logo
Securities' auction procedures: SBP unveils changes

Securities' auction procedures: SBP unveils changes

Business Recorder21 hours ago

KARACHI: Changes in Procedures of government securities auctions and monetary policy liquidity operations in respect of Pakistan Real-Time Interbank Settlement Mechanism Plus (PRISM+).
The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), under its Vision 2028, has decided to launch the PRISM+ with effect from June 16 to upgrade the National Digital Payments Infrastructure.
PRISM+ is built on the ISO 20022 financial messaging standard which supports structured and data-rich financial communication, enabling enhanced transparency, interoperability, and automation across the payment and settlement ecosystem.
Govt securities: SBP streamlines buyback process
With the launch of PRISM+ System, a new interface has been developed for efficient conduct of auctions and market operations. Accordingly, some changes are being made in procedures.
Now auctions of government securities including Market Treasury Bills (MTBs) and Pakistan Investment Bonds (PIBs) and their buyback auctions, will be conducted through the PRISM+. Conventional Open Market Operations (Injections, and Mop-up) will be conducted through PRISM+. However, Shairah Compliant OMOs as well as Bai Muajjal will continue to be conducted through the existing mechanism.
In respect of Conventional OMOs conducted through PRISM+, all eligible institutions will submit bids at PRISM+. They will tag one or more than one government securities with each bid. The face value of the bid will be considered equal to the face value of tagged/offered government securities.
In addition, the realized value of the government securities will be calculated by PRISM+ based on applicable revaluation rates, prices, and haircuts. In case of multiple securities tagged with the bid subject to pro-rata, the government securities having the shortest remaining life/maturity will be allocated first toward pro-rata.
Conventional Reverse Repo (Ceiling) and Repo (Floor) facilities will be offered through the new TMON/X platform. Shariah Compliant Corridor facilities will, however, continue to be conducted as per existing procedure.
The PRISM+ also offers a platform for secondary market outright and repo-based trading of government securities. All government securities held in custody of SBP will be available for trading. The PRISM+ also provides mechanism for when-issued trading of PIB-Fixed coupon bonds before auctions.
According to the SBP, auction/OMO announcements and results will be visible on Bloomberg/Refinitiv in addition to PRISM+ and all participants will continue to send Auction, OMO and Corridor deal confirmation letters to SBP BSC-Karachi Office through the existing DAP mechanism.
These changes will come into effect from June 16, 2025. All other instructions shall remain unchanged, SBP concluded.
Copyright Business Recorder, 2025

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Status quo likely as rising oil prices play on SBP's mind, say analysts
Status quo likely as rising oil prices play on SBP's mind, say analysts

Business Recorder

time10 hours ago

  • Business Recorder

Status quo likely as rising oil prices play on SBP's mind, say analysts

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) is expected to hold the key policy rate at 11% in its upcoming meeting scheduled for Monday, market analysts noted. 'While domestic macroeconomic indicators have improved significantly, particularly inflation and the external account, we believe, the central bank is likely to adopt a wait-and-see approach in light of emerging global risks and domestic policy adjustments,' Arif Habib Limited (AHL) said in its report. The MPC of the central bank will meet on June 16 to decide on the policy rate, the central bank announced on Thursday. The SBP said it will issue the Monetary Policy Statement through a press release on the same day. In its last meeting held on May 5, 2025, the MPC cut the policy rate by 100 basis points (bps) to 11%. This was the lowest policy rate since March 2022 (9.75%). The central bank has cut the rate by 1,100bps since June from an all-time high of 22%. At the time, the MPC noted that inflation declined sharply during March and April, mainly due to a reduction in administered electricity prices and a continued downtrend in food inflation. AHL, in its report released on Friday, was of the view that while the domestic landscape supports an easing bias, recent geopolitical developments have raised the stakes. 'Escalating tensions in key oil-producing regions have triggered a sharp surge in global oil prices. Benchmark crude contracts, including Brent, WTI, and Arab Light, have risen close to 10-12% WoW, with daily spikes exceeding 6% as of the latest reading. 'For an oil-importing economy like Pakistan, this poses direct and indirect inflationary risks,' AHL noted. The brokerage house, citing its estimates, said that for every USD 5/bbl increase in global oil prices (on an annualised basis) adds roughly 23bps to headline inflation directly. 'Additionally, any upward revision in domestic energy tariffs, though necessary to prevent further accumulation of circular debt, would carry inflationary implications. The timing and magnitude of these adjustments, alongside changes in food prices, and potential global trade disruptions, could alter the inflation outlook materially,' it shared. Topline Securities, another brokerage house, also expects the status quo as international crude oil prices have rebounded to US$68-70/barrel amidst rising tensions in the Middle East region and an expected US-China deal. 'This warrants a cautious approach from policy makers, in our view, as oil prices' movement has remained a major driver of inflation in past. 'Some of the major notifications are also expected before the start of next fiscal year i.e. gas price notification, and electricity price notification, among others,' Topline said in its report. The brokerage house shared that in its poll, 56% of the market participants expect a status quo in the upcoming monetary policy meeting compared to 31% in the last poll. While 44% are expecting a rate cut of at least 50bps. Out of the total 44% rate cut participants, 19% are expecting a 50bps cut, and 25% are expecting a 100bps cut, it added.

Pakistan set to hold rates as Israel-Iran conflict overshadows growth push
Pakistan set to hold rates as Israel-Iran conflict overshadows growth push

Business Recorder

time12 hours ago

  • Business Recorder

Pakistan set to hold rates as Israel-Iran conflict overshadows growth push

KARACHI: Pakistan's central bank is expected to hold its policy rate on Monday, a Reuters poll showed, as many analysts shifted their previous view of a cut in the wake of Israel's military strike on Iran, citing inflation risks from rising global commodity prices. Israel said on Friday it targeted nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and military commanders in a 'preemptive strike' to prevent Tehran from building an atomic weapon. Several brokerages had initially expected a cut but revised their forecasts after the Israeli strikes sparked fears of a broader conflict. The escalating hostilities triggered a sharp spike in oil prices - a worry for Pakistan given the broader impact on imported inflation from a potentially prolonged conflict and tightening of crude supplies. Eleven of 14 respondents in a snap poll expected the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) to leave the benchmark rate unchanged at 12%. Two forecast a 100 basis-point cut and one predicted a 50 bps cut. 'There remains an upside risk of a rise in global commodity prices in light of geopolitical tensions which could mark a return to inflationary pressures,' said Ahmad Mobeen, senior economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence. 'The resultant higher import bill could also threaten external sector performance and bring pressure to the exchange rate.' Inflation in the South Asian country has been declining for several months after it soared to around 40% in May 2023. Last month, however, inflation picked up to 3.5%, above the finance ministry's projection of up to 2%, partly due to the fading of the year-go base effects. The SBP expects average inflation between 5.5% and 7.5% for the fiscal year ending June. The central bank paused its easing cycle in March after cumulative cuts of 1,000 basis points from a record high of 22%, and resumed it with a 100-basis-point reduction in May. The policy meeting follows the release of a tight annual budget, which saw Pakistan raise defence spending by 20%, but overall expenditure was reduced by 7%, with GDP growth forecast at 4.2%. Pakistan says its $350 billion economy has stabilised under a $7 billion IMF bailout that had helped it stave off a default threat. Some analysts are sceptical of the government's ability to reach the growth target amid fiscal and external challenges. Abdul Azeem, head of research at Al Habib Capital Markets, which forecast a 50-bp cut, said a lower rate could 'support the GDP target of 4.2% and reduce the debt financing burden.'

Inflation slowdown: relief or a temporary pause?
Inflation slowdown: relief or a temporary pause?

Business Recorder

time18 hours ago

  • Business Recorder

Inflation slowdown: relief or a temporary pause?

Inflation in Pakistan has plunged from 28.3 percent in January 2024 to 2.4 percent in January, 2025 year-on-year, presenting a dramatic shift from a record high of 38 percent in May 2023. This drop offers a respite to millions who have struggled to sustain their livelihoods with this high inflation rate. Is this relief a sustainable or a temporary pause before structural cracks re-emerge? The State Bank of Pakistan's (SBP's) report, in its latest assessment, suggests this slowdown appears a fragile win, driven by short-term factors rather than deep structural reforms. The inflation slowdown presents a complex story. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) basket, which tracks price changes, is primarily composed of food and non-food items. Food inflation, which spiked to 38.5 percent in August 2023, has now decreased to 1.8 percent percent. Several factors explain this dramatic decline including favourable weather conditions, global decline in commodity prices, and government intervention in controlling prices of essential food items, particularly staples. In addition, the non-food component of inflation, particularly energy prices, a key contributor to the CPI basket, has also declined. A global decline in oil prices has contributed to lower energy prices, helping to ease the inflationary pressure. Core inflation (Non-Food Non-Energy) has also declined, necessitating monetary easing. Between 2022 and mid of 2023, the SBP raised its policy rate to a record 22% - a very tight stance. This discouraged borrowing and cooled consumption, reducing inflation to 11.2 percent in May 2024 from 38.5 percent during May 2023. Apart from the above short-term macroeconomic indicators, the IMF-led reforms under the USD 7 billion Extended Fund Facility (EFF), which was agreed upon in July 2024, also seem to have played a significant role in this slowdown. One significant measure was returning to a market-determined exchange rate, which, after an initial depreciation in rupee, stabilised during the last quarter of 2023, reducing high import cost-induced inflationary pressure. Another significant reform was the aligning of energy tariffs with energy cost, minimising subsidies that had previously been draining fiscal space. These measures together allowed for better resource allocation and eased price pressures over time. Most importantly, the key statistical factor at play is the base effect. Inflation is measured year-on-year, meaning current prices are compared to those in the same month during the previous year. The astronomical price hikes during the last two years, fuelled by global commodity prices hikes and local missteps, are creating an illusion of disinflation. Therefore, even a modest increase in prices in 2024 can appear as a sharp disinflation in statistical terms. This does not imply that the prices are falling; rather, they are rising at a slower pace than an already elevated high baseline of 38 percent in 2023 and 11.3 percent in 2024. Take, for instance, the striking decrease in inflation to 1.5 percent in February 2025, which reflects not only improved macroeconomic management but also a statistical quirk. Imagine a dozen eggs jumping from PKR 100 to PKR 200 last year; an increase to PKR 210 would now seem like a bargain by comparison. So, is this relief or a temporary pause? If we turn to data and evidence, then it would be a temporary respite. The IMF's push for fiscal consolidation and energy reforms has eased the inflationary pressures, alongside factors like oil prices and base effects. However, the analysts caution that this slowdown rests on shaky ground — external loans and decline in import costs, not real economic growth. For now, Pakistanis may breathe easier, but the spectre of inflation's return looms large unless bold, homegrown reforms take root. The government policies now will shape the future inflation trajectory. Take, for example, the global decline in oil prices. If the government passes the savings on to consumers by reducing domestic oil prices, it would deepen the deflationary momentum, offering businesses and households some relief. However, if it chooses to raise the petroleum levy — as recently announced - it may reverse the current deflationary momentum. Moreover, the decline in food prices also poses future challenges. Lower profits may discourage farmers from cultivating certain crops, potentially reducing supply and causing a resurgence of cost-push inflation in future food prices. For example, as reported by the Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO), wheat cultivation area is expected to shrink post government removal of support price since May 2024. Cotton production is also projected to fall to 5.2 million bales in 2024-25, from 7.5 million, jeopardizing textile exports. In conclusion, without meaningful structural reforms, any relief from inflation will be fleeting. Not to forget the sobering part — analysts warn that inflation may rise again as the base-year effect fades. Copyright Business Recorder, 2025

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into the world of global news and events? Download our app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store