Private equity bids for Forward Air rolling in, report says
Potential buyers were reported to include Clearlake Capital, which holds a 13% stake in the company. Also, buyout firms, including Apollo Global Management (NASDAQ: APO) were reported to have submitted bids.
Activist investors have pushed Forward Air (NASDAQ: FWRD) to entertain a sale or other strategic alternatives following its heavily contested merger with Omni Logistics. That deal, which was announced in August 2023, was quickly panned by shareholders as well as some of Forward's legacy customers.
Forward's shareholders took issue with the way the transaction was structured as it circumvented their vote. They also had concerns that the deal placed a large debt burden on Forward (a 5.3 times net debt leverage ratio at the end of the 2025 first quarter) and gave Omni's private equity backers voting control. The merger eventually closed in January 2024 after months of litigation, including efforts from Forward to get out of the deal.
Forward announced a strategic review earlier this year, but activists said that was too late and claimed the company was 'slow-walking' the process after months of pressure.
Activists were successful in forcing three directors – who they blamed for 'massive value destruction' as a result of the ill-conceived merger – to resign from the board last month. The departing board members included Chairman George Mayes, who was voted out by shareholders at the company's annual election.
At the same election, shareholders approved the company's reincorporation to Delaware, which may make it easier to sell given the state's favorable corporate governance policies.
Forward's stock traded at $110 per share before the deal was announced in 2023. Shares slumped more than 40% in the months following the announcement, later cratering further once the deal closed in early 2024. The stock gapped below $10 shortly after Liberation Day tariffs were announced in April, but has steadily stepped higher in recent weeks as takeout speculation has ramped.
Shares stood at $30.60 late in the session on Wednesday.
Analysts and investors have told FreightWaves that shares of Forward could be valued at $40, or higher, in a takeout scenario.
The back-of-the-envelope math assumes a low-double-digit multiple on the company's roughly $300 million in annual earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. Backing out roughly $1.6 billion of net debt from a more than $3 billion enterprise value leaves equity value somewhere between $1.5 billion and $2 billion. (The company has roughly 42 million shares on a fully diluted basis.)
Forward is scheduled to release second-quarter results on Aug. 11.
FreightWaves has reached out to Forward Air for comment.
More FreightWaves articles by Todd Maiden:
FedEx Freight gives shippers 'more time' to adjust to new LTL class rules
New LTL freight class rules take effect on Saturday
ArcBest CEO Judy McReynolds to retire
The post Private equity bids for Forward Air rolling in, report says appeared first on FreightWaves.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
14 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Chevron Overcomes ExxonMobil to Acquire Hess. Which High-Yield Energy Stock Is the Better Buy Now?
Key Points It's been nearly two years since Chevron announced it would acquire Hess. Guyana is rich with geographically advantaged reserves. ExxonMobil and Chevron are supporting their high dividend yields with cash flow. 10 stocks we like better than Chevron › October 2023 was a big month for oil and gas shake-ups. ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) announced an all-stock merger with exploration and production (E&P) company Pioneer Natural Resources. Chevron (NYSE: CVX) followed suit with a similar-size deal to buy E&P Hess. ExxonMobil completed its acquisition in May 2024, but it wasn't until July 18, 2025, that Chevron finally announced it had acquired Hess. Here's why Chevron's deal was delayed, what it means for the investment thesis, and which dividend-paying energy stock is the better buy now. From adversaries to partners The most valuable aspect of Hess' business is its 30% stake in the Stabroek Block in offshore Guyana. The other holders are ExxonMobil, with a 45% interest, and Chinese state-owned CNOOC with a 25% stake. ExxonMobil has been exploring reserves in offshore Guyana since 2008. In 2015, it achieved its first exploration well. Since then, it and the rest of the consortium have ramped up their production -- reaching 500 million barrels of total oil produced from the Stabroek Block in November 2024. The consortium plans to grow production to 1.3 million barrels per day by the end of 2027. For context, ExxonMobil produced 4.55 million barrels of oil equivalent per day in the first quarter of 2025. Needless to say, Guyana has become one of the company's top producing regions. In fact, it identified Guyana as one of its "advantaged assets," which are high-margin investment opportunities. Other advantaged assets include the company's onshore exposure in the Permian Basin in Texas and its liquefied natural gas (LNG) portfolio. ExxonMobil plans to have 60% of its production come from the Permian, Guyana, and LNG by 2030. Given that it had the largest stake in the Stabroek Block, it was in ExxonMobil's best interest to prevent arguably its largest competitor from joining the consortium. It engaged in a lengthy dispute with Chevron, contending that the deal triggered a change-of-control clause. The ruling went in favor of Chevron, and the deal moved forward. Although ExxonMobil would probably have preferred to partner with a pure-play E&P like Hess rather than a global integrated major like Chevron, the change of ownership won't directly harm ExxonMobil. And Chevron's backing could help the consortium develop the block even faster. As for Chevron, the company gains access to one of the most valuable offshore plays in the world -- rich in reserves with decades of development potential at a low cost of production. The cash cow playbook The oil and gas industry experienced a significant downturn in 2014 and 2015. It took years to recover, and then the industry entered yet another downturn in 2020 due to the pandemic. Investors were not happy, and ExxonMobil's and Chevron's stock prices hit multiyear lows, and the companies reported billions in losses that year. To regain investor confidence, ExxonMobil and Chevron have focused on improving the quality of their production assets. A combination of technological advancements, efficiency improvements, and doubling down on regions with geographic advantages has enabled both companies to reduce their break-even levels, allowing them to generate positive free cash flow even at relatively low oil and gas prices. This advantage aids in forecasting multiyear capital allocation strategies -- including operating expenses, capital expenditures, buybacks, and dividends -- as well as expanding low-carbon investments. ExxonMobil and Chevron have become much stronger and balanced companies over the years. The former's corporate plan through 2030 forecasts a break-even Brent crude price per barrel of just $30 by 2030 and $165 billion in cumulative surplus operating cash flow even if Brent prices average just $65 per barrel. Chevron has an even lower breakeven than ExxonMobil, estimated in the low $30 Brent range by consulting firm Wood Mackenzie. The integration of Hess and development of reserves in offshore Guyana should help Chevron grow its production while maintaining a low cost of production. Two quality dividend stocks at attractive valuations Having a low cost of production allows ExxonMobil to support its growing dividends at lower oil and gas prices, generating substantial excess cash flow even at mid-cycle prices to repurchase stock and invest in new projects. ExxonMobil has increased its dividend for 42 consecutive years and yields 3.6%, while Chevron has a 38-year streak and yields 4.5%. With both companies expecting steady long-term earnings growth, ExxonMobil's 14.6 price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) and Chevron's 17.4 P/E seem like bargains. Add it all up, and ExxonMobil and Chevron are both great buys now for value investors looking to boost their passive income. Do the experts think Chevron is a buy right now? The Motley Fool's expert analyst team, drawing on years of investing experience and deep analysis of thousands of stocks, leverages our proprietary Moneyball AI investing database to uncover top opportunities. They've just revealed their to buy now — did Chevron make the list? When our Stock Advisor analyst team has a stock recommendation, it can pay to listen. After all, Stock Advisor's total average return is up 1,041% vs. just 183% for the S&P — that is beating the market by 858.71%!* Imagine if you were a Stock Advisor member when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $636,628!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,063,471!* The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of July 21, 2025 Daniel Foelber has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Chevron. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Chevron Overcomes ExxonMobil to Acquire Hess. Which High-Yield Energy Stock Is the Better Buy Now? was originally published by The Motley Fool
Yahoo
14 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Joby Aviation Stock Soars to an All-Time High: My Prediction for What Comes Next
Key Points Joby Aviation stock is soaring on optimism for its electric air taxi network. The company is aiming to ramp up manufacturing and finish its FAA certification. The stock trades at an expensive price versus any reasonable expectations for future revenue. 10 stocks we like better than Joby Aviation › Nobody enjoys sitting in traffic. And yet, the average American will sit in over two weeks of traffic each year. One company believes it has paved a way to help alleviate the traffic pressure in cities around the globe: Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY). It is manufacturing and testing electric air taxis, which can go point-to-point over cities more quietly than traditional helicopters, saving people time and frustration. Joby's air taxis are not operational yet, but the stock recently burst through to an all-time high of $17.50 a share on investor enthusiasm for its manufacturing progress and partnerships with large transportation players. It now has a market cap of $14.8 billion even though it generates zero dollars in revenue. Here's my prediction for what comes next with Joby Aviation stock. Betting big on air taxis Utilizing electric motor technology and innovations in aerodynamics, Joby Aviation has created a vertical takeoff vehicle that is quiet enough to leave from residential neighborhoods. It is manned by a pilot, can fit four riders, and has a top speed of 200 miles per hour. The company is planning to set up point-to-point networks in major cities such as New York, where customers will be able to hop from Manhattan directly to the airport, shaving off time that would have been spent sitting in traffic. The company is not officially operating its network yet, but it's working with the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) in the final stages of testing its aircraft. Multiple pilots have flown the Joby vehicle already, with its manufacturing facilities producing its fifth aircraft for pilots last quarter. Management recently announced an expansion of its factory in California, with plans to eventually produce 24 air taxis annually from this location. Multiple transportation companies have seen the promise in Joby Aviation. Toyota Motors has invested a total of $894 million in the company and is working directly with the company on manufacturing processes. Delta Air Lines is an investor, while Uber Technologies is a partner that will eventually add Joby flights to its ride-sharing application. Joby needs to get a lot of customer demand in order to get a return on its air taxi spending, which will require full operating schedules and high ticket prices. This is possible if its partners such as Uber and Delta drive customers to the upcoming service. The company is not just looking to expand in New York. It is working to add air taxis to Los Angeles, Dubai, and even Japan and the United Kingdom. Most major cities in the world have traffic issues and could see some (especially wealthier) citizens utilize this upcoming air taxi network. Aggressive spending and cash burn There is a lot of promise with Joby's air taxis, but the growth is all theoretical today. Joby does not generate any revenue, is still in the FAA certification process, and has manufactured only a few air taxis to date. Still, it is aggressively burning money on research, manufacturing, and overhead costs as it works to build up its vertically integrated factory network in the United States. In the first quarter of 2025, it spent $134 million on research and development. Over the last 12 months, free cash flow was negative $489 million. The company does have $813 million in cash and a $500 million commitment from Toyota, but this only gives it two to three years of cash burn at its current rate before it will need to raise more funds. My prediction for what comes next with Joby Aviation stock I like the idea of air taxi networks. As long as they can be operated safely, it is a path forward to help alleviate traffic on major highways in metro areas, and it looks like something people will pay up for in order to save time on the way to the airport or other societal hubs. My problem comes from Joby Aviation's market cap of $14.8 billion, making the stock wildly overvalued for a pre-revenue start-up. At its current manufacturing run-rate of 24 air taxis a year that could grow in the years to come, Joby Aviation may have 200 vehicles in operation by 2030. Assuming 20 flights per vehicle per day at $500 each split among the four passengers, that is $730 million in annual revenue for Joby Aviation. It is currently spending close to $500 million a year before generating any sales. There will be variable costs when its taxi network starts operating, along with more money spent to build each vehicle. It is unlikely that Joby Aviation will generate a profit by 2030 even if it can scale up its air taxi routes and charge an average of $500 per flight (which is more than the average round-trip airline ticket for comparable routes). Air taxis are an interesting idea, but that doesn't mean Joby Aviation is a buy with the stock trading at a market cap of $14.8 billion. I predict that pain is ahead for Joby Aviation shareholders for the rest of this decade, even if the company remains on track with its air taxi network buildout. Should you buy stock in Joby Aviation right now? Before you buy stock in Joby Aviation, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and Joby Aviation wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $636,628!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,063,471!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,041% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 183% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of July 21, 2025 Brett Schafer has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Uber Technologies. The Motley Fool recommends Delta Air Lines. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Joby Aviation Stock Soars to an All-Time High: My Prediction for What Comes Next was originally published by The Motley Fool Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
14 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Rivian vs. Lucid: Which EV Stock Is Winning in 2025?
Key Points Rivian and Lucid both disappointed early investors. Both companies face supply chain issues and intense competition. But one of these EV companies has clearer near-term advantages. 10 stocks we like better than Rivian Automotive › Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN) and Lucid (NASDAQ: LCID) were both hot electric vehicle (EV) stocks. Rivian went public with an IPO price of $78 on Nov. 10, 2021, and its shares more than doubled to a record closing price of $172.01 just a week later. Lucid went public by merging with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) on July 26, 2021. Its shares started trading at $25.24, and more than doubled to a record closing price of $55.52 four months later. Both companies initially attracted a stampede of bulls with their ambitious growth targets, and the buying frenzy in emotion-driven meme stocks amplified their gains. But today, Rivian and Lucid trade at about $13 and $3, respectively. Both stocks fizzled out as they missed their own goals and racked up steep losses. Rising rates also popped their bubbly valuations. But when interest rates declined in 2024, Rivian and Lucid didn't bounce back even as investors pivoted back toward more speculative stocks. That sentiment is still chilly: Rivian's stock has only risen 5% since the beginning of 2025, while Lucid's stock dipped 3%. Should contrarian investors consider buying either of these EV stocks right now? Why did Rivian and Lucid disappoint the market? Rivian sells three EVs: its R1T pickup, its R1S full-size SUV, and an electric delivery van (EDV) for its top investor, Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), and other companies. Before it went public, it claimed it could produce 50,000 vehicles in 2022. But in reality, it only produced 24,337 vehicles that year as it grappled with supply chain disruptions. Lucid sells two vehicles: its Air sedan and its new Gravity SUV. In its pre-merger presentation, it claimed it could deliver 20,000 vehicles in 2022. Unfortunately, it only delivered 4,369 vehicles in 2022 as it also struggled with supply chain constraints and production issues. At their record highs, Rivian's market cap hit $153.3 billion, or 92 times its 2022 revenue; while Lucid's market cap reached $91.4 billion, which was 150 times its 2022 revenue. Those sky-high valuations set both stocks up for steep declines when they missed their own rosy forecasts. What happened over the following years? In 2023, Rivian more than doubled its production to 57,232 vehicles as it overcame its supply chain issues. But in 2024, its production dipped to 49,476 vehicles as rising rates chilled the EV market, it faced tougher competition, and it temporarily shut down its main Illinois plant to upgrade its production capabilities. In 2025, it only expects to deliver 40,000 to 46,000 vehicles as it deals with higher tariffs on its raw materials and batteries, ongoing supply chain challenges, and another temporary shutdown to prepare for the launch of its smaller R2 SUV in 2026. Rivian is dealing with a lot of growing pains, but it's still supported by Amazon, Porsche (OTC: POAHY), Saudi Arabian conglomerate Abdul Latif Jameel, and other big investors. It ended its latest quarter with $8.5 billion in liquidity, and it expects the rollout of its smaller R2 SUV to significantly boost its sales and profits as it reaches a broader range of customers. Lucid's deliveries rose to 6,001 vehicles in 2023 and 10,241 vehicles in 2024, but those numbers were dismal compared to its original estimates. Lucid faced many of the same macro and competitive challenges as Rivian, and its CEO, Peter Rawlinson -- who attracted a lot of attention for his previous stint as Tesla's (NASDAQ: TSLA) chief vehicle engineer -- stepped down this February. Its board still hasn't appointed a permanent CEO yet. Rivian's founder and CEO, RJ Scaringe, remains in charge of his company. Lucid claims it can more than double its production to 20,000 vehicles this year as it ramps up its production of the Gravity SUV, but it doesn't have a great track record of meeting its own expectations. Yet Lucid is still firmly backed by Saudi Arabia's sovereign Public Investment Fund (PIF), which owns nearly two-thirds of its shares, and it ended its latest quarter with about $5.7 billion in liquidity, which it claims can carry it through its launch of the Gravity SUV. Which stock has more upside potential? From 2024 to 2027, analysts expect Rivian's revenue to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32% as Lucid's revenue rises at a CAGR of 85%. Based on those estimates, which we should take with a grain of salt, Rivian and Lucid trade at 3.2 times and 6.9 times this year's sales, respectively. Neither company is expected to come close to breaking even, but Rivian's gross margins turned positive over the past two quarters as economies of scale kicked in. Lucid's gross margins are still negative. Rivian's higher production rates, healthier gross margins, and more stable leadership make it a stronger investment than Lucid right now -- even if its production wanes ahead of the R2's launch. As for Lucid, I'm not sure it can successfully ramp up its production of the Gravity and meet Wall Street's high expectations. If it falls short of that goal, its valuations will decline and its stock will drop even further. Should you buy stock in Rivian Automotive right now? Before you buy stock in Rivian Automotive, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and Rivian Automotive wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $636,628!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,063,471!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,041% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 183% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of July 21, 2025 Leo Sun has positions in Amazon. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon and Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends Porsche Automobil Se. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Rivian vs. Lucid: Which EV Stock Is Winning in 2025? was originally published by The Motley Fool Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data