
US Fed opens policy meeting, set to hold rates steady
Fed policymakers have kept the benchmark lending rate unchanged since their last rate reduction in December, as officials wait for clarity on how Trump's tariffs are impacting the world's biggest economy.
Their patient approach has riled the president, who has chastised Fed Chair Jerome Powell on multiple occasions, calling him a 'numbskull' and a 'moron.'
On Tuesday, the Fed said in a statement that its policy meeting started at 9:00 am US Eastern time (1300 GMT) as scheduled.
The case for holding interest rates steady at a range between 4.25 percent and 4.50 percent this week has been made by several Fed speakers, said JP Morgan chief US economist Michael Feroli in a recent note. Inflation remains above the Fed's longer-term target of two percent, risks still persist and the labor market is near full employment, he added.
The Fed has signalled it is waiting on the effects of Trump's sweeping tariffs on allies and competitors alike to begin to show up in economic data.
As the central bank mulls changes to monetary policy, officials are seeking a balance between price stability and maximum employment.
Analysts are expecting to see some dissent from Fed policymakers at the end of their meeting Wednesday, given that a couple of officials have signaled openness to rate cuts as soon as in July.
'It will be interesting to watch whether Powell alludes to some potential policy easing before year-end' or if he avoids explicit forward guidance given differences among the Fed's rate-setting committee, said EY chief economist Gregory Daco.
'With no imminent need to act, and a fractured FOMC facing asymmetric risks, the Fed will likely wait until September to deliver the next 25 basis points rate cut,' Daco added, referring to the Federal Open Market Committee.
The Fed said Governor Adriana Kugler would not be attending the meeting 'due to a personal matter.'

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Daily Tribune
5 hours ago
- Daily Tribune
Stocks rebound on US rate cut bets
Most stock markets bounced on Monday on hopes of US interest rate cuts after weak jobs figures raised concerns about the world's top economy. The broad gains followed a Wall Street sell-off on Friday in reaction to the jobs data and news that dozens of countries would be hit with US tariffs ranging from 10 to 41%. The main New York indices were up more than 1% in midday trading. European indices mostly started the week on the front foot, with Paris and Frankfurt both ending the day up more than 1%. "Investors seem to be taking an optimistic view... betting on an increased likelihood of further monetary easing by the Fed after Friday's employment figures," said John Plassard, head of investment strategy at Cite Gestion Private Bank. CME's FedWatch tool has investors seeing an 87.5% of the Fed making a quarter-point cut in interest rates. Plassard noted, however, that "uncertainty reigns" as US President Donald Trump's tariffs are set to take effect on Thursday. Switzerland's stock market dropped around 2% at Monday's open, its first session as it returned from a holiday after a tough 39% US tariff rate was announced. The index pared most of its losses to end the day off just 0.15%, on hopes the Swiss government, which announced it would make an improved offer to Washington, could negotiate a reduction in the levy, which is steeper than that imposed on the European Union and Britain. London advanced, lifted by banking stocks after the sector was granted reprieve from the worst of feared compensation claims over controversial car loans dating back to 2007. Lloyds Banking Group jumped nine percent while Close Brothers, listed on the FTSE 250, soared more than 23%. Asian investors started the week mixed, with Hong Kong and Shanghai advancing while Tokyo fell. Stocks had struggled Friday as US jobs growth missed expectation in July, with revised data showing the weakest hiring since the Covid-19 pandemic -- fuelling concerns that Trump's tariffs are starting to bite. Trump responded to the data by firing the commissioner of labour statistics, accusing her of manipulating employment data for political reasons. Markets reacted more favourably on Monday, as the hiring slowdown boosted hopes of Fed rate cuts to support the economy. "Analysts are betting that rate-setters will prioritise recession avoidance over price controls," said Derren Nathan, head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown. Observers also noted that news of Federal Reserve governor Adriana Kugler stepping down six months early, which gives Trump a chance to increase his influence on the Fed as he pushes for lower rates. Kathleen Brooks, research director at trading platform XTB, said it was expected that Trump's choice to replace Kugler would be in line to later succeed Fed Chairman Jerome Powell when his term ends in May. "Whoever replaces Powell is likely to be a dove and is more likely to acquiesce to President Trump's demands to cut rates," she said. Elsewhere, oil prices fell more than 2% after a sharp output increase by eight OPEC+ countries, with markets anticipating abundant supply. However, they later cut their losses after Trump threatened to hike tariffs on Indian goods further over its purchases of Russian oil.


Daily Tribune
a day ago
- Daily Tribune
DRCongo, Rwanda outline deal on mining, economic cooperation: US
The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and Rwanda have reached an outline economic cooperation accord during their first talks since signing a peace deal, the United States announced. A peace agreement reached in June aimed to end decades of conflict in eastern Congo. It was overseen by Washington which has sought to increase its access to the region's vast mineral wealth. The 'economic integration framework' initialled on Friday is part of the peace accord, the US State Department said. It is designed, according to the peace deal, to introduce greater transparency into supply chains for critical minerals such as coltan and lithium and should be effective by the end of September. The State Department said the two countries had agreed to coordinate 'in areas including energy, infrastructure, mining, national park management and tourism, and public health', without giving further details. 'These milestones represent concrete progress in advancing security, economic cooperation, and the shared pursuit of peace and prosperity under the Peace Agreement,' Massad Boulos, President Donald Trump's senior advisor on Africa, posted on X. Eastern DRC, a region bordering Rwanda with abundant natural resources, saw a fresh surge of violence this year when the M23 armed group, backed by Rwandan troops, captured the key cities of Goma and Bukavu. After months of broken truces, the DRC and M23 signed a declaration of principle on June 19 reaffirming their commitment to a permanent ceasefire. Two days earlier, the Kinshasa government inked an agreement with US group Kobold Metals, which specialises in exploring for critical metals. DRC President Felix Tshisekedi said in April he had met US envoy Massad Boulos to discuss access to minerals. Coveted minerals The DRC is the world's leading producer of cobalt. It also has deposits of gold and other valuable minerals including coltan, a metallic ore that is vital in making phones and laptops, and lithium, which is essential for electric car batteries. On Thursday and Friday, representatives from the DRC and Rwanda, alongside observers from the United States, Qatar and the African Union, held their first meetings in Washington since signing the peace deal. The US said the economic framework and a meeting on Thursday of the countries' peace deal monitoring committee were a 'significant step', saying the African neighbours were 'taking meaningful actions to advance security and economic cooperation'. The peace deal has been welcomed by the African Union and the United Nations, even if analysts remain sceptical about the chances of long-term peace while militias still hold sway in much of eastern DRC. The UN says thousands have been killed in the recent unrest and hundreds of thousands displaced. Rwanda denies providing military support to the M23 but says its security has long been threatened by the presence in the region of the Democratic Forces for the Liberation of Rwanda (FDLR), established by ethnic Hutus linked to the massacres of Tutsis in the 1994 Rwandan genocide. Kinshasa and the M23 have given themselves until August 8 to start talks on a comprehensive peace accord, to be signed by August 17.


Daily Tribune
a day ago
- Daily Tribune
US trade advisor says Trump tariff rates unlikely to change
US trade advisor says Trump tariff rates unlikely to change Washington, United States New US tariff rates are 'pretty much set' with little immediate room for negotiation, Donald Trump's trade advisor said in remarks aired Sunday, also defending the president's politically driven levies against Brazil. Trump, who has wielded tariffs as a tool of American economic might, has set tariff rates for dozens of economies including the European Union at between 10 and 41 percent come August 7, his new hard deadline for the duties. In a pre-taped interview broadcast Sunday on CBS's 'Face the Nation,' US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said 'the coming days' are not likely to see changes in the tariff rates. 'A lot of these are set rates pursuant to deals. Some of these deals are announced, some are not, others depend on the level of the trade deficit or surplus we may have with the country,' Greer said. 'These tariff rates are pretty much set.' Undoubtedly some trade ministers 'want to talk more and see how they can work in a different way with the United States,' he added. But 'we're seeing truly the contours of the president's tariff plan right now with these rates.' Last Thursday, the former real estate developer announced hiked tariff rates on dozens of US trade partners. They will kick in on August 7 instead of August 1, which had previously been touted as a hard deadline. Among the countries facing steep new levies is Brazil. South America's largest economy is being hit with 50 percent tariffs on exports to the United States -- albeit with significant exemptions for key products such as aircraft and orange juice. Trump has openly admitted he is punishing Brazil for prosecuting his political ally Jair Bolsonaro, the ex-president accused of plotting a coup in a bid to cling to power. The US president has described the case as a 'witch hunt.' Greer said it was not unusual for Trump to use tariff tools for geopolitical purposes. 'The president has seen in Brazil, like he's seen in other countries, a misuse of law, a misuse of democracy,' Greer told CBS. 'It is normal to use these tools for geopolitical issues.' Trump was 'elected to assess the foreign affairs situation... and take appropriate action,' he added. Meanwhile White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett said that while talks are expected to continue over the next week with some US trade partners, he concurred with Greer's tariffs assessment in that the bulk of the rates 'are more or less locked in.' Asked by the host of NBC's Sunday talk show 'Meet the Press with Kristen Welker' if Trump could change tariff rates should financial markets react negatively, Hassett said: 'I would rule it out, because these are the final deals.' Legal challenges have been filed against some of Trump's tariffs arguing he overstepped his authority. An appeals court panel on Thursday appeared skeptical of the government's arguments, though the case may be ultimately decided at the Supreme Court.