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AI Fears Become Reality In The Tech Industry

AI Fears Become Reality In The Tech Industry

Forbes5 days ago
This is a published version of Forbes' Careers Newsletter. Click here to subscribe and get it in your inbox every Tuesday.
Fears of AI taking over jobs is already becoming a reality in tech.
Fears of artificial intelligence costing people their jobs are already proving to be true.
Or at the very least, CEOs are now admitting to the technology's impact as AI-related layoffs ramp up, especially in the tech industry, reports Forbes' Richard Nieva. Fiverr CEO Micha Kaufman is just the latest to say out loud that AI is already a threat to all kinds of jobs—including his. In an April memo to his 1,200 employees, he wrote: 'AI is coming for your jobs. Heck, it's coming for my job too.'
'I hear the conversation around the office. I hear developers ask each other, 'Guys, are we going to have a job in two years?'' Kaufman tells Forbes now. 'I felt like this needed validation from me—that they aren't imagining stuff.'
He joins the likes of Andy Jassy at Amazon, Anthropic's Dario Amodei and Shopify's Tobi Lutke in admitting that AI will replace humans in white-collar jobs, some going as far as predicting a 'white-collar bloodbath.'
The impacts are already being felt, particularly for young coders and entry-level workers. The total number of employed entry-level developers from ages 18 to 25 has dropped 'slightly' since 2022, after the launch of ChatGPT, said Ruyu Chen, a postdoctoral fellow at the Digital Economy Lab of Stanford's Institute for Human-Centered AI.
But not everything can, or should, be automated just yet. Take the buy-now-pay-later firm Klarna, for example, which last year slashed its workforce by 40% in part to the company's investments in AI. A year later, it launched a massive recruiting push for human customer service agents. 'We have noticed that in a world where everything is automated,' Klarna spokesperson Clare Nordstrom told Forbes, 'people put a premium on the human experience.'
Happy reading, and hope you have a lovely week!
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Practical insights and advice from Forbes staff and contributors to help you succeed in your job, accelerate your career and lead smarter.
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News from the world of work.
Looking for lower costs, different lifestyles and less toxic politics, more Americans are considering retiring abroad. In its annual Best Places To Retire Abroad, list, Forbes ranked the 24 countries and 96 spots that could make the most sense for retirees looking outside the U.S.
Beloved office snacks might soon be a thing of the past, thanks to Congress. Despite luring workers back into the office with the promise of free food, employers will no longer be able to deduct the cost of the food they provide for their employees as part of President Donald Trump's Big Beautiful Bill. The only exceptions: restaurants and the Alaskan fishing industry.
One seemingly innocuous kiss cam at a Boston Coldplay concert has caused quite the workplace drama at tech startup Astronomer, pushing the company into the internet's spotlight. Former CEO Andy Byron stepped down after being caught embracing chief people officer Kristin Cabot at the concert, while the company's cofounder and chief product officer Pete DeJoy has stepped up as interim chief executive.
More than half of U.S. companies are looking to pare back on health benefits as weight loss spending soars, according to Reuters. Increased cost sharing means employers could raise deductibles or maximum out-of-pocket costs, or even look beyond traditional pharmacy benefit managers, which act as middlemen between patients and insurers.
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China's Fast-Fashion Capital Slows Down Under Trump's Trade War
China's Fast-Fashion Capital Slows Down Under Trump's Trade War

Business of Fashion

time28 minutes ago

  • Business of Fashion

China's Fast-Fashion Capital Slows Down Under Trump's Trade War

Lingering at a day market for labourers in Panyu, an urban village on the outskirts of Guangzhou, Ms Qiu looks dejected. She is looking for a local factory that will hire her for the day to sew clothes – cheap tops and dresses that will be churned out on to China's e-commerce platforms, or bundled up for export to western shoppers. But she is not having much luck. 'The whole industry is struggling, and now there is a high tariff on Chinese goods because of the trade war. Many foreign clients have decreased their orders from China,' she says, declining to give her first name. Guangzhou, China's southern metropolis and the capital of Guangdong province, is home to nearly 20 million people. It is also the humming, whirring and buzzing heart of the global fast fashion industry. In its urban villages, ramshackle settlements that have been absorbed into the city's sprawl, millions of workers toil day and night in informal workshops to produce cheap garments. In one small, crowded factory, women sit behind sewing machines next to teetering mountains of starched black tutus. In another, pink denim jeans destined to be sold on fast fashion website Shein are piled high on every available worktop. Every morning, workers gather in informal labour markets like the one in Panyu to see if they can find work for the day sewing on hundreds of buttons, or ironing hundreds of collars. Depending on the complexity of the task, workers earn between one and 10 yuan per item, toiling for long hours in cramped conditions. 'This is hard-earned money,' says a worker in his 60s in Datang, another urban village about ten miles north of Panyu. Ironing jackets at 8am, before packaging them up to be exported, the man, who declined to give his name, was part-way through a shift that had started at 11pm the night before. He earned two yuan per jacket, he said. More than a dozen garment workers interviewed by the Guardian all said that a normal working day was 10 to 12 hours, with some saying they only took one rest day each month. 'Little Room for Profit' While China's domestic e-commerce market has boomed in recent years, it is overseas orders that keep the factory lights on. Around one-quarter of the more than $100bn of textiles and apparel imported to the US came from China last year. Guangdong alone exported more than $7bn, according to data from the Global Trade & Industry Growth Lab by Sinoimex, a commercial data firm. But in April, Donald Trump, the US president, launched a trade war with China, which sent shockwaves through the global economy. Tariffs on Chinese goods reached 145 percent, with China responding with similar duties and trade restrictions, before the two countries agreed to a 90-day pause in May. With a 12 August deadline looming to reach a deal, workers in Guangzhou are wondering whether or not they'll be able to keep selling clothes to Americans. In Panyu, Yang Ruiping has run his small clothes factory, which specialises in tops and employs about 20 people, for two decades. About 30 percent of his orders are exported, mostly to Shein and Amazon, down from more than 50 percent before the pandemic. Although the pause in the trade war has eased the pressure on his business slightly, he still has 'little confidence in the US'. 'In the recent US-China trade war, if the tariffs go up, we need to lower the production costs to combat it,' he says. 'It leaves little room for profit'. With no room to cut wages any lower, Yang says he is already losing money on every top he sells. He keeps accepting the orders in order to keep the factory open, but with the domestic market becoming increasingly competitive, he is aware he might not be able to operate much longer. Shein is everywhere in Panyu. The China-founded, Singapore-headquartered company revolutionised the garment industry in Guangzhou, allowing small manufacturers like Yang to sell directly to western customers, and offering shoppers rock-bottom prices. While big high street brands operate larger, dedicated factories, Shein places small batch orders directly with independent manufacturers, ramping up production for the designs that sell well online. The flexibility of this model has fuelled the company's meteoric rise. Shein accounts for about 50 percent of the US fast fashion industry, according to Bloomberg Second Measure, a data analytics firm. The company's growth has also been thanks to a loopholes in the US customs regime, which allowed low-value goods to be imported free. In 2022, over 30 percent of all the small packages imported under the so-called 'de minimis' exemption came from Shein and Temu, another Chinese e-commerce company. On 2 May, Trump closed that loophole for goods from China and Hong Kong. This week, he expanded that ban to goods from all countries, meaning that suppliers can't avoid tariffs by shipping via third countries. A recent analysis by Reuters found that prices on Shein increased by an average of 23 percent between 24 April and 22 July. The US market is 'volatile and risky,' says Peng Jianshen, the boss of a medium-sized denim clothes factory in Zengcheng, another of Guangzhou's urban villages. 'When tariffs were suddenly increased, the entire US-focused production stopped. No one dared to continue'. Experts say that the uncertainty of the trade war could have a negative impact on working conditions, encouraging workers to add hours to their already punishingly long shifts. 'Generally, when we're talking about the garment industry in China, workers don't have rest days,' says Li Qiang, the founder of China Labor Watch, a US-based NGO. 'They're paid by piece rate. So they work as much as possible when the orders are still there.' But factory bosses in Guangzhou say the trade war is only the latest in a series of problems facing their industry. Global conflicts and low consumer spending in China mean that it's hard to pivot away from the US and towards other markets. Li Jun, a chain-smoking factory boss, runs a denim clothing factory that sells jeans to Russia. He says the economic impact of the war in Ukraine, plus the fact that many of his would-be customers have been drafted to fight in the conflict, have been bad for business. 'The economy is not doing well anywhere,' he says. 'A lot of factories are shutting down.' At his peak he was exporting 100,000 pairs of jeans per month, with more than half going to Russia, but now it's 30,000 to 40,000 pairs each month, meaning that he just about breaks even. Manufacturers in places like Guangzhou have long been the engine room of China's growth. But in recent years, keen to shed the label of being the world's factory, Beijing has been pouring all its political and economic support into hi-tech industries, such as artificial intelligence and semiconductors. 'The Chinese government no longer supports these kinds of light industries or small individual businesses,' Li says. 'It's really hard to keep things going'. By Amy Hawkins Learn more: Trump to Levy 25% Tariffs on Japan, South Korea in August The 25 percent rates do not include any sectoral-specific tariffs that the Trump administration would separately implement on goods imported in key industries.

Introducing The Brain of Fashion
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Business of Fashion

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  • Business of Fashion

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When I first started writing The Business of Fashion in 2007 as a blog and occasional newsletter, it was simply a place for me to explore an industry that had always fascinated me. At the time, blogs and newsletters like mine were completely new to the fashion industry. At 6am London time, mine was the only fashion newsletter in your inbox. I was lucky to have been in the right place, at the right time. Soon, digital and social media would transform fashion and BoF would earn its place as the leading global resource for fashion professionals around the world. I learned a very important lesson from this little digital experiment: never be complacent. When breakthrough technologies emerge, rather than reject them, it is important to understand how you might use them. We are at another one of those technological inflection points now. The way people consume business analysis and information is changing, with the rise of new AI tools like ChatGPT. This is changing the expectations of our readers who increasingly expect clear, direct and accurate answers to specific research questions — delivered quickly and reliably. Today, we're excited to invite our BoF Professional community to test a new AI-driven research tool developed in partnership with — designed to help you engage even more deeply with BoF's award-winning journalism. The Brain of Fashion is our new generative AI tool, trained on BoF's archive of more than 45,000 articles, reports, case studies and profiles. It is designed to help you make faster, smarter decisions by answering your questions about the fashion, luxury and beauty industries with speed, relevance and depth. So how is this different from other more generalist AI tools on the market? Because The Brain of Fashion is trained exclusively on BoF's verified, fact-checked reporting, you can trust that the information provided is more accurate. Our answers link directly to the original BoF articles underlying each response, so you can dig deeper in your research. That said, The Brain of Fashion is launching in beta mode because as with all new technologies, we will need to continue to test and refine it in the coming months. Your feedback will play an essential role in how we take The Brain of Fashion forward. As a BoF Professional member, you can start exploring The Brain of Fashion and submitting your research requests today. We look forward to hearing your feedback, Imran Amed, Founder and Editor-in-Chief Use of Artificial Intelligence: We offer The Brain of Fashion to provide information from the BoF content library to answer your questions. This tool is powered by third party AI systems. We cannot guarantee the completeness and accuracy of the information provided. BoF and its affiliates are not liable for any actions taken based on such information.

Trump fired America's economic data collector. History shows the perils.
Trump fired America's economic data collector. History shows the perils.

Boston Globe

time2 hours ago

  • Boston Globe

Trump fired America's economic data collector. History shows the perils.

There is the case of China, where earlier this century local authorities manipulated data to hit growth targets mandated by Beijing, forcing analysts and policymakers to turn to alternative measures to gauge the state of the country's economy. Advertisement Perhaps most famously, there is the case of Argentina, which in the 2000s and 2010s systematically understated inflation figures to such a degree that the international community eventually stopped relying on the government's data. That loss of faith drove up the country's borrowing costs, worsening a debt crisis that ultimately led to it defaulting on its international obligations. Get Starting Point A guide through the most important stories of the morning, delivered Monday through Friday. Enter Email Sign Up It is too soon to know whether the United States is on a similar path. But economists and other experts said that Trump's decision Friday to fire Erika McEntarfer, the Senate-confirmed head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, was a troubling step in that direction. Janet Yellen, the former Treasury secretary and chair of the Federal Reserve, said the firing was not what is expected from the most advanced economy in the world. Advertisement 'This is the kind of thing you would only expect to see in a banana republic,' Yellen said. Essential data The Bureau of Labor Statistics is officially part of the Labor Department, whose secretary is a member of the president's Cabinet. But the agency operates independently, producing detailed, nonpartisan data on employment, prices, wages and other topics. Economists say that reliable, independently produced statistics are critical to good decision making in both the public and private sector. Officials at the Federal Reserve rely on government-collected data on inflation and unemployment to decide how to set interest rates, which affect how much Americans must pay to get a mortgage or a car loan. 'Good data helps not just the Fed, it helps the government, but it also helps the private sector,' Jerome Powell, the Fed chair, said at a recent news conference. 'The United States has been a leader in that for 100 years,' he added, 'and we really need to continue that in my view.' Experts on government statistics say data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and other agencies is unlikely to deteriorate dramatically overnight. The acting commissioner named to replace McEntarfer on a temporary basis, William J. Wiatrowski, is a longtime employee of the agency who is widely respected by experts inside and outside government. The career employees who collect and analyze the data remain in place, using the same methods and procedures they used before McEntarfer was pushed out. But experts who just days ago were defending the integrity of the statistical agencies now find themselves asking uncomfortable questions about the trajectory of economic data in the United States. Advertisement 'If the poverty numbers come in and look great, is the director of the Census going to get a raise?' said Amy O'Hara, a former Census Bureau official who is now a professor at Georgetown University. 'If the household income numbers don't look great what happens then? What about GDP? What about CPI?' Andreas Georgiou knows the challenges of standing up to such political pressure. After he took over Greece's statistical agency in 2010, he found that the country has been severely understating its budget deficits. Those findings ran afoul of Greek authorities, who spent years trying to prosecute him on a variety of charges related to his work, despite independent reviews that supported his conclusions. (He fared better, though, than Olimpiy Kvitkin, a Soviet census official who was arrested and executed when his population count came in lower than Josef Stalin had announced.) Georgiou refused to bend. Reliable statistics are important for policymaking, he said. But they are also essential to democracy. 'Official statistics, government statistics are a mirror that society holds up to itself,' he said. If that mirror is distorted, or broken entirely, then the accountability that is central to a democratic system cannot work. 'If society cannot see itself clearly, then it cannot identify its problems,' he said. 'If it cannot identify its problems, then it cannot find the right solutions. It cannot find the right persons to solve these problems.' Data integrity at risk Trump said he fired McEntarfer because the numbers produced by her agency were 'rigged' to hurt him politically. Experts on the government statistics, including former commissioners in both Democratic and Republican administrations, have called foul on that accusation. The commissioner, who is the bureau's sole political appointee, does not control the numbers that the agency publishes, or even see them until they have been finalized by a staff of career technocrats whose careers typically span multiple presidential administrations. Advertisement Erica Groshen, who led the bureau under President Barack Obama, recalled getting resistance from the agency's staff when she tried to liven up the language of the monthly jobs reports. The bureau's staff insisted that the agency's job wasn't to say whether the glass was half-full or half-empty, only to report that, 'It is an eight-ounce container with four ounces of liquid.' Groshen relented. That is not to say political interference would be impossible. Government statistics rely on hundreds of methodological decisions, many of them judgment calls with no obviously correct answer. A sufficiently sophisticated agency head might, over time, be able to nudge the data in a politically advantageous direction, without any single decision being so egregious that it led to a mass resignation of career employees. 'I could imagine a new commissioner coming in and trying to make changes to those methods and procedures that try to move those numbers one way or the other,' said Katharine G. Abraham, who led the bureau during the Clinton and George W. Bush administrations. 'They would have to know a lot in terms of where to put the finger on the scale.' Private alternatives There are also blunter approaches. In Argentina in 2007, the government of then-President Néstor Kirchner pushed out the mathematician in charge of the country's consumer price data, then released an inflation figure that was dramatically lower than the one the mathematician had calculated. The public wasn't fooled. Nor were international bond investors, who ultimately turned to alternative sources of inflation data, calculated by researchers outside the government. Advertisement But such alternative sources are inherently limited, said Alberto Cavallo, a Harvard University economist who developed one of the most widely used private inflation indexes in Argentina. 'Private alternatives can complement official statistics, but they are not a substitute,' Cavallo wrote in an email. 'Government agencies have the resources and scale to conduct nationwide surveys -- something no private initiative can fully replicate.' Recently, Cavallo has been publishing data on consumer prices in the United States, which has shown the impact of Trump's tariffs more quickly than the government's data. But while such real-time sources are valuable, they don't carry the 'institutional credibility' of government data. The trouble is that once that credibility is eroded, it is hard to repair -- particularly at a time when partisans on both sides of the political aisle are skeptical of numbers put out by members of the opposing party. Nancy Potok, a former Census official who served as chief statistician of the United States during the first Trump administration, said that in the past there had been strong bipartisan support for the statistical system in Congress and the business community. But partisanship seems to have eroded that support at a moment when a combination of political pressures and long-standing budget challenges are making it most necessary. 'There were some people who really understood the value of the economic data, and now that's not the conversation and those champions aren't there that were there in the past,' she said. 'There's no one leading the charge to make these kind of investments.' This article originally appeared in Advertisement

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