Flood threats plague Southeast this weekend as tropical downpours return
Just as the heat dome that has kept the Southeast sweltering this week breaks down, tropical downpours will return to the region and bring with them a risk of flooding.
The eastern half of the U.S. has been gripped by a sprawling heat wave that has kept millions of people in record-setting temperatures.
A cold front moving out of Canada will bring an end to the heat for some starting Wednesday.
The front will lose its punch by the time it arrives in the southern U.S., eventually stalling in the region.
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That will serve as the catalyst for a storm system that will bring buckets of rain to the region this weekend. Starting Friday, the abundance of tropical moisture will lead to several inches of rain across the Southeast.
The heaviest rain is expected in places such as Charleston, South Carolina; Savannah, Georgia; and Wilmington, North Carolina. However, amounts of between 3-5 inches of rain are possible well inland.
NOAA's Weather Prediction Center has outlined a Level 2 out of 4 risk of flooding in the region for Friday and Saturday.
A cold front moving out of Canada will bring an end to the heat for some starting Wednesday.
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The heaviest rain is expected in places such as Charleston, South Carolina; Savannah, Georgia; and Wilmington, North Carolina.
FOX Weather
There is a low chance that the storm system kicked up by the parked front could develop a tropical component, but that will not impact the forecast of heavy rain that is expected to fall on the region.
'It's a boundary over warm sea surface temperatures,' FOX Weather Meteorologist Ian Oliver said. 'If it hangs around too long, it's going to have a chance at developing at least some tropical characteristics.'
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Flooding driven by tropical downpours has been a common theme in the weather pattern for the Southeast over the past month.
Chantal made landfall on the South Carolina coast in early July, and two other tropical disturbances have moved across the Southeast since then.
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New York Post
4 hours ago
- New York Post
Southeast braces for double-digit rainfall total, flooding as storms persist through weekend
Advertisement A stalled frontal boundary draped across the Southeast, combined with developing areas of low pressure, is setting the stage for several more days of heavy rainfall from the Interstate 10 corridor northward through Georgia and the Carolinas. According to the FOX Forecast Center, the potential for daily rounds of rain and thunderstorms will persist through the weekend, with some areas potentially receiving double-digit rainfall totals. Flood Watches remain in effect for multiple counties across the region, particularly in areas that have already experienced significant rainfall over the past week. These watches can be upgraded to Flood Warnings if storms repeatedly pass over the same locations, swamping already-saturated ground and overwhelming drainage systems. Advertisement Cities and communities in the greatest risk zone include Tallahassee and Jacksonville in Florida, Charleston and Myrtle Beach in South Carolina and Wilmington in North Carolina. All eyes are also on the western Atlantic Ocean, where a disorganized tropical disturbance is being monitored for potential development. 4 Flood Watches remain in effect for multiple counties across the region. Jacob Biba/Citizen Times / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images The National Hurricane Center currently gives the system a medium chance of forming into a tropical depression or tropical storm over the next few days. Advertisement However, the FOX Forecast Center stresses that the absence of a named storm does not change the threat, with significant chances of rainfall each and every day. A Hurricane Hunter aircraft is set to fly into the area on Wednesday morning to see if there's a low-level spin in the region. 4 All eyes are also on the western Atlantic Ocean, where a disorganized tropical disturbance is being monitored for potential development. FOX Weather As of midweek, rapid tropical development was not expected to occur, but forecasters remain watchful for any signs of organization as the system slowly drifts offshore. Advertisement Flooding has already been reported outside of Charlotte, North Carolina, with an estimated 5-8 inches of rain that fell on Tuesday, prompting water rescues. Similar flooding issues were also reported in parts of Alabama and Georgia, where saturated soils and slow-moving storms led to hazardous conditions. 4 A Hurricane Hunter aircraft is set to fly into the area on Wednesday morning to see if there's a low-level spin in the region. Allison Bashor via Storyful In addition to the flooding concerns, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible through the remainder of the week. Damaging wind gusts and frequent lightning may accompany stronger cells, and they'll tend to move rather slowly. Coastal impacts are also expected to increase, even in the absence of a named tropical system. 4 In addition to the flooding concerns, isolated severe thunderstorms are possible through the remainder of the week. FOX Weather Rough surf and an elevated risk of rip currents will affect beaches from Florida to the Carolinas, posing a danger to swimmers. Advertisement A consequence of the persistent cloud cover and rain will be cooler daytime temperatures. Several observation sites across the Southeast have reported near-record-low high temperatures, with typical readings well into 80s and 90s, during the final month of meteorological summer.
Yahoo
5 hours ago
- Yahoo
How often has Florida been impacted, threatened by August hurricanes? We took a look back
Forecasters have been warning activity in the Atlantic basin will be picking up. Their predictions came true over the weekend, when the fourth named storm of the season — Tropical Storm Dexter — developed ahead of the historical average. The National Hurricane Center also is tracking two other systems out there, including near the coast of Florida and a tropical wave moving off the coast of Africa. ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location ➤ Track active storms The busiest period of hurricane season runs from mid-August through mid-October, with peak hitting Sept. 10, so we took a look at the past 24 years, since 2000, to see what storms have formed in August and how many have threatened or impacted Florida. What are NOAA predictions for 2025 hurricane season? NOAA is predicting there is a 60% chance of an above-normal season. Forecasters are predicting: Named storms: 13-19 Hurricanes: 6-10 Major hurricanes: 3-5 2025 hurricane season so far An average Atlantic hurricane season has 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes. ➤ National Hurricane Center tracking Tropical Storm Dexter, 2 other systems. Where are they going? Here's when this year's named storms have developed, compared to historical averages: Tropical Storm Andrea: formed June 24. Average start date: June 20 Tropical Storm Barry: formed June 29. Average start date: July 17 Tropical Storm Chantal: formed July 5. Average start date: Aug. 3. Tropical Storm Dexter: formed Aug. 4. Average start date: Aug. 15, with the average first hurricane forming Aug. 11. How often is there a named storm in August? We looked through National Hurricane Center for the past 24 years — since 2000 — to see how often a tropical storm or hurricane developed in August. Here's what we found: August hurricanes: 23 August major hurricanes: 24 August tropical storms: 53 Here's the breakdown:Hurricane Debby: Aug. 3-9 Hurricane Ernesto: Aug. 12-20Tropical Storm Emily: Aug. 20-21 Major Hurricane Franklin: Aug. 20-Sept. 1 Tropical Storm Gert: Aug. 19-Sept. 4 Tropical Storm Harold: Aug. 21-23 Major Hurricane Idalia: Aug. 26-Aug. 31 Tropical Storm Jose: Aug. 29-Sept. 1 Tropical Storm Katia: Aug. 31-Sept. 4 2022: None in August 2021 Tropical Storm Fred: Aug. 11-17 Major Hurricane Grace: Aug. 13-21 Hurricane Henri: Aug. 15-23 Major Hurricane Ida: Aug. 26-Sept. 1 Tropical Storm Kate: Aug. 28-Sept. 1 Tropical Storm Julian: Aug. 28-30 Major Hurricane Larry: Aug. 31-Sept. 11 2020 Hurricane Isaias: July 30-Aug. 4 Tropical Storm Josephine: Aug. 11-16 Tropical Storm Kyle: Aug. 14-15 Major Hurricane Laura: Aug. 20-29 Hurricane Marco: Aug. 21-25 Tropical Storm Omar: Aug. 31-Sept. 5 2019 Tropical Storm Chantal: Aug. 20-23 Major Hurricane Dorian: Aug. 24-Sept. 7 Tropical Storm Erin: Aug. 26-29 2018 Tropical Storm Debby: Aug. 7-9 Tropical Storm Ernesto: Aug. 15-17 Major Hurricane Florence: Aug. 31-Sept. 17 2017 Tropical Storm Emily: July 30-Aug. 1 Hurricane Franklin: Aug. 7-10 Hurricane Gert: Aug. 13-17 Major Hurricane Harvey: Aug. 17-Sept. 1 Major Hurricane Irma: Aug. 30-Sept. 12 2016 Hurricane Earl: Aug. 2-6 Tropical Storm Fiona: Aug. 16-23 Major Hurricane Gaston: Aug. 22-Sept. 2 Hurricane Hermine: Aug. 28-Sept. 3 2015 Major Hurricane Danny: Aug. 18-24 Tropical Storm Erika: Aug. 24-28 2014 Hurricane Bertha: Aug. 1-6 Hurricane Cristobal: Aug. 23-29 2013 Tropical Storm Dorian: July 23-Aug. 3 Tropical Storm Erin: Aug. 15-18 Tropical Storm Fernand: Aug. 25-26 2012 Hurricane Ernesto: Aug. 1-10 Tropical Storm Florence: Aug. 3-6 Hurricane Gordon: Aug. 15-20 Tropical Storm Helene: Aug. 9-18 Hurricane Isaac: Aug. 21-Sept. 1 Tropical Storm Joyce: Aug. 22-24 Hurricane Kirk: Aug. 28-Sept. 2 Hurricane Leslie: Aug. 30-Sept. 11 2011 Tropical Storm Emily: Aug. 2-7 Tropical Storm Franklin: Aug. 12-13 Tropical Storm Gert: Aug. 13-16 Tropical Storm Harvey: Aug. 19-22 Major Hurricane Irene: Aug. 21-28 Tropical Storm Jose: Aug. 27-28 Major Hurricane Katia: Aug. 29-Sept. 10 2010 Tropical Storm Colin: Aug. 2-8 Major Hurricane Danielle: Aug. 21-30 Tropical Storm Fiona: Aug. 30-Sept. 3 2009 Major Hurricane Bill: Aug. 15-24 Tropical Storm Claudette: Aug. 16-17 Tropical Storm Danny: Aug. 25-29 2008 Tropical Storm Edouard: Aug. 3-6 Tropical Storm Fay: Aug. 15-26 Major Hurricane Gustav: Aug. 25-Sept. 4 Hurricane Hanna: Aug. 28-Sept. 7 2007 Tropical storm Chantal: July 31-Aug. 1 Major Hurricane Dean: Aug. 13-23 Tropical Storm Erin: Aug. 15-17 Major Hurricane Felix: Aug. 31-Sept. 5 2006 Tropical Storm Chris: Aug. 1-4 Tropical Storm Debby: Aug. 21-26 Hurricane Ernesto: Aug. 24-Sept. 1 2005 Tropical Storm Harvey: Aug. 2-8 Hurricane Irene: Aug. 4-18 Tropical Storm Jose: Aug. 22-23 Major Hurricane Katrina: Aug. 23-30 Tropical Storm Lee: Aug. 28-Sept. 2 2004 Tropical Storm Bonnie: Aug. 3-14 Major Hurricane Charley: Aug. 9-14 Hurricane Danielle: Aug. 13-21 Tropical Storm Earl: Aug. 13-15 Major Hurricane Frances: Aug. 25-Sept. 8 Hurricane Gaston: Aug. 27-Sept. 1 Tropical Storm Hermine: Aug. 27-31 2003 Hurricane Erika: Aug. 14-17 Major Hurricane Fabian: Aug. 27-Sept. 8 Tropical Storm Grace: Aug. 30-Sept. 2 2002 Tropical Storm Bertha: Aug. 4-9 Tropical Storm Cristobal: Aug. 5-8 Tropical Storm Dolly: Aug. 29-Sept. 4 2001 Tropical Storm Barry: Aug. 2-7 Tropical Storm Chantal: Aug. 14-22 Tropical Storm Dean: Aug. 22-28 2000 Major Hurricane Alberto: Aug. 3-23 Tropical Storm Beryl: Aug. 13-15 Tropical Storm Chris: Aug. 17-19 Hurricane Debby: Aug. 19-24 How many named storms have threatened Florida in August since 2000? We looked through National Hurricane Center for the past 24 years — since 2000 — to see how often a tropical storm or hurricane developed in August. Here's what we found: August hurricanes: 23 August major hurricanes: 24 August tropical storms: 53 See which ones impacted Florida: August 2024 saw Hurricane Debby hit Florida Big Bend Hurricane Debby: Aug. 3-9, 2024. Category 1 hurricane at landfall along Florida Big Bend near Steinhatchee on Aug. 5. Major Hurricane Idalia hits Florida Big Bend as Cat 3 storm in 2023 Major Hurricane Idalia: Aug. 26-Aug. 31, 2023. Category 3 hurricane at landfall along Florida Big Bend near Keaton Beach, the third strongest landfalling hurricane in modern history for the area. 2 major hurricanes, tropical storm impacted Florida in 2021 Tropical Storm Fred: Aug. 11-17, 2021. Tropical storm at landfall southwest of Apalachicola along Florida's Panhandle Aug. 16. Major Hurricane Ida: Aug. 26-Sept. 1, 2021: Short-lived tropical-storm-force winds occurred over the Lower Florida Keys in association with an outer rainband. Heavy rainfall reported in some areas, including western Panhandle. Major Hurricane Larry: Aug. 31-Sept. 11, 2021. Larry made landfall in Canada, but the hurricane's large wind field generated swells that impacted beaches along the Atlantic coast. A 69-year-old man drowned at Jetty Park in Cape Canaveral. Remember Isaias? Hurricanes missed Florida in 2020 but impacts still felt Hurricane Isaias: July 30-Aug. 4, 2020: Isaias made its closest approach to Florida as a tropical storm near West Palm Beach and Fort Lauderdale. Major Hurricane Laura: Aug. 20-29, 2020: While Laura did not make landfall in Florida, there was a surf-related drowning associated with Laura in St. George Island in Florida. Hurricane Marco: Aug. 21-25, 2020. Storm surge associated with Marco reached 1 to 2 feet above ground level in the Florida Panhandle. Dorian gives Florida scare after massive hit to Bahamas in 2019 Major Hurricane Dorian: Aug. 24-Sept. 7, 2019. Dorian gave Florida quite a scare as it approached the state, but the intense winds stays east of the state as it moved north. Tropical-storm-force winds did impact areas from Broward County north as it moved parallel to the coast before making landfall over Cape Hatteras as a Category 2 storm. Prior to that, Dorian became the strongest hurricane in modern records to make landfall in the Bahamas, hitting Elbow Cay, Great Abacao, with estimated winds of 184 mph. Tropical Storm Erin: Aug. 26-29, 2019. Erin was primarily of non-tropical origin, moving over southeastern Florida Aug. 24 as an area of low pressure before developing into a tropical storm. Major Hurricane Irma makes landfall in Florida as Category 4 storm in 2017 Tropical Storm Emily: July 30-Aug. 1, 2017: Emily was a short-lived tropical storm that developed unexpectedly and made landfall just south of Tampa Bay. Major Hurricane Irma: Aug. 30-Sept. 12, 2017: Irma made landfall as a Category 4 hurricane in the Florida Keys near Cudjoe Key and struck southwestern Florida near Marco Island as a Category 3 storm. Irma caused widespread devastation across the affected areas and was one of the strongest and costliest hurricanes on record in the Atlantic basin at the time. Hurricane Hermine hits Florida Big Bend in 2016 Hurricane Hermine: Aug. 28-Sept. 3, 2016: Hermine was a Category 1 hurricane that made landfall along the sparsely populated Big Bend coast of Florida just east of St. Marks, becoming the first hurricane to make landfall in Florida since Wilma in 2005. Hurricane Isaac brings tropical-storm-force winds, storm surge to Florida in 2012 Hurricane Isaac: Aug. 21-Sept. 1, 2012: Isaac brought tropical-storm-force winds to the Keys and South Florida as rainbands moved through the area Aug. 26. Storm surge of 3.4 feet were reported at Pensacola and Apalachee Bay. August hurricane in 2010 misses Florida, but bring death in rough surf Major Hurricane Danielle: Aug. 21-30, 2010. Danielle stayed in the Atlantic, but a 47-year old man drowned in rough surf in Satellite Beach. 2009 storms bring more drowning deaths to Florida Major Hurricane Bill: Aug. 15-24, 2009. Bill stayed in the Atlantic until it made landfall in Newfoundland as a tropical storm. A 54-year-old swimmer drowned in New Smyrna Beach in rough seas caused by Bill. Tropical Storm Claudette: Aug. 16-17, 2009. Claudette made landfall as a tropical storm near Fort Walton Beach, Aug. 17. One person died by drowning near Shell Island. August 2008 storms bring tornadoes, rain up to 27 inches to Florida. Fay made record 4 landfalls in Florida Tropical Storm Fay: Aug. 15-26, 2008. Fay was a long-lived storm that brought heavy rainfall and flooding; 27.65 inches were recorded near Melbourne. Nineteen tornadoes were reported in Florida. Five deaths were reported in Florida. The storm made eight landfalls, including a record four in Florida: Near Key West, Aug. 17 Between Cape Romano and Everglades City, Aug. 19 Near Flagler Beach, Aug. 21 Southwest of Carrabelle Aug. 23 Major Hurricane Gustav: Aug. 25-Sept. 4, 2008. While Gustav made landfall in Louisiana, the storm produced six tornadoes in Florida. Four deaths in Florida were drownings in rip currents caused by high surf produced by the hurricane. Hurricane Ernesto makes 2 landfalls in Florida in 2006 Hurricane Ernesto: Aug. 24-Sept. 1, 2006. Ernesto made landfall as a tropical storm at Plantation Key Aug. 30 and a second landfall on the mainland hours later in southwestern Miami-Dade County. The storm brought 3-6 inches of rain in some areas from Cape Canaveral to Lake Okeechobee. Two tornadoes were reported in Osceola County. Hurricane Katrina hit Florida as Category 1 storm before targeting Louisiana in 2005 Major Hurricane Katrina: Aug. 23-30, 2005. Described at the the time as "one of the most devastating natural disasters in United States history," Katrina brought fatalities and damage, making landfall in Florida as a Category 1 hurricane near the border of Miami-Dade and Broward counties before moving into the Gulf. It strengthened into a Cat 5 storm but weakened before making landfall near Buras, Louisiana, as a strong Category 3 hurricane. Six direct deaths associated with Katrina were reported in Florida, three from drowning and three from downed trees. 2004 was year Florida would rather forget. Category 4 Hurricane Charley small, but powerful. It wasn't only one to make landfall Tropical Storm Bonnie: Aug. 3-14, 2004. Bonnie made landfall near St. Vincent Island as a weak tropical storm. Major Hurricane Charley: Aug. 9-14, 2004. Category 4 Hurricane Charley was the strongest hurricane to hit the United States since Andrew in 1992, making landfall Aug. 13 near Cayo Costa before the eye passed over Punta Gorda. Although small in size, Charley caused catastrophic wind damage in Charlotte County and serious damage over the Florida peninsula before it moved into the Atlantic near Daytona Beach Aug. 14. Nine tornadoes reported across Florida peninsula Rainfall up to 8 inches reported. Storm surge of 4.2 feet reported in Estero Bay. Charley was directly responsible for 10 deaths in the United States, including nine in Florida, and 24 indirect deaths in Florida. Major Hurricane Frances: Aug. 25-Sept. 8, 2004. Frances made landfall over the southern end of Hutchinson Island Sept. 5 as a Category 2 hurricane. After moving into the Gulf, it made another landfall near the mouth of the Aucilla River in the Florida Big Bend Sept. 7. Estimated storm surge was 8 feet near Vero Beach and 6 feet around Cocoa Beach. Rainfall was estimated at 15.84 in at High Springs. Twenty-three tornadoes associated with Frances were reported in Florida. Five direct deaths and 32 indirect deaths were reported in Florida. Barry makes landfall in Florida Panhandle, bringing heavy rain, 3 tornadoes Tropical Storm Barry: Aug. 2-7, 2001. Barry was a strong tropical storm that caused minor damage in the western Florida Panhandle after making landfall near Santa Rosa Beach Aug. 6. Storm total rainfalls were generally 5-9 inches over the Florida Panhandle. Pre-Barry tropical wave produced 3 to 8 inches of rain over portions of southern Florida with local amounts as high as 13 inches in Martin County. Three tornadoes were reported in Florida, causing minor damage. Hurricane Debby prompts evacuation of Keys in 2000 before 'dissipating rather unexpectedly' Hurricane Debby: Aug. 19-24, 2000. Debby looked as if it would be a significant threat to Florida but it "dissipated rather unexpectedly" after hitting the islands in the northeast Caribbean. An evacuation of non-residents from the Florida Keys was ordered after models shoed Debby could reach South Florida with a central pressure corresponding to a major hurricane. Who comes up with hurricane names? The World Meteorological Organization maintains six lists of names to be used for tropical storms and hurricanes, along with a list of alternative names if all names are used during the hurricane season. The lists are used on a rotating basis. A name is retired only if a storm is "so deadly or costly that the future use of its name for a different storm would be inappropriate for reasons of sensitivity," according to NOAA. At an annual meeting of the World Meteorological Organization, the offending name may be stricken from the list and another name is then selected to replace it. When have 'other' Dexters formed in Atlantic? Dexter replaced Dorian on Atlantic hurricane list If you don't remember Dexter among the list of storms for the Atlantic, there's a good reason for it. Dexter replaced Dorian after that hurricane caused destruction in the Bahamas in 2019 and threatened Florida as a major hurricane before skirting the coast as it turned north. ➤ Tropical Storm Dexter forms off US coast. See latest spaghetti models, any Florida impacts ➤ Track Tropical Storm Dexter, see latest spaghetti models on where storm could go Since names appear once every six years; 2025 marks the first time Dexter has appeared. When is the Atlantic hurricane season? The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said. The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories. Stay informed. Get weather alerts via text What's next? We will update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Florida Times-Union: August hurricanes, tropical storms: Historical threat to Florida Solve the daily Crossword
Newsweek
5 hours ago
- Newsweek
Millions Across 12 States Warned of Dangerous Water Conditions
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Millions across at least 12 U.S. states were facing strong rip currents and rough surf this week, according to forecasters, as Tropical Storm Dexter continued to track east-northeast across the Atlantic's open waters. Why It Matters Tropical Storm Dexter is the fourth named storm of the Atlantic Hurricane season. It follows storms Andrea, Barry and Chantal. Chantal brought heavy rain and flooding to North Carolina in early July. What To Know Tropical Storm Dexter is moving northeast over the open Atlantic, with no direct land impacts expected. However, maritime interests may encounter higher surf and rough seas through Saturday, AccuWeather said. Alongside a strengthening high pressure over the Northeast, Dexter will increase the risk of rip currents along East Coast beaches throughout the week. A forecast map provided to Newsweek by AccuWeather showed that the majority of the East Coast could see strong rip currents and rough surf this week, from Florida all the way north to Massachusetts. A forecast map from AccuWeather shows which states could experience coastal hazards this week. A forecast map from AccuWeather shows which states could experience coastal hazards this week. AccuWeather On Monday, Newsweek reported that authorities had advised thousands of beachgoers in North Carolina to exercise caution when entering the water at beaches north of Cape Hatteras due to hazardous ocean conditions. National Weather Service meteorologist Olivia Cahill told Newsweek at the time that northeasterly winds from Tropical Storm Dexter, swirling farther out in the Atlantic, generated powerful waves and life-threatening rip currents. In its most recent public advisory for Tropical Storm Dexter, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) said the system was moving east-northeast at around 13 miles per hour, and this motion was expected to continue "with some increase in forward speed" over the coming days. "Strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours while the system becomes an extratropical cyclone," the agency said. This is a cyclone for which the primary energy source results from the temperature contrast between warm and cold air masses, according to the NHC. What People Are Saying AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva said, in an advisory shared with Newsweek: "Be vigilant for rough surf and rip currents at Atlantic beaches this week from Florida to New England. Dexter will continue to churn up the surf as it pushes away from the U.S. High pressure will build over the Northeast starting Wednesday. An onshore flow will keep the rip current risk moderate to high at times through the end of the week. Look for beaches with lifeguards on duty this week." What Happens Next The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June through November. The eastern Pacific hurricane season began on May 15 and lasts until November 30. The NHC says that August and September are typically the busiest months of the Atlantic season.
