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MGP Ingredients Reports Second Quarter 2025 Results

MGP Ingredients Reports Second Quarter 2025 Results

Business Wire3 days ago
ATCHISON, Kan.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- MGP Ingredients, Inc. (Nasdaq: MGPI), a leading provider of branded and distilled spirits and food ingredient solutions, today reported results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2025.
"Our second quarter results came in largely as expected as we delivered solid execution and sequential improvement across all three business segments. Our decisive actions to improve visibility with our customers are working as second quarter brown goods volume and price declines were in line with our expectations. Our teams remain tightly focused on key initiatives and continue to execute on our strategic priorities, which I expect will position us well for the second half and give us the confidence to reaffirm our 2025 outlook,' said Brandon Gall, CFO.
He added, 'I am pleased to welcome Julie as MGP's new CEO. She brings a strong strategic lens, deep commercial expertise, and a proven ability to lead teams. I look forward to partnering with her and I am confident that under her leadership, MGP will be better positioned to sharpen execution, accelerate growth initiatives, and advance our long-term vision of becoming a premier, branded spirits company.'
"I am excited to take on the CEO role and look forward to building on the progress made by Brandon and the MGP team,' said Julie Francis, president and CEO. 'Our goal continues to be delivering sustainable growth and unlocking meaningful, long-term value for all stakeholders. We will work together with clarity, integrity, and agility to strengthen our customer-centric, brands-led approach and execute with excellence across our platforms."
2025 second quarter financial highlights compared to 2024 second quarter:
Consolidated sales decreased 24% to $145.5 million.
Consolidated gross profit decreased 30% to $58.4 million. Gross margin decreased by 350 basis points to 40.1%.
Net income decreased 55% to $14.4 million. On an adjusted basis, net income decreased 45% to $20.9 million.
Basic earnings per common share ('EPS') decreased to $0.67 per share from $1.43 per share. Adjusted basic EPS decreased 43% to $0.97 per share.
Adjusted EBITDA decreased 38% to $35.9 million.
Year-to-date capital expenditures declined 17% to $18.7 million compared to the year-ago period, while year-to-date operating cash flows increased $26.8 million to $56.4 million.
Net debt leverage ratio stands at approximately 1.8x as of June 30, 2025.
Consolidated Results
Second quarter 2025 consolidated sales decreased by 24% compared to the year-ago quarter, primarily due to expected declines in brown goods sales within our Distilling Solutions segment and value and mid price tiered brands within our Branded Spirits segment. Lower brown goods sales also impacted profitability, leading to a 30% decline in second quarter gross profit. Operating income decreased to $20.3 million due to lower gross profit and an $8.0 million increase in the fair value of the contingent consideration liability related to the improved performance of the Penelope brand. Adjusted operating income decreased to $28.7 million as reduced gross profit was partially offset by lower advertising and promotion expenses.
Second quarter advertising and promotion expenses decreased 41% to $6.9 million as we lapped elevated spend for certain advertising campaigns in the year-ago quarter and continued to realign our spend behind our most attractive growth opportunities. Branded Spirits advertising and promotion spend of $6.3 million was approximately 10% of Branded Spirits segment sales in the second quarter.
Branded Spirits
Branded Spirits segment sales decreased 5% to $60.5 million compared to the prior-year quarter. Our increased focus on our most attractive growth opportunities across the American whiskey and tequila categories continued to take hold, leading to 1% growth in our premium plus sales to $31.1 million. Within our premium plus portfolio, the Penelope brand continued its strong sales trajectory with another quarter of above-category sales growth. As expected, sales of our mid and value priced portfolios, combined, declined by nearly 15% due to lower volumes of certain tequila, liqueur, and cordial brands. Branded Spirits gross profit decreased by 5% to $32.0 million, while segment gross margins increased modestly to 52.8%.
Distilling Solutions
Distilling Solutions segment sales decreased by 46% to $50.0 million, compared to the prior-year quarter. Although Distilling Solutions segment sales and profitability continued to be pressured by reduced customer demand for brown goods primarily due to elevated industry-wide barrel inventories, our second quarter brown goods sales volume and pricing were largely in line with our expectations, reflecting the positive impact of our proactive engagement and visibility with our customers. Distilling Solutions gross profit of $18.8 million decreased by 56%, or 37.6% of segment sales.
Ingredient Solutions
Ingredient Solutions segment returned to positive growth in second quarter 2025 as sales increased by 5% to $35.0 million compared to the year-ago quarter. As expected, sales improved sequentially from first quarter 2025 for each of the segment product lines reflecting commercialization of new domestic customers as well as improved operational execution relative to the first quarter. Segment gross profit increased to $7.6 million, or 21.7% of segment sales.
2025 Financial Outlook
MGP provided consolidated guidance for fiscal 2025:
Sales are projected to be in the range of $520 million to $540 million.
Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $105 million to $115 million.
Adjusted basic EPS is expected to be in the $2.45 to $2.75 range, with weighted average basic shares outstanding of approximately 21.4 million, and an effective tax rate of approximately 25%.
Full-year capital expenditures are now expected to be approximately $32.5 million relative to previous expectations of approximately $36 million.
Conference Call and Webcast Information
MGP Ingredients will host a conference call today, July 31, 2025, at 10 a.m. ET to discuss these results and current business trends. Investors can dial 844-308-6398 or 412-717-9605 (international) to listen to the live call. A live webcast will be available at the 'News and Events' section of the company's Investor Relations website at ir.mgpingredients.com/news-events. A replay of the conference call will be available on the company's website.
About MGP Ingredients, Inc.
MGP Ingredients Inc. (Nasdaq: MGPI) has been formulating excellence since 1941 by bringing product ideas to life across the alcoholic beverage and specialty ingredient industries through three segments: Branded Spirits, Distilling Solutions, and Ingredient Solutions. MGPI is one of the leading spirits distillers with an award-winning portfolio of premium brands including Penelope, Rebel, Remus, and Yellowstone bourbons and El Mayor tequila, under the Luxco umbrella. With distilleries in Indiana and Kentucky; a tequila distillery in Arandas, Mexico; and bottling operations in Missouri, Ohio, and Northern Ireland, the company creates distilled spirits for customers including many world-renowned spirits brands. In addition, the company's high-quality specialty fiber, protein, and starch ingredients provide functional, nutritional, and sensory solutions for a wide range of food products. To learn more visit MGPIngredients.com.
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This press release may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including without limitation statements about the ability of MGP Ingredients, Inc. (the 'Company' or 'MGP') to be well-positioned, better-positioned, sharpen execution, accelerate growth initiatives, become a premier branded spirits company, deliver growth, unlock value, strengthen its approach, and execute with excellence; and the Company's 2025 outlook, including its expectations for sales, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted basic EPS, shares outstanding, tax rate, and capital expenditures. Forward looking statements are usually identified by or are associated with words such as 'intend,' 'plan,' 'believe,' 'estimate,' 'expect,' 'anticipate,' 'project,' 'forecast,' 'hopeful,' 'should,' 'may,' 'will,' 'could,' 'encouraged,' 'opportunities,' 'potential,' and similar terminology. These forward-looking statements reflect management's current beliefs and estimates of future economic circumstances, industry conditions, Company performance, Company financial results, and Company financial condition and are not guarantees of future performance.
All forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations include without limitation any effects of changes in consumer preferences and purchases and our ability to anticipate or react to those changes; our ability to compete effectively and any effects of industry dynamics and market conditions; damage to our reputation or that of any of our key customers or their brands; failure to introduce successful new brands and products or have effective marketing or advertising; changes in public opinion about alcohol or our products; our reliance on our distributors to distribute our branded spirits; our reliance on fewer, more profitable customer relationships; interruptions in our operations or a catastrophic event at our facilities; decisions concerning the quantity of maturing stock of our aged distillate; any inability to successfully complete our capital projects or fund capital expenditures or any warehouse expansion issues; our reliance on a limited number of suppliers; work disruptions or stoppages; climate change and measures to address climate change; regulation and taxation and compliance with existing or future laws and regulations; tariffs, trade relations, and trade policies; excise taxes, incentives and customs duties; our ability to protect our intellectual property rights and defend against alleged intellectual property rights infringement claims; failure to secure and maintain listings in control states; labeling or warning requirements or limitations on the availability of our products; product recalls or other product liability claims; anti-corruption laws, trade sanctions, and restrictions; litigation or legal proceedings; limited rights of common stockholders and anti-takeover provisions in our governing documents; the impact of issuing shares of our common stock; higher costs or the unavailability and cost of raw materials, product ingredients, energy resources, or labor; failure of our information technology systems, networks, processes, associated sites, or service providers; acquisitions and potential future acquisitions; interest rate increases; reliance on key personnel; commercial, political, and financial risks; covenants and other provisions in our credit arrangements; pandemics or other health crises; ability to pay any dividends and make any share repurchases; and the effectiveness or execution of our strategic plan. For further information on these risks and uncertainties and other factors that could affect the Company's business, see the 'Risk Factors' and 'Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations' sections of the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024 and its Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarters ended March 31 and June 30, 2025, as well as the Company's other SEC filings. The Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements or information in this press release, except as required by law.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
In addition to reporting financial information in accordance with U.S. GAAP, the Company provides certain non-GAAP financial measures that are not in accordance with, or alternatives for, GAAP. In addition to the comparable GAAP measures, the Company has disclosed adjusted operating income, adjusted income before income taxes, adjusted net income, adjusted MGP earnings, adjusted EBITDA, net debt, net debt leverage ratio, and adjusted basic and diluted EPS, as well as guidance for adjusted EBITDA and adjusted basic EPS. The presentation of these non-GAAP financial measures should be reviewed in conjunction with operating income, income before income taxes, net income, net income used in earnings per common share calculation, debt, and basic and diluted EPS computed in accordance with U.S. GAAP and should not be considered a substitute for the GAAP measure. We believe that the non-GAAP measures provide useful information to investors regarding the Company's performance and overall results of operations. In addition, management uses these non-GAAP measures in conjunction with GAAP measures when evaluating the Company's operating results compared to prior periods on a consistent basis, assessing financial trends, and for forecasting purposes. Non-GAAP financial measures may not provide information that is directly comparable to other companies, even if similar terms are used to identify such measures. The attached schedules provide a full reconciliation of historical non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP financial measure. Full year 2025 guidance measures of adjusted EBITDA and adjusted basic EPS are provided on a non-GAAP basis without a reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP measures because the Company is unable to predict with a reasonable degree of certainty certain items contained in the GAAP measures without unreasonable efforts. Such items include without limitation, acquisition related expenses, restructuring and related expenses, and other items not reflective of the Company's ongoing operations.
MGP INGREDIENTS, INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS (UNAUDITED)
(Dollars in thousands)
December 31, 2024
ASSETS
Current Assets:
Cash and cash equivalents
$
17,320
$
25,273
Receivables, net
117,190
148,488
Inventory
379,702
364,944
Prepaid expenses
5,711
3,983
Refundable income taxes
320
3,448
Total current assets
520,243
546,136
Property, plant, and equipment
581,901
562,714
Less accumulated depreciation and amortization
(256,150
)
(246,042
)
Property, plant, and equipment, net
325,751
316,672
Operating lease right-of-use assets, net
15,270
15,540
Investment in joint venture
7,519
7,024
Intangible assets, net
266,824
268,451
Goodwill
247,789
247,789
Other assets
2,664
4,173
TOTAL ASSETS
$
1,386,060
$
1,405,785
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
Current Liabilities:
Current maturities of long-term debt
$
6,400
$
6,400
Accounts payable
41,932
66,336
Contingent consideration - current
108,000

Federal and state excise taxes payable
3,855
5,358
Accrued expenses and other
18,424
14,356
Total current liabilities
178,611
92,450
Long-term debt, less current maturities
94,663
121,277
Convertible senior notes
196,023
195,864
Long-term operating lease liabilities
11,814
11,940
Contingent consideration

85,300
Other noncurrent liabilities
2,291
2,981
Deferred income taxes
62,529
63,430
Total liabilities
545,931
573,242
Total equity
840,129
832,543
TOTAL LIABILITIES AND TOTAL EQUITY
$
1,386,060
$
1,405,785
Expand
MGP INGREDIENTS, INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS (UNAUDITED)
(Dollars in thousands)
Year to Date Ended June 30,
2025
2024
Cash Flows from Operating Activities
Net income
$
11,370
$
52,601
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by operating activities:
Depreciation and amortization
11,638
10,618
Share-based compensation
2,030
1,981
Equity method investment gain
(494
)
(614
)
Deferred income taxes, including change in valuation allowance
(901
)
(10
)
Change in fair value of contingent consideration
22,700
9,500
Other, net
446
270
Changes in operating assets and liabilities:
Receivables, net
31,103
(14,766
)
Inventory
(15,224
)
(11,754
)
Prepaid expenses
(1,752
)
(1,217
)
Income taxes payable (refundable)
3,128
(1,818
)
Accounts payable
(10,687
)
(6,345
)
Accrued expenses and other
4,663
(10,738
)
Federal and state excise taxes payable
(1,504
)
2,241
Other, net
(159
)
(367
)
Net cash provided by operating activities
56,357
29,582
Cash Flows from Investing Activities
Additions to property, plant, and equipment
(32,156
)
(33,397
)
Other, net
(11
)
(260
)
Net cash used in investing activities
(32,167
)
(33,657
)
Cash Flows from Financing Activities
Payment of dividends and dividend equivalents
(5,156
)
(5,344
)
Repurchase of Common Stock
(1,035
)
(9,735
)
Loan fees paid related to borrowings
(2,712
)

Proceeds from long-term debt
28,000
50,000
Principal payments on long-term debt
(52,200
)
(28,200
)
Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities
(33,103
)
6,721
Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents
960
(23
)
Increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents
(7,953
)
2,623
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period
25,273
18,388
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period
$
17,320
$
21,011
Expand
Quarter Ended June 30, 2024
Operating
Income
Income before
Income Taxes
Net Income
MGP Earnings (a)
Basic and
Diluted EPS
Reported GAAP Results
$
43,387
$
42,125
$
32,017
$
31,738
$
1.43
Adjusted to remove:
Impairment of long-lived assets and other (f)
21
21
16
16

Fair value of contingent consideration (b)
5,400
5,400
4,104
4,104
0.19
Business acquisition costs (g)
15
15
11
11

Executive transition costs (c)
843
843
641
641
0.03
Unusual items costs (h)
1,639
1,639
1,246
1,246
0.06
Adjusted Non-GAAP results
$
51,305
$
50,043
$
38,035
$
37,756
$
1.71
Expand
Year to Date Ended June 30, 2024
Operating Income
Income before Income Taxes
Net Income
MGP Earnings (a)
Basic and Diluted EPS
Adjusted to remove:
Impairment of long-lived assets and other (f)
137
137
105
105

Fair value of contingent consideration (b)
9,500
9,500
7,249
7,249
0.33
Business acquisition costs (g)
86
86
66
66

Executive transition costs (c)
1,218
1,218
929
929
0.04
Unusual items costs (h)
1,639
1,639
1,251
1,251
0.06
Adjusted Non-GAAP results
$
84,884
$
81,551
$
62,201
$
61,748
$
2.79
Expand
MGP INGREDIENTS, INC.
DESCRIPTION OF NON-GAAP ITEMS
(a)
MGP Earnings is defined as "Net income used in Earnings Per Common Share calculation," which accounts for the impacts of the net loss attributable to noncontrolling interest and income attributable to participating securities.
(b)
Fair value of contingent consideration relates to the quarterly adjustment of the contingent consideration liability related to the acquisition of Penelope Bourbon LLC. It is included in the Condensed Consolidated Statement of Income as a component of operating income and relates to the Branded Spirits segment.
(c)
The executive transition costs are included in the Condensed Consolidated Statement of Income within the selling, general, and administrative line item. The adjustment includes costs related to the transition of certain executive and board of director positions.
(d)
The professional services fees are included in the Condensed Consolidated Statement of Income within the selling, general, and administrative line item. The adjustment includes costs related to professional services in conjunction with the goodwill impairment valuation.
(e)
The restructuring and other costs are included in the Condensed Consolidated Statement of Income within the selling, general, and administrative line item. The adjustment includes special one-time severance costs related to the reduction in force that occurred during the period.
(f)
The impairment of long-lived assets and other relates to impairments of assets as well as miscellaneous expenses in connection with the closure of the Atchison distillery. Impairment of long-lived assets and other are included in the Condensed Consolidated Statement of Income as a component of operating income and relates to the Distilling Solutions segment.
(g)
Business acquisition costs are included in the Condensed Consolidated Statement of Income within the selling, general, and administrative line item and include transaction and integration costs associated with the acquisition of Penelope Bourbon LLC.
(h)
The unusual items costs are included in the Condensed Consolidated of Income within the selling, general, and administrative line item. The adjustment includes professional and legal costs associated with special projects.
Expand
Quarter Ended June 30,
Year to Date Ended June 30,
2025
2024
2025
2024
Net Income
$
14,427
$
32,017
$
11,370
$
52,601
Interest expense
1,897
2,205
3,751
4,224
Income tax expense
4,308
10,108
4,979
16,370
Depreciation and amortization
5,830
5,329
11,638
10,618
Share based compensation
1,288
865
2,030
1,981
Equity method investment gain
(237
)
(910
)
(494
)
(614
)
Fair value of contingent consideration
8,000
5,400
22,700
9,500
Executive transition costs
376
843
682
1,218
Professional service fees


382

Restructuring and other costs


613

Impairment of long-lived assets and other

21

137
Business acquisition costs

15

86
Unusual items costs

1,639

1,639
Adjusted EBITDA
$
35,889
$
57,532
$
57,651
$
97,760
Expand
The non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA measure is defined as earnings before interest expense, income tax expense, depreciation and amortization, share based compensation, equity method investment gain, fair value of contingent consideration, executive transition costs, professional service fees, impairment of long-lived assets and other, business acquisition costs, restructuring and other costs, and unusual items costs.
See "Reconciliation of selected GAAP measure to adjusted non-GAAP measures" and "Description of Non-GAAP items" for further details on selected non-GAAP items.
(a)
TTM is defined as trailing twelve months.
(b)
Net debt leverage ratio is defined as net debt divided by adjusted EBITDA.
Expand
See "Reconciliation of selected GAAP measure to adjusted non-GAAP measures" and "Description of Non-GAAP items" for further details on selected non-GAAP items.
DISTILLING SOLUTIONS
Quarter Ended June 30,
Quarter versus Quarter Change
Increase/(Decrease)
2025
2024
$ Change
% Change
Brown goods
$
35,057
$
75,443
$
(40,386
)
(54
)%
Warehouse services
8,001
8,392
(391
)
(5
)
White goods and other co-products
6,942
9,553
(2,611
)
(27
)
Total Distilling Solutions Sales
$
50,000
$
93,388
$
(43,388
)
(46
)%
Gross profit
$
18,812
$
42,473
$
(23,661
)
(56
)%
Gross margin %
37.6
%
45.5
%
(7.9
)
pp (a)
Operating income
$
17,741
$
41,528
$
(23,787
)
(57
)%
Depreciation and amortization
$
2,025
$
1,968
$
57
3
%
Expand
INGREDIENT SOLUTIONS SALES
Quarter Ended June 30,
Quarter versus Quarter Change
Increase / (Decrease)
2025
2024
$ Change
% Change
Specialty wheat starches
$
18,474
$
19,203
$
(729
)
(4
)%
Specialty wheat proteins
12,612
11,200
1,412
13
Commodity wheat starches
3,061
2,973
88
3
Commodity wheat proteins
827

827
n/a
Total Ingredient Solutions
$
34,974
$
33,376
$
1,598
5
%
Gross profit
$
7,591
$
7,126
$
465
7
%
Gross margin %
21.7
%
21.4
%
0.3
pp (a)
Operating income
$
6,290
$
5,784
$
506
9
%
Depreciation and amortization
$
1,307
$
1,170
$
137
12
%
Expand
(a)
Percentage points ('pp').
Expand
MGP INGREDIENTS, INC.
OPERATING SEGMENT RESULTS (UNAUDITED)
(Dollars in thousands)
BRANDED SPIRITS SALES
Year to Date Ended June 30,
Year to Date versus Year to Date
Sales Change Increase/(Decrease)
2025
2024
$ Change
% Change
Premium plus
$
53,417
$
51,613
$
1,804
4
%
Mid
28,520
31,822
(3,302
)
(10
)
Value
16,277
21,664
(5,387
)
(25
)
Other
10,533
9,088
1,445
16
Total Branded Spirits
$
108,747
$
114,187
$
(5,440
)
(5
)%
Gross profit
$
54,182
$
56,165
$
(1,983
)
(4
)%
Gross margin %
49.8
%
49.2
%
0.6
pp (a)
Operating income
$
(409
)
$
8,143
$
(8,552
)
(105
)%
Depreciation and amortization
$
4,285
$
3,675
$
610
17
%
Expand
DISTILLING SOLUTIONS SALES
2025
2024
$ Change
% Change
Brown goods
$
68,713
$
141,774
$
(73,061
)
(52
)%
Warehouse services
16,078
16,348
(270
)
(2
)
White goods and other co-products
12,152
20,118
(7,966
)
(40
)
Total Distilling Solutions
$
96,943
$
178,240
$
(81,297
)
(46
)%
Gross profit
$
37,492
$
76,556
$
(39,064
)
(51
)%
Gross margin %
38.7
%
43.0
%
(4.3
)
pp (a)
Operating income
$
35,623
$
74,597
$
(38,974
)
(52
)%
Depreciation and amortization
$
4,080
$
3,925
$
155
4
%
Expand
Year to Date Ended June 30,
Year to Date versus Year to Date
Sales Change Increase/(Decrease)
2025
2024
$ Change
% Change
Specialty wheat starches
$
34,327
$
41,474
$
(7,147
)
(17
)%
Specialty wheat proteins
19,960
21,195
(1,235
)
(6
)
Commodity wheat starches
5,780
6,235
(455
)
(7
)
Commodity wheat proteins
1,390
37
1,353
3,657
Total Ingredient Solutions
$
61,457
$
68,941
$
(7,484
)
(11
)%
Gross profit
$
10,043
$
13,306
$
(3,263
)
(25
)%
Gross margin %
16.3
%
19.3
%
(3.0
)
pp (a)
Operating income
$
7,298
$
10,504
$
(3,206
)
(31
)%
Depreciation and amortization
$
2,578
$
2,339
$
239
10
%
Expand
(a)
Percentage points ('pp').
Expand
MGP INGREDIENTS, INC.
DILUTIVE SHARES OUTSTANDING CALCULATION (UNAUDITED)
Quarter Ended June 30,
Year to Date Ended June 30,
Principal amount of the bonds
$
201,250,000
$
201,250,000
$
201,250,000
$
201,250,000
Par value
$
1,000
$
1,000
$
1,000
$
1,000
Number of bonds outstanding (a)
201,250
201,250
201,250
201,250
Initial conversion rate
10.3911
10.3911
10.3911
10.3911
Conversion price
$
96.23620
$
96.23620
$
96.23620
$
96.23620
Average share price (b)
$
29.73403
$
78.03794
$
31.56250
$
82.27766
Impact of conversion (c)
$

$

$

$

Cash paid for principal
(201,250,000
)
(201,250,000
)
(201,250,000
)
(201,250,000
)
Conversion premium
$

$

$

$

Average share price
$
29.73403
$
78.03794
$
31.56250
$
82.27766
Conversion premium in shares (d) (e)




Expand
(a)
Number of bonds outstanding is calculated by taking the principal amount of the bonds divided by the par value.
(b)
Average share price is calculated by taking the average of the daily closing share price for the period. If the average share price is less than the conversion price of $96.23620 per share, the impact to EPS is anti-dilutive and therefore the shares were excluded from the diluted EPS calculation.
(c)
Impact of conversion is calculated by taking the number of bonds outstanding multiplied by the initial conversion rate multiplied by the average share price. If the average share price is less than the conversion price then the impact of conversion is zero.
(d)
The impacts of the Convertible Senior Notes are included in the diluted weighted average common shares outstanding if the impact is dilutive. The Convertible Senior Notes would only have a dilutive impact if the average market price per share during the quarter exceed the conversion price of $96.23620 per share.
(e)
Conversion premium in shares is calculated by taking the conversion premium divided by the average share price. If the average share price is less than the conversion price, then the conversion premium in shares is zero.
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I think Nvidia stock is now either very expensive
I think Nvidia stock is now either very expensive

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I think Nvidia stock is now either very expensive

Sometimes, a really interesting opportunity comes along in the stock market. Take Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) as an example. Having soared 1,576% in five years and recently become the first $4trn listed company ever, I would hardly say Nvidia stock is flying under investors' radar. But its price is pretty interesting, in my view. From a long-term perspective, I am not confident that Nvidia today is reasonably priced. I think it may turn out to be either very overpriced – or selling for a song. The one big question for Nvidia That is because I reckon Nvidia's valuation down the line ultimately hinges on one key question: how big will the future market for AI-related chips be? In my view, if it is as big as today or bigger and Nvidia maintains its dominant position, the current Nvidia stock price could be a bargain. But if that total market size shrinks, I think Nvidia is badly overvalued. You will notice I am focusing mostly on market size here. That is because I reckon Nvidia has a strong chance of maintaining or growing its market share over time. Barriers to entry are high. Nvidia has a talented workforce, proprietary technology, a large installed user base, and a proven business model. That could change, especially over time. Competitors may prove to be more nimble, or outsmart Nvidia when it comes to chip design. But I think it is credible to think that Nvidia will maintain a powerful market position. Its economies of scale and pricing power already make it massively profitable. If it can grow sales volumes, its profit margins could get even fatter thanks to greater economies of scale. That could help propel the Nvidia stock price far above today's level — if it happens. Everything to play for It may not happen, of course. Sometimes a key technology comes along and sparks a sales boom, only for it to later fall in popularity or become obsolete. If all those companies paying top dollar for Nvidia chips decide they already have enough from their initial installation, or land on an alternative technological solution for their AI dreams, the market could collapse. Personally I do not expect that to happen, but it could do. The sort of spending we have seen in the past couple of years from large tech companies seems hard if not impossible to sustain over the long term in the absence of transformational business results, I reckon. There is also a risk that Nvidia could lose market share regardless of what happens to the market size. While I see its position as fairly secure for now – in the absence of curveballs like export bans – over time I have less confidence. Plenty of rivals would be thrilled if they could eat Nvidia's breakfast and the more time they have, the more likely it is that at least one of them will figure out how to do it. The risk of a demand collapse puts me off buying Nvidia stock at its current price. But I would be surprised if the price is the same five years from now. I think it is most likely to be markedly higher – or a lot lower. The post I think Nvidia stock is now either very expensive – or very cheap appeared first on The Motley Fool UK. More reading 5 Stocks For Trying To Build Wealth After 50 One Top Growth Stock from the Motley Fool C Ruane has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Nvidia. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. Motley Fool UK 2025 Sign in to access your portfolio

Better Artificial Intelligence Stock: BigBear.ai vs. Nvidia
Better Artificial Intelligence Stock: BigBear.ai vs. Nvidia

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Better Artificial Intelligence Stock: BigBear.ai vs. Nvidia

Key Points has become an AI investor darling over the past few years. Nvidia is the leading artificial intelligence semiconductor company. There's no substitute for high revenue growth and profitability -- and Nvidia has both. 10 stocks we like better than Nvidia › Many investors are focused on artificial intelligence stocks these days, which can be a smart play as AI transforms many industries. But it's starting to seem like any AI stock is a winner in the market right now, which means some investors may not be doing their due diligence when evaluating companies. With that in mind, two AI companies with surging share prices right now are Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) and (NYSE: BBAI), and it may be worth taking a closer look at both to see which one looks like the better AI stock to buy right now. What's happening with Nvidia Nvidia gets top billing in this matchup because the company has experienced monster growth over the past few years as companies clamor for its artificial intelligence semiconductors. An estimated 70% to 95% of data centers utilize Nvidia's AI processors, and there seems to be no slowing down for the company's growth. For example, Nvidia's total sales soared 114% in fiscal 2025 to $130.5 billion, and its earnings skyrocketed 147% to $2.94 per share. This growth has been fueled by the company's data center segment, which experienced a 142% revenue surge to $115 billion last year. The impressive earnings and revenue growth have resulted in Nvidia's stock surging 57% over the past year. That's pushed the company's valuation higher, and Nvidia's shares currently have a price-to-earnings multiple of about 56. That's not cheap, but it's still lower than the average P/E ratio of 64 in the semiconductor industry right now. What's more, Nvidia could continue to benefit from AI investments for many more years to come. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang believes AI will fuel $2 trillion in data center spending over the next several years. While Nvidia's growth isn't guaranteed, many tech giants have already committed to spending hundreds of billions of dollars to expand their AI data centers over the next few years. That's creating an ongoing opportunity for Nvidia to continue increasing its sales. What's happening with is an AI data analytics company that helps companies and the U.S. government sort through their data to make decisions. AI analytics is a burgeoning AI trend, and it has propelled the stock of similar companies, like Palantir, into the stratosphere. stock, for its part, has jumped 323% over the past year. But despite its impressive gains, there are some significant concerns I have with including its lack of strong revenue growth. sales increased just 5% in Q1 to $34.8 million, and management's outlook for the full year is for $160 million to $180 million -- an increase of just 7.5% at the midpoint. These are fairly unimpressive sales figures for a small AI company that's trying to tap into an expanding artificial intelligence analytics market. One of the company's problems is that 52% of its revenue comes from just four customers. That's a high concentration of sales from just a handful of customers, and it means that if one or two leave, could be in trouble. And then there's the company's lack of earnings. reported a loss of $1.10 per share last year and continued that trend with a loss of $0.25 per share in Q1. While many small start-ups often aren't profitable, it's problematic that the company's lack of earnings comes in addition to unimpressive sales growth. Meanwhile, stock has a price-to-sales ratio of 11, which is substantially higher than the average P/S multiple of 3 for the S&P 500 and means that investors are paying a premium for it right now. Verdict: Nvidia is the hands-down winner Nvidia's stock isn't cheap, and there are always risks with investing in AI stocks that have already experienced astronomical growth. But the company is a hands-down better investment than because it's massively profitable, continually expanding its revenue, and outpaces its rivals in the AI semiconductor market. Meanwhile, stock is overvalued, its revenue growth is unimpressive, and the company isn't profitable. This makes Nvidia the no-brainer in this matchup and one of the best AI stocks to buy and hold for the long term. Should you buy stock in Nvidia right now? Before you buy stock in Nvidia, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and Nvidia wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $624,823!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,064,820!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,019% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 178% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of July 29, 2025 Chris Neiger has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Nvidia and Palantir Technologies. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Better Artificial Intelligence Stock: vs. Nvidia was originally published by The Motley Fool Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN) Stock Falls 11% Over Past Week Amid Tech Sell-Offs
DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN) Stock Falls 11% Over Past Week Amid Tech Sell-Offs

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DigitalOcean Holdings (DOCN) Stock Falls 11% Over Past Week Amid Tech Sell-Offs

DigitalOcean Holdings announced the launch of its GradientAI Platform, a major leap in simplifying AI integration for enterprises. Despite this launch, the company's stock dropped 11% over the past week. The broader market decline, provoked by weak job data and tariff-related uncertainties, may have influenced this dip. The tech-heavy Nasdaq's struggle, combined with widespread tech sell-offs, likely added weight to DigitalOcean's stock movement, rather than countering it. While the company's innovative platform aims to drive growth, its recent price movement reflects broader market trends more than the company's specific developments. You should learn about the 2 possible red flags we've spotted with DigitalOcean Holdings. We've found 22 US stocks that are forecast to pay a dividend yield of over 6% next year. See the full list for free. DigitalOcean Holdings' recent announcement of the GradientAI Platform may significantly impact future revenue and earnings by simplifying AI integration for its enterprise clients. This aligns with their ongoing expansion in AI activities, as highlighted in their 160% year-over-year AI ARR growth, and could enhance their revenue stream. However, despite these developments, the company's shares have not shown immediate positive returns. Over the last year, DigitalOcean's total shareholder return was a 10.28% decline, reflecting broader challenges in the tech sector, particularly within the context of US$806.59 million in revenue and US$108.56 million in earnings. This underperformance is also evident when compared to both the US market and the IT industry, which saw returns of 17.5% and 22.8%, respectively, over the same period. The launch of DigitalOcean's AI initiatives indicates potential upside in revenue and earnings forecasts, partially supported by projections of a 13.2% annual revenue growth. Analyst forecasts suggest earnings could rise, fueled by strategic investments in data center expansion and increased ARPU. These forecasts support a price target of US$38.82, representing a significant potential upside from the current share price of US$25.74. However, the ambitious price target requires future performance alignment with analyst expectations, including substantial revenue and earnings improvements. Thus, while the GradientAI launch is promising, its immediate effect on share prices appears muted by larger market dynamics, leaving analysts' projections to reflect more optimistic longer-term potential. Click here to discover the nuances of DigitalOcean Holdings with our detailed analytical financial health report. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Companies discussed in this article include DOCN. This article was originally published by Simply Wall St. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@ Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

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