
New York banks, REITs fall as Mamdani's mayoral lead stokes rent freeze worries
June 25 (Reuters) - Shares of several New York-based banks and real estate investment trusts fell on Wednesday as Zohran Mamdani's lead in New York City's Democratic mayoral primary stoked concerns that his proposed rent freeze could pressure building owners.
On the campaign trail, Mamdani, a 33-year-old state lawmaker and self-described democratic socialist, vowed to lower costs for New Yorkers as a mayor by freezing the rent, opens new tab for all rent-stabilized apartments.
Wall Street analysts have warned that the move could hurt building owners already grappling with higher costs, as constraints on their ability to raise rents might make it more difficult for some to repay their debt.
"Politicians continue to march down a perilous path for rent-regulated multi-family with allowable rent increases lagging expense growth," brokerage Stephens said.
The real estate sector has already been reeling under pressure as higher interest rates strained borrowers while the post-pandemic adoption of remote working left office buildings vacant.
While Mamdani's proposals could face budgetary constraints and opposition from industry participants, banks in New York City could remain under pressure in the near-term, BofA analysts said last week.
Shares of Flagstar Financial (FLG.N), opens new tab and Dime Community Bancshares (DCOM.O), opens new tab fell 5% and 4%, respectively, while Flushing Financial (FFIC.O), opens new tab was down 3%.
Flagstar and Dime Community have a heavy exposure to rent-regulated multi-family in New York, according to analysts.
Among New York-exposed REITs, SL Green Realty (SLG.N), opens new tab and Vornado Realty Trust (VNO.N), opens new tab fell 5% each.
Equity Residential (EQR.N), opens new tab and Empire State Realty Trust (ESRT.N), opens new tab fell 3% and 4%, respectively. LXP Industrial Trust (LXP.N), opens new tab was down 2.5%.
However, while Mamdani's proposals have rattled investors, some analysts said the immediate risks may be limited.
Analysts at Citi said the concerns stirred by his sweeping "freeze the rent" campaign promise could bring forward incremental credit concerns, but the actual fundamental impact on banks is likely to be minimal in the short to medium term.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


The Sun
41 minutes ago
- The Sun
Every summer bargain hitting Aldi's middle aisle TODAY – and £1.49 buy is a picnic must-have
ALDI are launching a summer must have American snack perfect for picnics. The middle aisle buy is coming to stores today (June 26) at an impressively low price of just £1.49. A bag of American salted pretzels made by budget snack firm Snackrite will make the perfect addition to a summer picnic basket. Aldi are selling the 250g bags for less than £1.50, working out to only 60p per 100 grams. Part of Aldi's summer range of special buys the bag of pretzels will launch today, alongside a number of other products. Appearing on shelves the pretzels can be bought in store - subject to availability. Not every location will stock the snack and customers will have to visit their local store to check if they are on offer. The pretzels cannot be purchased online and Aldi warns that prices may vary. Aldi are offering a " taste of America" with today's special buys. There will be 21 American themed products on offer at the budget shop. Each celebrates American food and flavour with the pretzels offered up as part of the range. The taste of America special buys range will offer bizarre crisp flavours including cheeseburger and hot dog mustard. Aldi is also offering a fruit loops dupe and American diner style coffee grounds as part of its new range of special buys. The pretzel packaging boasts an American flag and a disclaimer reading: "Next stop flavour town." The American range of snacks is perfect for picnics in the sun this summer. Aldi quietly launched the snack yesterday, June 24, announcing the special buy range on its website. 2 The American style snacks, including the salted pretzels, will begin to appear on shelves overnight. As with all special buys the snacks can only be bought while stocks last so shoppers better rush to get their hands on them if they want them. A whole range of sweet and savoury treats are coming to the aisles today and once they are gone they are gone. supermarkets.


Reuters
an hour ago
- Reuters
Will analysts break their 10-year streak on US soybean acres?
NAPERVILLE, Illinois, June 25 (Reuters) - The U.S. Department of Agriculture next Monday will publish one of its most important surveys of the year, which also happens to be among the more difficult to forecast. But amid all the noise the June acreage report can create, there has been one constant for ten years running: the trade overestimating soybean acres. New-crop Chicago soybean futures last Friday were less than 2 cents per bushel away from inking new yearly highs, though they have since tumbled 5%. Meanwhile, December corn futures notched contract lows on Wednesday, settling 12% off their February high. To boot, the next few weeks are a seasonally heavy period for U.S. corn futures and Corn Belt weather forecasts are looking decent for now. This means that a much larger-than-usual report shock may be needed on Monday for the corn or bean market to consider a change of course. That's not the most likely outcome, but history suggests it's not impossible. The upcoming numbers are not easy to predict. U.S. corn and soybean plantings have landed outside the pre-report range of estimates in four of the last six Junes, though not necessarily in the same years. Soybean acres have come in below the average trade estimate for the last 10 Junes, while corn acres landed above it in seven of the last 10 years, including the latest four. On average, analysts expect U.S. corn plantings at 95.35 million acres in Monday's report, up very slightly from the March figure of 95.326 million. Ten of the 24 estimates pegged corn acres declining from the March survey, interesting given that whisper numbers back in the spring exceeded 96 million acres. The average trade guess reflects the typical lean as June corn acres have been higher than in March in 15 of the last 20 years. The latest two instances where June acres were lower happened in 2019 and 2020, featuring one of the wettest Midwestern springs and then the pandemic. The trend on whether soybean acres rise or fall from March to June is perfectly split over the last two decades. But recently, the bias is for June soybean acres to be smaller than the March ones, having occurred in five of the last six years (not 2020). That makes this year's expectations interesting as analysts peg soybean acres at 83.655 million acres, up slightly from 83.495 million in March. Fourteen of the 24 analysts voted for a larger June bean acreage versus March. The sentiment shift away from corn and toward beans since March likely comes as super wet conditions in eastern areas delayed corn planting, potentially favoring soybeans. But nationally, corn planting was average to faster than average for the entire spring. However, it should be noted that while corn profitability had been significantly better than that of soybeans since last fall, corn prices by themselves were not exactly attractive. This could keep a lid on any corn acreage gains on Monday. The analyst estimate ranges on corn and soybean acres are wider than in the past couple years, reducing but not eliminating the chance of a complete miss. Karen Braun is a market analyst for Reuters. Views expressed above are her own. Enjoying this column? Check out Reuters Open Interest (ROI), opens new tab, your essential new source for global financial commentary. ROI delivers thought-provoking, data-driven analysis of everything from swap rates to soybeans. Markets are moving faster than ever. ROI, opens new tab can help you keep up. Follow ROI on LinkedIn, opens new tab and X., opens new tab


BBC News
an hour ago
- BBC News
Americans brace for welfare cuts in Trump's 'Big Beautiful Bill'
Elizabeth Butler goes from one supermarket to the next in her hometown of Martinsburg, West Virginia, to ensure she gets the best price on each item on her grocery with 42 million Americans, she pays for those groceries with federal food subsides. That cash doesn't cover the whole bill for her family of three."Our food doesn't even last the month," she says. "I'm going to all these different places just to make sure that we have enough food to last us the whole month."But that money may soon run out, as Congress gears up to vote on what US President Donald Trump has coined his "big beautiful bill". The food subsidy programme that Ms Butler uses - called the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, commonly known as SNAP - is one of many items on the chopping block, as Congress tries to reconcile the president's seemingly conflicting demands to both lower taxes and balance the Senate is due to vote on their version of the bill by the end of the week. If it passes, it will then be voted on by the House, at which point it will be sent to Trump to sign. He has pressured both chambers of Congress, which the Republican Party controls, to pass the bill by 4 sticking points in Trump's 'big beautiful' tax bill The politics behind cutting SNAP SNAP offers low-income households, including older Americans, families with children and people who are disabled, money each month to buy groceries. In West Virginia, one of the states with the highest rates of poverty, 16% of the population depends on the state is also a reliable Republican stronghold and voted overwhelmingly for Trump in November, when he ran on the promise of reducing the cost of living for Americans, including the price of groceries."When I win, I will immediately bring prices down, starting on Day One," he said at an August press conference surrounded by packaged foods, milk, meats and eggs. Months after the president made that pledge, the prices of commonly purchased groceries like orange juice, eggs and bacon are higher than they were the same time last a fact that has not gone unnoticed by Ms Butler: "The president hasn't changed the food prices yet and he promised the people that he would do that."Trump has argued, without providing an explanation how, that spending cuts in the 1,000-page budget bill will help bring food prices down: "The cut is going to give everyone much more food, because prices are coming way down, groceries are down," Trump said when asked specifically about cuts to have long been divided on how to fund social welfare programmes like SNAP and Medicaid. While many think the government should prioritise balancing the budget, others, especially in impoverished regions, support programmes that directly help their the bill stands, Senate Republicans are proposing $211bn (£154bn) in cuts with states being partly responsible for making up the theory, passing the bill should be an easy political lift, since Republicans control both chambers of Congress and the White since the bill includes cuts to programmes like SNAP and Medicaid, which are popular with everyday Americans, selling the bill to all factions within the Republican Party has not been an easy of private frustration and dissent about potential cuts to Medicaid and SNAP have leaked in recent weeks, showing the internal wrestling happening within the Virginia Senator Jim Justice told Politico in June that he has warned fellow Republicans that cutting SNAP could cost the party their majority in Congress when voters head to the polls again in 2026."If we don't watch out, people are going to get hurt, people are going to be upset. It's going to be the No.1 thing on the nightly news all over the place," Justice said. "And then, we could very well awaken to a situation in this country where the majority quickly becomes the minority."A recent poll by the Associated Press/NORC Center for Public Affairs Research found that 45% of Americans think food assistance programmes like SNAP are underfunded, while only 30% think the funding levels are adequate. About a quarter of respondents found programmes were overfunded. This is not the first time the party has wrestled with cuts to SNAP, said Tracy Roof, a University of Richmond professor who is currently writing a book on the political history of the Biden administration, Congress allowed expanded benefits implemented during Covid to be phased out, despite both Republicans and Democrats warning Americans could go hungry. "One thing about [SNAP] is that it has bi-partisan support, more than any other anti-poverty programme," Prof Roof told the this time feels different, she said."One thing that kind of distinguishes this period from the previous efforts to cut social welfare programmes has been the willingness of congressional Republicans to vote for things many of them apparently off the record have many concerns about," she said. "Before, there were always moderate Republicans, particularly in the Senate, but in both Houses that held out for concessions."She attributes that submission to two things: Fear of getting on the wrong side of Trump and a lack of fear of public backlash for representatives who hold congressional seats they can easily get re-elected BBC contacted Congressman Riley Moore, who represents Martinsburg, West Virginia, about the impacts of the cuts to his constituents, but he did not voted for the initial House bill, which included the cuts to SNAP. Missouri Senator Josh Hawley, who had been one of the more vocal critics of the cuts, has since softened: Hawley told the news outlet NOTUS he has "always supported" most of the Medicaid cuts and he would "be fine" with most of what's in the bill. 'The only thing that kept me and my family alive' Father of two Jordan, who asked that his last name not be used, has spent the past three years surviving on SNAP and his wife get about $700 a month to feed their family of four, but they still 26-year-old says his wife has struggled to get work and take care of their two children simultaneously, so if changes to SNAP impact his family, he is prepared to act and get a second job."I'm going to make sure that I can do whatever I can to feed my family," he and other West Virginians are following what happens to the bill in Whetzel, 25, grew up in a family dependent on SNAP. But when he and his wife tried to apply for SNAP, he learned that making $15 a hour was too much to qualify, he said."It's not great the fact that I need to double my salary in order to be able to afford groceries," Mr Whetzel said, adding "we have not bought any eggs in four months just cause they're too expensive".He is frustrated that officials in Washington do not understand the impacts of the cuts they are backing in Congress, he said."To make a federal cut that then would be put onto the state that's already struggling it just kind of feels like kicking a horse while its down," Mr Whetzel says. "Whether you believe in small government or big government, government has to provide for somebody, somehow."