
Morning Bid: Relief rally starts to fizzle
A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Ankur Banerjee
The prospect of narrower-than-feared U.S. tariffs rekindled some investor optimism in recent days but the relief rally in stocks is already showing signs of petering out, worn down by the unrelenting uncertainty over what comes next.
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Asian stocks took their cues from Wall Street and rose during the early Asia trading hours on signs that there may be negotiations under way to head off or narrow the scope of reciprocal tariffs due to be announced on April 2.
But by afternoon Asian stocks were wavering, while U.S. and European stock futures pointed lower.
The markets' gyrations underscore investor skittishness over U.S. tariffs and the damage they could inflict on the global economy as well as on corporate profits.
U.S. President Donald Trump indicated on Monday that not all of his threatened levies would be imposed on April 2 and that some countries may get a break. He also warned that automobile tariffs are coming soon and slapped 25% secondary tariffs on any country that buys oil or gas from Venezuela.
And those were just the tariff headlines from Monday!
With the economic calendar during European hours rather sparse, global trade conflicts will remain in the spotlight even if market reactions for now will likely be muted.
Among currencies, the focus during Asian hours was on the Indonesian rupiah , which sank to its lowest level since the Asian financial crisis of the late 1990s on the dollar's overall strength and worries over the fiscal health of Southeast Asia's largest economy.
Investor confidence has been waning in Indonesia, where the stock market (.JKSE), opens new tab last week felt the brunt of investor angst over Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto's massive social spending plans.
The dollar was near a three-week high against the yen and the euro after upbeat U.S. services data eased some concerns about where the economy is headed.
Overshadowing everything in the markets, however, is what's happening with tariffs - implemented, proposed and on the way - and whether they may undermine economic growth in the United States.
Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:
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Sky News
6 minutes ago
- Sky News
NATO chief's speech was meant as a call to arms, but it was also a shameful admission for the alliance
For all the stark warnings and ominous predictions made by the head of NATO today, one key fact remained unmentioned. The West is still funding the Russian war effort to the tune of billions by buying oil and gas, funnelling vast amounts into an economy that is now fully militarised. Russian gas exports to Europe went up by 20% last year and its LNG exports to the EU are now at record levels. Vladimir Putin's Russia is now making more money from selling fossil fuels than Ukraine receives from allies. NATO's secretary general Mark Rutte did not mention any of that. But he did spell out what Russia is doing with all that hydrocarbon revenue. It is using it to put its economy onto a war footing that is now pumping out munitions at a rate that puts the West to shame, to the extent Russia could have the capability to take on NATO in three to five years, according to Mr Rutte. The secretary general meant his speech in London as a warning and call to arms. But it was also a shameful admission for the Western alliance he heads. More than three years into this war, Russia is outstripping the entire Western bloc by four to one in terms of munitions production. 5:09 Russia's economy is 1/25th that of NATO's combined economic might and crippled by sanctions and yet every three months pumps out more shells than the entire NATO bloc manages in a year. And while Europe carries on funding Russia's war effort by buying its oil and gas, none of that is going to change. We are now in the insane and obscene situation where European taxpayers will have to fork out more, a lot more, to counteract the threat of a militarised Russia, whose resurgence is being subsidised by Western countries buying its fossil fuels.


The Guardian
17 minutes ago
- The Guardian
Trump announces $1,000 government-funded accounts for American babies
Donald Trump unveiled a federal program Monday providing $1,000 government-funded investment accounts for American babies, getting big time backing from top business leaders who plan to contribute billions more to an initiative tied to 'the big beautiful bill'. At a White House roundtable with over a dozen CEOs, including from Uber, Goldman Sachs and Dell Technologies, Trump relayed the details of 'Trump accounts' – tax-deferred investment accounts tracking stock market performance for children born between 2025 and 2029. 'For every US citizen born after December 31, 2024, before January 1, 2029, the federal government will make a one-time contribution of $1,000 into a tax-deferred account that will track the overall stock market,' Trump said. The accounts will be controlled by guardians and allow additional private contributions up to $5,000 annually. Trump called it 'a pro-family initiative that will help millions of Americans harness the strength of our economy to lift up the next generation'. CEOs from major companies including Michael Dell, Dara Khosrowshahi of Uber, David Solomon of Goldman Sachs, and Vladimir Tenev of Robinhood committed billions for employees' children's accounts. Trump praised the executives as 'really the greatest business minds we have today' who are 'committed to contributing millions of dollars to the Trump account'. Mike Johnson, the House speaker, also at the roundtable, championed the program, saying: 'It's a bold, transformative policy that gives every eligible American child a financial head start from day one. Republicans are proud to be the party we always have been. It supports life and families, prosperity and opportunity.' The program passed the House as part of a massive budget bill but faces stiffer Senate Republican resistance over the broader package. The accounts cannot be implemented as a standalone program and depend entirely on passage of what Trump calls the 'one big, beautiful bill' that is 'among the most important pieces of legislation in our country's history', claiming it's 'fully funded through targeted reforms' including welfare changes and a proposed remittance tax. However, the congressional budget office last week found the bill would also add $2.4tn to the national debt over the next decade while cutting Medicaid and food assistance programs. The CBO analysis showed the bill, which passed the House by a single vote and no Democratic support, would leave 10.9 million more Americans without healthcare by 2034. The treasury-funded accounts, previously called 'Maga ccounts' resemble existing 529 college plans but with lower contribution limits – leading some financial advisers to say the Trump accounts may not offer the best investment incentives. The move is also not without precedent the United Kingdom operated a similar Child Trust Fund with government seed funding from 2002-2011 before discontinuing the program, while Singapore runs the Baby Bonus Scheme that includes government-matched savings accounts for children. Trump was optimistic about returns, saying beneficiaries would 'really be getting a big jump on life, especially if we get a little bit lucky with some of the numbers and the economies into the future'. Johnson warned that failure to pass the legislation would result in 'the largest tax increase in American history' and pushed for swift congressional action on what he called 'pro-growth legislation' that would 'help every single American'.


The Independent
23 minutes ago
- The Independent
Trump gets Dell, Uber, Goldman Sachs to pay Americans $1K for each baby born — if ‘beautiful bill' passed
Executives from a trio of the biggest and most widely known companies in America are lining up behind President Donald Trump 's plan to create investment accounts for children born during his second term as an enticement to pass his divisive One Big Beautiful Bill Act currently under consideration in Congress. Dell Computer founder Michael Dell, Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi, and Goldman Sachs boss David Solomon appeared at the White House on Monday alongside Trump for an event to promote what the bill labels 'Trump accounts' as a way of promoting financial literacy and encouraging Americans to have more children. Each announced that their respective companies would be willing to contribute to accounts established for children of their employees. The 'Trump accounts' would be tax-deferred and would start with a one-time contribution of $1,000 from the federal government. Funds deposited into the accounts would be invested to track the overall stock market and be accessible when the children reach age 21. Trump hailed the business leaders for participating in the project, calling them 'the greatest business minds we have today.' 'These men and women lead large, successful companies, and they're committed to contributing millions of dollars to the Trump account. And it's really it's going to be something incredible for children and for their employees in many cases,' he said. 'This is a pro family initiative that will help millions of Americans harness the strength of our economy to lift up the next generation, and they'll really be getting a big jump on life, especially if we get a little bit lucky with some of the numbers and the economies into the future,' he added. The president credited Dell, a longtime Republican donor, with having brought the 'Trump account' concept to his attention, as well as GOP Representative Blake Moore of Utah and House Speaker Mike Johnson, the latter of whom hailed the proposed policy as ' a bold, transformative policy that gives every eligible American child a financial head start from day one.' But the plan Republicans have adopted actually follows one that has been implemented in places such as California, Connecticut and the District of Columbia — each of which has introduced 'baby bonds' which invest funds for newborns that are available when they reach adulthood for education and other purposes. The idea dates back to 2010 as an academic proposal for reducing wealth inequalities and breaking cycles of poverty, and it was the centerpiece of New Jersey Senator Cory Booker's short-lived 2020 presidential campaign. The Trump administration proposal included in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act would require at least one parent to produce a Social Security number with work authorizations, which would prevent children of some categories of immigrants from having accounts established for them. Unlike the District of Columbia's program and similar ones that are intended to reduce poverty by targeting disadvantaged groups, the 'Trump account' program would be available to families of all incomes. Dell, the veteran entrepreneur and home computer pioneer, said his company was 'proud to be one of the very first companies' to support the proposal. 'Following your inspiring lead, Mr. President, Dell Technologies will match the government's contributions dollar for dollar for every child born to a Dell team member,' Dell said. 'This isn't just a new benefit. This is investment in our people, their families, our communities and America's future, and it embodies our core belief that opportunity should begin at birth.' He added that he and his wife 'expect to make a very significant gift' through his family's foundation to support the plan, calling it 'a powerful platform for Philanthropic Innovation aimed at helping children thrive wherever they come from, particularly those families who historically left behind.'