
Oil falls on prospect of more OPEC+ supply, easing risks in Mideast
SINGAPORE, June 30 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell 1% on Monday as an easing of geopolitical risks in the Middle East and the prospect of another OPEC+ output hike in August boosted the supply outlook.
Brent crude futures fell 66 cents, or 0.97%, to $67.11 a barrel by 0031 GMT, ahead of the August contract's expiry later on Monday. The more active September contract was at $65.97, down 83 cents.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude dropped 94 cents, or 1.43%, to $64.58 a barrel.
Last week, both benchmarks posted their biggest weekly decline since March 2023, but they are set to finish higher in June with a second consecutive monthly gain of more than 5%.
A 12-day war that started with Israel targeting Iran's nuclear facilities on June 13 caused Brent prices to surge above $80 a barrel after the U.S. bombed Iran's nuclear facilities and then slump to $67 after President Donald Trump announced an Iran-Israel ceasefire.
The market has stripped out most of the geopolitical risk premium built into the price following the Iran-Israel ceasefire, IG markets analyst Tony Sycamore said in a note.
Further weighing on the market, four delegates from OPEC+, which includes allies of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, said the group was set to boost production by 411,000 barrels per day in August, following similar-size output increases for May, June and July.
OPEC+ is set to meet on July 6 and this would be the fifth monthly increase since the group started unwinding production cuts in April.
In the U.S., the number of operating oil rigs, an indicator of future output, fell by six to 432 last week, the lowest level since October 2021, Baker Hughes said.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Reuters
38 minutes ago
- Reuters
Markets in the first half or 2025: Down with the dollar, up with guns
LONDON, June 30 (Reuters) - After U.S. President Donald Trump's radical campaign pledges, investors knew markets would get bumpy this year as he returned to lead the world's biggest economy. But almost nobody predicted the outcome so far, especially the dollar's dramatic fall. Run through the year's numbers without tracking the journey and many key markets look serene. World stocks (.MIWD00000PUS), opens new tab are at record highs, benchmark global borrowing costs are down and so-called market "fear gauges" like the VIX (.VIX), opens new tab barely look like they have moved. But look closer and the turmoil is clear: all of those markets have seen extreme swings over the last six months - and then there's the dollar. (.DXY), opens new tab The world's reserve currency is down over 10%. That's its biggest first-half dive since the era of free-floating currencies began in the early 1970s, whereas gold is up 25% in its biggest rise since then, which marked the end of the bullion-linked Bretton Woods System. Vincent Mortier, chief investment officer at Europe's largest asset manager Amundi, puts this down to Trump's trade war, and particularly to what the president calls his "Big Beautiful" fiscal bill that will keep the U.S. deficit at 6-7% and its $36.2-trillion debt pile ballooning. "The big event of the first half for the market has been this U.S. weakness and this questioning of what should be the trajectory of the dollar," Mortier said, adding he expected the U.S. currency to keep dropping, albeit more slowly. Also eye-catching have been the struggles of the "Magnificent Seven" tech giants. They have been a cash cow for portfolios for years, but have been left for dust so far this year by a 20% rally in Chinese rivals (.HSTECH), opens new tab and a near 70% surge in European weapons makers. (.SXPARO), opens new tab The latter move has been driven by Trump too. His signal that the U.S. will scale back Europe's military protection is forcing the region - and other NATO members - to rearm. Germany's historic plan to revamp its self-imposed debt brake to allow higher defence spending initially interested the $140 trillion global bond market, although long-term U.S. debt concerns and record-high Japanese borrowing costs have driven most moves since. Given the dollar's woes, benchmark U.S. debt will have lost money this year for most who sit outside the country. Highlighting the volatility, 30-year Treasury yields surged past 5.1% to their highest since 2007 in May, but are already back at 4.8%. Switzerland, meanwhile, took its interest rates back down to zero this month. The dollar's slump also means the euro is up 12.5% , Japan's yen is up nearly 8% and the Swiss franc is up 13.5%. It has also given emerging markets a chance to shine. Trump's re-engagement with Russian President Vladimir Putin has helped the rouble surge a whopping 40%, although it remains heavily restricted by Western sanctions and still lags the 42% tear in gold producer Ghana's cedi. In eastern Europe, Poland's zloty, the Czech crown and Hungarian forint are all between 13-17% stronger. Taiwan's dollar jumped 8% in just two days last month and even Mexico's peso and emerging market local currency debt are enjoying double-digit gains for the year, despite all the trade war trauma. "This is the most prominent capital rotation we have seen for the best part of two decades," said PIMCO's head of emerging market portfolio management, Pramol Dhawan, referring to the move out of U.S. assets into emerging and other markets. "And we still think we are in the early innings of this." At the bottom of the FX pile are familiar names like Argentina's peso and Turkey's lira. The latter is down nearly 11% and much of that happened after Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan's main political rival was detained back in March. Bitcoin has been volatile, as usual. It raced up almost 20% when Trump took office, dived nearly 30% when his plans for a U.S. cryptocurrency reserve failed to impress and has spent the last three months clawing it all back again. Oil has yo-yoed too. It slumped 30% to below $60 a barrel in April after Trump's sweeping tariff plan fuelled global recession fears, but briefly soared above $80 this month when Israel and the U.S. bombed Iran. Copper has defied the global economy worries to jump 11%, although it's the precious metals that have sparkled. Silver is neck-and-neck with gold, up 24%, while platinum is up nearly 50% after a string of 10-year highs. There won't be much time for a second-half breather either. Trump wants to ram his "Big Beautiful Bill" though U.S. Congress by July 4's Independence Day holiday, while his ceasefire in the global trade war runs out five days later. Things are already kicking off with neighbour Canada and as the deadline approaches - and with scant progress so far towards mutually-agreed baseline levies - questions remain how long markets can stay numb to the risks.


The Independent
an hour ago
- The Independent
Canada ditches its tech tax after Trump walks away from negotiating table
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney announced late Sunday that the country would scrap a tax on American technology companies 'in anticipation' of a trade deal with the U.S. The move comes after President Donald Trump announced on Friday that he would suspend all trade talks with Canada over its decision to impose a tax on technology firms, which he called 'a direct and blatant attack on our country.' However, by Sunday, the Canadian government folded 'in anticipation' of a trade deal with the U.S. and rescinded the digital services tax. The digital services tax, which had been in place since last year, would have slapped a 3 percent levy on domestic and foreign tech companies, including Google, Meta, Uber, and Amazon. As the tax would have applied retroactively, it would leave American companies with a $2 billion bill at the end of the month. Carney and Trump spoke on the phone Sunday, and the Canadian leader's office said they agreed to resume trade talks. 'Today's announcement will support a resumption of negotiations toward the July 21, 2025, timeline set out at this month's G7 Leaders' Summit in Kananaskis,' Carney said in a statement. Carney said the cancellation of the tax would put trade talks back on track to reach an agreement by July 21, though in a statement, Canada's finance ministry said that Canada 'will take as long as necessary, but no longer, to achieve that deal.' According to the U.S. Trade Representative's office, U.S. goods trade with Canada totaled roughly $762 billion last year, making Canada one of the country's two largest trading partners. Trump's announcement Friday comes amidst the president's ongoing, and self-inflicted, trade war. Both Canada and Mexico are facing tariffs as much as 25 percent on most products, in addition to a 50 percent tariff on steel and aluminum. Trump is also charging a 10 percent tax on imports from most countries, which could be raised further on July 9, following a 90-day negotiating period. A three-judge panel of the U.S. Court for International Trade had previously ruled that Trump's use of tariffs for such purposes was illegal, but that ruling is on hold pending an appeal.

Finextra
an hour ago
- Finextra
Moneythor debuts AI suite
Singapore-based Moneythor, the world-leading personalisation platform for banks, today announced the launch of its AI Suite, to enable banks to build deeper and profitable relationships with their customers. 0 The suite enables banks to leverage the full potential of their data to deliver experiences which resemble those of popular technology and media apps in terms of personalisation, proactivity and engagement - a challenge which many of the region's banks are currently struggling to deliver in practice. According to global research from Fintech Futures amongst banking and fintech decision-makers across the globe, only 23% of financial institutions would describe their acquisition approaches successful, nearly half (49%) admit that their current technology solutions are unable to provide engagement post onboarding, while a staggering 15% of newly acquired customers drop-off after the first 3 months. Martin Frick, Moneythor's CEO, explains that Moneythor's new AI suite will squarely address the challenges facing banks to deliver deeper customer engagement. 'Specific, built-for-purpose AI is fundamental to the delivery of deep banking experiences; namely, hyper-personalisation, anticipation, and a proposition that extends beyond traditional financial offerings. And with respect to the latter, the opportunity is particularly compelling. Banks are, literally, at the intersection of people's daily lives; whether around routine transactions or once-in-a-lifetime ones. Each provides an opportunity to connect with an additional service, or a complementary brand . . . . even beyond the finance space.' 'Moneythor has been applying technologies such as big data, machine learning and AI to support the delivery of more personalised, predictive banking experiences for more than 13 years. Our new AI suite builds upon this 'muscle memory' with the addition of generative, conversational and agentic AI capabilities.' adds Martin Specifically, Moneythor's AI suite will enable banks to intuitively develop, test, deploy and adapt personalised customer content and recommendations, 'on the fly' by integrating with any (or multiple) Large Language Models (LLM), without the requirement to train each one separately. Resulting campaigns are not only deeply personalised, but self-adapting - thanks to the incorporation of Agentic AI - enabling them to adjust and respond to individual customer situations in real time. Moneythor's clients in South East Asia include Standard Chartered, DBS, Trust Bank, and RHB Bank. Martin goes on to explain that, in markets such as Singapore (and others) where the typical customer holds multiple bank accounts, the delivery of deep banking now represents a vital differentiator. 'In Singapore, for instance, the average citizen holds nearly 2.5 separate bank accounts. This reality presents a distinct challenge to financial service providers to ensure that the client remains fully aware of and engaged in their offering. Our own research confirms, for instance, that 15% of newly opened accounts remain dormant after the first 3 months, while 'strengthening digital engagement' represents one of the sector's biggest challenges,' he says. 'The launch of our AI suite is a direct and practical response to this reality, enabling banks to rapidly transform their customer experience into something that resembles the type of consumer or lifestyle app that they are familiar and comfortable with. This is the promise of deep banking. While few would question its potential, our AI suite can make deep banking a reality, at a time when customer expectations have never been higher.'