
The number of Americans filing for jobless claims last week remains at the highest level in 8 months
WASHINGTON (AP) — U.S. filings for jobless benefits were unchanged last week, remaining at the higher end of recent ranges as uncertainty over the impact of trade wars lingers.
New applications for jobless benefits numbered 248,000 for the week ending June 7, the Labor Department said Thursday. Analysts had forecast 244,000 new applications.
A week ago, there were 248,000 jobless claim applications, which was the most since early October and a sign that layoffs could be trending higher.
Weekly applications for jobless benefits are considered representative of U.S. layoffs and have mostly bounced around a historically healthy range between 200,000 and 250,000 since COVID-19 throttled the economy five years ago, wiping out millions of jobs.
In reporting their latest earnings, many companies have either trimmed their sales and profit expectations for 2025 or not issued guidance at all, often citing President Donald Trump's dizzying rollout of tariff announcements.
Though Trump has paused or dialed down many of his tariff threats, concerns remain that a tariff-induced global economic slowdown could sabotage what's been a robust U.S. labor market.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has said the potential for both higher unemployment and inflation are elevated, an unusual combination that complicates the central bank's dual mandate of controlling prices and keeping unemployment low. Powell said that tariffs have dampened consumer and business sentiment.
In early May, the Federal Reserve held its benchmark lending rate at 4.3% for the third straight meeting after cutting it three times at the end of last year.
Last week, the Labor Department reported that U.S. employers slowed their hiring in May, but still added a solid 139,000 jobs despite uncertainty over Trump's trade wars.
In a separate report last week, Labor reported that U.S. job openings rose unexpectedly in April, but other data suggested that Americans are less optimistic about the labor market.
The report showed that the number of Americans quitting their jobs — a sign of confidence in their prospects — fell, while layoffs ticked higher. In another sign the job market has cooled from the hiring boom of 2021-2023, the government reported one job for every unemployed person. As recently as December 2022, there were two vacancies for every jobless American.
The government has estimated that the U.S. economy shrank at a 0.2% annual pace in the first quarter of 2025, a slight upgrade from its first estimate. Growth was slowed by a surge in imports as companies in the U.S. tried to bring in foreign goods before Trump's massive tariffs went into effect.
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Trump is attempting to reshape the global economy by dramatically increasing import taxes to rejuvenate the U.S. manufacturing sector. The president has also tried to drastically downsize the federal government workforce, but many of those cuts are being challenged in the courts and Congress.
On Wednesday, Google confirmed that it had offered buyouts to another swath of its workforce in a fresh round of cost-cutting ahead of a court decision that could order a breakup of its internet empire.
Other companies that have announced job cuts this year include Procter & Gamble, Workday, Dow, CNN, Starbucks, Southwest Airlines, Microsoft and Facebook parent company Meta.
The government's report on Thursday also showed that the four-week average of jobless claims, which evens out some of the weekly ups and downs during more volatile stretches, rose by 5,000 to 240,250.
The total number of Americans receiving unemployment benefits for the week of May 31 jumped by 54,000 to 1.96 million, the most since November of 2021.
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Winnipeg Free Press
14 minutes ago
- Winnipeg Free Press
Republican enthusiasm for Musk cools after his feud with Trump, a new AP-NORC poll finds
WASHINGTON (AP) — Tech billionaire Elon Musk has lost some of his luster with Republicans since his messy public falling-out with President Donald Trump last week, a new survey finds. Fewer Republicans view Trump's onetime government efficiency bulldog 'very favorably' compared with April, according to the poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. Though most Republicans continue to hold a positive view of Musk, their diminished fervor suggests his vocal opposition to Trump's signature spending and tax cut legislation — and Musk's subsequent online political and personal taunts — may have cost him some enthusiasm within the party. 'Some things have happened lately that have changed how I feel about him a little,' said Alabama Republican Katye Long, whose feelings for Musk have cooled to 'somewhat favorable.' 'I liked what he was doing when he was helping. But now I feel like he's kind of hurting,' said the 34-year-old automotive component factory employee and mother of three from Woodstock, Alabama. 'I also don't feel like he matters that much. He's not actually part of the government. He's just a rich guy who pushes his opinions.' Musk's overall popularity hasn't shifted, the poll found, and most of the shift among Democrats and Republicans was between 'very' and 'somewhat' strong opinions. Americans are less likely to view him favorably than his electric vehicle company, Tesla. That said, about half of Americans have a negative opinion of Tesla, highlighting another challenge for Musk when the company has dropped in value and been the target of protests in the U.S. and Europe. About one-third have a favorable view of Tesla, while about 2 in 10 don't know enough to say. Republicans' enthusiasm waned, but so did Democrats' antipathy Even a subtle shift in the intensity of Republicans' feelings about Musk could be important as the electric car and aerospace mogul weighs a second political act after spending about $200 million in service of Trump's 2024 election effort. After decrying the GOP's massive tax and budget policy bill as 'a disgusting abomination,' Musk wrote on X, his social media platform, 'In November next year, we fire all politicians who betrayed the American people.' The poll suggests the messy feud with Trump may have rubbed some Republicans the wrong way, as the share of Republicans viewing Musk as 'very favorable' has dropped from 38% in April to 26% now. At the same time, antipathy toward Musk among Democrats has waned a little. About two-thirds, 65%, of Democrats have a very negative view of Musk, down slightly from about three-quarters, 74%, in April. Musk's bitter back-and-forth with Trump has business implications, too. Tesla was already struggling with a backlash against Musk's association with Trump. Sales across Europe plunged by half in May, even as growth in the electric car market accelerated. Then the company's shares plunged in value when Musk began sparring publicly with the president. Victoria Brown, of Kansas City, Kansas, rated Tesla 'somewhat unfavorable' because she objects to how Trump is conducting his administration and links the company's owner with the president's agenda. 'I don't favor Trump. So, pretty much the fact that they have been working together means I don't care too much for Tesla,' said Brown, 63, a political independent and an insurance agent. Musk's overall approval remains unchanged While the intensity of people's feelings about Musk may have changed, their overall opinions have not. About one-third of U.S. adults have a favorable opinion of Musk, compared with about 6 in 10 who hold an unfavorable view, while about 1 in 10 don't know enough to say. That's unchanged from the April poll. The new poll was conducted June 5-9, after Musk left his government role and began attacking Trump's marquee legislative priority. Musk's public clash with Trump began four days after Trump honored Musk effusively during an Oval Office event discharging him from duties as the head of the Department of Government Efficiency. After first tearing down the budget bill, Musk two days later complained he had never seen the language, and he aimed his fire at Trump, suggesting the president didn't sufficiently appreciate the role Musk assumed as the chief benefactor to Trump's reelection effort. 'Without me, Trump would have lost the election, Dems would control the House and Republicans would be 51-49 in the Senate,' Musk wrote. 'Such ingratitude.' Musk went on to claim without evidence that the federal government was concealing information about Trump's association with infamous pedophile Jeffrey Epstein. Musk deleted the post, and early Wednesday he stepped back from his attacks on Trump, writing on X that he regretted some of his posts and they 'went too far.' Views of Tesla are far more negative than other car companies Tesla endured a difficult first quarter in 2025, with its sales falling while the world's leading electric car manufacturer faced protests in showrooms. The new poll also shows that Tesla is viewed far more negatively than some of its peers — notably, Ford, Toyota and General Motors. Only about one-third of U.S. adults have a 'very' or 'somewhat' favorable view of Tesla. About half of U.S. adults have an unfavorable opinion of Tesla, including 30% of Republicans. Democrats, at 66%, are more than twice as likely as Republicans to have a negative view of Tesla. But even among Republicans, Tesla is viewed less favorably than the other brands. Marisa Mills is no Musk fan. The 41-year-old teacher from Oakland, California, objects to his association with Trump and what the Democrat sees as their misguided notion that government is always well served by operating like a business. And yet she was once proud to have Tesla building cars in her own county. She soured on the company in 2020, when Musk sued Alameda County over its workplace restrictions during the coronavirus pandemic, before he moved the company to Texas in 2021. 'My government is supposed to serve the people, not his company. We were all glad to see him go,' Mills said. 'I do regret that we now have feelings of regret for the Tesla car product. We were once so proud.' Wednesdays Columnist Jen Zoratti looks at what's next in arts, life and pop culture. ___ Beaumont reported from Des Moines, Iowa. ___ The AP-NORC poll of 1,158 adults was conducted June 5-9, using a sample drawn from NORC's probability-based AmeriSpeak Panel, which is designed to be representative of the U.S. population. The margin of sampling error for adults overall is plus or minus 4 percentage points. ___ The Associated Press' climate and environmental coverage receives financial support from multiple private foundations. The AP is solely responsible for all content. Find the AP's standards for working with philanthropies, a list of supporters and funded coverage areas at


CTV News
an hour ago
- CTV News
U.S. Fed expected to keep rates steady as tariff risks outweigh inflation data
U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during an event to sign a bill blocking California's rule banning the sale of new gas-powered cars by 2035 in the East Room of the White House, Thursday, June 12, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci) WASHINGTON -- The U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates steady next week, with investors focused on new central bank projections that will show how much weight policymakers are putting on recent soft data and how much risk they attach to unresolved trade and budget issues. The release of a series of inflation readings has eased concern that the tariffs imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump would translate quickly into higher prices, while the latest monthly employment report showed slowing job growth - a combination that, all things equal, would put the Fed closer to resuming its rate cuts. Trump has demanded the U.S. central bank lower its benchmark overnight interest rate immediately by a full percentage point, a dramatic step that would amount to an all-in bet by the Fed that inflation will fall to its 2% target and stay there regardless of what the administration does and even with dramatically looser financial conditions. Yet the president's push to rewrite the rules of global trade remains a work in progress. Since the Fed's last policy meeting in May, the administration delayed until next month a threatened round of global tariffs that central bank officials worry could lead to both higher inflation and slower growth if implemented; trade tensions between the U.S. and China have eased but not been resolved; and the terms of a massive budget and tax bill under consideration in Congress are far from settled. When Fed officials issued their last set of quarterly projections in March, anticipating two quarter-percentage-point rate cuts this year, Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted the role that inertia can play in moments when the outlook is so unclear that 'you just say 'maybe I'll stay where I am,'' a sentiment that may last as long as the tariff debate remains unresolved. 'Recent Fed commentary has reinforced a wait-and-see approach, with officials signaling little urgency to adjust policy amid increased uncertainty around the economic outlook,' Gregory Daco, chief economist at EY-Parthenon, wrote in the run-up to the Fed's June 17-18 meeting. Daco said he anticipates the median rate projection among the Fed's 19 policymakers to still show two rate cuts in 2025, with an overall tone of 'cautious patience' and 'little in the way of forward guidance' given the uncertainty weighing on households and businesses. That view aligns roughly with what investors in contracts tied to the Fed's policy rate currently expect, though pricing shifted towards a possible third rate cut this week after data showed consumer and producer prices both increased less than expected in May. While year-over-year inflation measured by the Fed's preferred Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index is around half a percentage point above the central bank's target, recent data show it running close to 2% for the past three months once the more volatile food and energy components are excluded. The unemployment rate, meanwhile, has remained at 4.2% for the past three months. 'Becoming increasingly clear' The Fed's policy rate was set in the current 4.25%-4.50% range in December when the U.S. central bank cut it by a quarter of a percentage point in what officials at the time expected would be a steady series of reductions in borrowing costs spurred by slowing inflation. The trade policy Trump pursued after he returned to office on January 20, however, raised the risk of higher inflation and slower growth, an outcome that would put the Fed in the uncomfortable position of having to choose whether to focus on keeping inflation at its 2% target or supporting the economy and sustaining low unemployment. The risk of that worst-of-both-worlds outcome has eased since the early spring, when Trump's 'Liberation Day' slate of global tariffs caused a market backlash and led to widespread forecasts of a U.S. recession before the president backed down. In its most recent analysis, Goldman Sachs analysts lowered the odds of a recession to around 30% and said they now see a bit less inflation and slightly higher growth this year. Yet that analysis did not prompt a shift in the investment bank's Fed rate outlook, which currently expects higher inflation numbers over the summer to sideline the central bank until December. The Fed itself may see its median rate projection fall to a single quarter-percentage-point cut this year if only due to the passage of time, noted Tim Duy, chief U.S. economist at SGH Macro Advisors. With three fewer months in the year to make changes in policy and so many major issues outstanding, 'if the Fed retained two cuts ... it would have more confidence in those two cuts than in March,' Duy wrote. 'But ... participants have less confidence in rate cuts since 'Liberation Day,' and that should be reflected' in the new projections. It would only take two officials to change their outlooks for the Fed's projected rate reductions to shift more toward next year. There's another scenario, one in which the weak pass-through from tariffs to inflation is due to weakening demand as consumers pay more for imported goods by cutting back on services, a dynamic that may already be developing. The retail sales report for May, which is due to be released next week ahead of the Fed meeting, may provide insight into that issue. But Citi economists say they think weakening demand will keep inflation down, lead to rising unemployment, and prompt the central bank to cut rates faster than expected, beginning in September and continuing at each meeting from there into 2026. 'Tariffs may eventually boost some goods prices, but the broad-based slowing in core services inflation will make this a one-time price increase,' the Citi analysts wrote. 'Markets have yet to internalize that softer demand will lead to cooler inflation but also to rising unemployment ... The path to Fed rate cuts is becoming increasingly clear.' Reporting by Howard Schneider; Editing by Dan Burns and Paul Simao, Reuters

Globe and Mail
2 hours ago
- Globe and Mail
Premarket: Stocks tumble, oil prices jump after Israel attacks Iran
World stock markets tumbled on Friday and oil prices surged as Israel launched a military strike on Iran, sparking a rush into safe havens such as gold, dollar and Swiss franc. An escalation in the Middle East - a major oil-producing region - adds uncertainty to financial markets at a time of heightened pressure on the global economy from U.S. President Donald Trump's aggressive and erratic trade policies. Market reaction was swift. Crude oil jumped as much as 14 per cent at one point to almost US$79 a barrel, before pulling back to about US$74 - still up more than 5 per cent on the day and set for the biggest one-day jump since 2022. West Texas Intermediate futures rose more than US$5 to US$73.14. Gold, a classic safe-haven at times of global uncertainty, rose to US$3,416 per ounce, bringing it close to the record high of $3,500.05 from April. The rush to safety was matched by a dash out of risk assets. U.S. stock futures fell over 1.5 per cent, European shares dropped 1 per cent at the open and in Asia, major bourses in Japan, South Korea and Hong Kong fell over 1 per cent each. 'Clearly the big question is how far does this go?,' said Chris Scicluna, head of economic research at Daiwa Capital Markets in London, referring to the Middle East tension. 'The market has got it right in terms of stocks down, oil and gold up.' Israel launched wide scale strikes against Iran, saying it targeted nuclear facilities, ballistic missile factories and military commanders during the start of a prolonged operation to prevent Tehran from building an atomic weapon. Iran had launched about 100 drones toward Israeli territory in retaliation, which Israel is working to intercept, an Israeli military spokesman said. Washington said it was not involved in the Israeli offensive. The developments mean another major geopolitical tail risk has now become a reality at a time when investors are wrestling with major shifts in U.S. economic and trade policies. 'The geopolitical escalation adds another layer of uncertainty to already fragile sentiment,' said Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo, adding that crude oil and safe-haven assets will remain on an upward trajectory if tensions continue to intensify. The Israeli shekel fell almost 2 per cent and long-dated dollar bonds for Israel, Egypt and Pakistan slipped. U.S. Treasuries were bought in the rush for safer assets, sending the yield on 10-year notes to a one-month low of 4.31 per cent. Bond yields move inversely to prices. Germany's 10-year bond yield touched its lowest level since early March at around 2.42 per cent. Daiwa's Scicluna said a further push higher in oil prices could dampen expectations for central bank rate cuts. 'The ultimate response in bond markets to geopolitics is going to depend on how sharp the rise in energy prices is going to be,' he said. Some traders were attracted to the dollar as a haven, with the dollar index up 0.6 per cent to 98.277, retracing most of Thursday's sizeable decline. Still, the U.S. dollar is down 1 per cent for the week in a sign that sentiment towards the greenback remains bearish. The Swiss franc briefly touched its strongest level against the dollar since April 21, before trading 0.2 per cent lower at around 0.8118 per dollar. Fellow safe haven the Japanese yen edged down 0.2 per cent to 143.79 per dollar, giving up earlier gains of 0.3 per cent. The euro was down 0.4 per cent at US$1.1534, after rising on Thursday to the highest since October 2021. Sterling slipped 0.4 per cent to US$1.3556, after marking a fresh high since February 2022 at US$1.3613 early in the day. 'Traders are now on edge over the prospects of a full-blown Middle East conflict,' said Matt Simpson, a senior market analyst at City Index. 'That will keep uncertainty high and volatility elevated.' - Reuters