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Swiss scramble to avert Trump's 39% tariff ahead of looming deadline
With the rate — the highest among industrial nations — set to go into effect on Aug. 7, President and Finance Minister Karin Keller-Sutter convened an emergency meeting of the governing Federal Council on Monday to discuss how to proceed.
Separately, negotiators with the Swiss State Secretariat for Economic Affairs have reached out to their US counterparts to try and find a way forward. The agency, which hammered out a far more favorable tentative deal with the US more than a month ago, also held a briefing with business leaders on Monday.
Keller-Sutter, who was criticized in the Swiss press over the weekend for allowing Trump to blindside her without a backup plan, said she would be willing to make a last-minute trip to Washington if she thought there was a chance a deal could be made.
'I don't rule out such a visit, but first, the two sides should come closer together in their positions,' she told the newspaper Schweiz am Wochenende. It's not clear what, if any, response there has been from the US government.
'It's unfortunate that the Swiss took so much time' to react, says Thomas Borer, a former Swiss diplomat who now runs his own consulting firm, echoing the criticism made in the press.
Despite the backlash, the Swiss president doesn't face any immediate danger of losing her job. The system is designed for continuity, and the presidency rotates on an annual basis, meaning her term running the country will come to a close at the end of the year.
The Trump administration justified Friday's move by claiming that Switzerland had in essence stolen money from the US and should therefore be hit with a tariff rate commensurate with the trade deficit — a notion Ketter-Sutter dismissed as 'absurd.'
Switzerland ran a $38 billion bilateral trade surplus with the US last year, according to US Census data, which was the 13th biggest for the world's largest economy. While Swiss exports to the US collapsed after the introduction of tariffs in April, they rebounded in June, suggesting that trade between the two countries remained robust.
What Bloomberg Economics Says...
'We estimate that this represents a tariff shock of around 23 percentage points for the Swiss economy, putting roughly 1 per cent of its GDP at risk over the medium term.'
There are not many routes available to Switzerland, but one is to offer to buy liquefied natural gas from the US. While the landlocked country is focused on hydroelectric and nuclear power, it does use a small amount of gas, primarily in the winter to cushion swings in its energy supply. Should Switzerland choose to import more gas, it would have to travel through neighboring countries, which could potentially increase transit costs.
So far, the expectation appears to be that Keller-Sutter and the government will secure a better deal. The Swiss market benchmark SMI was down just 0.43 per cent as of 11:37 a.m. on Monday.
'We expect negotiations to bring the 39 per cent Swiss tariff rate closer to the 15 per cent agreed with the EU,' Lombard Odier investment strategists said in a research note. 'In the unlikely event that this trade dispute is not resolved,' they added, they will revise their forecast for gross domestic product.
Given the 'volatility of decisions we've seen from the US,' there's hope that a solution may be found, Franziska Ryser, a lawmaker of the Green party, told Bloomberg.
'On the other hand, we must draw political conclusions from the situation and acknowledge that — at least under the Trump administration — America is no longer a reliable partner,' she said. 'This means that we should strengthen cooperation with the EU and coordinate more closely with our European partners.'
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Indian Express
18 minutes ago
- Indian Express
Brazil's Supreme Court orders house arrest for former President Bolsonaro, a Trump ally
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Brazil's prosecutors accuse Bolsonaro of heading a criminal organization that plotted to overturn the election, including plans to kill Lula and Justice de Moraes after the far-right leader narrowly lost his reelection bid in 2022. Monday's order followed one from the top court last month that ordered Bolsonaro to wear an electronic ankle monitor and imposed a curfew on his activities while the proceedings are underway. Following news of the arrest order, a staffer with Brazil's federal police told The Associated Press that federal agents had seized cell phones at Bolsonaro's residence in the capital of Brasilia, as ordered by de Moraes in his decision. The staffer spoke on condition of anonymity due to their lack of authorization to speak about the matter publicly. Bolsonaro is expected to remain in Brasilia for his house arrest as he is not allowed to travel. He also has a house in Rio de Janeiro, where he held his electoral base as a lawmaker for three decades. 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The Hindu
18 minutes ago
- The Hindu
U.S. could require up to $15,000 bonds for some tourist visas under pilot program
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Mint
18 minutes ago
- Mint
Best stocks to buy today, 5 August, recommended by NeoTrader's Raja Venkatraman
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