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AMD forecasts revenue above estimates, despite US curbs on China chip exports

AMD forecasts revenue above estimates, despite US curbs on China chip exports

Business Times06-05-2025

[BENGALURU/SAN FRANCISCO] Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) forecast second-quarter revenue above Wall Street estimates on Tuesday (May 6), in part because of the global thirst for its artificial intelligence (AI) chips even as trade tensions clouded its ability to sell into the Chinese market.
The optimistic forecast from AMD could help reinforce investor confidence in its ability to compete against Nvidia, after concerns around a trailing position in the lucrative AI market had sent its shares down more than 17 per cent this year.
Like AMD, Nvidia has also warned Wall Street that it will now need an export license to China for a chip tuned to comply with a raft of restrictions imposed by the US Nvidia faces a US$5.5 billion charge as a result, the company said in a securities filing.
In spite of mounting tensions in the US-China trade war, demand remains robust for AMD's advanced processors that power complex AI systems for Microsoft, Meta Platforms and other customers, with cloud giants reinforcing hefty spending plans for building AI infrastructure.
Shares of Santa Clara, California-based AMD were up 4.2 per cent in extended trading. Due to an US$800 million charge from new US curbs on chip exports to China, AMD forecast adjusted gross margin of 43 per cent, which represents an 11 percentage-point drop excluding the charge.
The company expects revenue of about US$7.4 billion for the second quarter, plus or minus US$300 million, compared with analysts' average estimate of US$7.25 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG.
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The better-than-expected forecast is a result of frenzied customer buying in order to stockpile inventory ahead of US tariffs, according to Summit Insights analyst Kinngai Chan.
In February, the company steered away from a longstanding practice of giving a specific sales forecast for its AI chips, but CEO Lisa Su had said AMD expects 'tens of billions' of dollars in sales 'in the next couple of years.'
AMD reported data centre sales jumped 57 per cent to US$3.7 billion, which topped estimates of US$3.62 billion. The company includes much of its AI hardware in its data centre segment.
Chip maker Marvell Technology and server maker Super Micro both disappointed investors on Tuesday afternoon. Marvell pushed back a planned Investor Day until calendar 2026, citing the uncertain economy, and Super Micro trimmed its 2025 revenue forecast, adding to concerns about its position in the AI market. Marvell shares dropped 6 per cent after hours and Super Micro fell 4 per cent.
According to Bob O'Donnell, chief analyst of Technalysis Research, AMD continues to gain share in AI data centre chips, which include its central processing units (CPUs), which do not receive as much attention as graphics processing units (GPUs) used for AI.
The company reported first-quarter net profit of 96 cents a share, adjusted for stock compensation among other things. Analysts had expected adjusted earnings of 94 cents a share.
Revenue jumped 36 per cent to US$7.44 billion, beating estimates of US$7.13 billion.
'We delivered an outstanding start to 2025 as year-over-year growth accelerated for the fourth consecutive quarter driven by strength in our core businesses and expanding data centre and AI momentum,' Su said. REUTERS

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Prudential, Sino Biopharm among top stock picks for Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia: UOBKH
Prudential, Sino Biopharm among top stock picks for Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia: UOBKH

Business Times

timean hour ago

  • Business Times

Prudential, Sino Biopharm among top stock picks for Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia: UOBKH

[SINGAPORE] Amid tariff risks, forex volatility and other uncertainties, investors might be looking for guidance on where to put their money. UOB Kay Hian (UOBKH) updated its alpha picks for June, focusing on domestic catalysts and high-growth opportunities across Hong Kong, Indonesia and Malaysia, based on its report on Jun 5. Here are its top picks in the three markets. Hong Kong Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rebounded 5.3 per cent month on month in May following the 90-day tariff war truce that China and the US reached, UOBKH noted. The agreement was to lower US tariffs on Chinese goods from 145 per cent to around 30 per cent, with reciprocal action by China on US goods. 'Nonetheless, geopolitical uncertainties and tariff war risks remain. Hence, we continue to favour domestic policy beneficiaries and defensive sectors that have been gaining traction in recent weeks,' it said. A NEWSLETTER FOR YOU Friday, 8.30 am Asean Business Business insights centering on South-east Asia's fast-growing economies. Sign Up Sign Up 'May's economic data showed weakness and we opine that the (Chinese) government would accelerate support policy implementation in the near term,' its analysts said. They have added Prudential and Sino Biopharm to its 'buy' list. Analyst Kenny Lim maintained a 'buy' call on Prudential with a higher target price of HK$128, given that its new business profit rose 12 per cent year on year in Q1 2025. He expects the positive momentum to continue into H2, mainly due to margin improvement from product repricing actions and an improving product mix. Analysts Carol Dou and Sunny Chen also maintained a 'buy' call on Sino Biopharm with a higher target price of HK$5.80. This is largely due to the company's strong clinical progress with its oncology pipeline and innovative drugs which drove its 2024 revenue to 28.9 billion yuan (S$5.2 billion), up 10.2 per cent from the previous year. Its six newly approved drugs in 2024 are expected to hit double-digit revenue growth in 2025. The bank maintained a 'buy' call on other Chinese stocks including Alibaba, China Resources Beer and Xiaomi. Indonesia UOBKH removed all of its previous alpha picks for Indonesia following notable performance shifts in May 2025. It said that due to anticipation of monetary policy easing – which materialised when Bank Indonesia implemented a 25 basis point rate cut on May 21 – companies including Bank Central Asia and Bank BTN outperformed during the month. Telco service company Erajaya Swasembada also delivered strong returns, supported by positive sentiments from the iPhone 16 launch event in April, increasing traction in the Chagee tea brand, and optimism ahead of the upcoming electric vehicle launch of XPeng. Conversely, technology-related names such as GoTo and Buka underperformed, as investor attention turned towards beneficiaries of interest rate cuts and laggard sectors. The Indonesian government introduced six stimulus initiatives aimed at boosting domestic consumption through June and July, including wage subsidies and public transport discounts. These measures, combined with falling oil prices and a strengthening rupiah, are expected to improve sentiment in the consumer non-cyclical sector, which underperformed the Jakarta Stock Exchange Index by 5.3 per cent in May, the analysts said. Looking ahead, UOBKH is shifting its focus towards consumer-related, 'safe-haven' and high-growth stocks. Analyst Benyamin Mikael placed a 'buy' call on Central Omega Resources – with a raised target price of 570 rupiah and potential upside of 46.9 per cent – on the back of 'expected continued earnings momentum and higher nickel ore prices'. Meanwhile, analyst Willinoy Sitorus put a 'buy' call on Cisarua Mountain Dairy, and raised its target price to 6,000 rupiah, with a potential upside of 29 per cent. He noted that it has seen strong consumer food sales, lower milk powder price and strengthening rupiah. Other alpha picks include Aneka Tambang, with a target price of 3,300 rupiah, implying a slight potential downside of 0.6 per cent; Indofood CBP, with an upgraded target price of 13,800 rupiah, offering an upside potential of 27.8 per cent; and Sumber Alfaria Trijaya, with a target price of 3,400 rupiah, representing a 34.4 per cent upside from the closing price on Jun 2. All were assigned a 'buy' rating by UOBKH. Malaysia The Bursa Malaysia KLC Index fell 2.1 per cent in May. Sector-wise, the biggest laggards were automobiles, which dropped 17 per cent, and consumer stocks, which fell 4.3 per cent, said UOBKH. The strongest performers were construction stocks, which jumped 11.6 per cent, property-related stocks, which climbed 3.2 per cent, and building materials. Other notable gainers included the port sector, which rose 6.5 per cent, and selected subsectors within technology, analysts noted. On the downside, glove manufacturers posted a 11.3 per cent loss. UOBKH's May Malaysian portfolio outperformed the benchmark, delivering an average positive return of 7.2 per cent. Only RHB Bank posted negative returns, dropping 3.3 per cent in the month. Looking ahead, UOBKH is shifting focus towards domestically driven catalysts, citing potential headwinds for exporters from forex volatility and a seasonal 'summer lull', coinciding with the end of the US 90-day tariff pause and signs of a US slowdown. A major domestic catalyst is the kick-off of the Penang LRT project, benefiting construction players such as Gamuda and Hume Cement. Other key drivers included continued strong earnings from Duopharma and NorthEast, and the expected broad adoption of MyDigital ID Superapp, developed by MyEG-Mimos – particularly among subsidy recipients and travellers. UOBKH has taken a less defensive stance in its latest alpha picks, adding Hume Cement and removing citing limited near-term catalysts for IOI Properties and NationGate, and reduced need for defensives following the market pullback. Analyst Ku Wei Xiang maintained a 'buy' call on Hume Cement, with a target price of RM4.05, implying 54.5 per cent upside from the closing price on Jun 9. He noted that the commencement of the Penang LRT project would translate to around RM2 billion (S$607.1 million) to RM2.6 billion in cement demand, assuming a RM13 billion construction cost of the project. Other alpha picks included Duopharma, with an unchanged target price of RM1.46; Eco World, with an unchanged target price of RM2.37; Gamuda, with a raised target price of RM5.55; IJM Corporation, with a higher target price of RM3.15; and NorthEast, with an unchanged target price of RM0.47. All were assigned a 'buy' rating by the research house.

How US-China tensions are reshaping Hong Kong's future as a global hub
How US-China tensions are reshaping Hong Kong's future as a global hub

CNA

timean hour ago

  • CNA

How US-China tensions are reshaping Hong Kong's future as a global hub

HONG KONG: Since China imposed a national security law on Hong Kong in 2020, it has steadily increased its control over the city. Beijing has also escalated efforts to strengthen economic and social links between the Chinese special administrative region and the mainland. But with intensifying geopolitical tensions between the United States and China, Hong Kong's proximity to mainland China – which has long been one of its greatest economic assets – is becoming a double-edged sword. DROP IN NUMBER OF REGIONAL HEADQUARTERS One company that has capitalised on this geographical proximity is Micro-Pak, a Hong Kong-based supplier of anti-mold products for the garment and footwear industries. From its global head office in Hong Kong, the company manages product development and coordination with its manufacturing bases in China. Today, it sells 3.5 billion products a year with an annual turnover of US$100 million. 'China can't be beat. That's where you need to be. There's an endless supply of everything in China,' said Micro-Pak's managing director Martin Berman. 'Here, if we have to see a customer urgently – many of our customers, it's just a couple of hours away. Our distant customers may be five hours away in a high-speed train, so if we have to see them today or the latest tomorrow, it's a pretty simple thing.' But there has been growing competition from mainland cities, while Hong Kong's status as a global trade and finance hub has also come under scrutiny amid the US-China rivalry. Official data showed that the number of regional headquarters of multinational companies based in Hong Kong dropped by 13 per cent between 2019 and 2023. Employment by these firms fell even more sharply – down 32 per cent to 132,000 staff by the end of 2023. Professor Heiwai Tang, associate dean of the University of Hong Kong Business School, said he is not so worried about uncertainties or risks, but more about awareness within the city on how it should move on and understanding why it lost business to other places. 'Once companies (have) left, you have to do a lot more to get them back. COVID has led to some foreign companies, especially American firms, to think … this is an opportunity to consider other places in Asia, such as Singapore or Tokyo or some other places in Asia,' he added. He said Hong Kong needs to 'rebrand itself' and 'try to project a better image to foreigners', due to some post-COVID narratives that it is 'just another Chinese city'. 'I'm also concerned about how foreigners see Hong Kong, which may not be neutral, which may not be balanced. And this is up to us to tell – a more neutral and more fact-based story about Hong Kong,' he added. GETTING BUSINESSES BACK The Hong Kong government has stepped up efforts to win back businesses in recent years, particularly from the Middle East and Southeast Asia. The city is promoting itself as a gateway to China's vast consumer market, banking on its longstanding advantages. These efforts appear to be bearing fruit. In 2024, nearly 10,000 companies with overseas parent firms established a presence in Hong Kong - a 10 per cent increase from the previous year. A Hong Kong government survey last year found that foreign companies that chose to base their regional offices in the city cited reasons such as a simple tax system, low tax rate and its free port status. The city believes that despite the geopolitical headwinds, businesses will be able to see the benefits of how global and China advantages can all be found in a single economy in Hong Kong. This is a point that Micro-Pak's Berman agrees with, having operated in Hong Kong for almost 30 years. As an American, he said he believes the Trump administration 'is making it difficult to do business no matter where you are'. Although the city is increasingly being subjected to the same tariffs affecting China, Berman noted: 'If you've decided that this is the part of the world you're dealing in, honestly, I don't see any risk factors beyond what you would see in any (other) place.' But economists warned that as tensions continue to simmer between China and the US, the most viable path forward for Hong Kong may be doubling down on its China advantage – even if it comes at the cost of diluting its status as a global hub. Gary Ng, senior economist at investment banking firm Natixis, said Hong Kong has been one of the biggest winners from the trend of globalisation over the past two to three decades, especially when geopolitical tensions were less. 'But what we see over the past years is that companies start to think and manage the risk between the Chinese market versus the rest of the world. So I think this change is really a very big challenge for Hong Kong,' Ng noted. 'If the world is still interested in the Chinese market, then Hong Kong can still be a greater China headquarters in that essence. So I think it really depends on which sector it is. 'But in general, definitely the attractiveness may be lower than before and the challenges will be more,' he added.

US business group says Washington should treat Taiwan like partner not adversary
US business group says Washington should treat Taiwan like partner not adversary

Straits Times

timean hour ago

  • Straits Times

US business group says Washington should treat Taiwan like partner not adversary

FILE PHOTO: A 3D-printed miniature model depicting U.S. President Donald Trump, Chinese flag and fragment of Taiwanese flag in this illustration taken, April 17, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo US business group says Washington should treat Taiwan like partner not adversary TAIPEI - The United States should treat Taiwan like a partner and not an adversary, remove new and proposed tariffs, restore high-level cabinet visits and agree a double taxation deal, the American Chamber of Commerce in Taiwan said on Tuesday. Taiwan, which China views as its own territory, enjoyed strong support from U.S. President Donald Trump's first administration, which regularized arms sales that President Joe Biden continued. But Trump, as part of his sweeping tariffs on countries around the world, in April said he would put a 32% tariff on Taiwan, before pausing them for 90 days. Taiwan and the United States are still in talks to resolve the issue. AmCham Taiwan President Carl Wegner, releasing the group's 2025 White Paper, said he would be leading a delegation to Washington later this month to have "door knock" talks with officials on concerns about the tariffs and how to boost Taiwan-U.S. business ties. "Taiwan is a reliable friend of the United States, an essential democratic partner in the Indo Pacific, a major investor in American industry and a critical contributor to supply chain resilience," he told reporters in Taipei. Trade measures that were initially designed to address unfair practices by strategic competitors like China are now being targeted at friends like Taiwan, Wegner said. "It is in America's interests to ensure Taiwan is treated like a partner, not like an adversary." The White Paper said an agreement to avoid double taxation, currently stalled in the U.S. Senate, should urgently be resolved to remove investment barriers, while high-level visits by U.S. cabinet members should resume. Neither Taiwan nor the United States have provided substantive public updates on the tariff talks. The U.S. Department of Commerce did not respond to requests for comment sent outside of Washington office hours. REUTERS Join ST's Telegram channel and get the latest breaking news delivered to you.

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