Long U.S. Treasury Yields Ease; Fed Rate Cut Isn't Imminent
0606 GMT – German Bunds are likely to stabilize further this week, with buyers entering at levels about 2.70% for the 10-year Bund, say Commerzbank Research's Hauke Siemssen and Erik Liem in a note. 'In Bunds, 10-year yields got repeatedly bought above 2.70%, with the steepening mostly driven by the weak ultra-long end,' the rates strategists say. Shaky risk sentiment and subdued purchasing manager indexes are likely to provide support, they say. This would also cap a rise in yields. Flash estimate purchasing managers' data for July for France, Germany and the eurozone are due on Thursday, prior to the European Central Bank's interest-rate decision later that day. The 10-year German Bund yield closed at 2.699% last Friday, according to Tradeweb. (emese.bartha@wsj.com)
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From Krispy Kreme to GoPro, has meme-stock trading frenzy returned?
Shares in struggling retailers and ageing consumer brands surged, as amateur traders cast aside Wall Street's skepticism and mobilized online. It's like 2021 all over again. But the latest meme-stock rally could be even bigger than its predecessor four years ago, when investors piled into recognizable but unloved stocks, such as the video games retailer GameStop and the movie theatre chain AMC, according to the founder of the Reddit forum that helped whip up the frenzy. Retailer Kohl's, camera firm GoPro, fast-food chain Wendy's and doughnut chain Krispy Kreme each staged rapid rallies this week, driven by abrupt surges in trading volume reminiscent of the the meme-stock craze of 2021, when social media memes boosted a collection of struggling stocks, triggering extraordinary and volatile leaps in value. Actress Sydney Sweeney helped bring clothing retailer American Eagle Outfitters into the mania after it was announced the Euphoria and White Lotus star would front the brand's latest marketing campaign. The company's shares surged about 10% in trading on Thursday. Meme stocks are 'about to leap-frog in size and scope and scale, so that retail traders are going to redefine what matters', according to Jaime Rogozinski, founder of the wallstreetbets Reddit forum behind many of the volatile rallies. 'The world of finance is clearly changing, with blockchain technologies encroaching, and AI agents that trade on their own,' he said. 'And the collective of retail traders is adapting along with it.' Rogozinski founded wallstreetbets in 2012, but said Reddit ousted him as a moderator in 2020. His bid to sue the social media company for trademark infringement was dismissed by the US court of appeals for the ninth circuit last month. The forum's users home in on stocks and share their own research. 'It's a decentralization of power of who can be financial analyst,' said Noor Al, a moderator on wallstreetbets. 'Great ideas can now come from anyone, anywhere. 'We're seeing the power of retail push stocks, sometimes to the tune of billions of dollars, through the power of ideas, the power of community and the power of the people,' he added. The meme-stock craze of 2021, which produced stars such as Roaring Kitty, was a product of the Covid era, when many amateur traders were stuck at home and flush with pandemic stimulus cash. Whether this latest frenzy produces similar winners is not yet clear. Kohl's finished the week up 32%, GoPro was up 66% and Krispy Kreme was up 41%. The rallies show some investors are willing to take on more risk, as stocks scale record highs and the market, dominated by big tech, becomes harder to beat. Often, meme-stock bets are unbound from economic fundamentals, as investors move to support a brand for romantic or ideological reasons. Donald Trump's Trump Media & Technology Group, home to Truth Social, is valued at more than $5bn on quarterly revenue of about $1m. The wallstreetbets ethos 'has always to some extent been about flaunting and exploiting the ironies, relevance or irrelevance' of the stock market, said Rogozinski, who pointed to Wendy's, the hamburger chain, as a good example. 'Wendy's has always been a meme that goes back a decade. It brings a smile to my face, because on Reddit there's always been this thing where they say: 'Sir, this is a Wendy's.' 'It's an inside joke, and I don't even get where it started. It's just a meme,' he added. 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Why you might one day use stablecoins in place of credit cards or bank accounts
If you're buying a new laptop or pair of shoes today, you may encounter a host of payment options: a credit or debit card, PayPal, Apple Pay, or buy now, pay later plans. Soon, you could see another option at checkout: stablecoins. President Trump recently signed the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins Act, or GENIUS Act, establishing federal regulations for stablecoins. Many observers believe that by establishing clear rules, lawmakers have paved the way for cryptocurrency to go mainstream as a means of payment. Even if you've never dabbled in crypto, the new law could change the way you shop, send money, get paid, and bank. What is a stablecoin? Stablecoin is a form of crypto, meaning it's digital money that runs on a blockchain network. But it's a bit different from many mainstream cryptocurrencies. Many popular cryptos like bitcoin and ethereum are notorious for their wild price swings. That volatility makes them popular with investors seeking to profit from those ups and downs. But it also makes them impractical to use as currency. As the name implies, stablecoins are intended to have a stable value. Their value is pegged to the value of another asset, usually the US dollar. For example, one token of tether or USDC (two of the most popular stablecoins) is worth exactly $1. Because its value doesn't have the dramatic highs and lows associated with most cryptos, it's a viable way to pay for goods and services or transfer funds. At the same time, it also avoids a lot of the headaches associated with traditional banking. 'Many traditional cards charge merchants 2% to 3% in fees, a cost that is ultimately passed on to consumers,' said Himal Makwana, senior vice president and head of strategy and new initiatives at Fidelity National Information Services Inc. 'Stablecoin transactions, on the other hand, can cost just pennies regardless of transaction size. For consumers, this means no more waiting days for funds to clear, no more exorbitant fees for sending money abroad, and no more banking hours limiting when you can move your money.' Even before the passage of the GENIUS Act, stablecoins were surging in popularity. Circulation has doubled to about $30 billion in daily transactions over the past 18 months, according to a July 2025 McKinsey & Co. report. But stablecoins still aren't a fixture in consumer payments and spending. They've largely been used for trading into and out of other types of crypto and, to a lesser extent, sending payments across international borders. Read more: Stablecoins go mainstream after Circle's blockbuster IPO. Here's what they do. What's changing under the GENIUS Act? The GENIUS Act is the first major federal law regulating crypto. The CLARITY Act, a second crypto regulation bill, recently won approval from the US House of Representatives. 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Faster, cheaper international transfers If you've ever sent funds to loved ones in another country, you're no doubt familiar with the pain points of making international transfers. The World Bank estimates that remittances cost the sender about 6.62% of each transfer, which amounts to about $31 of a $500 transfer. International wire transfers can also take anywhere from one to five days to complete. Wider adoption of stablecoins could be a game-changer for international transfers, given the low costs and speed. Cross-border stablecoin foreign transaction fees are minimal, and transfers can be executed immediately. 'What used to take days and cost $30-plus now takes seconds and costs less than a penny,' Hudack said. Your bank will want in on the action Given the potential disruption to traditional payment rails, major financial institutions are exploring whether to issue their own stablecoins. 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Instead of routing through banking rails, your payment might move over a stablecoin network and settle instantly,' Hudack said. 'You won't need to think about 'converting' into stablecoins any more than you think about how Netflix streams video through fiber.' He points to his own platform, Sling Money, as an example: It uses stablecoins to facilitate transfers, but users move money in the same way they would with other platforms. 'The only difference for the end-consumer is that the transaction is near-instant and near-free,' Hudack said. 'But the fundamental physics of stablecoins are different than fiat money and enable a lot of new experiences that aren't otherwise possible.' Sign up for the Mind Your Money newsletter Sign in to access your portfolio
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