
ASEAN leaders to show concern over U.S. tariffs, Myanmar
Leaders of the Association of Southeast Asia Nations are set to show their deep concern over "unilateral tariff measures" without mentioning the United States at their meeting in Malaysia on Monday, according to a draft of the summit chairman's statement obtained by Kyodo News.
Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim, who is chairing the meeting, said at the outset that ASEAN has displayed resilience amid "increasingly complex and sobering global developments," adding, "The global trading system is under further strain, with the recent imposition of U.S. unilateral tariffs."
Anwar said he had written to U.S. President Donald Trump to organize a meeting between Washington and ASEAN in an effort to negotiate on the tariffs as a region, rather than bilaterally.
The leaders met in Kuala Lumpur as their countries, like others, are set to be hit by Trump's so-called reciprocal tariffs, with U.S. duties on the 10 members of the regional grouping ranging from 10 to 49 percent.
According to the chairman's draft statement, the leaders will warn that the unilateral tariffs pose "complex and multidimensional challenges to ASEAN's economic growth, stability and integration," reaffirming the regional bloc's commitment to a "nondiscriminatory multilateral trading system, with the World Trade Organization at its core."
Following Trump's announcement of the tariffs, ASEAN trade ministers held a special virtual meeting in April and said they would not retaliate, which Malaysian trade minister Zafrul Abdul Aziz on Sunday characterized as a prudent stance that has averted an escalation of trade tensions.
Setting the tone ahead of the summit, the ASEAN trade and foreign ministers met separately on Sunday in the Malaysian capital.
Besides tariffs, the ongoing civil war in Myanmar, following a coup in February 2021 that ousted the elected government led by Aung San Suu Kyi, was believed to have been discussed at the summit, with the issue mentioned in the draft statement.
Peaceful protests against the coup morphed into armed resistance after a harsh military crackdown. Ethnic minority rebels and fighters aligned with a parallel government formed by ousted civilian leaders have been battling the military.
The junta in Myanmar and the other members of ASEAN reached a so-called five-point consensus in April 2021, including the need for an immediate end to violence. But little progress has been made, with thousands killed in the civil war.
Further humanitarian assistance for Myanmar, the central region of which was hit by an earthquake on March 28 that killed over 3,700 people, would be stressed, the draft statement showed, including a call by the leaders for greater international financial support.
Anwar said at the outset of Monday's summit that ASEAN has been able to take "positive steps" within an informal advisory group that he launched by requesting former Thai Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra to serve as an adviser.
From Myanmar, Aung Kyaw Moe, permanent secretary of Myanmar's Foreign Ministry, is participating in the summit as ASEAN has only allowed a nonpolitical representative from the country to attend since October 2021, effectively excluding the junta chief.
ASEAN groups Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam.
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Yomiuri Shimbun
34 minutes ago
- Yomiuri Shimbun
Trump Signs ‘Big Beautiful Bill,' His Sweeping Policy Legislation
President Donald Trump on Friday, with the nation at cookouts and preparing for sparkler-filled evenings, flooded the South Lawn of the White House with a mixture of patriotic festival and a celebration of his biggest legislative accomplishment. The president who has signed a historic number of executive orders finally got his dream of signing a signature policy bill that contains a collection of his campaign promises. And then, expected by dusk, the fireworks. It was the culmination of a string of successes in recent weeks and a remarkable display of how Trump has been able to bend to his will both allies and adversaries, world leaders and university presidents, media executives and judges. Even after moments when the legislation's passage seemed uncertain, with Republican lawmakers balking at its cost and cuts to safety net programs, Trump secured the narrow margins needed through the power of persuasion and more than a little intimidation. 'I think I have more power now, I do,' he said on Thursday, when asked about the difference between his first and second terms. 'More gravitas. More power.' The legislation, which he held aloft after signing it before 6 p.m., is the latest signal that other branches of government are ceding more influence to the executive branch. Last week, the Supreme Court sharply limited the ability of federal judges to block a presidential action nationwide, even if they find it unconstitutional. The Senate several days ago rejected a resolution that would let Congress decide whether Trump can attack Iran again. And the White House is expected to make a flurry of tariff announcements in the next week, as the legislative branch declines to assert its constitutional authority on levies. Trump on Friday also welcomed the B-2 bomber pilots who dropped 14 bunker-busting bombs on Iranian uranium enrichment facilities, in an operation that Trump has said 'obliterated' the country's nuclear program. Some of those same planes flew over the White House on Friday just before he signed the bill, alongside House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-Louisiana) and dozens of lawmakers. Johnson gave him a gavel that he banged to mark the signing, before handing out pens to those around him. 'This whole two weeks has been incredible, hasn't it? You know, when you think of all of the victories,' Trump marveled Thursday night before a large crowd in Iowa. Twenty minutes later, he still couldn't believe it. 'This had to be the best two weeks,' he said. 'Has anybody ever had a better two weeks?' On Friday evening, the White House lawn was filled with people for what has been a traditional July Fourth picnic. Celebratory music played, and many of his Cabinet members were gathered. 'I want to wish you a very happy Independence Day,' he said, with first lady Melania Trump standing by his side. 'This is going to be something special. … The spirit in this country we haven't seen anything like it in many, many years – in decades!' He highlighted many of the congressional members in the crowd, several times singling out Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska), whose vote was crucial to advancing the bill after she won a number of concessions for her home state. 'Lisa, thank you very much,' Trump said. 'I have to thank you.' He also spoke about past grievances, including news coverage, Democratic criticisms of the legislation, and investigations into whether Russia played a role in past elections. Reflecting on the past several weeks, he said, 'There has never been anything like it as far as winning, winning, winning.' He said the election results gave him a sweeping mandate, claiming that the legislation was the result. 'The people are happy,' he said. 'They're happy.' There are significant risks ahead, however, with a bill that is expected to add trillions of dollars to the national debt and could knock millions of Americans off Medicaid. The bill also massively infuses funding into immigration enforcement agencies, even as public approval of Trump's sweeping deportation agenda tumbles. Early polling indicates that most Americans don't yet know much about the mammoth bill, which will pit Trump's salesmanship against Democrats eager for any policy argument to rally around. Some of its provisions, particularly cuts to Medicaid, are unpopular, and Democrats are already planning to make it a chief argument in the midterm elections. The extension of tax cuts that could help the wealthiest Americans, combined with cuts to safety net programs, could give them a potent case to make. 'This vote will haunt our Republican colleagues for years to come,' Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer (New York) said shortly after it passed the Senate. 'Because of this bill, tens of millions will lose health insurance. Millions of jobs will disappear. People will get sick and die.' Throughout the tortuous negotiations in the House and Senate, Trump largely rejected warning signs even from certain members in his own party, and has rejected some of the projections from budget analysts over some of the far-reaching implications of the bill. Even as he has secured a signature domestic achievement, he faces other challenges abroad. The initial strikes in Iran were successful, and Trump has brushed aside any notion – including preliminary U.S. intelligence reports – that it wasn't 'total obliteration' of their nuclear program. But full inspections of the sites have not taken place, the decision to intervene in a foreign conflict deeply divided Trump's base, and the Middle East remains volatile. Trump is hoping to strike a ceasefire deal in Gaza next week when Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu comes to the White House. But he has also struggled in recent days to achieve a ceasefire in Russia's war against Ukraine. 'I'm very disappointed with the conversation I had today with President Putin,' he told reporters early Friday. 'I'm very disappointed. … I don't think he's looking to stop. It's too bad.' Trump on Friday morning spoke with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, a conversation that Zelensky said focused in part on Russian airstrikes and possibilities for air defense assistance. The White House did not respond to requests for comment on the phone call. Trump earlier in the week halted some weapons shipments to the war-torn country as it faces new aerial attacks and a surging Russian offensive. But there are few achievements in recent weeks that compare to his ability to muscle through legislation that cemented many of his top priorities. Trump to date has largely governed through executive orders, which could be unwound by future presidents. Since January, he has signed 168 orders, according to The American Presidency Project. Biden, over his four years in office, signed 162. Republicans are in control of both chambers of Congress, giving him a window of partisan power to attempt to pass his priorities. But with extremely narrow margins, and warring factions within the Republican Party, there so far had not been any major legislative movement. Trump decided to package everything into one piece of legislation, which he branded his One Big Beautiful Bill. White House officials described him as 'the omnipresent force behind this legislation' and couched the bill signing with historic sweep. 'Not too many presidents get the opportunity to have unified government,' said a senior White House official, speaking to reporters on the condition of anonymity after the bill's passage. 'Not too many presidents get the opportunity to enact basically the vast majority of their campaign promises in a single piece of legislation.' Trump had set a deadline of July 4, and managed to secure it. He has staged a smattering of signings at the White House, including one for the Laken Riley Act. But until now, 165 days into his presidency, he has not had a major piece of legislation to sign. 'It's the biggest bill ever signed of its kind,' Trump said.


Yomiuri Shimbun
35 minutes ago
- Yomiuri Shimbun
Trump's Economy Remains Pretty Strong, but Some Warning Signs Are Flashing
Nearly six months into his second term, President Donald Trump has imposed global tariffs, orchestrated a crackdown on immigration and pushed a sweeping tax-cut bill through Congress – moves that could significantly alter the U.S. economy, but haven't yet. The country's economy has remained relatively stable and upbeat under Trump, according to many metrics, although economists caution that they see potential warning signs ahead. Stock markets have rallied, the inflation rate is steady and unemployment remains low, ticking down to 4.1 percent in June. Trump's One Big Beautiful Bill promises to extend massive tax cuts, and benefit corporations and wealthier Americans – provisions that could boost parts of the economy. The White House takes credit for the good signs in the economy, saying they are 'laying the groundwork for a long-term restoration of American Greatness. President Trump's 'America First' agenda of tariffs, deregulation, energy abundance, and tax cuts – such as those in the One Big Beautiful Bill – unleashed a historic economy during his first term,' White House spokesman Kush Desai said in a statement. Still, many analysts say that the future of the U.S. economy under Trump remains uncertain. Gross domestic product shrank in the first quarter of the year in part because of surging imports, and consumers are feeling hesitant and spending less. It's also too soon to know the full effect of Trump's widespread tariffs, especially with a deadline approaching to get deals completed with many countries before levies rise once more. And as immigrants leave the workforce, either voluntarily or by deportation, a lack of workers could create labor shortages in certain key areas and fuel wage inflation. Several economists expressed concern that things do not look as rosy as they did at the end of last year. 'We've taken an economy that was growing above trend, and it's now sort of shifting sideways,' said Douglas Holtz-Eakin, who was chief economist for President George W. Bush's Council of Economic Advisers and is president of the American Action Forum, a conservative-leaning think tank. 'It's not bad news yet, but it's not good news.' Trump won office in large part by pledging to bring prices down for Americans, promising to 'end inflation and make America affordable again.' The inflation rate has shown signs of stability during the president's second term – it has remained mild despite the tariff fluctuations, rising just 2.4 percent in May in the consumer price index. That's the lowest it's been since 2021. 'I'm pretty bullish right now on the economy. I think it's hard to see any negative sides,' said Stephen Moore, a former senior economic adviser for Trump. 'I do believe what really happened was that there was fear and fury over the tariffs when they came out. Once Trump started making trade deals to get other countries to lower their tariffs, the economy and stock market turned around on a dime.' Still, the Federal Reserve does not think the economy has escaped inflation and opted to forgo an interest-rate cut at its last meeting. Chair Jerome H. Powell has said the central bank remains in a 'wait-and-see' mode as it continues to gauge the outcome of Trump's trade war and other policies, a delay Trump has criticized. The U.S. labor market also continues to show signs of resilience, adding 147,000 jobs in June. Hourly wages outpaced inflation, and layoffs remain low. But businesses have added jobs at a slower pace this year compared with last year, and hiring has fallen to a standstill in many industries. Economists are keeping a close eye for signs that tariff policies, federal government job cuts and a crackdown on immigration could trigger widespread job losses. Diane Swonk, chief economist at accounting giant KPMG, said the 'margin of error in the labor market is small.' 'I'm worried about the headwinds that are building,' Swonk said, pointing to upcoming potential tariff rate increases. Despite uncertainty around changing tariff policies, the financial markets have rebounded from a worrisome sell-off in April. Trump faced a financial market backlash when he imposed sweeping, double-digit tariffs on nearly every country in the world. Major stock markets plummeted on the news, as economists predicted prices would surge and shoppers would see shortages. And the bond markets flashed warning signs. But as Trump backed off most of the higher tariffs he first announced, the major financial markets recovered the ground they lost and were especially reassured once the White House opened talks with China, the nation's second-largest trading partner. The bond markets have also settled down. The big question fueling uncertainty is what happens with tariff policies going forward. Trump imposed a round of 'reciprocal' tariffs on dozens of countries earlier this year. Those are paused while talks are ongoing. But Trump and trade officials have warned they could resume on or after July 9 if U.S. leaders feel countries are not negotiating in good faith. On Thursday, Trump warned that some of those tariff hikes could be coming. 'If he were to reinstate the Liberation Day tariffs, we would have a recession in the second half almost for sure,' Holtz-Eakin said. The tariff rates imposed this year are already showing up in economic data. GDP, the sum of goods and services in the economy, fell at an annualized rate of 0.5 percent in the first quarter of the year, in part because imports increased significantly as companies front-loaded their inventories in anticipation of tariffs. That was slightly offset by an increase in investment. Cracks have also appeared in other parts of the economy as consumers are feeling wary, which can dictate how much people spend, which fuels close to 70 percent of the economy. A closely watched metric of economic outlook shows that Americans' feelings about the economy have been falling for much of this year, dropping for four months before flattening in May. Consumer sentiment edged up in June, as tariffs remained paused and markets rallied, but the benchmark remains lower than it was in all of 2024. That sentiment is starting to show up in how people open their wallets. Consumer spending dropped in May, after growing at a slower rate in April, as people pulled back spending on cars and eating in restaurants. Also, international tourism to the United States has fallen significantly, with Trump's aggressive rhetoric and policies turning travelers away, particularly from neighboring Canada, which is starting to affect leisure and hospitality sectors that depend on international tourists. Separately, economists are worried that Trump's massive deportation effort could start driving worker shortages, which can fuel inflation, as employers are forced to pay higher wages to attract workers. During his campaign, Trump had accused undocumented immigrants of taking American jobs, adding at one rally, 'we are going to save you.' Economists at Washington think tanks expect Trump's immigration policies to drive immigration close to zero in 2025. Already, the immigration slowdown is shrinking the labor supply and could push up inflation by the end of the year in industries such as agriculture, construction and hospitality, Federal Reserve governor Adriana Kugler said in a speech last month. The Trump administration expects the tax and spending bill that Congress passed Thursday to give the economy a boost. The package will extend significant tax cuts enacted during Trump's first term. It would also make permanent some corporate tax cuts and sweeten tax breaks on some corporate investments – moves that companies have said will make it more enticing to pour their investment funds into U.S. markets. But it would also add trillions of dollars to federal deficits and cut health care benefits for millions of poorer Americans. White House leaders say they are confident about the legislation's approach: 'Critics should get ready for another historic economy in President Trump's second term,' Desai said. Economists are still waiting for the full effects of Trump's tariff, immigration and other policies to show up in economic data, and say that much hinges on what happens with tariff rates in coming months. 'Nothing has been a catastrophe so far, but there's clear signs of slowing in the economy,' said Michael Pearce, deputy chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics.


Yomiuri Shimbun
an hour ago
- Yomiuri Shimbun
Mexico Braced for Trump's Mass Deportations. They Haven't Happened.
TIJUANA, Mexico – When President Donald Trump pledged to launch the 'largest deportation operation in American history,' this border city swung into action. The local government declared a state of emergency. Federal authorities built a shelter for up to 2,600 deportees, complete with beds, showers and white-coated chefs. It was, one local official said, the 'zombie apocalypse scenario.' But five months after Trump took office, the shelter is nearly empty. So few deportees have arrived – an average of 38 a day – that one of the two floors has been mothballed. The situation is similar in other Mexican border communities. While the Trump administration's aggressive immigration arrests have sparked protests in Los Angeles and other U.S. cities, some of the migrants' home countries have been surprised how few have been sent back. 'The reality is, up until now, there haven't been mass deportations,' said Mónica Vega, the Baja California state official in charge of the Tijuana reception center. The empty shelters represent a little-noticed irony in Trump's campaign against illegal immigration. He has largely shut down the northbound flow of migrants through Mexico by ending U.S. asylum programs that had attracted hundreds of thousands of foreigners. As a further deterrent, he has sharply boosted troop levels along the border. But those moves have dried up the pool of recently arrived, easy-to-deport migrants. For Trump to meet his goal of deporting 1 million migrants in his first year, he is turning to the more complex search for people who have lived in the United States without permission for years. It's hard to get precise information on how many people have been removed so far by the Trump administration. The Department of Homeland Security's statistics office has stopped publishing monthly data on immigration enforcement. DHS did not respond to a question on why it's no longer available. Spokeswoman Tricia McLaughlin told The Washington Post that more than 239,000 migrants had been deported since Trump took office. She did not respond to a query on whether that included people detained by both the Border Patrol and Immigration and Customs Enforcement, or ICE. If it does – as analysts said was likely – it would be significantly fewer than the 341,060 repatriated from February through June last year under President Joe Biden. McLaughlin noted the administration has intensified its raids in American communities. 'ICE made more at-large arrests in the first few weeks of President Trump's presidency than the entire last year under the previous administration,' she said. More than 56,300 migrants are in custody, the most in years, according to the Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse at Syracuse University. Deportations appear to be rising. But many of those immigrants are entitled to court hearings before being removed from the country, which could delay their departure. In addition to the logistical challenges of deporting them, the administration is facing a backlash from communities and industries in which migrants live and work. 'Trump has already achieved his objective of closing the border,' said Tonatiuh Guillén, a former director of Mexico's immigration agency. Conducting large-scale deportations from the U.S. interior, however, is a different story. 'The resistance of communities, the opposition to government policies and the resistance of all kinds of associations – churches, lawyers' offices – will act as a brake.' Mexico prepared for hundreds of thousands of deportees In the weeks before Trump took office, President Claudia Sheinbaum's government worked feverishly to build 10 shelters along the border, with a total capacity of 25,000 deportees. The logic was clear. At 5.5 million, Mexicans make up the largest share of migrants living without authorization in the U.S., according to the nonpartisan Migration Policy Institute. 'We really thought we would be inundated,' said the Rev. Patrick Murphy, a Catholic priest who runs the Casa del Migrante, a nongovernmental shelter here. In Tijuana, the federal government needed a big site, fast. It rented Flamingos, a party venue overlooking a busy highway, normally used for wedding and quinceañera celebrations. In other border cities, the military erected giant white tents to serve as shelters. Trump launched his deportation campaign with a stunning series of actions. He ordered the construction of a 30,000-bed detention center at the Guantánamo Bay Naval Base in Cuba. He sent more than 200 Venezuelans to a harsh anti-terrorism prison in El Salvador. By late April, the administration claimed 'Skyrocketing Arrests and Deportations.' But illegal border crossings quickly plunged, reducing the number of people who could be returned relatively quickly and easily. In the first five months of 2025, Border Patrol agents apprehended just 32,776 Mexicans at the border – an 86 percent drop from the same period a year earlier. 'Border encounters are down to the lowest in American history,' said McLaughlin, the DHS spokeswoman. She acknowledged: 'Such miniscule encounters mean low number of returns.' In Latin America, some countries were startled to realize they were receiving fewer deportees from the United States, not more. The number arriving in Mexico, Guatemala and Colombia in the first five months of this year dropped more than 30 percent from the same period in 2024, according to data from their migration agencies. Historically, those nations' information hasn't necessarily been comparable with U.S. data. DHS figures include a broader range of deportees than some countries do – for example, foreigners returned without an immigration hearing. Still, in some major migrant-sending countries, the trend of declining numbers of deportees was clear. That wasn't true everywhere: Venezuela, whose authoritarian government had accepted very few U.S. deportation flights, reversed course under pressure from Trump. It's now receiving around two flights per week, according to Tom Cartwright, who tracks deportations by ICE for the immigrant advocacy group Witness at the Border. In Tijuana, Trump's border policies have transformed the landscape. In recent years, shelters run by charities were packed, sometimes leaving migrants to sleep on the ground outside. Now, many of the facilities are nearly vacant. 'There's no legal way to ask for asylum,' Murphy said. 'When people understand that, they don't come.' In a further shift, the U.S. government is increasing the percentage of Mexicans it deports directly to the south of the country, by plane. Toward the end of his administration, Biden intensified deportations. But he spared most undocumented immigrants from the interior of the country and said Congress should allow many to become citizens. The Trump administration is now focusing on removing such residents. 'We are putting the American people first by removing illegal aliens who pose a threat to our communities,' McLaughlin said. Andrew Selee, director of the Migration Policy Institute, cautioned that deporting such people is 'a complicated process.' 'The big numbers have always been people captured at the border,' he said. Deportations are now starting to accelerate Danilo Rivera, head of Guatemala's migration agency, says the number of deportees is picking up. More than 3,600 landed in May, a 44 percent increase from a month earlier. Guatemala's government agreed in a meeting with Secretary of State Marco Rubio to receive more planes carrying deportees, Rivera noted. 'Instead of five or six per week, we now have 14,' he said in an interview. U.S. deportation flights around the globe rose from 125 in April to 190 in May, the highest monthly total since September 2021, Cartwright said. Trump's giant tax and immigration bill will likely mean a far bigger jump in removals. Until now, the deportation operation has been constrained by the number of immigration agents, detention facilities and planes available. The legislation signed by Trump on Friday would fund thousands of additional immigration law enforcement agents and could more than double the number of detention beds to 100,000. 'I wouldn't encourage at all the Sheinbaum government to take down those tents' on the border, said Adam Isacson of the Washington Office on Latin America, an advocacy group. 'They're going to need them before the year is out.' Even with more resources, however, U.S. agents will likely run into obstacles detaining immigrants who have become a structural part of the workforce for farms, restaurants and hotels. Those industries have lobbied aggressively for an exemption from the raids. They won a reprieve from Trump last month, but it was quickly reversed. The men arriving in recent days at the government shelter in Tijuana exemplified the complexity of such deportations. One, Carlos Tafolla, 31, who picked grapes in California's Sonoma County, said he worked in the United States for 13 years and had three children who lived there with their mother, an American citizen. Another man, who identified himself only as José, a 45-year-old construction worker, said he had three children under the age of 12 in San Diego. He'd been away from Mexico for 20 years. Asked what he intended to do next, he looked out at the busy highway, still stunned. 'I don't know,' he said. 'I have no plans.'