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Inflation holds steady as data shows how prices are faring after Trump's ‘Liberation Day' tariffs

Inflation holds steady as data shows how prices are faring after Trump's ‘Liberation Day' tariffs

Yahoo6 hours ago

Inflation held steady last month, according to data that gives the first glimpse of how prices are faring since President Donald Trump's sweeping 'Liberation Day' tariffs.
Consumer prices rose 0.1 percent on a monthly basis in May, while annual inflation stood at 2.4 percent, according to the Department of Labor's consumer price index. Last month, the year-long inflation stood at 2.3 percent.
The report captures the period after Trump unveiled his global reciprocal tariffs in April and provides some insight as to whether businesses are bearing the brunt of the duties themselves or passing them on to customers.
Trump touted the figures as a success and called on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. 'CPI JUST OUT. GREAT NUMBERS! FED SHOULD LOWER ONE FULL POINT,' the president said on Truth Social Wednesday. 'WOULD PAY MUCH LESS INTEREST ON DEBT COMING DUE. SO IMPORTANT!!!'
While analysts predicted a bigger increase, some still warned that the future is uncertain because tariffs keep changing.
'So far, inflation risks from higher tariffs are subdued,' Win Thin, global head of markets strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman, told Bloomberg. 'Nonetheless, U.S. protectionist trade policy and uncertainty about the ultimate level of tariffs are downside risks to growth and upside risk to inflation. Bottom line: the fundamental USD downtrend is intact.'
The stock markets responded positively to the news with all the major indexes pointing up to start the trading day.
Since Trump announced his global reciprocal tariffs and the stock market was spooked, many of the duties were paused. However, 10 percent tariffs for most countries remain.
Inflation has been slow to respond to the tariffs as most retailers are selling merchandise accumulated before the import duties took effect.
Economists said that the reduction in the scale of some trade tariffs may have 'helped to restrain cost increases thus far,' Wells Fargo's Sarah House and Nicole Cervi said. 'That said, as the higher tariff regime persists, shielding consumers from the costs is likely to become more challenging,' the economists added.
'Only a few goods prices likely rose as a result of the new tariffs in May,' Pantheon Macroeconomics economists Samuel Tombs and Oliver Allen said in a note, Bloomberg reports. 'June will be a different story — while some providers of discretionary services probably cut prices or kept them low to sustain demand.'
Walmart warned customers last month that they could see price rises because of the trade tariffs. The retailer's chief financial officer John David Rainey said that the tariffs are 'still too high.'
'It's more than any supplier can absorb. And so I'm concerned that consumer is going to start seeing higher prices,' he said. 'You'll begin to see that, likely towards the tail end of this month, and then certainly much more in June.'
Reuters contributed reporting

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GOP megabill takes aim at universities — except for this conservative Christian college
GOP megabill takes aim at universities — except for this conservative Christian college

Politico

time18 minutes ago

  • Politico

GOP megabill takes aim at universities — except for this conservative Christian college

President Donald Trump and Republicans in Congress are angling to use their megabill to turn the screws on elite liberal colleges that take millions in taxpayer funds while sitting on endowments worth tens of billions of dollars. But a single college that's a paragon of conservative higher education has managed to secure a carveout after finding itself in the crossfire. Hillsdale College, a Christian liberal arts school of fewer than 2,000 students located in southern Michigan, is one of a slew of smaller institutions that had been working to avoid being swept up in the GOP effort to raise taxes on the seemingly bottomless endowments of household names like Harvard, Princeton and Yale. But Hillsdale stands apart from those schools: For one, it's a rare institution of higher learning that the modern Republican Party applauds. Just as uncommon, Hillsdale accepts no funding from the federal government: 'The founders of our nation chose independence. As do we,' the college boasts in advertisements. That formed the crux of its argument that, on principle, Hillsdale and schools like it should not be subject to a federal tax on endowments. Senate Republicans heeded that logic in their version of the reconciliation bill that the party hopes to send to Trump's desk next week by including an exemption for schools that fit Hillsdale's profile. The reprieve is by no means guaranteed, as Hillsdale found out eight years ago. Democrats that year seized on the university's unique position, branding the exemption as an earmark for a political ally and ultimately getting it stripped from the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act with the help of a handful of Republican senators. That's why Hillsdale turned earlier this year to professional advocates for help with the latest endowment tax proposal. In April, the college retained Williams and Jensen to lobby on 'specific threats to the institutional and financial independence of the college, primarily related to the higher education endowment tax,' according to a disclosure filing. The team of lobbyists working on the account includes Dan Ziegler, who served as House Speaker Mike Johnson's top policy aide before returning to the lobbying firm in March, and who previously served as executive director of the conservative Republican Study Committee. In its meetings with policymakers, Hillsdale has reiterated its general opposition to using the tax code as a blunt force object — reaching often for the declaration from former Supreme Court Chief Justice John Marshall that 'the power to tax involves the power to destroy.' Beyond that, it has stuck to its insistence that schools that have sworn off taxpayer money should be left out of the endowment tax scheme altogether. That could end up incentivizing more institutions to follow in Hillsdale's footsteps — especially with the Trump administration taking aim at colleges' federal funding — whereas a tax hike might throw up financial roadblocks for schools who might be eyeing a move toward independence. Hillsdale's message has landed favorably on the Hill, according to a person familiar with those discussions who was granted anonymity to discuss sensitive deliberations. The person noted that the school hadn't encountered much opposition to its position on principle. Failing to exempt schools that don't accept federal funds 'penalizes most severely those institutions that have chosen the harder path of independence' from the federal government and the conditions of accepting that money, Hillsdale President Larry Arnn wrote in an op-ed in May. 'Worse still,' he added, 'this tax turns the incentives backward; it rewards dependence and punishes self-reliance. It encourages institutions to seek the shelter of government aid, where subsidies can offset tax burdens.' Hillsdale declined to comment on the record. Hillsdale has proudly touted its independence for refusing direct government funds since its founding by abolitionists in 1844. In the 1980s, Hillsdale was faced with a Supreme Court civil rights ruling that would've required universities to track admissions by race and bar sex-based discrimination in order to accept federal financial aid from students. In response, the school declared that it would no longer accept such assistance. Hillsdale's break from what it calls governmental overreach has made it at home with the right. Conservative luminary William Buckley donated much of his lifetime of writings to the school in the early 2000s. In 2016, Hillsdale hosted Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas as its commencement speaker. More recently, Republican leaders like Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis have sought to recreate versions of Hillsdale in their home states and to integrate its curriculum in K-12 classrooms. Hillsdale graduates are scattered throughout Washington, including in the offices of the top Republicans in Congress. Michael Anton, who joined Hillsdale's D.C. outpost after working in the first Trump administration (though he's not a Hillsdale grad himself), was tapped in April to lead the U.S. technical team in nuclear negotiations with Iran. The university regularly advertises its free online courses on subjects like ancient Christianity and the Biblical book of Genesis on Fox News, and rents various conservative email lists. Arnn, a co-founder of the conservative think tank the Claremont Institute, was even considered for Education secretary in Trump's first administration. Trump's eventual Education secretary, Betsy DeVos, has her own familial and financial ties to Hillsdale. In Trump 2.0, the universityhas partnered with the White House and the Education Department on an educational video series to promote the 250th anniversary of America's founding. The most recent installment, focused on the founding of the U.S. Army, featured Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. Even with those credentials, as the GOP continues tinkering with the bill ahead of final passage, there's one hitch that could complicate things: At least right now, there aren't believed to be any other schools besides Hillsdale that don't accept federal cash and have large enough endowments that they're at risk of being hit by the endowment tax. Wealthy universities were first hit with a 1.4 percent excise on their endowments as part of the 2017 GOP tax bill. Given that the relationship between Republicans and higher education has only crumbled in the years since, colleges across the country had already been bracing for Republicans to take another swing at the excise tax in negotiations to renew expiring provisions in the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. There's a tranche of smaller colleges that would be hit hard by an endowment tax hike and are trying to distance themselves from the Ivies in conservatives' crosshairs. But even though Hillsdale would likely benefit from some of the endowment tax changes those schools have pitched lawmakers on, including sparing schools smaller student bodies, the college has thus far declined to take other schools up on overtures to join their coalitions as it leaned on its more unique messaging. Hillsdale isn't in the clear yet. There are questions about whether several of Republicans' changes to the endowment tax are allowed under the arcane procedural rules of the reconciliation process. The exclusion was not included in the House version of the bill, and not much is set in stone amid horsetrading within the conference. The specter of the last Republican tax debate also looms large given Hillsdale's distinctive position. Earlier versions of the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act would have subjected schools with endowments of at least $250,000 per student to the excise tax. But during floor debate in the Senate, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) — who received an honorary degree from Hillsdale in 2013 — and then-Sen. Pat Toomey (R-Pa.) introduced an amendment that would have exempted from the tax any otherwise-eligible schools that don't take federal funding. The amendment triggered an outcry from Senate Democrats, who pointed out that the only university that would apply to was Hillsdale. Four Republican senators ended up voting with all Democrats to sink the amendment. Hillsdale still managed to luck out, but only temporarily, thanks to language in the final bill that raised the threshold for the tax to $500,000. The House reconciliation bill retains that threshold for the 1.4 percent tax, but neither measure indexes it to inflation, effectively lowering the threshold as time goes on. Hillsdale's endowment finally reached eligibility a few years ago, and much further down the line, other schools that have sworn off federal funding may eventually join it. If the Senate version prevails, however, Hillsdale would pay nothing. In Arnn's May op-ed, he wrote that the House-passed reconciliation bill leaves 'untouched the vast web of colleges and universities sustained by taxpayer dollars, often bloated with bureaucracies committed to fashionable ideas, far removed from the purposes of education.' Ironically, some of the biggest winners out of the Senate's version of the endowment tax — aside from Hillsdale — were schools with the biggest endowments, like Harvard, that would have seen their tax rate soar to 21 percent under the House bill. Senate Republicans softened the tax hike to less than 10 percent for the wealthiest universities.

Can a Roth IRA be used for college?
Can a Roth IRA be used for college?

Yahoo

time21 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Can a Roth IRA be used for college?

Both a Roth IRA and a 529 Plan are valid ways to save for a college education. Each has unique benefits and limitations. Starting in 2024, unused funds in a 529 account may be converted into a Roth IRA if the investor so chooses, though there are pros and cons. Families should carefully assess which type of account will give them the most benefit. Some people decide to leverage both for college savings purposes. A Roth IRA can be used as a savings vehicle for college. You can withdraw your Roth contributions at any time without penalty to pay for any expense, though there may be associated taxes on any earnings. You can also use Roth earnings without penalty to cover qualified education expenses, such as tuition and fees. Before you use a Roth IRA for college, it's a good idea to be aware of the advantages and disadvantages so you can assess whether it makes sense for you and your family. Be aware that, in some cases, a 529 plan may be a better fit for your circumstances. While they're not specifically designed for college savings, Roth IRAs can be used to pay for a college education. Roth IRA accounts are funded with after-tax dollars and grow tax-free, and money can be withdrawn for educational purposes without a penalty — though you'll still have to pay income taxes. With that said, there are contribution limits for this type of account. In 2024, those who meet income requirements to contribute to a Roth IRA can contribute up to $7,000 across a Roth and a traditional IRA. The exception is individuals who are age 50 or older, who can contribute an additional $1,000 per year in what is known as a 'catch-up contribution.' Keep in mind that if your modified adjusted gross income (MAGI) exceeds $146,000 for heads of household or $230,000 for married couples, you will be subject to reduced annual contribution limits. These limits are assessed annually by the IRS and tend to fluctuate each year. Roth IRA withdrawal rules are considerably different from rules that apply to other retirement accounts. Because Roth IRA accounts are funded with after-tax dollars, account owners can withdraw their contributions (but not their earnings) before the standard retirement age of 59 ½ without paying any taxes or penalties. The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) typically charges a 10 percent penalty on distributions that include earnings before retirement age. However, it provides several important exceptions for Roth IRAs, including distributions to pay college tuition. Parents who withdraw earnings for college costs will have to pay income taxes on the amount but not an added fee. For parents who are making withdrawals after the age of 59 ½, no penalties apply, regardless of whether the funds are being used for college or not. However, the longer a parent is able to leave funds parked in investments, the more these savings can grow. While distributions taken from a Roth IRA account are tax-free, distributions are counted as untaxed income on the following year's Free Application for Federal Student Aid (FAFSA). In other words, using a Roth IRA for college can reduce eligibility for need-based aid. However, the impact depends on the amount of money withdrawn and which year of school the distribution is made. If you're on the fence about making a Roth IRA education withdrawal, consider the advantages and disadvantages that could apply to your situation. Using a Roth IRA for college can reduce reliance on student loans. Parents who want to help their children avoid student loan debt can use Roth IRA funds to lessen the burden of borrowing. Roth IRAs can be invested for long-term growth. Money invested in a Roth IRA can be invested in stocks, bonds, ETFs, index funds and more, giving you plenty of options to customize your investment. You get tax-free growth. Since Roth IRAs are funded with after-tax dollars, the money can grow tax-free over time. There is no penalty for education-related withdrawals. As long as the funds are used for education-related expenses, you won't be penalized for withdrawing money from a Roth IRA. Using a Roth IRA cuts into retirement savings. If you use too much of your Roth IRA funds to cover higher education expenses, you may fall behind on retirement goals. Roth IRA accounts can lose money. Stocks, bonds and other investments are also at risk of losing money. This means that you could have less saved than you started with, depending on your timeline. Financial aid could be impacted. Distributions from a Roth IRA will count as income on the FAFSA, which may reduce your child's need-based financial aid eligibility. You'll be subject to income and contribution limits. Unlike with other savings vehicles, you won't be able to contribute to a Roth IRA if you exceed the income threshold. You can also contribute only $7,000 or $8,000 a year, depending on your age. Learn more: Check out our FAFSA guide Before using a Roth IRA plan for a college education, you may also want to consider a 529 college savings plan. A 529 plan is a type of investment account specifically designed for a college education, which grows your contributions on a tax-deferred basis. There are some significant advantages that come with saving for college in a 529 plan over a Roth IRA, although some of the benefits depend on your situation. Detail Roth IRA 529 Plan Eligibility Restrictions apply past a certain income threshold No income restrictions Tax deductibility No Yes, in some states Tax-free withdrawals Yes, though earnings may be taxed as income Yes, tax-free and penalty-free Annual contribution limit $7,000; $8,000 if age 50 or older No federal limit; varies by state, but generally with higher caps than a Roth IRA Holding period Account must be open for 5 years before a withdrawal can be made None Impact on financial aid May impact need-based aid eligibility; withdrawals count as income May or may not impact need-based aid; withdrawals are not counted as income Penalty-free uses of invested funds Retirement savings, first-time home purchase, qualifying birth or adoption expenses, qualifying emergency expenses or disaster relief, education Tuition for K-12 education, post-secondary tuition, qualifying education-related expenses (such as textbooks, computers, room and board) Bankrate insight In general, a Roth IRA is best for savers who aren't sure how much their child will need for college. A 529 plan is better if you need to put away more money at once. Although the primary purpose of a Roth IRA is to help you save for retirement, you can also use it to save for college. But using Roth IRA funds to cover college expenses has a few drawbacks — for example, using them for education can cut into your retirement savings. Before you use a Roth for education, consider whether using a 529 instead makes more sense for your financial situation. Alternatively, you may decide that using both to save for college is best for your family. If you are unable to save enough to cover college between a 529 plan and a Roth IRA, investigate federal student loans before taking out a private student loan. Can you convert a Roth IRA to a 529? 'Yes, all or part of a Roth may be converted to a 529,' says William Bevins, a certified financial planner (CFP) and certified trust and fiduciary advisor (CTFA) based in Franklin, Tennessee. Converting a Roth IRA to a 529 requires you to withdraw money from your Roth and use it to fund a 529. But before you do this, you should understand some potential drawbacks. 'The primary reason for building a Roth is to reap the reward of tax-free retirement growth down the road,' Bevins says. 'Making early withdrawals can limit the advantage of having one.' Bevins recommends contacting a tax advisor for help determining if this move makes sense for you. Is there a limit to how often you can draw from a Roth IRA? No, there's no limit. You can make withdrawals from your Roth at any time. Withdrawing your Roth IRA contributions doesn't have any tax consequences; however, you might have to pay income taxes on withdrawn earnings.

KBH Q2 Deep Dive: Lower Guidance and Market Headwinds Shape 2025 Outlook
KBH Q2 Deep Dive: Lower Guidance and Market Headwinds Shape 2025 Outlook

Yahoo

time21 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

KBH Q2 Deep Dive: Lower Guidance and Market Headwinds Shape 2025 Outlook

Homebuilder KB Home (NYSE:KBH) reported revenue ahead of Wall Street's expectations in Q2 CY2025, but sales fell by 10.5% year on year to $1.53 billion. On the other hand, the company's full-year revenue guidance of $6.4 billion at the midpoint came in 2.4% below analysts' estimates. Its GAAP profit of $1.51 per share was 2.7% above analysts' consensus estimates. Is now the time to buy KBH? Find out in our full research report (it's free). Revenue: $1.53 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.51 billion (10.5% year-on-year decline, 1.6% beat) EPS (GAAP): $1.51 vs analyst estimates of $1.47 (2.7% beat) Adjusted EBITDA: $144.9 million vs analyst estimates of $164.2 million (9.5% margin, 11.8% miss) The company dropped its revenue guidance for the full year to $6.4 billion at the midpoint from $6.8 billion, a 5.9% decrease Operating Margin: 8.8%, down from 11.4% in the same quarter last year Backlog: $2.29 billion at quarter end, down 26.7% year on year Market Capitalization: $3.82 billion KB Home's second quarter results for 2025 were met with a negative market reaction, as several evolving market headwinds weighed on performance. Management pointed to subdued demand during the spring selling season, with CEO Jeffrey Mezger citing that "affordability challenges have persisted compounded by the variability in mortgage interest rates, which remain elevated as well as macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty." Operationally, the company highlighted faster build times and reduced direct costs as partial offsets, but acknowledged that consumer caution and higher resale inventory pressured new order volumes and operating margins. Looking ahead, KB Home's reduced full-year guidance reflects management's expectations for continued softness in homebuyer demand and ongoing margin pressures. The company aims to align its cost structure with lower volumes, while maintaining flexibility to adjust pricing and production pace by community. President Rob McGibney noted that "our strategy focuses on delivering the most compelling value and improving affordability with transparency," but also acknowledged the risk of continued demand weakness if mortgage rates and consumer confidence do not improve. Management signaled an intent to prioritize operational efficiency and shareholder returns as they navigate this uncertain environment. Management attributed second quarter performance to faster build times and cost controls, but noted that consumer confidence and affordability remain key challenges impacting order flow and revenue outlook. Build times improved: The company reduced average build times by 7 days quarter-over-quarter, returning to pre-pandemic levels. Management believes this operational gain allows for quicker inventory turnover and the ability to close more homes within the year, supporting delivery targets even as demand softens. Sales strategy adjustments: KB Home shifted away from offering incentives and instead focused on adjusting base pricing at the community level. While this approach drove strong net orders in March, management reported a decline in April and May as consumers grew more apprehensive about the economy and mortgage rates. Community opening delays: Delays in municipal approvals for new communities pushed back several planned openings, which management estimates cost 'a couple of hundred' net orders in the quarter. They are now emphasizing better coordination with local authorities to mitigate future disruptions. Cost reduction efforts: Direct costs per home started in the quarter were 3.2% lower year-over-year, driven by value engineering, supply chain negotiations, and simplified studio offerings. However, savings were partially offset by higher land costs and reduced pricing power. Land investment moderation: The company scaled back new land spending and canceled contracts for roughly 9,700 lots that no longer met return criteria. Management stated that this measured approach is intended to preserve flexibility and align future community growth with evolving market conditions. Management expects near-term performance to be shaped by cautious consumer sentiment, affordability pressures, and disciplined cost management strategies. Sustained affordability challenges: Elevated mortgage rates and higher resale inventory continue to weigh on buyer confidence, leading management to anticipate subdued order volumes and a slower absorption pace in the coming quarters. The company's pricing strategy remains flexible in response to local market dynamics. Margin and cost discipline: Operating margins are expected to be pressured by reduced pricing power, less favorable regional mix, and higher land costs. Management is targeting further reductions in build times and overhead expenses to help offset these headwinds and maintain profitability. Shareholder return focus: With lower land investment planned for the remainder of the year, KB Home intends to accelerate share repurchases, supported by a strong balance sheet and liquidity. Management views this as a means to enhance earnings per share and return on equity in a challenging market backdrop. In the quarters ahead, the StockStory team will monitor (1) the pace of net order recovery as consumer sentiment and mortgage rates evolve, (2) the company's ability to sustain further reductions in build times and direct costs, and (3) the effectiveness of its strategy to moderate land investment while maintaining a robust pipeline for future community growth. Execution on pricing flexibility and inventory management will also be important indicators of operational resilience. KB Home currently trades at $52.87, in line with $53.36 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it's free). Market indices reached historic highs following Donald Trump's presidential victory in November 2024, but the outlook for 2025 is clouded by new trade policies that could impact business confidence and growth. While this has caused many investors to adopt a "fearful" wait-and-see approach, we're leaning into our best ideas that can grow regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate. Take advantage of Mr. Market by checking out our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025). Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

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