logo
Oil steadies as mixed US economic and tariff news offset new Russia sanctions

Oil steadies as mixed US economic and tariff news offset new Russia sanctions

Reuters2 days ago
NEW YORK, July 18 (Reuters) - Crude oil futures were little changed on Friday on mixed U.S. economic and tariff news and worries about oil supplies following the European Union's latest sanctions against Russia for its war in Ukraine.
Brent crude futures fell 24 cents, or 0.3%, to settle at $69.28 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell 20 cents, or 0.3%, to end at $67.34.
That put both crude benchmarks down about 2% for the week.
In the United States, single-family homebuilding dropped to an 11-month low in June as high mortgage rates and economic uncertainty hampered home purchases, suggesting residential investment contracted again in the second quarter.
In another report, however, U.S. consumer sentiment improved in July, while inflation expectations continued to decline.
Lower inflation should make it easier for the U.S. Federal Reserve to reduce interest rates, which could cut consumers' borrowing costs and boost economic growth and oil demand.
Separately, U.S. President Donald Trump is pushing for a minimum tariff of 15% to 20% in any deal with the European Union, the Financial Times reported on Friday, adding that the administration is now looking at a reciprocal tariff rate that exceeds 10%, even if a deal is reached.
"Currently envisioned reciprocal tariffs, coupled with announced sectoral levies, could push the U.S. effective tariff rate above 25%, surpassing 1930s peaks ... In coming months, the tariffs should increasingly be manifest in inflation," analysts at U.S. bank Citigroup's Citi Research said in a note.
Rising inflation can raise prices for consumers and weaken economic growth and oil demand.
In Europe, the EU reached an agreement on an 18th sanctions package against Russia over its war in Ukraine, which includes measures aimed at dealing further blows to Russia's oil and energy industries.
"New sanctions on Russian oil from the U.S. and Europe this week were met by a muted market reaction," analysts at Capital Economics said in a note. "This is a reflection of investors doubting President Trump will follow through with his threats, and a belief that new European sanctions will be no more effective than previous attempts."
The EU will also no longer import any petroleum products made from Russian crude, though the ban will not apply to imports from Norway, Britain, the U.S., Canada and Switzerland, EU diplomats said.
EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas also said on X that the EU has designated the largest Rosneft (ROSN.MM), opens new tab oil refinery in India as part of the measures.
India is the biggest importer of Russian crude while Turkey is the third-biggest, Kpler data shows.
"This shows the market fears the loss of diesel supply into Europe, as India had been a source of barrels," said Rystad Energy's vice president of oil markets, Janiv Shah.
In other news, U.S. oil major Chevron (CVX.N), opens new tab closed its $55 billion acquisition of U.S. energy firm Hess (HES.N), opens new tab on Friday after winning a landmark legal battle against larger U.S. oil major rival Exxon Mobil (XOM.N), opens new tab to gain access to the largest oil discovery in decades off Guyana.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Indian rupee to track dollar recovery, bond market focused on rate cut bets
Indian rupee to track dollar recovery, bond market focused on rate cut bets

Reuters

time34 minutes ago

  • Reuters

Indian rupee to track dollar recovery, bond market focused on rate cut bets

MUMBAI, July 21 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee will likely take cues from how far the dollar's nascent recovery extends this week, while bonds will move based on expectations of interest rate cuts by the local central bank. The rupee closed at 86.1475 on Friday, down 0.4% on the week. It is expected to hover between 85.80 and 86.70 in the near-term with a slight weakening bias, according to traders. After falling for five straight months, the dollar index is up 1.5% in July so far, as strong U.S. economic data and indications that tariffs have started pushing up prices lowered rate-cut expectations in the world's largest economy. Remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday will be in focus, in light of the persistent criticism he has faced from U.S. President Donald Trump for not lowering interest rates. The odds of a U.S. rate cut in September are around 53%, per CME's FedWatch tool. India's ongoing trade negotiations with the U.S. will also be in focus alongside quarterly earnings reports from local companies, which have a bearing on foreign portfolio flows into equities. Forex advisory firm IFA Global recommended that importers cover near-term liabilities around 86, while suggesting exporters hedge around 86.25. Meanwhile, India's 10-year benchmark 6.33% 2035 bond yield , which settled last week at 6.3058%, is expected to move in a range of 6.28% to 6.33%. The yield could rise as New Delhi sells 300 billion rupees ($3.5 billion) of the benchmark on Friday. Focus will be on the potential for rate cuts after India's retail inflation slipped to a more than six-year low in June. An expected further drop to a record low in July is prompting calls for another rate cut. "With recent high frequency data disappointing and indicating the possibility of growth in India slowing down makes sense to be involved in local currency bonds also on the potential for more support from the RBI further down the line," said Giulia Pellegrini, lead portfolio manager emerging market debt at AllianzGI. Market participants would also track whether the Reserve Bank of India turns more aggressive in withdrawing liquidity after drawing out 2 trillion rupees from the banking system on Friday. KEY EVENTS: ** India July HSBC manufacturing, services and composite Flash PMI - July 24, Thursday (10:30 a.m. IST) U.S. ** June existing home sales - July 23, Wednesday (7:30 p.m. IST) ** Initial weekly jobless claims for week to July 14 - July 24, Thursday (6:00 p.m. IST) ** July S&P Global manufacturing, services and composite Flash PMI - July 24, Thursday (7:15 p.m. IST) ** June new home sales units - June 25, Wednesday (7:30 p.m. IST) ** June durable goods - June 26, Thursday (7:30 p.m. IST) ($1 = 86.1180 Indian rupees)

ECB accelerates digital euro preparation work
ECB accelerates digital euro preparation work

Finextra

timean hour ago

  • Finextra

ECB accelerates digital euro preparation work

The European Central Bank is accelerating work on a digital euro to keep up with the "ambitious pace" set by EU leaders as the project's urgency increases in the face of geopolitical challenges including an increasingly hostile United States under Donald Trump. 0 In its third progress report on the preparation phase of a CBDC, the ECB acknowledges that since its last update in December, there has been an increased push from the continent's leaders to reduce its reliance on Visa and Mastercard. In March, leaders put out a statement warning that: "In a more fragmented and digital world, accelerating progress on a digital euro is key to support a competitive and resilient European payment system, contribute to Europe's economic security and strengthen the international role of the euro." In the latest report, ECB executive board member Piero Cipollone says: "We are pleased to see that our efforts remain on track as we keep working to deliver on the request of EU leaders to accelerate progress on a digital euro. In light of today's geopolitical and economic challenges, we welcome an ambitious pace for the legislative work." In recent months, the ECB has launched an innovation platform with around 70 market participants conducting technical tests of features such as conditional payments and exploring conceptual ideas and use cases for integrating the digital euro into the financial ecosystem. In parallel, the ECB has worked with small merchants, vulnerable consumers and under-represented groups through focus groups, interviews and collaborations with consumer associations to understand their needs, preferences and challenges to ensure the digital euro's design is as inclusive and accessible as possible.

Oil prices little changed as investors eye impact of new sanctions on Russia
Oil prices little changed as investors eye impact of new sanctions on Russia

Reuters

timean hour ago

  • Reuters

Oil prices little changed as investors eye impact of new sanctions on Russia

SINGAPORE, July 21 (Reuters) - Oil prices barely budged on Monday as traders eyed the impact of new European sanctions on Russian oil supply, rising output from Middle East producers and concerns about fuel outlook as tariffs weighed on global economic growth. Brent crude futures rose 5 cents to $69.33 a barrel by 0040 GMT after settling 0.35% higher on Friday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $67.36 a barrel, up 2 cents, following a 0.30% gain in the previous session. The European Union approved on Friday the 18th package of sanctions against Russia over the conflict in Ukraine, which also targeted India's Nayara Energy, an exporter of oil products refined from Russian crude. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said on Friday that Russia had built up a certain immunity to Western sanctions. Rosneft ( opens new tab, Russia's biggest oil producer with a stake in Nayara, on Sunday criticised the sanctions as unjustified and illegal, saying the restrictions directly threatened India's energy security. Iran, another sanctioned oil producer, is due to hold nuclear talks in Istanbul with Britain, France and Germany on Friday, an Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson said on Monday. That follows warnings by the three European countries that a failure to resume negotiations would lead to international sanctions being reimposed on Iran. In the U.S., the number of operating oil rigs fell by two to 422 last week, the lowest since September 2021, Baker Hughes said on Friday. Separately, U.S. tariffs on imports from the European Union are set to kick in on August 1, although U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said on Sunday he was confident the United States could secure a trade deal with the bloc.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store