
Wall Street futures steady ahead of Fed's interest rate verdict
June 18 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Wednesday ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision, while the Israel-Iran conflict entered its sixth day, with new missile strikes launched from both sides.
A Federal Reserve monetary policy decision is due at 02:00 p.m. ET where policymakers are widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged at the 4.25%-4.5% range.
Investors will focus on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments to gauge how he plans to combat the risk of rising prices, which remain a dominant concern for the central bank. The central bank is expected to balance the risk of slowing growth and higher inflation.
"A lot has happened since their last meeting in early May ... given that uncertainty and the potential for fresh inflationary spikes, they're widely expected to keep rates on hold again," Jim Reid, global head of macro and thematic research at Deutsche Bank, said in a note.
Money market moves show traders are pricing in about 46 basis points of rate cuts by the end of 2025, with a 56% chance of a 25-bps rate cut in September, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool.
With conflict escalating in the oil-rich Middle East, markets have been on edge over the possibility of a more direct U.S. military involvement in the Israel-Iran aerial war.
A source familiar with internal discussions said U.S. President Donald Trump and his team were considering a number of options, which included joining Israel in strikes against Iranian nuclear sites.
At 05:37 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 89 points, or 0.21%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 16.5 points, or 0.28%. Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 75.5 points, or 0.35%.
Initial jobless claims data is scheduled at 08:30 a.m. ET.
Among premarket movers, shares of Tesla (TSLA.O), opens new tab rose nearly 1%.
Shares of stablecoin issuer Circle Internet (CRCL.N), opens new tab rose 3.1% after the U.S. Senate passed a bill to create a regulatory framework for dollar-pegged cryptocurrency tokens known as stablecoins.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Reuters
an hour ago
- Reuters
US single-family housing starts rise in May; permits slump
WASHINGTON, June 18 (Reuters) - U.S. single-family homebuilding increased in May, but a sharp drop in permits for future construction pointed to subdued housing market conditions amid headwinds from tariffs and excess inventory of unsold homes. Single-family housing starts, which account for the bulk of homebuilding, rose 0.4% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 924,000 units last month, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Wednesday. President Donald Trump's import duties, including on lumber, aluminum and steel are raising construction costs for builders. The tariffs have heightened uncertainty over the economy, which the Federal Reserve has responded to by pausing its interest rate cutting cycle. The U.S. central bank is later on Wednesday expected to leave its benchmark overnight interest rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range, where it has been since December. Higher borrowing costs have sidelined potential buyers, boosting the supply of new single-family homes on the market to levels last seen in late 2007. A National Association of Home Builders survey on Tuesday showed sentiment among single-family homebuilders plummeted to a 2-1/2-year low in June. The NAHB reported an increase in the share of builders cutting prices to lure buyers, and forecast a decline in single-family starts this year. Permits for future construction of single-family housing dropped 2.7% to a rate of 898,000 units in May. Residential investment, which includes homebuilding, contracted slightly in the first quarter after rebounding in 2024 following steep declines in the prior two years caused by a surge in mortgage rates. "We appear on course for a substantial decline in real activity in the current quarter and perhaps further weakness in the summer," said Stephen Stanley, chief U.S. economist at Santander U.S. Capital Markets.


The Independent
an hour ago
- The Independent
US unemployment claims dipped to 245,000 last week, hovering at historically low levels
The number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits dipped to 245,000 last week, hovering at historically low levels, the Labor Department said Wednesday. U.S. jobless claims ticked down from 250,000 the week before Economists had forecast 250,000. The four-week average of claims, which smooths out week-to-week volatility, rose to 245,500, the highest since August 2023. The number of Americans collecting unemployment benefits the week of June 7 slid to 1.95 million. Weekly unemployment claim are a proxy for layoffs and mostly have stayed within a healthy band of 200,000 to 250,000 since the economy recovered from a brief but painful COVID-19 recession in 2020, which temporarily wiped out millions of jobs. In recent weeks, however, claims have stayed at the high end of range, adding to evidence that U.S. job market is decelerating after years of strong hiring. So far this year, employers are adding a decent but far from spectacular 124,000 jobs a month, down from an average 168,000 last year and an average of nearly 400,000 from 2021 through 2023. The slowdown is partly the drawn-out result of 11 interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve in 2022 and 2023. But Trump's aggressive and often-erratic trade policies — including 10% taxes on imports from almost every country on earth — are also weighing on the economy, paralyzing businesses and worrying consumers who fear they'll mean higher prices. The Fed, satisfied that an inflation was coming down, cut rates three times last year. But the central bank has turned cautious in 2025, worried that Trump's tariffs will rekindle inflationary pressures. The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged as it wraps up a two-day meeting Wednesday.


Reuters
an hour ago
- Reuters
US weekly jobless claims fall, but still elevated
WASHINGTON, June 18 (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits fell last week, but stayed at levels consistent with a further loss of labor market momentum in June. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits dropped 5,000 to a seasonally adjusted 245,000 for the week ended June 14, the Labor Department said on Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 245,000 claims for the latest week. The report was released a day early because of the Juneteenth National Independence Day holiday on Thursday. Claims are in the upper end of their range for this year and could remain there, with non-teaching staff in some states eligible to file for unemployment benefits during the summer school holidays. Though some technical factors accounted for the elevation in claims, there has been a rise in layoffs, with economists saying President Donald Trump's broad tariffs had created a challenging economic environment for businesses. The claims data covered the period during which the government surveyed businesses for the nonfarm payrolls component of June's employment report. Federal Reserve officials wrapping up their two-day policy meeting on Wednesday are expected to leave the U.S. central bank's its benchmark overnight interest rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range, where it has been since December, while monitoring the economic fallout from the import duties and the conflict between Israel and Iran. The still historically low layoffs have accounted for much of the labor market stability, with the hiring side of the equation soft amid hesitancy by employers to increase headcount because of the unsettled economic environment. Nonfarm payrolls increased by 139,000 jobs in May, down from 193,000 a year ago. Data next week on the number of people receiving benefits after an initial week of aid, a proxy for hiring, could shed more light on the state of the labor market in June. The so-called continuing claims dropped 6,000 to a seasonally adjusted 1.945 million during the week ending June 7. Recently laid off workers are struggling to find work.