
Apple earnings under pressure from tariffs, slow AI roll-out
Wall Street expects the company to post a 4.2 per cent rise in revenue for the April-June quarter to US$89.34 billion. Still, the focus will be on how Apple plans to adjust to a landscape that has turned its global supply chain, long a strength, into a potential liability.
U.S. President Donald Trump has targeted the consumer electronics giant for its reliance on overseas manufacturing, threatening 25 per cent tariffs on foreign-made iPhones. To limit the damage, Apple shifted production of U.S.-bound iPhones to India, further drawing Trump's ire.
Trump on Wednesday imposed a 25 per cent tariff on goods imported from India starting August 1, in what could be a setback for Apple.
The total volume of Indian-made smartphones had jumped 240 per cent in the second quarter, largely driven by Apple's supply chain shift, according to research firm Canalys.
Analysts and investors are now expecting the strategy to help Apple limit the hit from tariffs to well below US$900 million it had estimated in May.
IPhones are 'a very high-profile product that both the Chinese and the U.S. governments understand they have a lever over,' D.A. Davidson analyst Gil Luria said. 'So until the tariff rates get settled, Apple is very much at risk of being impacted by the current trade dispute.'
Analysts also said Apple, like many other firms, potentially overestimated tariff costs to leave room for an earnings beat.
'Most companies we follow have made conservative assumptions by overestimating tariff costs as the goal of management is generally to beat its own guidance,' said Jamie Meyers, senior analyst at Apple shareholder Laffer Tengler Investments.
Sales of iPhones are expected to have risen 2.2 per cent in Apple's fiscal third quarter, according to data compiled by LSEG, helped by an improvement in demand in China, Apple's third-largest market. In the fiscal second quarter, this increased 1.9 per cent.
Counterpoint Research data shows iPhone sales in the world's largest smartphone market jumped eight per cent in the quarter, fueled by steep discounts during the 618 shopping festival, government-backed trade-in subsidies and targeted iPhone 16 Pro promotions.
Sales of Apple's other devices are expected to have slowed in the April-June period, while revenue from services - its fastest-growing segment in recent years - is likely to rise to 10.7 per cent. In the January-March period, services revenue grew 11.6 per cent.
Doubts still remain over Apple's prospects in China, where domestic companies including Honor are rolling out smartphones packed with AI features such as generative AI photo editors.
Apple's cautious approach to AI has fueled concerns it is sitting out what could be the industry's biggest growth wave in decades. The company was slow to roll out its Apple Intelligence suite, including a ChatGPT integration, while a long-awaited AI upgrade to Siri has been delayed until next year.
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Reporting by Akash Sriram and Zaheer Kachwala in Bengaluru; Editing by Aditya Soni, Sayantani Ghosh and Anil D'Silva
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Toronto Sun
an hour ago
- Toronto Sun
From Laos to Brazil, Trump's tariffs leave a lot of losers. But even the winners will pay a price
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Enjoy insights and behind-the-scenes analysis from our award-winning journalists. Support local journalists and the next generation of journalists. Daily puzzles including the New York Times Crossword. SUBSCRIBE TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada. Unlimited online access to articles from across Canada with one account. Get exclusive access to the Toronto Sun ePaper, an electronic replica of the print edition that you can share, download and comment on. Enjoy insights and behind-the-scenes analysis from our award-winning journalists. Support local journalists and the next generation of journalists. Daily puzzles including the New York Times Crossword. REGISTER / SIGN IN TO UNLOCK MORE ARTICLES Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience. Access articles from across Canada with one account. Share your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments. Enjoy additional articles per month. Get email updates from your favourite authors. THIS ARTICLE IS FREE TO READ REGISTER TO UNLOCK. Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience. Access articles from across Canada with one account Share your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments Enjoy additional articles per month Get email updates from your favourite authors Don't have an account? Create Account The closest thing to winners may be the countries that caved to Trump's demands — and avoided even more pain. But it's unclear whether anyone will be able to claim victory in the long run — even the United States, the intended beneficiary of Trump's protectionist policies. 'In many respects, everybody's a loser here,' said Barry Appleton, co-director of the Center for International Law at the New York Law School. Barely six months after he returned to the White House, Trump has demolished the old global economic order. Gone is one built on agreed-upon rules. In its place is a system in which Trump himself sets the rules, using America's enormous economic power to punish countries that won't agree to one-sided trade deals and extracting huge concessions from the ones that do. This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. 'The biggest winner is Trump,' said Alan Wolff, a former U.S. trade official and deputy director-general at the World Trade Organization. 'He bet that he could get other countries to the table on the basis of threats, and he succeeded — dramatically.' Everything goes back to what Trump calls 'Liberation Day' — April 2 — when the president announced 'reciprocal' taxes of up to 50% on imports from countries with which the United States ran trade deficits and 10% 'baseline' taxes on almost everyone else. He invoked a 1977 law to declare the trade deficit a national emergency that justified his sweeping import taxes. 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The U.S. demanded concessions even though it had run a trade surplus, not a deficit, with the U.K. for 19 straight years. This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. The European Union and Japan accepted U.S. tariffs of 15%. Those are much higher than the low single-digit rates they paid last year — but lower than the tariffs he was threatening (30% on the EU and 25% on Japan). Also cutting deals with Trump and agreeing to hefty tariffs were Pakistan, South Korea, Vietnam, Indonesia and the Philippines. Even countries that saw their tariffs lowered from April without reaching a deal are still paying much higher tariffs than before Trump took office. Angola's tariff, for instance, dropped to 15% from 32% in April, but in 2022 it was less than 1.5%. And while Trump administration cut Taiwan's tariff to 20% from 32% in April, the pain will still be felt. '20% from the beginning has not been our goal, we hope that in further negotiations we will get a more beneficial and more reasonable tax rate,' Taiwan's president Lai Ching-te told reporters in Taipei Friday. This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. Trump also agreed to reduce the tariff on the tiny southern African kingdom of Lesotho to 15% from the 50% he'd announced in April, but the damage may already have been done there. Bashing Brazil, clobbering Canada, shellacking the Swiss Countries that didn't knuckle under — and those that found other ways to incur Trump's wrath — got hit harder. Even some poorer countries were not spared. Laos' annual economic output comes to $2,100 per person and Algeria's $5,600 _ versus America's $75,000. Nonetheless, Laos got rocked with a 40% tariff and Algeria with a 30% levy. 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Five American businesses and 12 states are suing the president, arguing that his Liberation Day tariffs exceeded his authority under the 1977 law. This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. In May, the U.S. Court of International Trade, a specialized court in New York, agreed and blocked the tariffs, although the government was allowed to continue collecting them while its appeal wend its way through the legal system, and may likely end up at the U.S. Supreme Court. In a hearing Thursday, the judges on the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit sounded skeptical about Trump's justifications for the tariffs. 'If (the tariffs) get struck down, then maybe Brazil's a winner and not a loser,' Appleton said. Paying more for knapsacks and video games Trump portrays his tariffs as a tax on foreign countries. But they are actually paid by import companies in the U.S. who try to pass along the cost to their customers via higher prices. True, tariffs can hurt other countries by forcing their exporters to cut prices and sacrifice profits — or risk losing market share in the United States. This advertisement has not loaded yet, but your article continues below. But economists at Goldman Sachs estimate that overseas exporters have absorbed just one-fifth of the rising costs from tariffs, while Americans and U.S. businesses have picked up the most of the tab. Walmart, Procter & Gamble, Ford, Best Buy, Adidas, Nike, Mattel and Stanley Black & Decker, have all hiked prices due to U.S. tariffs 'This is a consumption tax, so it disproportionately affects those who have lower incomes,' Appleton said. 'Sneakers, knapsacks … your appliances are going to go up. Your TV and electronics are going to go up. Your video game devices, consoles are going to up because none of those are made in America.' Trump's trade war has pushed the average U.S. tariff from 2.5% at the start of 2025 to 18.3% now, the highest since 1934, according to the Budget Lab at Yale University. And that will impose a $2,400 cost on the average household, the lab estimates. 'The U.S. consumer's a big loser,″ Wolff said. — AP Economics Writer Christopher Rugaber contributed to this story. Read More Toronto Blue Jays Homes Columnists Toronto & GTA Columnists


CBC
an hour ago
- CBC
Lawyer breaks down legal fight over Trump's tariffs
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Globe and Mail
2 hours ago
- Globe and Mail
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Safe Harbor for Forward-Looking Statements During the course of the presentation, Electronic Arts may disclose material developments affecting its business, and make forward-looking statements regarding future events or the future financial performance of the company that are subject to change. Statements including words such as 'anticipate,' 'believe,' 'expect,' 'intend,' 'estimate,' 'plan,' 'predict,' 'seek,' 'goal,' 'will,' 'may,' 'likely,' 'should,' 'could' (and the negative of any of these terms), 'future' and similar expressions also identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and reflect management's current expectations. Our actual results could differ materially from those discussed in the forward-looking statements. 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