Tropical Storm Erin Slightly Stronger As It Heads West
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Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
Track Hurricane Erin path as it moves through Atlantic. Latest spaghetti models
Tropical Storm Erin has now officially become the season's first hurricane as it continues its westward push through the Atlantic, according to the National Hurricane Center. As of 8 a.m. Aug. 15, the storm was about 460 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands with sustained winds of 75 mph. It was moving west at 18 mph. The storm began a west-northwestward motion the evening of Aug. 14 and will continue that path through the weekend. The storm should gradually strengthen throughout Aug. 15 with more significant intensification Aug. 15 and 16. The hurricane is expected to pass near or north of the Leeward Islands on Aug. 16, the National Hurricane Center said. The storm is expected to intensify into a hurricane on Aug. 15 and possibly a major hurricane on Aug. 17. Will Hurricane Erin impact Delaware, East Coast? It's still too soon to tell, but as the storm turns west-northwest meteorologists will get a better idea of the storm's threat to the United States. At the very least, Delaware and the entire East Coast of the U.S. should prepare for dangerous surf and rip currents. What are the spaghetti models for Tropical Storm Erin? The models are projecting a hard turn for Erin and a path parallel to the East Coast. Special note about spaghetti models: Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts. What is a rip current? According to NOAA, rip currents are channeled currents of water that flow away from the shore out past the line of breaking waves. They form from water piling up between the breaking waves and the beach. As the water returns from the shore, it forms a narrow stream of water that moves quickly out to sea. What to do in a rip current According to the United States Lifesaving Association, swimmers should do the following: Relax, rip currents don't pull you under. Don't swim against the current. You may be able to escape by swimming out of the current in a direction following the shoreline, or toward breaking waves, then at an angle toward the beach. You may be able to escape by floating or treading water if the current circulates back toward shore. If you feel you will be unable to reach shore, draw attention to yourself. If you need help, yell and wave for assistance. When is hurricane season? Hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. However, hurricanes can occur before and after those dates. What are the categories for tropical cyclones and hurricanes? Tropical storm A tropical storm is a tropical cyclone with winds between 39 and 73 mph. These storms bring heavy rains that could lead to dangerous flooding. Category 1 A category 1 storm is the weakest of the hurricanes with winds between 74 and 95 mph. The storm will cause some flooding, but no real structural damage. Category 2 A category 2 storm has winds between 96 and 110 mph. The storm can cause moderate damage to buildings. Category 3 A category 3 storm will have winds from 111-129 mph. It can cause major damage to well-built framed homes, uproot trees and cause power and communication outages. Category 4 A category 4 storm can cause catastrophic damage to well-built framed homes, tearing off roofs and breaking exterior walls. Mobile homes are destroyed. Roads are impassible and there are communication and power outages. Category 5 A category 5 storm can cause catastrophic damage with most framed homes and mobile homes being destroyed. Trees will be snapped and uprooted. Roads will be impassible and there will be extended power and communication outages. Prepare now for hurricanes Delaying potentially life-saving preparations could mean waiting until it's too late. "Get your disaster supplies while the shelves are still stocked, and get that insurance checkup early, as flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period," the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration recommends. Get supplies to prepare for a hurricane at Lowes Develop an evacuation plan: If you are at risk from hurricanes, you need an evacuation plan. Now is the time to begin planning where you would go and how you would get there. Assemble disaster supplies: Whether you're evacuating or sheltering-in-place, you're going to need supplies not just to get through the storm but for the potentially lengthy aftermath, NOAA said. Get an insurance checkup and document your possessions: Contact your insurance company or agent now and ask for an insurance check-up to make sure you have enough insurance to repair or even replace your home and/or belongings. Remember, home and renters insurance doesn't cover flooding, so you'll need a separate policy for it. Flood insurance is available through your company, agent, or the National Flood Insurance Program. Act now, as flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period. Create a family communication plan: NOAA said to take the time now to write down your hurricane plan, and share it with your family. Determine family meeting places, and make sure to include an out-of-town location in case of evacuation. Strengthen your home: Now is the time to improve your home's ability to withstand hurricane impacts. Trim trees; install storm shutters, accordion shutters, and/or impact glass; seal outside wall openings. Doyle Rice contributed to this story. This article originally appeared on Delaware News Journal: Hurricane Erin path: The Latest spaghetti models
CBS News
2 hours ago
- CBS News
Mostly sunny, muggy, just a stray chance of thundershower in the Philadelphia region Saturday
The weekend will dry out for the most part and temperatures will remain near 90°. If you are someone who enjoys the hot, humid summer days, then we encourage you to make your plans and soak in these conditions. Labor Day weekend is only two weeks away, meaning weekends like the one upcoming will be few and far between from here on out. Because the air will be swampy, there will be a chance for pop-up showers and storms, but the overall chance is relatively low. Think "summer storms"… if you hear thunder, head inside for 15 minutes and it should pass. The biggest potential threats are lightning and locally heavy rain. Of course, fall is right around the corner and that's awesome, but not the best for enjoying the pool, water parks, beaches, etc. Sunday may likely be the hottest day with temps in the mid low-90s, but there's no sign of any extended streaks of extreme heat. Your NEXT Weather team continues to closely monitor Erin, which is now a hurricane, forecast to become a Major Category 4 as we roll into next week. This will likely cause rough surf and riptide dangers along the Jersey shore and Delaware beaches come mid-late next week. Your NEXT Weather team will continue to update as the storm gets closer. Saturday: Sun, stray shower. High 88, Low 72 Sunday: Sun, stray shower. High 91, Low 70 Monday: Mostly cloudy. High 80, Low 72 Tuesday: Partly sunny. High 81, Low 67 Wednesday: Partly sunny. High 79, Low 67 Thursday: Partly sunny. High 79, Low 67 Friday: Partly sunny. High 83, Low 65 NEXT Weather Radars Hourly Forecast
Yahoo
2 hours ago
- Yahoo
Hurricane Erin To Rapidly Strengthen This Weekend; Heavy Rain Threat In Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands
Hurricane Erin became the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season Friday morning several hundred miles east-northeast of the Caribbean, where it is expected to bring rain, gusty winds and high surf this weekend. While Erin's longer-term future after the Caribbean is still somewhat uncertain, the National Hurricane Center is forecasting rapid intensification this weekend to Category 4 strength by Sunday. Interests along the U.S. East Coast and Bermuda should continue to monitor the forecast. A significant rip current threat is expected in the week ahead from Florida to Massachusetts. (MORE: Erin Maps Tracker - Spaghetti Models, Forecasts, More) Watches And Warnings While Erin's center is forecast to pass north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands, it could track close enough for at least some tropical storm force winds in some areas. The map below shows any tropical storm watches and/or warnings in effect. Watches mean tropical storm force winds are possible, while warnings mean they are expected. There could be other impacts in these areas other than winds, as we'll detail below. Path, Intensity Forecast Erin is located a few hundred miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Erin has turned toward the west-northwest as it strengthens. This path will take Erin toward progressively warmer waters, which, in tandem with low wind shear, should allow Erin to become a major hurricane this weekend as its center tracks north of the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. By early next week, Erin is expected to reach sustained winds over 130 mph (Category 4 intensity), according to the National Hurricane Center. Later next week, Erin is expected to pass between North Carolina and Bermuda. Exactly where this happens remains uncertain, but Erin is expected to eventually turn northeastward to the north of Bermuda. Potential Impacts The core of Erin is expected to pass just north of the northeast Caribbean islands, but some impacts are expected this weekend from Puerto Rico to Martinique. In addition to high surf and dangerous rip currents, bands of heavy rain containing gusty winds could impact the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico through this weekend. This could lead to local flash flooding and landslides where bands of heavy rain persist, particularly over mountainous terrain. Beginning Monday, Erin will begin to turn more to the north between a developing break in high pressure. Where that turn occurs between the area of high pressure over the eastern U.S. and another one east of Bermuda is still uncertain and will determine what, if any, land areas might see impacts next week. The probability of a landfall from Erin along the U.S. East Coast is very low at this time. However, interests along the East Coast should continue to monitor this system for possible changes. Erin will generate high surf and dangerous rip currents along the U.S. East Coast for several days in the week ahead, no matter where it tracks. Interests in Bermuda should also continue to follow Erin's forecast closely since its eventual turn toward the north and northeast might take it close to the archipelago next week. And parts of Atlantic Canada — particularly Newfoundland — should also follow this forecast closely, as Erin could end up tracking close to some of those areas late in the week ahead. Check back to and The Weather Channel app for updates as the forecast comes into focus. Jennifer Gray is a weather and climate writer for She has been covering some of the world's biggest weather and climate stories for the last two decades.
