, iPhones) get pricier. Stock markets? Sensex wobbled, with export-heavy firms like TCS and Reliance taking a knock. But here's the Indian resilience bit: experts call it a 'temporary measure' during negotiations. India's growth story—projected at 7 per cent GDP for 2025—won't derail overnight; it's more like a speed bump on the expressway. Farmers in Punjab might grumble over higher input costs, but 'Make in India' could get a boost as we pivot to domestic manufacturing. Short-term pain? Yes, like a spicy vindaloo hangover. But we Indians are pros at jugaad—improvising our way out. And the penalties for Russian ties? That's the wildcard. India buys S-400 missiles and cheap oil from Putin bhai—tariffs could add 100 per cent extras on those deals, per Trump's threats. Short-term: higher energy bills if we diversify, but we've already cut Russian oil reliance from 40 per cent to 30 per cent this year. It's a tightrope—balancing US pressure without alienating Moscow. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD What It Spells for the Future Now, the intriguing part: Trump keeps saying, 'While India is our friend, we have, over the years, done relatively little business with them because their tariffs are far too high.' Historically, he's half-right. US-India trade was peanuts pre-1990s liberalisation—think $5 billion in 1990 versus $190 billion today. India's Licence Raj era had sky-high tariffs (over 100 per cent on some goods) and bureaucracy that made doing business feel like a never-ending saas-bahu serial. Trump harks back to that, exaggerating for effect—'little business' ignores the boom since 2000, when IT, pharma, and diamonds flooded US markets. But his point? India's barriers persist: high duties on Harley bikes (which Trump loves complaining about) and data localization rules that irk Big Tech. For the future? This is Trump's negotiation blackmail—a threat to force a deal. He's hinted at 20-25 per cent tariffs as leverage, saying the 'deal with India is not finalized.' What does he want? Lower Indian tariffs on US farm goods, easier market access for American firms, and less Russia hugging. India eyes a mini-trade deal by fall 2025, restoring GSP and cutting duties on US nuts and apples. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Future outlook: If talks succeed, tariffs drop; if not, escalation. But India's playbook? Diversify – FTAs with the UK, EU, and ASEAN to reduce US dependence (currently 16 per cent of exports). Long-term, this pushes Aatmanirbhar Bharat (self-reliant India), turning tariffs into opportunity, like how we bounced back from Covid-19 with PLI schemes. Trump's vision? A world where trade bows to America—but for India, it's about emerging as a global player, not a sidekick. As Modi ji might say, 'Sabka saath, sabka vikas'—development for all, on our terms. Tariffs as a catalyst How do these tariffs chip away at the US dollar's throne? The dollar has ruled since Bretton Woods in 1944—60 per cent of global reserves, 80 per cent of trade invoiced in greenbacks. But Trump's tariffs? They're like throwing petrol on the de-dollarization fire. By weaponising trade and sanctions, he alienates allies, pushing them towards alternatives. Economists warn: tariffs disrupt dollar-based systems, accelerating a multipolar currency STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Globally, BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) is the vanguard. Trump threatened 100 per cent tariffs on BRICS for ditching the dollar. Result? It backfired—BRICS expanded in 2024, now discussing a common currency or blockchain-based system. Russia-China trade is 78 per cent non-dollar; they've bypassed SWIFT with their own systems. Tariffs make countries sell US assets—China dumped $860 billion in Treasuries post-threats, weakening the dollar. For India? We're the cautious player in this chess game. We've resisted full de-dollarization in BRICS (ex-RBI governor called a joint currency a 'non-starter'). But Trump's tariffs nudge us further. We've settled trade in rupees with Russia (oil), UAE (gold), and Nepal. Post-tariffs, expect more: rupee-yuan swaps with China, or joining Russia's SPFS alternative to SWIFT. India's forex reserves are diversifying—gold up 20 per cent in 2024, yuan holdings rising. How does it reduce hegemony? Tariffs erode trust in the dollar as a safe haven—if the US can slap duties arbitrarily, why hold dollars? For India, it means lower remittance costs (no dollar conversion fees) and energy security via local currencies. But risks: rupee volatility if global acceptance lags. Still, it's empowering: from dollar-dependent to a rupee powerhouse, aligning with our multipolar vision. Trump's actions might just hasten the dollar's twilight, making way for a world where currencies coexist like spices in a thali—diverse and balanced. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Wrapping Up As the chai cools and the debate rages on, one thing's clear: Trump's tariffs are a bump, not a blockade. Short-term? Pain for exporters, market jitters, but our 7 per cent growth engine chugs on. Trump's 'little trade' jab? A nod to history, but the future's about negotiation—lower barriers, diversified partners, and a stronger 'aatmanirbhar' spirit. And dollar hegemony? These tariffs are the unintended push towards a multipolar wallet, with India leading the rupee charge in BRICS. '>We Indians have a saying: 'Barish mein bheegne se dar nahi lagta, sahab, chhata toh hai hi.' (We're not afraid of getting wet in the rain; we have an umbrella.) Our umbrella? Innovation, diplomacy, and that unshakeable desi grit. Trump can bring the tariffs—we'll brew stronger chai and emerge shining. Jai Hind! The author is a columnist, Group Captain (retd) and a former fighter pilot of the IAF. Views expressed in the above piece are personal and solely those of the author. They do not necessarily reflect Firstpost's views.

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