
China Calls Them Fish Farms. South Korea Fears They Have Another Use.
South Korea's National Assembly formally took issue with the Chinese structures on Monday when its ocean and fisheries committee condemned them as 'a threat to maritime safety,' in a resolution adopted with bipartisan support. Those fears were bolstered on Tuesday by a report from the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies.
'While available information suggests that the platforms are genuinely focused on aquaculture, concerns that the platforms may be dual-use are not unfounded, given China's track record in the South China Sea,' said the report, which used satellite imagery and other data to track the installations. Dual-use refers to a second potential use for military purposes.
'Even without further expansion, the platforms are likely already collecting data that could have value for undersea navigation and detection,' the report said.
South Koreans see striking parallels between the Chinese installations and what Beijing has done in the South China Sea. China initially built artificial islands there for civilian purposes, but they were gradually transformed into military outposts, leading to territorial disputes with countries including the Philippines and Vietnam.
The tensions creeping up around the Chinese platforms in the Yellow Sea — called the West Sea by Koreans — will likely become one of the first challenges faced by the government of President Lee Jae Myung, who took office this month. Mr. Lee has vowed to improve ties with Beijing while at the same time promising to strengthen his country's alliance with Washington. Mr. Lee hopes to meet China's top leader, Xi Jinping, during the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Gyeongju, South Korea, in November.
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CBS News
21 minutes ago
- CBS News
North Korea is removing speakers from their tense border, South Korea military says
Seoul, South Korea - South Korea's military said Saturday it detected North Korea removing some of its loudspeakers from the inter-Korean border, days after the South dismantled its own front-line speakers used for anti-North Korean propaganda broadcasts, in a bid to ease tensions. South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff didn't disclose the sites where the North Koreans were removing speakers and said it wasn't immediately clear whether the North would take all of them down. In recent months, South Korean border residents have complained that North Korean speakers blasted irritating sounds, including howling animals and pounding gongs, in a tit-for-tat response to South Korean propaganda broadcasts. The South Korean military said the North stopped its broadcasts in June after Seoul's new liberal president, Lee Jae Myung, halted the South's broadcasts in his government's first concrete step toward easing tensions between the war-divided rivals. South Korea's military began removing its speakers from border areas on Monday but didn't specify how they would be stored or whether they could be quickly redeployed if tensions flared again. North Korea, which is extremely sensitive to any outside criticism of its authoritarian leadership and its third-generation ruler, Kim Jong Un, didn't immediately confirm it was taking down its speakers. South Korea's previous conservative government resumed daily loudspeaker broadcasts in June last year, following a yearslong pause, in retaliation for North Korea flying trash-laden balloons toward the South. The speakers blasted propaganda messages and K-pop songs, a playlist designed to strike a nerve in Pyongyang, where Kim has been pushing an intense campaign to eliminate the influence of South Korean pop culture and language among the population in a bid to strengthen his family's dynastic rule. The Cold War-style psychological warfare campaigns further heightened tensions already inflamed by North Korea's advancing nuclear program and South Korean efforts to expand joint military exercises with the United States and their trilateral security cooperation with Japan. Lee, who took office in June after winning an early election to replace ousted conservative Yoon Suk Yeol, wants to improve relations with Pyongyang, which reacted furiously to Yoon's hard-line policies and shunned dialogue. But Kim Yo Jong, the influential sister of the North Korean leader, rebuffed overtures by Lee's government in late July, saying that Seoul's "blind trust" in the country's alliance with the United States makes it no different from its conservative predecessor. She later issued a separate statement dismissing the Trump administration's intent to resume diplomacy on North Korea's denuclearization, suggesting that Pyongyang - now focused on expanding ties with Russia over the war in Ukraine - sees little urgency in resuming talks with Seoul or Washington. Tensions between the Koreas can possibly rise again later this month, when South Korea and the United States proceed with their annual large-scale combined military exercises, which begin on Aug. 18. North Korea labels the allies' joint drills as invasion rehearsals and often uses them as a pretext to dial up military demonstrations and weapons tests aimed at advancing its nuclear program.
Yahoo
34 minutes ago
- Yahoo
‘Wolf Warrior:' the Chinese movies secretly steering foreign policy
For over a decade, China has become increasingly aggressive on the world stage. It has clashed with neighbors on fishing rights. Its military has attempted to build man-made islands and then turn them into 'unsinkable carriers.' It has used economic power to take control of key industries in both neighboring and far-flung countries. And, as they've done so, their film industry has released a series of movies, often to massive ticket sales and rave reviews, that sell the idea of an aggressive, world-leading China to the Chinese people. Now, the nickname for modern Chinese foreign policy comes from one of those blockbuster movie franchises, and scholars say that it and similar movies might be inextricably linked with aggressive foreign policy. It would be like if we renamed our own foreign policies 'Top Gun' diplomacy and all our diplomats slapped 'Maverick' stickers on their laptops. 'Wolf Warrior' Films The movie 'Wolf Warrior' came out in 2015. If you haven't seen it, it's available on Pluto TV with English subtitles covering most of the action (and thank god for the subtitles, because I understand Chinese like Omar speaks Italian). The action scenes are about as believable as a Jackie Chan movie, but a lot of the cinematography is legitimately awesome. Seriously, it opens with a massive fight at an old industrial complex where dozens of soldiers clash with criminals amidst explosion after explosion. But then the assault is terminated because no one brought weapons strong enough to penetrate the walls, since high-caliber weapons would be dangerous (more dangerous than multiple hand grenades?). The point is that it's fun to watch with your brain off. And it also hypes the idea of constant, militarized foreign interventions by China around the world – again, if your brain is off. The movie got rave reviews in China, which is odd. Chinese audiences, like their diplomats, have historically preferred classic Chinese tales or war movies in which China defended itself against foreign aggression, typically against Japan during World War II. Scroll the list of movies with the highest ticket sales in China, and you'll find most of them were made in the 1980s or earlier, and few of them are boisterous, Western-style action movies. But 'Wolf Warrior' was a massive commercial success. And its sequel, 'Wolf Warrior 2,' was the highest-grossing film in Chinese history from its debut in 2017 until 2021, and it still holds the all-time number three spot. The number two highest-grossing film is 'The Battle at Lake Changjin,' a 2021 fictionalized retelling of the Battle of the Chosin Reservoir, in which China counter-invaded the U.S. and re-established communist control over North Korea. Not exactly a classic or peaceful. Wolf Warrior Diplomacy As Chinese cinema has made the turn toward aggressive, Western-style interventionism, so has its diplomacy. The tie is so strong that some scholars of Chinese culture specifically point to China's foreign policy as the cause of a cultural shift in its people and cinema. Meanwhile, Chinese diplomacy experts have used the movie title 'Wolf Warrior' as a descriptor for the new diplomatic stance. Xiao Yang, a researcher in Australia, wrote in The China Quarterly an article that: '…argues that the Belt and Road Initiative, one of the state's prominent foreign policies and global strategies in this period, played a crucial role in shaping the production of the wolf warrior cycle films under a trend of the politicization of commercial blockbusters in the Chinese film industry. In turn, these films contributed to the formation of the 'wolf warrior diplomacy' image by reinforcing the proactiveness of China's diplomacy and nationalistic stereotypes in Chinese society towards international relations.' Yang is most focused on four movies, 'Wolf Warrior,' 'Operation Mekong,' 'Wolf Warrior 2,' and 'Operation Red Sea.' Each of them promotes the idea of Chinese interventionism, especially in the Middle East and Africa, where a major branch of China's Belt and Road Initiative passes. China's Belt and Road Yup, we should talk about how these movies interact with the Belt and Road Initiative. The Belt and Road is an absolutely massive infrastructure investment plan that started in 2013 and is expected to continue through 2049. It has seen China spend billions on trade networks connecting 140 countries and 75 percent of the world population. The initial phases have gone well for China. China structured much of the assistance as loan packages to other governments, and it has been able to recoup costs through either payments or by seizing major assets funded through the program. Through deals tied to Belt and Road funding, China now has liens or partial ownership of ports or port infrastructure in over 120 countries, including two entrances to the Panama Canal. Even where China receives no direct payment or control through the initiative, it still benefits them through trade and diplomacy. The roads, ports, railroads, and other infrastructure all tie back to China, increasing the country's importance as a trading partner for recipients. And it's hard for a country to go against China diplomatically when Chinese experts with Chinese funds are actively building infrastructure in their countries. Should you watch the 'Wolf Warrior' movies? The 'Wolf Warrior' movies are fun, if a little brain-dead. It's honestly like watching a 'Fast and Furious' movie if you had to read subtitles the whole time. But while the rise of the movies parallels changes in Chinese foreign policy, especially in how they call for rising Chinese clout in the Belt and Road Era, they don't, themselves, provide any special insight into how China will act going forward. It's not like Chinese diplomats watch the movies and take notes on how to spin-kick their Western counterparts in their next meeting. So they're fun movies, but you won't get any smarter from watching them. Watch them if you're curious, but, to stay informed, just assume that you'll keep seeing an aggressive China going forward. Maybe imagine some Chinese flags instead next time you watch 'Top Gun.' That's basically the experience of Chinese moviegoers right now. 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Washington Post
5 hours ago
- Washington Post
A growing disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street over tariffs
As Wall Street grows numb to the chaotic drumbeat of tariff news, distracted by the gold rush in artificial intelligence, stock indexes flirt with record highs. Markets are up dramatically since panicking in April, even as a watered-down version of the oft-postponed 'Liberation Day' finally arrived on Thursday, slapping new tariff rates on goods from more than 60 countries. But just because tariffs are not as bad as they could have been does not mean they won't hold back growth. The markets have not fully priced in the costs of the new world trade order that President Donald Trump has ushered in. And much remains uncertain, as Trump has extended temporary truces with Canada, Mexico and China while negotiations continue. Watching administration officials boast about raising taxes on Americans is surreal, but that's what they're doing. On Monday, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt celebrated the collection of $29 billion in tariff revenue during July. On Thursday, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said he expects the number to reach $50 billion a month. Those costs will inevitably be passed along through the supply chain to businesses and their consumers. Americans now face an average tax rate on imports of 18.6 percent, according to the Yale Budget Lab, the highest since 1933. Caterpillar illustrates the catawampus psychology of the market. The maker of heavy-duty equipment has long been a bellwether for the industrial economy. On paper, it's the kind of company Trump wants to help by bringing more manufacturing to America. But the firm warned on Monday that new tariffs will cost its bottom line between $1.3 billion to $1.5 billion this year, including as much as $500 million in the third quarter. Yet Caterpillar stock lost only 3 percent for the week, buoyed by hopes that spending on infrastructure and AI data centers will offset the tariff hit. Part of the disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street is the K-shaped nature of the economy. While the investor class is thriving at the top, the bottom keeps getting squeezed. Tariffs disproportionately hurt the poor. An Associated Press-NORC poll released Monday showed that 53 percent of Americans say the cost of groceries is a 'major source of stress' in their life, and about 3 in 10 U.S. adults are using 'buy now, pay later' services, another red flag. Trump's decision to fire the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics last week because he didn't like a bad jobs report is no sign of confidence in the economy's health. Yet the markets mostly yawned as fresh evidence of fragility flowed in: The Labor Department said Thursday that the number of Americans receiving unemployment benefits for at least a week rose to 1.97 million at the end of July, the highest level since during the pandemic in 2021. The economy grew in the first half of the year at an annual rate of 1.2 percent, compared to 2.4 percent in the second half of 2024. The trade deals Trump has announced are based on little more than handshakes. They often seem designed more for flashy headlines than fine print. No formal texts have been made public. Historically, trade agreements take teams of lawyers months or years to hash out. By comparison, these are slapdash. Even after announcing what Trump referred to as the largest deals ever, negotiators for the European Union, Japan and South Korea continued haggling with their U.S. counterparts for carveouts and exemptions. By not being set in stone, the talks remain uncomfortably open ended for importers and exporters trying to make budgets. One sweetener that has been getting Trump to yes are what the president calls 'signing bonuses,' which amount to promises of future investment in the United States. These are often wildly unrealistic sums that count previously announced spending. For example, Trump said the European Union promised $600 billion in new U.S. investments. The E.U. clarified that companies have merely 'expressed interest' in such spending. The Trump administration also announced that Europe promised to purchase $250 billion in American energy products each year for the rest of Trump's presidency, compared to the $70 billion it buys now. But the Europeans said this was not guaranteed. Experts called the target impossible. When both sides of a negotiation have such different understandings of what they agreed to, the deal is at risk of blowing up down the road. Former House speaker Paul D. Ryan (R) warns that Trump's unpredictable 'whims' will continue. He also thinks the Supreme Court may strike down the president's invocation of the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act to impose tariffs. 'The market thinks everything's going to be calm soon,' Ryan said Wednesday in Aspen, Colorado. 'Choppy waters are ahead.' Analysts say the stock market has been resilient partly because trade accounts for a quarter of U.S. economic activity, compared to more than two-thirds in Canada and Mexico. The biggest factor, though, is the AI boom. Exclude tech stocks, and the S&P 500 has been flat. There are other reasons to feel bearish. Securities filings show that Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway sold a net $3 billion of stocks last quarter. That was the 11th quarter in a row that the conglomerate was a net seller of equities. The retiring Oracle of Omaha has now stockpiled $344 billion in cash for his successor to buy up assets when, he assumes, they will become more affordable.