
Thailand economic growth slows in June
Industrial production declined, with automotive production consistent with the fall in exports and domestic sales, the Bank of Thailand said in a statement.
Exports, a key driver of the economy, grew 16.1% in June from a year earlier, while imports rose 13.8%, resulting in a trade account surplus of $3.3 billion, it said.
Thailand posted a current account (THCURA=ECI), opens new tab surplus of $2.4 billion in June, the BOT said.
Private investment in June rose 0.7% while private consumption dropped 0.3% from the previous month, the BOT said.
In the second quarter of 2025, Southeast Asia's second's largest economy is expected to have grown at a similar pace to the first quarter, the central bank said.
In June, the central bank lifted its central-case growth forecast to 2.3% for 2025, nearly equaling last year's expansion of 2.5%.
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The Independent
14 minutes ago
- The Independent
Badenoch says Truss ‘carries quite a lot blame' for Tory record of as war of words continues
Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch has said Liz Truss 'carries quite a lot of' responsibility for the party's record amid a row over the party's direction. Responding after former prime minister Ms Truss accused her of 'repeating spurious narratives', Badenoch said she was 'very focused on what the Conservatives are going to do now'. The Leader of the Opposition faced questions about Ms Truss's claim that under the Conservatives, 'the economy was wrecked with profligate Covid spending by (Rishi) Sunak' and that 'the huge increase in immigration has been a disaster'. Mrs Badenoch told ITV Anglia: 'I know that, as a former prime minister and a former foreign secretary, (Ms Truss) carries quite a lot of that blame. 'The party's now under new leadership. 'I wasn't in charge during those 14 years; she was. 'That's a criticism she's probably levelling at herself.' The Tory leader also said she was 'telling the truth' about her party's record. 'I'm telling the truth that immigration was too high – that's why we have much tougher policies to fix immigration,' she continued. 'I am telling the truth that taxes were too high, that we were putting a lot of regulation on businesses, and what we're seeing is Labour making every single thing worse. 'They're doing that because they haven't learned many of the lessons that we learned. They haven't learned from our mistakes. They're making worse mistakes.' The Labour government's mistakes include making 'no cut in spending at all – the books were not balanced', Mrs Badenoch claimed. 'We're spending more on welfare than we are on defence – that cannot continue,' she said. Mrs Badenoch had previously told The Telegraph that 'for all their mocking of Liz Truss, Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves have not learnt the lessons of the mini-budget and are making even bigger mistakes'. Ms Truss, who spent 49 days in Number 10, hit back when she said that 'instead of serious thinking', Mrs Badenoch was 'repeating spurious narratives'. She continued: 'I suspect she is doing this to divert from the real failures of 14 years of Conservative government in which her supporters are particularly implicated. 'It was a fatal mistake not to repeal Labour legislation like the Human Rights Act because the modernisers wanted to be the 'heirs to Blair'. 'Huge damage was done to our liberties through draconian lockdowns and enforcement championed by Michael Gove and Dominic Cummings. 'The economy was wrecked with profligate Covid spending by Sunak. The huge increase in immigration has been a disaster.' Mrs Badenoch also took questions about her identity, after she told the Rosebud podcast: 'I have not renewed my Nigerian passport, I think, not since the early 2000s. 'I don't identify with it any more, most of my life has been in the UK and I've just never felt the need to.' The North West Essex MP told ITV Anglia: 'I am definitely an Essex girl, that is a fact.' A London Assembly member before she took her Commons seat in 2017, Mrs Badenoch said: 'I represent an Essex constituency, these are my people. 'I was a Londoner, but Essex people asked me to be their MP, and I want to make sure that I do them proud. And I love this part of the world. 'It's fantastic being here. It's a rural community, and I've been talking to the farmers here. I talked about how my grandfather was a farmer, it's very hard work. 'The people of Essex and East Anglia – they are grafters. 'They work hard, and I want to make sure that we do right by them.' Mrs Badenoch spent Tuesday morning at a farm in Little Walden, where she tried her hand at harvesting wheat using a Claas Lexion combine harvester. She told farmers: 'A lot of farming just feels like constant interference. 'Everything is interfered from the minute you wake up.' Examples of interference included 'chemicals and insecticide, people you're hiring, how much you've got to pay them', plus changes to 'employers' NI (national insurance), then somebody wants to put pylons on, there's compulsory purchase, it's impacting the cost of the land, if you want to add a new farm building, there's planning applications', she said. 'It's just endless constant Government saying, 'You can't do this, you can't do that, you can't move forwards'. 'And the burden in my view has now crossed the threshold.'


Reuters
3 hours ago
- Reuters
Trust in US economic data on the line: Easy to lose, hard to restore
WASHINGTON/NEW YORK, Aug 5 (Reuters) - Donald Trump's move to fire the head of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics has put trust in U.S. data reporting mechanisms on the line just as demand for reliable diagnoses of the health of the world's largest economy is bigger than ever. Examples from elsewhere show credibility is easily lost and hard to restore. A first test will be the choice to replace Erika McEntarfer, accused without evidence by Trump of manipulating U.S. job numbers after weaker-than-expected growth and large downward revisions were reported last week. "Imagine if one of your concerns is that there's a lackey in charge of the agency and the numbers are fake," said Michael Strain, director of economic policy studies at the conservative American Enterprise Institute, of an appointment Trump has said to expect within days. "That's a whole other level of problems." Policymakers, businesses and investors are scrambling to understand how Trump's attempt to up-end the global trade system will affect prices, employment and household wealth. Central banks, which once tried to guide market bets on rate moves months down the line, now say decisions are "data-dependent." The rub is that data collection is proving to be harder. Debt-laden governments have, as McEntarfer experienced, cut resources in their data departments; phone surveys, the go-to method for much macro research, are struggling to produce adequate samples as many households do without fixed lines. Trump's implicit accusation of partisanship by "this Biden Political Appointee" adds the troubling factor of a political dimension usually indicative of countries dogged by wider doubts over their democratic checks and balances. The key lesson from past examples of loss of data confidence is that it can take years for trust to be restored. When Argentina last year reported its first single-digit inflation in months, sceptics questioned the data and recalled the massive underreporting of inflation in the 2000s and 2010s for which it was censured by the International Monetary Fund. "They manipulated the data for a long time," said Aldo Abram of libertarian think tank Liberty and Progress Foundation in Buenos Aires. "It's logical people remember this and continue having doubts." Turkey has changed the head of its TUIK statistics institute four times since 2019, with opposition parties arguing the changes were political. Roger Marks, fixed income analyst at asset manager Ninety One, said the result for investors has been a "gradual erosion of our trust in the numbers." For Greece, whose efforts during the 2000s to conceal mounting public deficits fed that decade's sovereign debt crisis, it has been an equally long haul back to credibility. It required the overhaul of its ELSTAT statistics agency in 2016 and the creation of an international panel of experts to appoint its chief statistician - steps that have meant its hard-fought efforts to improve its budget are now unquestioned. It also prompted European governments to grant the Eurostat statistics arm of the European Union powers to check suspect national statistics reported to it. Longstanding doubts over the accuracy of Chinese statistics - with even former Premier Li Keqiang acknowledging in 2007 the country's output figures were man-made - have obscured genuine efforts to improve data quality, such as a new measure of youth unemployment excluding students that was released early in 2024. "There were genuine methodological reasons for the change, but because of the history around Chinese data a lot of people, particularly foreign investors, just didn't really trust that," Julian Evans-Pritchard, an analyst with Capital Economics. "That underscores to me that once you undermine confidence in the data, it is quite hard to restore that confidence." Faced over the years with patchy official data, watchers of emerging economies have long sought to corroborate those numbers with other datasets. Capital Economics' China Activity Proxy is based on 18 indicators from freight traffic to electricity consumption. Another metric is found in the data and sentiment surveys provided by independent researchers in all the big economies. But they can only sketch in one perspective on the picture. "An awful lot of it is soft data: 'How do you feel? What do you think's going on?'" said Erik Weisman, chief economist and portfolio manager at MFS Investment Management in Boston. "They're not asking for specifics. They're not asking, how many widgets did you produce? How many insurance policies did you produce? How many hours worked?," he said, adding that the concerns raised by the sacking of McEntarfer could nonetheless force analysts to turn increasingly to those other sources. The most urgent question now is whether the breach in credibility which the Trump intervention has opened is now widened further or mended. Enrico Giovannini, former chief statistician for the Paris-based Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), said there was more scope in the U.S. for political appointments of key statistics roles than in other advanced economies which tended to make long, fixed-term appointments. "So the incoming government has to wait (to replace them), said Giovannini, who has also served in two Italian governments. "In the U.S., the spoils system works," he said of the practice of party supporters getting rewarded with government jobs. The International Statistical Institute, a professional organization for data collectors, issued a statement late on Monday that said Trump's move violated U.N. principles aimed at protecting fact-based statistics and called on his government to take steps to restore public confidence in U.S. federal data. William Wiatrowski, the BLS' deputy commissioner, will serve as acting commissioner until a successor to McEntarfer is named. Beyond that choice, some fear that further dangers may emerge from a Trump executive order on federal hiring intended to reserve posts for candidates who can prove they are "dedicated to the furtherance of American ideals, values, and interests." Aaron Sojourner, a senior researcher at the W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, said such a move would, if passed by Congress, apply to many jobs in federal economic statistical agencies. "This proposal would convert many of those jobs into political jobs where people can be fired for any reason if they displease a political leader," Sojourner said.


Telegraph
3 hours ago
- Telegraph
The truth about why tourists are leaving Las Vegas
While most of us Vegas regulars have long assumed that Sin City is immortal, viral videos on social media are apparently telling a different story. Over on YouTube, there are dozens of clips of seemingly empty scenes on the Strip, as influencers gawp into the camera and proclaim that the party is truly over. Can it really be that Vegas is emptying out, and falling from favour? The official statistics suggest that, at the very least, there is a downward trend at play. Numbers from the Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority (the guys who coined the 'What happens in Vegas' slogan) show tourism is down 6.5 per cent since last year, with a marked slump since April. As you might expect, gambling revenues have dwindled too, with a 2.9 per cent year-on-year drop across the sector – enough to wipe some $600 million from casino revenues this year. If you concentrate purely on the Strip casinos that depend almost exclusively on out-of-towners, the drop is even bigger at 3.9 per cent. Some claim it's down to the general squeeze of disposable income, with surveys showing a drop in overall consumer confidence across the States. Naturally, anti-Trump types have been quick to jump on any evidence that the decline could be partly the fault of the White House – and when it comes to one particular measure they may well have a point. According to LVCVA figures, Canadians make up around 3 per cent of Vegas visitors, with 1.4 million making the trip last year. Yet one year later, the data shows that more Canadians are thinking twice about crossing the border, perhaps due to the President's fiery rhetoric towards his northern neighbour. Recent figures from Vegas's Harry Reid Airport show that arrivals on Air Canada jets are down 5 per cent year-on-year, while passenger numbers for the low-cost Canadian carrier Flair have plummeted 55 per cent. Not the sort of thing you want to see in an already tight economy. Where does it all leave Vegas? The overall decline is real, but it isn't as bad as some headlines suggest, says casino expert John Mehaffey, who runs the Vegas Advantage website. 'The slowdown has been more noticeable at the lower end of the market, but luxury resorts appear broadly level with last year,' he says. 'In any event, Vegas is always a bit slower in the summer.' As for those viral videos showing the supposed death of Vegas, he suspects some of the creators have been disingenuous in their tactics. 'I saw one picture of empty side walks in front of Caesars Palace, but you could see from the position of the sun that the photo was taken in the early part of the morning,' he says. @chasasworld ♬ original sound - chasasworld On the other hand, plenty of social media users are convinced they've found the real reason that fewer people are visiting Las Vegas – rip-off prices. In June, a humble bottle of water briefly became a social media sensation, when one stunned traveller revealed that it had been priced at a shocking $26 in the mini-bar at the iconic Bellagio hotel. The story was picked up across the American media. On the popular discussion website Reddit, meanwhile, forums about Las Vegas have descended into a strange game of Top Trumps, with users competing to see who can find the most excessive examples of Vegas pricing during their visit. 'I paid $14 for a bottle of Sprite and $32 for chicken tenders,' posted one user, sounding strangely proud about the whole experience. Of course, steep prices are nothing new in Sin City. But while the world's entertainment capital has never been cheap, the data shows that prices have jumped disproportionately since the pandemic, with a 50 per cent rise in the average hotel room price since 2019. Fees and charges have also spiked, as casinos seek to make up for lost revenues during the shutdown. As Vegas regulars will know, it isn't hard to avoid the worst of the pricing – provided you do your homework in advance. As a rule of thumb, I always advise anyone staying on the Strip to do as much as their discretionary spending (things like refreshments and snacks) outside of the casino resort, given that most are notorious for high prices. Another option is to get off the Strip altogether and opt for a downtown casino. Fremont Street might lack some of the extravagance of the Bellagio, but it's certainly no less vibrant. Not only are the prices much cheaper (and the odds marginally more generous), but it's a much shorter walk to get to independent restaurants and bars that cost a fraction of those on the Strip. Some might say that penny-pinching goes against the Vegas spirit. But my attitude has always been the less money you spend unnecessarily – for example, on a $10 coke from a casino concession store – the more you have to spend on the genuinely exciting stuff, whether that's playing the tables or seeing one of the shows. Will the falling visitor numbers force Vegas to change tack on its premium prices? There are already signs that some casinos are doing just that, says John Mehaffey. This summer, the Resorts World hotel and casino waived some of its charges (including the hated resort fee) in a bid to attract more visitors. As for what the future holds beyond that, Sin City will have plenty on its plate dealing with everything from Gen Z's famous aversion to alcohol to the liberalisation of sports betting across much of the States. Expect the push towards big sporting events like the Super Bowl and Formula 1 to continue at full speed, given they don't rely on gamblers or drinkers to make money. All in all, it seems the decline of Vegas has been exaggerated. This glorious city has seen off a slump many times before, and you can bet your bottom dollar it will do the same again.