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With a chance at second Stanley Cup, Matthew Tkachuk's rise to stardom with Panthers continues

With a chance at second Stanley Cup, Matthew Tkachuk's rise to stardom with Panthers continues

Miami Herald2 days ago

Matthew Tkachuk, at just 27 years old, is already well on his way to superstardom.
He's a face of the Florida Panthers, who have made it to the Stanley Cup Final each of the three years he has been with the team since the blockbuster trade that moved him out of Calgary ahead of the 2022-23 season. He's a face of Team USA hockey after being a driving force for the team during the 4 Nations Face-Off in February. A spot on the USA's Olympic roster next winter is essentially a lock barring injury.
He's brash. He's personable. He's the type of player you love to have on your team but love to hate when you have to face him. He knows how to work an interview.
And Tkachuk, just nine seasons into his NHL career and so much time still ahead of him, isn't taking any of it for granted.
'I'm just super lucky, I think,' Tkachuk said Sunday. 'I feel like I'm not even halfway through my career and I've been fortunate enough with so many great things that have happened and been blessed.'
But while most see Tkachuk for who he is and what he does on the ice — the player that gets under opponents' skin, the player who can impact a game even when he's far from 100 percent , the player who, yes, can be an instigator — there's another layer of Tkachuk that isn't seen if only looking at his performance.
There's the player who each of the past two years insisted the entire team — not just the players, not just the players and coaches, everyone — be involved in the group photo for the Prince of Wales Trophy after winning the Eastern Conference final.
There's the player who, on short notice, rallied the whole team together to take part in a walk around Holiday Park just outside their practice facility in Fort Lauderdale on Saturday to honor the late Johnny and Matthew Gaudreau — Tkachuk was teammates with Johnny Gaudreau in Calgary.
There's the player who knows how to talk up his teammates and help foster a community of success inside the dressing room.
It's a key part of the identity Tkachuk has forged throughout his career.
And it's a big reason the Panthers are once again four wins from hoisting the Stanley Cup when they begin their best-of-7 series with the Edmonton Oilers at 8 p.m. Wednesday.
'I think my life changed, obviously, when I got traded here,' said Tkachuk, who has 254 points (88 goals, 166 assists) in 211 games with the Panthers and another 62 points (22 goals, 40 assists) in 61 playoff games. 'Everything's just been — it was incredible before when I was playing in Calgary, and it's just been a whole different beast down here with things that have happened. Hoping to check another box here in a few weeks.'
Tkachuk will be integral in the Panthers' success. After missing the final two-and-a-half months of the regular season with an apparent groin injury sustained during the 4 Nations Face-Off in mid-February, Tkachuk has steadily found his groove again in the playoffs. He has 16 points (five goals, 11 assists) through 17 postseason games, including two goals and five assists in the Eastern Conference final against the Carolina Hurricanes.
But even when he wasn't scoring — he went a 10-game stretch, from Game 4 of Florida's first-round series against the Tampa Bay Lightning through Game 1 against Carolina in the conference final without a goal — he wasn't concerned about his individual performance. He was able to find other ways to impact the game. Plus, the team was winning. That takes priority.
'If it goes in, it goes in. If it doesn't, it doesn't. I've never cared,' Tkachuk said about scoring goals. 'Sometimes it's nice to see it go in, but it is what it is. I'm not [Alex] Ovechkin. They are not always going to go in, but when they do, they feel nice.'
Tkachuk's teammates understand his multi-faceted ways of contributing.
'He's able to be an agitator without taking penalties,' forward A.J. Greer said. 'That's huge for us. A skilled guy who can play in all different types of games.'
Added Sam Bennett, who centers the second line with Tkachuk on his right wing and was also teammates with Tkachuk in Calgary: 'He's a guy that doesn't need to score to be effective. He's doing everything on the ice for this team, and when he scores, it's just an added bonus.'
And perhaps just as important — or maybe even more important — is Tkachuk's emotional intelligence, which coach Paul Maurice said is 'elite.'
'He can feel what a game needs. Matthew has that ability,' Maurice said. 'It's not always the hits. It's what he'll say on the bench. Sometimes he'll bark. Sometimes he'll tap on the pads. But he has a great feel for who's playing very well on the other team, when we have to get physical, when we have to lay off that. Players are far more important than coaches. If the coach is saying it, it's 'Yeah, it might be right.' If the player's saying it, they hear it.'
They hear Tkachuk loud and clear. He has been a spark for this team ever since he stepped foot in South Florida. He has embraced his role through and through.
And now another chance at a Stanley Cup is on the horizon.
'He's a one-of-a-kind player and we're lucky to have him on our side,' Panthers captain Aleksander Barkov said. 'He does it all for us. He's huge for us.'

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FanDuel banned the Gabby Thomas heckler. It was the right move.
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  • USA Today

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2025 NBA Finals preview: Pacers-Thunder key matchups, schedule, biggest X-factor and championship prediction
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Yahoo

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  • Yahoo

2025 NBA Finals preview: Pacers-Thunder key matchups, schedule, biggest X-factor and championship prediction

After an 82-game marathon, followed by three grueling rounds of postseason competition, we now approach the finish line of the 2024-25 NBA season. The Western Conference champion Oklahoma City Thunder — the West's No. 1 seed, and the top overall seed in the postseason bracket — will take on the Eastern Conference champion Indiana Pacers in the 2025 NBA Finals. It's the first postseason meeting between the two franchises. The Thunder enter looking for the franchise's first title in its Oklahoma City era, and first since the former Seattle SuperSonics won it all back in 1979. Indiana similarly heads into the Finals looking to break a lengthy championship drought: The Pacers haven't raised a title banner since the great Slick Leonard led them to three ABA championships in four years between 1970 and 1973, before the ABA-NBA merger. NBA Finals preview What we know about the Thunder That they've been the best team in the NBA since October's opening tip. Advertisement Oklahoma City had the NBA's second-best record and net rating during the 2023-24 season, and were one of only two teams to finish in the top five in both offensive and defensive efficiency. (The other, the Boston Celtics, won the NBA championship.) And then they brought back all of their most important players, traded for Alex Caruso and signed Isaiah Hartenstein. Here's what I posited as the Thunder's best-case scenario when I previewed their season all the way back at the beginning of October: The newcomers function exactly as envisioned, resulting in the Thunder fielding top-two units on both ends and proving to be the class of the league from the opening tip. [Shai Gilgeous-Alexander] wins MVP, [Jalen Williams] and Chet [Holmgren] earn All-Star nods, and the rest of the supporting cast earns Bricktown's undying affection. Oklahoma City returns to the NBA Finals for the first time since 2012 — and wins the franchise's first championship since the move from Seattle. 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Holmgren very well might've joined them at All-Star Weekend if not for an early-season hip fracture; he'd return in February and finish the regular season averaging 15 points, 8 rebounds, 2 assists and 2 blocks per game while shooting 37% from 3 on more than 100 attempts. (There have only been three such seasons in NBA history. Holmgren, two years into his career, has two of them. Unicorn stuff.) The rest of the rotation, from defensive menaces Luguentz Dort and Cason Wallace to energy-injecting wings Aaron Wiggins and Isaiah Joe, play their roles to perfection. Advertisement The results have been historic: the seventh team ever to win 68 games; the highest average margin of victory ever; a defense that profiles as one of the stingiest since the ABA-NBA merger; the best era-adjusted efficiency differential since the '96 Bulls; the top overall seed in the 2025 postseason. After making quick work of the Grizzlies in Round 1, Oklahoma City survived a titanic test from Nikola Jokić and his champion Nuggets in a seven-game second-round war before outclassing the Timberwolves in the conference finals. The Thunder went 12-4 in the tougher conference, outscoring opponents by 11.2 points per 100 possessions — on pace for the best net rating of any champion since the Year 1 KD Warriors. Provided, of course, they spend the next two weeks looking like they have for the last eight months: like one of the best teams we've ever seen. What we know about the Pacers That they are damn sure not a fluke. Plenty of pundits dismissed Indiana's run to the 2024 Eastern Conference finals as a product of merely taking advantage of multiple opponents missing injured stars. That carried over into the 2025 postseason, as Indiana faced a Bucks team missing Damian Lillard, and a Cavaliers side that saw Darius Garland, Evan Mobley, De'Andre Hunter and later Donovan Mitchell all miss time. Advertisement The thing about that, though, as Pacers coach Rick Carlisle noted after knocking off the Knicks: 'You still gotta win the games.' The Pacers did that, often in thrilling and heartstopping fashion, to build on last spring's success and put themselves in position to move on to the championship round. And after New York made them look uncomfortable in a Game 5 win, they simply returned to their first principles — speed, ball pressure, body and ball movement, sharing — and finally broke the Knicks … just like they've done to damn near everybody else for six months. 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It's almost unbelievable how perfectly Pascal Siakam has fit into precisely the holes that the Pacers needed filling: an All-Star comfortable working off of Haliburton or pairing with him in the two-man game, exploiting mismatches against smaller defenders in the post or slower defenders with his face-up game, running the floor like a greyhound to create easy baskets for the offense and unyielding stress for the opposing defense, making the extra pass and calling his own number depending on what the game calls for. He does all of that while playing solid defense across multiple positions, never turning the ball over, and providing the kind of hard-won leadership to which even Indiana's longest-tenured pros can turn. 'You brought in a champion,' Pacers center Myles Turner said. 'You brought in someone that's been there before.' Advertisement They all know what it's like now: They've faced the pressure, they've met the moment, and they've reached the highest level the sport has to offer. Four more wins and they're immortal. Getting those wins against the best team in the NBA will be the toughest challenge Indiana has faced yet. Get them, though, and not a soul alive will be able to form their mouth to call these Pacers a fluke again. Head-to-head Oklahoma City won the regular-season series, 2-0. In the first meeting, on the day after Christmas, with Indiana just starting to turn things around after its early-season morass, the Thunder battled back from a 22-7 deficit to score a 120-114 win at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. It was one of Haliburton's quietest nights of the season — just 4 points on 2-for-6 shooting, though he did add 8 assists against just 1 turnover in 35 minutes — as Thunder head coach Mark Daigneault dispatched Dort and Wallace to shadow him all over the court. Advertisement Indiana responded by going to its Plan B: getting Haliburton off the ball, kicking it to Nembhard, and allowing him to attack 4-on-4 in a more spaced-out floor. The Pacers were still able to generate offense — six double-digit scorers, led by a 23-9-7 night from Nembhard — but just had no answer for Gilgeous-Alexander, who torched them for 45 points (11 of which came in the final 3:42, as OKC closed on a 17-7 run) to go with 8 assists, 7 rebounds, 2 blocks, 1 steal and just 1 turnover in 38 minutes of work — a top-15 individual performance of the entire NBA season, according to John Hollinger's Game Score metric, which aims to provide a rough estimate of how productive a particular player was on a particular night. The rematch came in late March, and was a nip-and-tuck battle … for about a quarter and a half. Oklahoma City ripped off a 20-5 run over a four-minute span just before halftime to blow the game open, held Indiana's starters at bay to open the second half, and then delivered another four-minute 19-7 burst — with SGA off the floor, in J-Dub-led small-ball lineups — to push the game out of reach. The Thunder led by as many as 25 in the fourth quarter, which Haliburton, Siakam, Turner and Nesmith sat out completely, and cruised to a 132-111 win. Advertisement The 133.3 offensive rating that OKC posted in the win marked Indiana's fourth-worst defensive outing of the season. And if you want to get a sense of just how frightening this Thunder team is … it wasn't even a top-20 offensive night for them. Matchup to watch Indiana's turnover avoidance vs. Oklahoma City's turnover creation In both the regular season and playoffs, no team has forced turnovers on a higher share of opponents' possessions than the Thunder, whose roster-wide commitment to intense physicality and ball pressure has produced one of the best defenses in recent memory. In both the regular season and playoffs, the Pacers have owned the NBA's third-lowest turnover rate — a massive reason why, since they got healthy in early December, they've also owned one of the five or so best offenses in the league. Advertisement Strength, meet strength. Haliburton's superpower as a lead initiator — one he put on full display in his brilliant Game 4 performance against New York — is his exceptional ability to make audacious passes at breakneck speed without giving the ball to the other team. Over the last three seasons, only three players who have played at least 5,000 total minutes have assisted on more than 40% of their teammates' baskets while turning it over on fewer than 15% of their team's offensive possessions: Nikola Jokić, Luka Donćic and Haliburton — who has the lowest turnover rate (11.7%) of the bunch. 'I take pride in taking care of the ball,' Haliburton said after Indiana's Game 4 win over the Knicks. 'I'd rather do really anything else on the basketball court than turn the ball over.' (Joseph Raines/Yahoo Sports Illustration) Oklahoma City, conversely, would love nothing more than to take the ball away from you. The Thunder led the NBA in steals, deflections, loose balls recovered on defense and points scored off of turnovers this season, and tied for third in points per possession added in transition. They want to harass you into making a mistake, and then make you pay for it — over and over and over again. Advertisement OKC didn't force a hailstorm of miscues in its two regular-season matchups with Indiana. Haliburton committed only one turnover in 64 minutes against Oklahoma City during the regular season. And as a team, the Pacers turned the ball over only 24 times in two games against the Thunder, leading to 26 points — fewer points per game off of turnovers than OKC scored against anyone else in the league. The 'when' of those boo-boos matters, though. In the March meeting, the Pacers led late into the first quarter … and then committed five turnovers in the next nine minutes of game time, with a missed layup that the Thunder immediately turned into an SGA layup on the other end to boot. Before you knew it, Indiana had lost its offensive rhythm, Oklahoma City had found one, and Gilgeous-Alexander and Co. were up double digits. As Owen Phillips has noted at The F5, turnover margin has become arguably the defining win condition in the modern NBA. During the 2024-25 NBA regular season, teams that won the turnover battle went 668-461, a .592 winning percentage, according to CourtSketch. In the postseason, the team that commits fewer turnovers is 54-20, a .730 winning percentage — equivalent to 60 wins over an 82-game season. Oklahoma City will try to do what it did to Memphis, Denver and Minnesota: tighten the vise grip on and off the ball, reducing the amount of airspace in which the offense has to operate until it's so tightly constricted that the Thunder can just rip the ball away. Indiana, on the other hand, will try to do what it did to Milwaukee, Cleveland and New York: vary its angles of attack and take advantage of being able to run five-out spacing at virtually all times, spreading OKC out enough that even the most hellacious unit in the league can't move far enough and fast enough to keep up with the flight of the ball as it leads navy blue-and-gold-clad bodies into open shots. Whoever's able to tilt the possession battle in their favor figures to have a leg up in what promises to be an all-out sprint of a series. Biggest X-factor How does Holmgren change the matchup? Holmgren didn't play in either game against Indiana during the regular season. He missed the first game during his recovery from a fractured hip, and the second as part of Oklahoma City's management plan for his return from that injury. Advertisement At the risk of overstating the obvious: Adding a 7-foot-1, 3-point shooting, face-up driving rim protector and rebounder who plays 30 minutes a night figures to alter the chemistry of the matchup at least a little. But how? For one thing: Who does Chet guard? During the regular-season matchups, Hartenstein opened up on Turner and Williams began on Siakam, with Dort on Haliburton, Wallace on Nembhard, and SGA taking Indiana's fifth starter (Mathurin in the first game, Nesmith in the second). With Holmgren starting, do you slot him onto Turner, stretch-5-for-stretch-5, put Hartenstein on Siakam — a matchup he saw plenty during both the regular season and the 2024 Eastern Conference semifinals when he was with the Knicks — and slide J-Dub over to Nembhard? Can Indiana make hay out of that, whether with Turner leveraging his strength advantage over Holmgren or Siakam using his speed to dust Hartenstein? If Dort goes shutdown-corner on Haliburton, can Nembhard (who averaged 19.5 points, 7 rebounds and 7 assists per game on 50% shooting against OKC in the regular season) use that bionic shoulder to create space against the 6-foot-6, 220-pound Williams? Advertisement (Also: Daigneault hasn't been shy about toggling the matchups to get his wings cross-matched onto bigs and vice versa — think Wallace on Turner and Hartenstein on Nesmith — when he thinks it might wrong-foot the offense. If and when the Thunder juggle the matchups, can the Pacers' wings take advantage of the extra space and make them pay?) Conversely: How does Indiana defend Chet, and what are the downstream effects of that? The Pacers mostly guarded him with centers during their two meetings in the 2023-24 regular season; that was before OKC added Hartenstein, on whom Indiana stationed its centers with Holmgren absent. Wallace starting in Holmgren's place in both games gave Haliburton a like-sized, lower-usage 'hiding' spot on defense, and allowed Carlisle to station Siakam on Dort, off of whom he could roam to play free safety and muck things up as a help defender. If Carlisle starts more or less straight up — Turner on Hartenstein and Siakam on Holmgren, with Nembhard and Nesmith taking Gilgeous-Alexander and Williams — does the need to be more attentive to Holmgren on the perimeter make it tougher for Siakam to load up in help position? With Haliburton then slotted onto Dort, how hard does OKC look to hit its guard-guard screening actions, trying to hunt the Pacers point guard more effectively than their Eastern competitors were able to in service of forcing Haliburton to handle even more physicality? And if the Pacers try to handle that hunting by pre-switching off the ball, a kind of three-card monte game aimed at keeping Haliburton out of the action, will the Thunder have opportunities to attack gaps and compromise the Pacers rotation? Other key questions I'm curious about Crunch-time lineups Oklahoma City Thunder You can write Gilgeous-Alexander and Williams' names in Sharpie. J-Dub has played 131 of OKC's 192 fourth-quarter minutes this postseason (68.2%) and SGA has played 107 (55.7%). That includes nearly all of the Thunder's (comparatively rare) 27 'clutch' minutes — defined by NBA Advanced Stats as when the score is within points in the final five minutes of the fourth quarter or overtime. Holmgren (97 fourth-quarter minutes, 23 'clutch' minutes) will likely be manning the middle, too. Advertisement Beyond Oklahoma City's burgeoning Big Three, though, Daigneault tends to mix and match. If rebounding and rim protection are the top priorities, Hartenstein will close; if ball pressure, perimeter switchability and shooting are paramount, expect to see plenty of Dort, Caruso and/or Wallace. Whether they go big, small or somewhere in between, Oklahoma City has the goods to throw out nightmarish defensive lineups that provide enough space for SGA to go to work. That's why, despite hardly ever letting contests come down to one or two possessions late, the Thunder have tended to fare awfully well within tighter confines: They're 21-10 in 'clutch' games, outscoring opponents by 42 points in 94 regular- and postseason crunch-time minutes. Indiana Pacers Nembhard, Turner, Siakam, Nesmith and Haliburton lead Indiana in fourth-quarter minutes during the postseason, and that quintet has outscored the Pacers' opposition by 18 points in 51 final-frame minutes. They've also played nearly all of the team's 'clutch' minutes. Advertisement Carlisle has demonstrated his willingness to reach down the bench for a change-up if he thinks one's necessary: T.J. McConnell for point-of-attack pressure and an extra ball-handler, Ben Sheppard for a bit more size and shooting on the perimeter, Obi Toppin for some more offensive juice and athleticism, Thomas Bryant to stretch the floor, Jarace Walker (if healthy) for more mobility up front, etc. For the most part, though, expect Carlisle to stick with the unit that got him here — the group best equipped to play the style on both ends of the floor that can make Indiana such a difficult puzzle for opponents to solve. Prediction: Thunder in 6 The Pacers are a phenomenal team: an explosive, efficient, fast-paced and well-drilled offense, paired with a physical, aggressive, versatile, well-schemed defense. They're deep and disciplined, creative and well-coached — a beautifully conceived and constructed modern NBA team. It's just that the Thunder are all of that, too, only better at … well, just about all of it. Advertisement I picked Oklahoma City to hoist the Larry O'B before the season, I did it again before the playoffs, and as impressed as I've been by Indiana, I see no reason to switch up now. SGA caps one of the most incredible individual seasons in NBA history by winning Finals MVP, and the Thunder make all of us wonder whether all that talk about the death of dynasties might not have been a bit premature. Series odds (via BetMGM) Oklahoma City Thunder (-700) Indiana Pacers (+500) Series schedule (all times Eastern) Game 1: Indiana at Oklahoma City on Thursday, June 5 (8:30 p.m., ABC) Game 2: Indiana at Oklahoma City on Sunday, June 8 (8 p.m., ABC) Advertisement Game 3: Oklahoma City at Indiana on Wednesday, June 11 (8:30 p.m., ABC) Game 4: Oklahoma City at Indiana on Friday, June 13 (8:30 p.m., ABC) *Game 5: Indiana at Oklahoma City on Monday, June 16 (8:30 p.m., ABC) *Game 6: Oklahoma City at Indiana on Thursday, June 19 (8:30 p.m., ABC) *Game 7: Indiana at Oklahoma City on Sunday, June 22 (8 p.m., ABC) *if necessary

2025 NBA playoff predictions, odds: Back Thunder to sweep underdog Pacers
2025 NBA playoff predictions, odds: Back Thunder to sweep underdog Pacers

Fox Sports

time22 minutes ago

  • Fox Sports

2025 NBA playoff predictions, odds: Back Thunder to sweep underdog Pacers

After a lengthy layoff between rounds, the NBA Finals begin on Thursday. It will feature the upstart Indiana Pacers taking on the juggernaut Oklahoma City Thunder. These two teams have taken very different paths to get here. The Pacers were once 10-15 in the early stages of the season and looked like they might struggle to even return to the postseason after such a sluggish start. They eventually overcame that rocky start and captured the 4-seed in the Eastern Conference. The Thunder had no such struggles, as they enter the Finals with an absurd 80-18 overall record — including the playoffs. They even set the record for most double-digit wins as the 1-seed in the Western Conference this season. OKC not only had a record-setting 54 wins by 10 or more but won a staggering twelve games by 30 points or more. has some fascinating tidbits about this series. Betting on these two teams to meet in the Finals prior to the season would have paid 100-1 at BetMGM, while the Pacers were 25-1 to win the East and 66-1 to win the NBA title. This was an incredibly unlikely run, and considering the Pacers' 10-15 start, it's even more amazing. But can they finish the job? I'm skeptical. However, I am somewhat hesitant to underestimate this Pacers team, considering how impressive it has been through the first three rounds. Indy is led by Hall of Fame coach Rick Carlisle and the aptly-named Pacers want to run and gun, playing at a fast, frenetic tempo. But that's usually not the formula for pulling off an upset against a more talented team. The Thunder are young, deep, and outstanding defensively. They will thrive at playing a fast-paced style. What gave the Thunder the most trouble so far this postseason was when the Nuggets dragged them into a slow, half-court game. It also helped that Denver had three-time MVP Nikola Jokić. I think the underdog story comes to an end here. It'll be like when the aforementioned Nuggets quickly disposed of the underdog Heat in five games to win the championship in 2023. The Pacers are a fantastic story, but this is a brutal matchup, considering their style of play. The Thunder, on the other hand, have a plethora of viable perimeter options for defending Pacers' star Tyrese Haliburton. FanDuel had "OKC to sweep" at +330 just hours before I wrote this, and it's now the best number on the market at +290. But it's still a bet that I would make. The Thunder are heavy -750 series favorites, and losing would be a historic Finals upset. But chalk should prevail here, as I expect the Thunder to make short work of the Pacers. PICK: OKC (+290) 4-0 Correct Series Score PICK: Total games Under 5.5 (-135) Will Hill, a contributor on the Bears Bets Podcast, has been betting on sports for over a decade. He is a betting analyst who has been a host on VSiN, as well as the Goldboys Network. ​​Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account , and follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily! recommended Get more from National Basketball Association Follow your favorites to get information about games, news and more

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