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Asian shares track rally on Wall Street that won back most of Friday's wipeout

Asian shares track rally on Wall Street that won back most of Friday's wipeout

The Hill2 days ago
BANGKOK (AP) — Asian shares advanced on Tuesday, following U.S. stocks higher after they won back most of their sharp loss from last week.
Investors appeared to have recovered some confidence after worries over how President Donald Trump's tariffs may be punishing the economy sent a shudder through Wall Street last week.
At the same time, a stunningly weak U.S. jobs report Friday raised expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at its next meeting in September, potentially a plus for markets.
This week's highlights will likely include earnings reports from The Walt Disney Co., McDonald's and Caterpillar, along with updates on U.S. business activity.
In Asian trading, Tokyo's Nikkei 225 index gained 0.6% to 40,515.81, while the Kospi in South Korea jumped 1.4% to 3,192.57.
In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng rose 0.3% to 24,799.67. The Shanghai Composite index was up 0.5% at 3,602.13.
Australia's S&P/ASX 200 jumped 1.1% to 8,759.90, while the SET in Thailand also gained 1.1%.
India's Sensex was the sole outlier, losing 0.5% on concerns over trade tensions with the United States, with the Trump administration insisting on cutbacks in oil purchases from Russia.
India has indicated that it will continue buying oil from Russia, saying its relationship with Moscow was 'steady and time-tested,' and that its stance on securing its energy needs is guided by the availability of oil in the markets and prevailing global circumstances.
'Trump's threats of 'substantial' tariff hikes on account of imports of Russian crude pose a quagmire for India,' Mizuho Bank said in a commentary. 'Between exacerbated U.S.-imposed geo-economic headwinds and financial/macro setbacks from Russian oil advantages lost, pain will be hard to avert.'
On Monday, the S&P 500 jumped 1.5% to 6,329.94. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 1.3%, or 585.06 points, to 44,173.64.
The Nasdaq composite leaped 2% to 21,053.58.
Idexx Laboratories helped Wall Street recover from its worst day since May, soaring 27.5% after the seller of veterinary instruments and other health care products reported a stronger profit for the spring than analysts expected.
The pressure is on U.S. companies to deliver bigger profits after their stock prices shot to record after record recently. Reports from big U.S. companies have largely come in better than expected and could help steady a U.S. stock market that may have been due for some turbulence.
A jump in stock prices from a low point in April had raised criticism that the broad market had become too expensive.
Tyson Foods likewise delivered a bigger-than-expected profit for the latest quarter, and the company behind the Jimmy Dean and Hillshire Farms brands rose 2.4%.
They helped make up for a nearly 3% loss for Berkshire Hathaway after Warren Buffett's company reported a drop in profit for its latest quarter from a year earlier. The drop-off was due in part to the falling value of its investment in Kraft Heinz.
American Eagle Outfitters jumped 23.6% after Trump weighed in on the debate surrounding the retailer's advertisements, which highlight actor Sydney Sweeney's great jeans. Some critics thought the reference to the blonde-haired and blue-eyed actor's 'great genes' may be extolling a narrow set of beauty standards. 'Go get 'em Sydney!' Trump said on his social media network.
Wayfair climbed 12.7% after the retailer of furniture and home decor said accelerating growth helped it make more in profit and revenue during the spring than analysts expected.
Tesla rose 2.2% after awarding CEO Elon Musk 96 million shares of restricted stock valued at approximately $29 billion. The move could alleviate worries that Musk may leave the company.
In other dealings early Tuesday, U.S. benchmark crude oil shed 9 cents to $66.20 per barrel while Brent crude, the international standard, gave up 8 cents to $68.68 per barrel.
The U.S. dollar was unchanged at 147.09 Japanese yen. The euro slipped to $1.1555 from $1.1573.
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Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq mixed as Trump tariffs kick in, Apple jumps
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq mixed as Trump tariffs kick in, Apple jumps

Yahoo

time17 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq mixed as Trump tariffs kick in, Apple jumps

US stocks were mixed Thursday morning as President Trump's sweeping tariffs hit dozens of US trade partners after his self-imposed deadline for countries to strike deals expired. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose 0.6%, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) was up 0.1%, paring earlier gains. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) reversed course to trade down 0.5% mid-morning. Trump's deadline for trade deals landed at 12:01 a.m. ET on Thursday. Imports from nearly 200 countries now face duties ranging from 10% to 50%, and the overall average effective tariff rate is projected to jump to 18.3%. Read more: The latest on Trump's tariffs Apple (AAPL) shares climbed Thursday as Trump and CEO Tim Cook announced the company would make a $100 billion investment in the US. As part of the deal, Apple will manufacture the cover glasses for iPhones and Apple Watches in Kentucky. At the same time, Trump's comments that he'd exempt some companies from his plans to place 100% duties on semiconductors boosted tech stocks across the board for a second consecutive day. Meanwhile, another wave of earnings flooded in Thursday morning. The reports featured a tariff warning from Toyota (TM), which said in its first quarter results that the impact of US tariffs will be 1.4 trillion yen, or $9.5 billion. Among other notable corporate giants to report, Eli Lilly's (LLY) disappointing results of its much-awaited oral GLP-1 pill trial sent the stock down 14% despite posting better-than-expected earnings for the second quarter. Elsewhere in the market, DoorDash (DASH) shares jumped after giving an upbeat forecast Wednesday after the bell, driven by resilient delivery demand. Airbnb (ABNB) and Lyft (LYFT) fell after giving disappointing guidance during their own earnings reports the prior evening. Also on Thursday, 1.974 million continuing claims for unemployment benefits were filed, reaching their highest level since November 2021. The state of the labor market is in high focus following a disappointing July jobs report and downbeat revisions to the May and June jobs reports. Toyota slashes 2025 profit guidance, warns of $9.5B tariff hit Toyota (TM), the world's largest automaker, is the latest to warn about the effects of President Trump's tariffs. Yahoo Finance's Pras Subramanian writes: Read the full story here. Bitcoin, crypto stocks rally ahead of Trump order opening 401(k) plans to alternative assets Major cryptocurrencies and crypto-related stocks were rallying early Thursday ahead of President Trump's expected signing of an executive order that would allow alternative assets like cryptocurrencies and private equity into the retirement accounts of millions of Americans, Yahoo Finance's Jake Conley reports. Bitcoin (BTC-USD) rose nearly 2%, while ether (ETH-USD) and XRP (XRP-USD) were both up around 4%. Shares of Coinbase (COIN), the largest publicly traded crypto exchange, rose 3.4%. Robinhood (HOOD) and Strategy (MSTR) climbed over 4% and 2.6%, respectively. Read the full story here. Chip stocks surge as Trump points to tariff exemptions for chipmakers Chip stocks climbed on Thursday after President Trump said he'll exempt companies from his planned 100% semiconductor tariffs if they are making or beginning to make their chips in the US. Nvidia (NVDA) rose more than 2%, while Broadcom (AVGO) jumped 1.7% and Micron (MU) rose 3.4%. Most advanced chips are produced by contract chip manufacturer TSMC (TSM) in Taiwan, but the company has been building out its capacity in Arizona, exempting it from Trump's tariffs. The company's US-listed shares soared nearly 7% Thursday morning, hitting a record high. So far, Nvidia has committed to producing $500 billion of AI infrastructure in the US. Micron made a similar $200 billion commitment. Stocks move higher at the open US stocks rose at the open on Thursday as President Trump hinted at a carveout for coming tariffs on semiconductors, boosting tech for a second day, just as his tariffs hit dozens of US trading partners. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose 0.8%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) gained 0.6%, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) was up 0.5%. Stocks to watch: Apple, Eli Lilly, Taiwan Semiconductor, Fortinet Here's a look at some top trending tickers on Thursday ahead of the opening bell: Read more live coverage of corporate earnings here. Continuing claims for unemployment benefits hit highest since November 2021 Americans filing for unemployment insurance on an ongoing basis reached the highest level since November 2021 at the end of July. In the week ending July 26, 1.974 million continuing claims were filed, up from 1.936 million the week prior and the highest level seen since November 2021, according to data from the Department of Labor released Thursday morning. Economists see an increase in continuing claims as a sign that those out of work are taking longer to find new jobs. Meanwhile, weekly filings for unemployment benefits moved higher to 226,000 in the week ending Aug. 2, up from 221,000 the week prior. Read more: What are jobless claims, and why do they matter? Intel stock dips as Trump calls for CEO resignation President Trump on Thursday morning called for the resignation of Intel's (INTC) CEO Lip‑Bu Tan, who has been at the job since March, saying the executive is "highly conflicted" and should leave his post immediately. 'The CEO of INTEL is highly conflicted and must resign immediately. There is no other solution to this problem. Thank you for your attention to this problem!' wrote Trump on social media. On Wednesday, Reuters reported that US Republican Sen. Tom Cotton sent a letter to the company's board raising questions about Tan's ties to Chinese firms and a recent criminal case involving his former company, Cadence Design (CDNS.O). Intel stock was down as much as 3% in premarket trading. Eli Lilly stock falls despite earnings beat as oral GLP-1 pill results disappoint Eli Lilly (LLY) stock fell 7% in premarket trading. Although the company's second quarter earnings topped expectations, the results of a late-stage trial of its highly anticipated oral GLP-1 pill disappointed. For the quarter, Eli Lilly reported $15.56 billion in revenue, beating Wall Street estimates of $14.69 billion. Earnings per share came in at $6.31, compared to Street expectations of $5.56. Much of the $10.81 billion in US revenue was driven by strong sales of weight-loss drugs, Mounjaro and Zepbound, which increased 46% in volume, though prices fell 8%. Yahoo Finance's Anjalee Khemlani reports: Read more here. Good morning. Here's what's happening today. Economic data: Initial jobless claims (week ending Aug. 2); Nonfarm productivity (second quarter preliminary); Unit labor costs (second quarter preliminary) Earnings: Block (XYZ), Celsius (CELH), ConocoPhillips (COP), Eli Lilly (LLY), Sony (SONY), SoundHound (SOUN), Pinterest (PINS), Take-Two Interactive (TTWO), Twilio (TWLO), The Trade Desk (TTD), Vistra Energy (VST) Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning: Investors are 'agitated' by less than perfect earnings Shopify's strong quarter shows consumers are ignoring tariffs Eli Lilly stock falls on GLP-1 pill trial results Trump's tariffs hit dozens of countries as trade deadline expires Trump to sign order easing path for private assets in 401(k)s Apple leads surge in global tech shares after Trump tariff relief Trump boasts billions of dollars flowing into US from tariffs Warner Bros revenue surges on streaming expansion, box-office hits Trump floats possible tariffs on China for buying Russia oil\ TSMC shares surge as Taiwan says firm exempt from Trump tariffs Keep an eye on Firefly IPO Not too far removed from Figma's (FIG) huge IPO, Firefly will come to market at the Nasdaq later on today. The IPO was upsized, and it's likely it will come out of the block strong when it opens. I am not in love with the company's financials, but it has a host of key deals in place and its technology has proven to work (see trips to moon). And it has a SpaceX ( like story to tell at a hot time for markets. Perfectly timed debut. I am live with Firefly CEO Jason Kim around 11am ET today from the Nasdaq. Tune into Yahoo Finance! SoftBank swings to profit on vision fund gains ahead of AI push Softbank's (SFTBF, 9984.T, SFTBY) Tokyo shares closed 1% up on Thursday after reporting a bigger profit than expected in the June quarter. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Apple gains after announcing $100B US investment Apple stock rose 3% before the bell on Thursday. Yahoo Finance's technology editor Daniel Howley and Washington correspondent Ben Werschkul outline the latest developments from the Apple investment announcement on Wednesday. Read more here. Sony stock rises as in-demand games and music help allay Trump tariff fears Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. TSMC hits record; Taiwan says tech giant exempt from US tariffs Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSM) shares rose 5% in premarket trading on Thursday after announcing it will not have to pay 100% tariff on sales to the US. Bloomberg News: Read more here. Toyota slashes 2025 profit guidance, warns of $9.5B tariff hit Toyota (TM), the world's largest automaker, is the latest to warn about the effects of President Trump's tariffs. Yahoo Finance's Pras Subramanian writes: Read the full story here. Toyota (TM), the world's largest automaker, is the latest to warn about the effects of President Trump's tariffs. Yahoo Finance's Pras Subramanian writes: Read the full story here. Bitcoin, crypto stocks rally ahead of Trump order opening 401(k) plans to alternative assets Major cryptocurrencies and crypto-related stocks were rallying early Thursday ahead of President Trump's expected signing of an executive order that would allow alternative assets like cryptocurrencies and private equity into the retirement accounts of millions of Americans, Yahoo Finance's Jake Conley reports. Bitcoin (BTC-USD) rose nearly 2%, while ether (ETH-USD) and XRP (XRP-USD) were both up around 4%. Shares of Coinbase (COIN), the largest publicly traded crypto exchange, rose 3.4%. Robinhood (HOOD) and Strategy (MSTR) climbed over 4% and 2.6%, respectively. Read the full story here. Major cryptocurrencies and crypto-related stocks were rallying early Thursday ahead of President Trump's expected signing of an executive order that would allow alternative assets like cryptocurrencies and private equity into the retirement accounts of millions of Americans, Yahoo Finance's Jake Conley reports. Bitcoin (BTC-USD) rose nearly 2%, while ether (ETH-USD) and XRP (XRP-USD) were both up around 4%. Shares of Coinbase (COIN), the largest publicly traded crypto exchange, rose 3.4%. Robinhood (HOOD) and Strategy (MSTR) climbed over 4% and 2.6%, respectively. Read the full story here. Chip stocks surge as Trump points to tariff exemptions for chipmakers Chip stocks climbed on Thursday after President Trump said he'll exempt companies from his planned 100% semiconductor tariffs if they are making or beginning to make their chips in the US. Nvidia (NVDA) rose more than 2%, while Broadcom (AVGO) jumped 1.7% and Micron (MU) rose 3.4%. Most advanced chips are produced by contract chip manufacturer TSMC (TSM) in Taiwan, but the company has been building out its capacity in Arizona, exempting it from Trump's tariffs. The company's US-listed shares soared nearly 7% Thursday morning, hitting a record high. So far, Nvidia has committed to producing $500 billion of AI infrastructure in the US. Micron made a similar $200 billion commitment. Chip stocks climbed on Thursday after President Trump said he'll exempt companies from his planned 100% semiconductor tariffs if they are making or beginning to make their chips in the US. Nvidia (NVDA) rose more than 2%, while Broadcom (AVGO) jumped 1.7% and Micron (MU) rose 3.4%. Most advanced chips are produced by contract chip manufacturer TSMC (TSM) in Taiwan, but the company has been building out its capacity in Arizona, exempting it from Trump's tariffs. The company's US-listed shares soared nearly 7% Thursday morning, hitting a record high. So far, Nvidia has committed to producing $500 billion of AI infrastructure in the US. Micron made a similar $200 billion commitment. Stocks move higher at the open US stocks rose at the open on Thursday as President Trump hinted at a carveout for coming tariffs on semiconductors, boosting tech for a second day, just as his tariffs hit dozens of US trading partners. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose 0.8%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) gained 0.6%, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) was up 0.5%. US stocks rose at the open on Thursday as President Trump hinted at a carveout for coming tariffs on semiconductors, boosting tech for a second day, just as his tariffs hit dozens of US trading partners. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) rose 0.8%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) gained 0.6%, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) was up 0.5%. Stocks to watch: Apple, Eli Lilly, Taiwan Semiconductor, Fortinet Here's a look at some top trending tickers on Thursday ahead of the opening bell: Read more live coverage of corporate earnings here. Here's a look at some top trending tickers on Thursday ahead of the opening bell: Read more live coverage of corporate earnings here. Continuing claims for unemployment benefits hit highest since November 2021 Americans filing for unemployment insurance on an ongoing basis reached the highest level since November 2021 at the end of July. In the week ending July 26, 1.974 million continuing claims were filed, up from 1.936 million the week prior and the highest level seen since November 2021, according to data from the Department of Labor released Thursday morning. Economists see an increase in continuing claims as a sign that those out of work are taking longer to find new jobs. Meanwhile, weekly filings for unemployment benefits moved higher to 226,000 in the week ending Aug. 2, up from 221,000 the week prior. Read more: What are jobless claims, and why do they matter? Americans filing for unemployment insurance on an ongoing basis reached the highest level since November 2021 at the end of July. In the week ending July 26, 1.974 million continuing claims were filed, up from 1.936 million the week prior and the highest level seen since November 2021, according to data from the Department of Labor released Thursday morning. Economists see an increase in continuing claims as a sign that those out of work are taking longer to find new jobs. Meanwhile, weekly filings for unemployment benefits moved higher to 226,000 in the week ending Aug. 2, up from 221,000 the week prior. Read more: What are jobless claims, and why do they matter? Intel stock dips as Trump calls for CEO resignation President Trump on Thursday morning called for the resignation of Intel's (INTC) CEO Lip‑Bu Tan, who has been at the job since March, saying the executive is "highly conflicted" and should leave his post immediately. 'The CEO of INTEL is highly conflicted and must resign immediately. There is no other solution to this problem. Thank you for your attention to this problem!' wrote Trump on social media. On Wednesday, Reuters reported that US Republican Sen. Tom Cotton sent a letter to the company's board raising questions about Tan's ties to Chinese firms and a recent criminal case involving his former company, Cadence Design (CDNS.O). Intel stock was down as much as 3% in premarket trading. President Trump on Thursday morning called for the resignation of Intel's (INTC) CEO Lip‑Bu Tan, who has been at the job since March, saying the executive is "highly conflicted" and should leave his post immediately. 'The CEO of INTEL is highly conflicted and must resign immediately. There is no other solution to this problem. Thank you for your attention to this problem!' wrote Trump on social media. On Wednesday, Reuters reported that US Republican Sen. Tom Cotton sent a letter to the company's board raising questions about Tan's ties to Chinese firms and a recent criminal case involving his former company, Cadence Design (CDNS.O). Intel stock was down as much as 3% in premarket trading. Eli Lilly stock falls despite earnings beat as oral GLP-1 pill results disappoint Eli Lilly (LLY) stock fell 7% in premarket trading. Although the company's second quarter earnings topped expectations, the results of a late-stage trial of its highly anticipated oral GLP-1 pill disappointed. For the quarter, Eli Lilly reported $15.56 billion in revenue, beating Wall Street estimates of $14.69 billion. Earnings per share came in at $6.31, compared to Street expectations of $5.56. Much of the $10.81 billion in US revenue was driven by strong sales of weight-loss drugs, Mounjaro and Zepbound, which increased 46% in volume, though prices fell 8%. Yahoo Finance's Anjalee Khemlani reports: Read more here. Eli Lilly (LLY) stock fell 7% in premarket trading. Although the company's second quarter earnings topped expectations, the results of a late-stage trial of its highly anticipated oral GLP-1 pill disappointed. For the quarter, Eli Lilly reported $15.56 billion in revenue, beating Wall Street estimates of $14.69 billion. Earnings per share came in at $6.31, compared to Street expectations of $5.56. Much of the $10.81 billion in US revenue was driven by strong sales of weight-loss drugs, Mounjaro and Zepbound, which increased 46% in volume, though prices fell 8%. Yahoo Finance's Anjalee Khemlani reports: Read more here. Good morning. Here's what's happening today. Economic data: Initial jobless claims (week ending Aug. 2); Nonfarm productivity (second quarter preliminary); Unit labor costs (second quarter preliminary) Earnings: Block (XYZ), Celsius (CELH), ConocoPhillips (COP), Eli Lilly (LLY), Sony (SONY), SoundHound (SOUN), Pinterest (PINS), Take-Two Interactive (TTWO), Twilio (TWLO), The Trade Desk (TTD), Vistra Energy (VST) Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning: Investors are 'agitated' by less than perfect earnings Shopify's strong quarter shows consumers are ignoring tariffs Eli Lilly stock falls on GLP-1 pill trial results Trump's tariffs hit dozens of countries as trade deadline expires Trump to sign order easing path for private assets in 401(k)s Apple leads surge in global tech shares after Trump tariff relief Trump boasts billions of dollars flowing into US from tariffs Warner Bros revenue surges on streaming expansion, box-office hits Trump floats possible tariffs on China for buying Russia oil\ TSMC shares surge as Taiwan says firm exempt from Trump tariffs Economic data: Initial jobless claims (week ending Aug. 2); Nonfarm productivity (second quarter preliminary); Unit labor costs (second quarter preliminary) Earnings: Block (XYZ), Celsius (CELH), ConocoPhillips (COP), Eli Lilly (LLY), Sony (SONY), SoundHound (SOUN), Pinterest (PINS), Take-Two Interactive (TTWO), Twilio (TWLO), The Trade Desk (TTD), Vistra Energy (VST) Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning: Investors are 'agitated' by less than perfect earnings Shopify's strong quarter shows consumers are ignoring tariffs Eli Lilly stock falls on GLP-1 pill trial results Trump's tariffs hit dozens of countries as trade deadline expires Trump to sign order easing path for private assets in 401(k)s Apple leads surge in global tech shares after Trump tariff relief Trump boasts billions of dollars flowing into US from tariffs Warner Bros revenue surges on streaming expansion, box-office hits Trump floats possible tariffs on China for buying Russia oil\ TSMC shares surge as Taiwan says firm exempt from Trump tariffs Keep an eye on Firefly IPO Not too far removed from Figma's (FIG) huge IPO, Firefly will come to market at the Nasdaq later on today. The IPO was upsized, and it's likely it will come out of the block strong when it opens. I am not in love with the company's financials, but it has a host of key deals in place and its technology has proven to work (see trips to moon). And it has a SpaceX ( like story to tell at a hot time for markets. Perfectly timed debut. I am live with Firefly CEO Jason Kim around 11am ET today from the Nasdaq. Tune into Yahoo Finance! Not too far removed from Figma's (FIG) huge IPO, Firefly will come to market at the Nasdaq later on today. The IPO was upsized, and it's likely it will come out of the block strong when it opens. I am not in love with the company's financials, but it has a host of key deals in place and its technology has proven to work (see trips to moon). And it has a SpaceX ( like story to tell at a hot time for markets. Perfectly timed debut. I am live with Firefly CEO Jason Kim around 11am ET today from the Nasdaq. Tune into Yahoo Finance! SoftBank swings to profit on vision fund gains ahead of AI push Softbank's (SFTBF, 9984.T, SFTBY) Tokyo shares closed 1% up on Thursday after reporting a bigger profit than expected in the June quarter. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Softbank's (SFTBF, 9984.T, SFTBY) Tokyo shares closed 1% up on Thursday after reporting a bigger profit than expected in the June quarter. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Apple gains after announcing $100B US investment Apple stock rose 3% before the bell on Thursday. Yahoo Finance's technology editor Daniel Howley and Washington correspondent Ben Werschkul outline the latest developments from the Apple investment announcement on Wednesday. Read more here. Apple stock rose 3% before the bell on Thursday. Yahoo Finance's technology editor Daniel Howley and Washington correspondent Ben Werschkul outline the latest developments from the Apple investment announcement on Wednesday. Read more here. Sony stock rises as in-demand games and music help allay Trump tariff fears Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. TSMC hits record; Taiwan says tech giant exempt from US tariffs Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSM) shares rose 5% in premarket trading on Thursday after announcing it will not have to pay 100% tariff on sales to the US. Bloomberg News: Read more here. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSM) shares rose 5% in premarket trading on Thursday after announcing it will not have to pay 100% tariff on sales to the US. Bloomberg News: Read more here. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

New York Fed finds rise in longer-run expected inflation in July
New York Fed finds rise in longer-run expected inflation in July

Yahoo

time17 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

New York Fed finds rise in longer-run expected inflation in July

By Michael S. Derby (Reuters) -Americans' longer-term inflation outlook deteriorated in July even as households boosted their views on the current and future state of their respective financial situations, according to data released on Thursday by the New York Federal Reserve. In its latest Survey of Consumer Expectations, the regional Fed bank said the expected level of inflation five years from now stood at 2.9% in July, rising from 2.6% in the prior month and the highest reading since March. Meanwhile, expected inflation a year from now rose to 3.1% from 3% in June, while three-year-ahead expected inflation held steady at 3%. The rise in longer-run expectations, coming in what had been a short period of ebbing expectations, may get the attention of policymakers who are trying to understand how President Donald Trump's aggressive tariff increases will affect the outlook. The increases in import taxes are widely expected to push up inflation, with some data already showing that is happening. But there are big questions as to whether the increase will be a one-off impact or something more persistent. Some U.S. central bank officials believe the hit will be a one-time event, and they favor an interest rate cut to offset rising risks to the job market. But most Fed officials worry there is a risk the long rollout and rapid shift in tariffs will create more lasting inflation, which is why they are more reluctant to cut rates. Fed officials closely watch longer-run inflation expectations and have cited the relative stability of that data to buttress their confidence that currently elevated price pressures will eventually return to around the central bank's 2% target. In its report on Thursday, the New York Fed found that home prices were expected to rise 3% on a year-ahead basis, while expected future inflation levels across a range of other measures were mixed. The report said labor market views also were mixed in July and the expectation that unemployment will be higher a year from now hit its lowest level since January. Households in July said credit is harder to get but will be easier to obtain a year from now. Survey respondents also said their current and expected financial situations improved in July compared to June.

Waller Emerges as Favorite for Fed Chair Among Trump Team
Waller Emerges as Favorite for Fed Chair Among Trump Team

Yahoo

time17 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Waller Emerges as Favorite for Fed Chair Among Trump Team

(Bloomberg) — Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller is emerging as a top candidate to serve as the central bank's chair among President Donald Trump's advisers as they look for a replacement for Jerome Powell, according to people familiar with the matter. All Hail the Humble Speed Hump Mayor Asked to Explain $1.4 Billion of Wasted Johannesburg Funds Three Deaths Reported as NYC Legionnaires' Outbreak Spreads Major Istanbul Projects Are Stalling as City Leaders Sit in Jail PATH Train Service Resumes After Fire at Jersey City Station Trump advisers are impressed with Waller's willingness to move on policy based on forecasting, rather than current data, and his deep knowledge of the Fed system as a whole, the people said. Waller has met with the president's team about the role, but has yet to meet with Trump himself, the people said on the condition of anonymity to discuss private deliberations. Kevin Warsh, a former Fed official, and Kevin Hassett, currently Trump's National Economic Council director, also remain in contention for the job, the people said, which will open up when Powell's tenure as chair expires in May 2026. 'President Trump will continue to nominate the most competent and experienced individuals,' White House Spokesman Kush Desai said in a statement. 'Unless it comes from President Trump himself, however, any discussion about personnel decisions should be regarded as pure speculation.' A representative for the Fed declined to comment. Trump said on Wednesday that the administration has narrowed the list of candidates for Fed chair to three people. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Vice President JD Vance and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick are on the search committee, Trump said. Hassett has met with Trump to discuss the chair job and has also impressed both the president and the team, Bloomberg News has reported. Warsh interviewed for the job in 2017 but was ultimately passed over for Powell. In November, he was also considered to serve as Treasury secretary. Waller's Dissent Last week, Waller was one of two Fed board members to vote against the central bank's decision to hold its benchmark rate steady for a fifth consecutive time. He and his colleague Michelle Bowman, both Trump nominees, preferred a quarter-point reduction, citing growing signs of labor-market weakness. A few days after the Fed announced its decision to hold interest rates, a jobs report showed that job growth cooled sharply over the previous three months, lending credence to Waller and Bowman's dissent. Waller's views differed from those of Powell and other policymakers on the board, who have so far described the labor market as broadly solid and have supported a patient approach to adjusting rates so that the central bank can continue to gauge how Trump's tariffs will impact the economy. That view has frustrated the president, who has repeatedly assailed Powell for not cutting rates sooner. Waller, a Ph.D. economist, has attracted the attention of Trump's economic advisers over the past year as the president talked about the economy while on the campaign trail. Fed Experience Trump nominated Waller to the Fed in 2020. Before that, he had served as a research director and executive vice president at the St. Louis Fed. In 2020, senators voted 48-47 to support Waller's nomination to the Fed board. As a Fed governor in 2022, Waller engaged in a public debate with influential economists outside the Fed, including former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers, with his argument that the central bank could successfully lower the post-pandemic inflation without significantly raising unemployment. In the end, Waller proved right as inflation came back below 3% and unemployment never moved back above 4.2%. Trump's dissatisfaction with Powell has triggered questions about whether his next pick to lead the Fed would back monetary policy independence for the central bank. Waller has said that the Fed's independence is critical for the economy, but added that the president is free to say what he wants the Fed. Last month, Waller told Bloomberg Television that he hasn't yet directly heard from the president about the Fed chair role. 'If the president contacted me and said, 'I want you to serve,' I would do it,' he said in July. 'But he has not contacted me.' While Powell's term as chair doesn't expire until May, Trump is getting an earlier shot at reshaping the central bank. He said on Wednesday that he planned to fill a soon-to-be vacant slot from Adriana Kugler's early departure from the Fed board with a short-term pick, and then later name a candidate for the 14-year term opening which renews in early 2026. —With assistance from Annmarie Hordern, Christopher Condon and Hadriana Lowenkron. The Pizza Oven Startup With a Plan to Own Every Piece of the Pie Russia's Secret War and the Plot to Kill a German CEO AI Flight Pricing Can Push Travelers to the Limit of Their Ability to Pay A High-Rise Push Is Helping Mumbai Squeeze in Pools, Gyms and Greenery Government Steps Up Campaign Against Business School Diversity ©2025 Bloomberg L.P.

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