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Kansas City Royals at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Kansas City Royals at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

USA Today04-07-2025
The Kansas City Royals (41-47) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (43-44) open a 3-game series Friday. First pitch from Chase Field in Phoenix is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's MLB odds around the Royals vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Diamondbacks won 2-1 last year
The Royals split 4 games at the Seattle Mariners, wrapping up the set with a 3-2 win Thursday, cashing as +115 underdogs with the Under (7.5) hitting. 1B Vinnie Pasquantino hit a go-ahead 2-run single in the seventh inning Thursday to give Kansas City a 3-1 lead. The Royals have won 2 of their last 3 games, but have dropped 9 of their last 12.
The Diamondbacks also split their most-recent 4-game set, hosting the San Francisco Giants. They lost 7-2 as +104 underdogs in the Thursday finale with the Over (8.5) cashing for the third straight game. Arizona's only runs came on solo homers -- 3B Eugenio Suárez in the fifth and DH Ketel Marte in the ninth. The Diamondbacks have lost 6 of their last 8 games.
Royals at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP Kris Bubic vs. LHP Eduardo Rodríguez
Bubic (6-6, 2.25 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 through 96 innings.
Rodríguez (3-4, 5.13 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.56 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 through 72 innings.
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Royals at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:14 p.m. ET.
Royals at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Diamondbacks 4, Royals 3
Moneyline
ARIZONA (-115) should bounce back after losing 2 straight home games to a division rival. Rodríguez has allowed 1 earned run or fewer in 3 consecutive starts and has won 2 of his last 3 decisions.
Meanwhile, the Royals have lost 4 of Bubic's last 5 starts and 9 of their last 12 overall. Kansas City did pull off 2 upsets in Seattle this week, but it still hasn't shown it can be trusted over a meaningful sample size.
BET DIAMONDBACKS (-115).
Run line/Against the spread
The run line carries a 30-cent straddle, making it tougher to beat than the more favorable -105/-115 ML split.
PASS on the run line.
Over/Under
Kansas City has scored 3 or fewer runs in 9 of its last 12 games, going 9-3 to the Under during that stretch.
On the other side, Rodríguez has been dominant for Arizona lately, allowing a total of just 1 run in 11 1/3 innings across his last 2 starts. With the Royals likely to struggle scoring and Arizona limited to 4 or fewer runs in 3 of its last 5 games, the Under looks like a solid play.
BET UNDER 8.5 (-120).
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