
London stocks close lower amid US tariffs uncertainty
US treasury secretary Scott Bessent on Sunday confirmed comments by US president Donald Trump that he would 'probably start [tariffs] on August 1'.
US commerce secretary Howard Lutnick has also confirmed this new deadline.
The rates will 'boomerang back' to the sometimes very high levels that President Trump had announced on April 2 – before he suspended the levies to allow for trade talks and set a July 9 deadline for agreements, Mr Bessent told CNN.
Also on Sunday, Mr Trump told reporters he had signed about a dozen letters to inform countries of rate hikes, to be sent out on Monday.
The FTSE 100 index closed down 16.38 points, 0.2%, at 8,806.53. The FTSE 250 ended down 18.86 points, 0.1%, at 21,538.48, and the AIM All-Share closed down 1.53 points, 0.2%, at 771.96.
On the FTSE 100, Glencore closed down 1.3%.
The Baar, Switzerland-based commodity trading and mining company started a buyback programme worth up to one billion dollars, returning funds from an investment return and looking to reduce capital in anticipation of future taxes. The plan was first announced on Wednesday.
On the FTSE 250, Hollywood Bowl closed up 3.0%.
The Hemel Hempstead-based ten-pin bowling operator started a £5 million share buyback, running from Monday to September 30. Hollywood Bowl noted its 'highly cash generative business model and strong balance sheet'.
Primary Health Properties gained 0.3%.
The London-based healthcare facility investor reported rental growth amid a 'strong' operational performance, with net rental income rising 3.1% on-year to £78.6 million for the six months that ended June 30. Primary Health distributed a total of 3.55p per share in the first half of 2025, up 2.9%.
PHP also gave an update regarding its proposed acquisition of peer Assura. Since Assura recommended PHP's takeover offer two weeks ago, PHP said it has been discussing forming a joint venture, which is expected to include the private hospital portfolio.
In European equities on Monday, the Cac 40 in Paris closed up 0.3%, while the Dax 40 in Frankfurt ended up 1.1%.
The pound was quoted at 1.36 dollars at the time of the London equities close on Monday, flat compared to Friday. The euro stood at 1.17 dollars, slightly lower than Friday.
Stocks in New York were lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.7%, the S&P 500 index down 0.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.7%.
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was quoted at 4.39%, widening from 4.33%. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was quoted at 4.92%, widening from 4.85%.
Brent oil was quoted higher at 68.84 dollars a barrel at the time of the London equities close on Monday.
The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were 3i, up 134.00p at 4,176.00p, Babcock, up 28.00p at 1,101.00p, International Consolidated Airlines, up 8.20p at 354.80p, easyJet, up 8.80p at 531.60p, and Standard Chartered, up 20.04p at 1,227.04p.
The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Shell, down 75.00p at 2,553.00p, JD Sports, down 2.16p at 87.88p, BP, down 7.50p at 371.75p, Haleon, down 6.60p at 371.30p, and Howden Joinery, down 14.22p at 817.28p.
On Tuesday's economic calendar, the US has consumer inflation expectations, and Australia has an interest rate decision.
On Tuesday's UK corporate calendar, there are full-year results from Celebrus Technologies, Optima Health and Solid State.
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The Guardian
25 minutes ago
- The Guardian
Tread carefully with reform of bank ringfencing, chancellor
Rachel Reeves called it 'the biggest set of reforms to financial regulation in a decade', and, in one narrow sense, her Leeds Reforms would qualify for the description. If the ringfencing regime for banks were to be scrapped, we really would be entering a new era – or going back to an old one, since the separation of banks' retail and investment banking activities was the single biggest regulatory change introduced after the 2008-09 crash to try to prevent another blow-up. Reeves on Tuesday, however, merely announced a review to look at how reforms to ringfencing could 'strike the right balance between growth and stability, including protecting consumer deposits'. One hopes that does not mean outright abolition, which is what banks such as HSBC, Lloyds and NatWest have been urging on the grounds that the rules trap capital and impede growth. The stout defence of ringfencing from Andrew Bailey, governor of the Bank of England, has always felt more compelling: the regime has made banks safer and removal would increase the cost of loans and mortgages. It would surely be hard for a chancellor to override the Bank on this core question, especially when Barclays – which, in theory, might have most to gain from abolition as it has the largest investment bank – is also in the defence camp. A fudged outcome would see more activities allowed within the ringfenced entity. It is technical stuff, but also deeply important. Get it wrong and the cautious voices sounding the alarm over a government in search of a sugar-rush of growth via financial deregulation would have a point. Tread carefully, chancellor: ditching ringfencing in its entirety risks unlearning the lessons of the last crisis. In other respects, however, Reeves's red tape-slashing, investment-boosting, obstacle-removing reforms can be criticised in the other direction: yes, some changes are sensible tidying-up exercises but others are underwhelming. Take the showbiz headliner: the advertising campaign to encourage over-cautious savers to push a few quid into the stock market. The goal is admirable in itself for the reasons the Treasury gives: savers are doing themselves long-term financial harm if they do not understand that shares beat cash over most long-term periods. • Looser mortgage rules, which allow lenders to provide bigger mortgages worth more than 4.5 times borrowers' annual income. The move could help another 36,000 first-time buyers per year, according to the Bank of England • A permanent government-backed mortgage guarantee scheme, in which taxpayers will pick up the bill when a borrower defaults, in an effort to encourage participating banks to offer more 91-95% mortgages • A government-backed but industry-funded advertising campaign to encourage consumers to invest their cash savings in shares • Plans to allow banks to send information about 'investment opportunities' to savers that have cash sitting in low interest rate accounts, encouraging them to shift money to stocks and shares • A fresh review of ringfencing rules which were introduced after the 2008 financial crisis in order to protect consumer cash from a bank's riskier activities • A review of warnings attached to investment products to ensure that people are 'accurately' judging risk levels • Plans to 'radically streamline' accountability rules for senior bankers and finance bosses • Reining in the powers of the Financial Ombudsman Service, which settles complaints between consumers and businesses • Cutting the rate of interest – and therefore total compensation – paid out to consumers wronged by City firms and imposing a 10-year limit for claims • A new 'concierge service' to court international investors and create a one-stop-shop to promote the UK and provide tailored support to help businesses plan where to invest. But it's not as if the Treasury itself is doing much more than cheering from the wings. The ad campaign will be funded by the industry, which presumably could have launched the thing itself without government endorsement. At the very least, Reeves could have given the volunteers a hand by abolishing stamp duty on shares for purchases within ISAs. Even that gentle step was conspicuous by its absence. Tweaking risk-warning messaging may help at the margins. So will better access for retail investors to corporate debt and corporate fund-raising, as announced by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). But if Reeves is truly alarmed (as she should be) by the statistic that the UK has the lowest level of retail investment in the G7 group of rich economies, bolder measures are needed. It could take a generation to change saving habits to encourage 'informed risk-taking' but the crisis in the London stock market is happening now. Stamp duty remains the drag in the background, and is the real test of the Treasury's seriousness. Elsewhere, several reforms look justified: help for 'challenger' banks on capital rules; some loosening of rules to help first-time buyers; a trimming of the size of the authorisation regime for bank senior managers in the interest of efficiency; changes to allow the London Stock Exchange to quote dollar- and euro-denominated shares. Sign up to Business Today Get set for the working day – we'll point you to all the business news and analysis you need every morning after newsletter promotion A third pot of policies are straightforward lobbying victories for the City. That lot includes the neutering of the financial ombudsman service, but the banks may have had a point about the body acting as a 'quasi regulator' within the FCA. The timing of the reform looks terrible while the unresolved car finance affair rumbles on, but the regulatory setup did look basically confused. The onus now falls on the FCA to act sooner to spot looming scandals, which is not a wholly reassuring thought. But let's not overstate the significance of the Mansion House speech. Yes, the financial services industry deserves its place as one of the eight growth-driving sectors within the government's overall industry strategy; it's too big to ignore. But, despite some of the rhetoric, it's not as if the City is currently being strangled by regulation in the way that purer industrial sectors are being hampered by high energy costs. So don't go overboard on ringfencing reform: it is the bit that matters the most.


Reuters
28 minutes ago
- Reuters
Analysts react to increase of US consumer prices in June
WASHINGTON, July 15 (Reuters) - U.S. consumer prices picked up in June, likely marking the start of a long-anticipated tariff-induced increase in inflation that has kept the Federal Reserve cautious about resuming its interest rate cuts. The Consumer Price Index increased 0.3% last month after edging up 0.1% in May, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said on Tuesday. That was the largest gain since January. In the 12 months through June, the CPI advanced 2.7% after rising 2.4% in May. Economists polled Reuters had forecast the CPI would climb 0.3% and increase 2.6% on a year-over-year basis. MARKET REACTION: STOCKS: U.S. stock futures extended gains following the CPI data. BONDS: U.S. Treasury yields pared declines, 10-year yield flat. FOREX: U.S. dollar gains on the yen COMMENTS: 'This is a great number for the bond market. Bonds hate inflation; they love low inflation numbers. I've said since the beginning of the tariff turmoil that tariffs are not inflationary. Technically, tariffs are a tax, and no tax is ever inflationary. All taxes are deflationary. They take away spending power. But in this case, I don't think the Fed have seen the full impact of tariffs yet...I think we still we still need to wait and see on the Fed. It does increase the chance that the Fed cuts in September. But I think we need to realize that unemployment is still low, and the economy is still growing. So, you still have to ask yourself: why would the Fed cut? Would this be a preemptive cut to get ahead of a possible uptick in unemployment? I'm still not including a Fed cut in my outlook.' GINA BOLVIN, PRESIDENT, BOLVIN WEALTH MANAGEMENT GROUP, BOSTON: "Inflation's not going quietly. June's 2.7% CPI reading tells us the road back to 2% won't be smooth and gives the Fed reason to pause before cutting rates. Markets expecting an aggressive pivot may be disappointed. For investors, patience pays—stick to diversification, favor quality, and use short-term fixed income to your advantage." BRIAN JACOBSEN, CHIEF ECONOMIST, ANNEX WEALTH MANAGEMENT, MENOMONEE FALLS, WISCONSIN: "Tariffs are in the data, but it's not as devastating as many feared. Appliances and household equipment and furnishings prices jumped nearly 2%, but those only make up around 1% of the consumer price index. Services make up the bulk of the consumption basket and there is scant sign of accelerating inflation there. Rent rose 0.2%, lodging away from home fell 2.9%. It's not that tariffs don't matter, it's just that they don't matter to inflation as much or as mechanically as many feared." 'It's basically good news because core, on a monthly basis, up 0.2% is in line. The yearly number is a little bit higher than expected. What we're seeing in the headline numbers is that some of the tariff inflation is probably creeping in.' 'So it's a little bit hotter than expected, but it's not all bad news. there is a slight bit evidence of tariff inflation kicking in.' 'This data bails out the Fed and it puts them on hold in July. They will have to look at the July and August numbers to make a decision in in September.' CHRIS ZACCARELLI, CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, NORTHLIGHT ASSET MANAGEMENT, CHARLOTTE: "Traders were keeping a close eye on this morning's CPI report and the Fed was probably looking even more closely at it as the internal debate continues into whether or not they should be cutting interest rates right now." "Fortunately, the report this morning was mostly in line with expectations and the core (ex-food and energy) numbers told a story of inflation that was in check (e.g. month-over-month lower than expected and year-over-year inline with +2.9% consensus)." "If it's true that inflation is staying in check, then the Fed can go ahead and cut interest rates – potentially as early as September – but if subsequent reports show a different story, then the Fed is going to have to stay on hold even longer."


Economist
31 minutes ago
- Economist
Cynical realism won't save India from Donald Trump
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