
Chinese toymaker takes drastic action to survive Trump's tariffs
BEIJING: Ah Biao, the founder of a toy factory in southern China that makes magnetic puzzles and sensory tubes for American children, is still in business despite brinkmanship by US President Donald Trump.
When Trump hiked tariffs on China from 54% to 145% in early April, Ah Biao - a moniker his colleagues and friends call him - rented a factory in northern Vietnam. He packed 90 sets of iron or steel moulds into 60 boxes, some weighing over than 700 kilogrammes (1,540 pounds), which were shipped to the South-East Asian country for production to evade levies.
Four weeks later, Trump abruptly lowered those tariffs back down to 30% in a 90-day truce with Beijing. Those same moulds were quickly moved from a Chinese border town where they were awaiting customs clearance and rushed back into production in Shenzhen.
Some production lines are operating 24 hours per day in two shifts. Furloughed workers - who kept their jobs after Ah Biao decided not to implement a plan to lay off a third of them - returned with full pay and overtime. Sixty more people were hired.
In the meantime, Ah Biao is fervently keeping track of what's left of shipping availability to get his toys into the US as quickly as possible.
Ah Biao, founder of Shenzhen Kate Plastic Products Co, is emblematic of millions of exporters across China's vast US$4.7 trillion manufacturing sector.
For all the attention on Trump's pledge to bring mass manufacturing back to American shores, one thing has become clear: China's factories are finding ways to remain central to the global supply chain.
"I felt that it was useless to just worry, you just have to do what you have to do. We can only act according to circumstances,' said Ah Biao, who declined to use his full name due to sensitivities around discussing geopolitical topics, of the ups and downs of the past few months.
"In short, the world is round, and we will always find a way.'
That was already evident from the US President's first trade war with China, when exporters responded to tariffs by pouring out into South-East Asia; Chinese businesses own over half of Cambodia's factories now, according to the country's industry ministry.
Now in Trump's second, more damaging trade barrage, the exporters are also more determined to survive.
The abrupt whiplash of trade negotiations has underscored the nimble resourcefulness of Chinese exporters, and their ability to stay relevant even as scores of countries try to slow the flow of imports from the world's second-largest economy.
"The US was willing to lower tariffs because it's very unlikely that Chinese products can be totally replaced in the short term,' said Jacqueline Rong, chief China economist at BNP Paribas SA.
"From the US standpoint, this was essentially a stress test that made it clear that there's no way to break away from China's supply chain in a short period of time.'
Ah Biao, known to his US customers as Bill, said the company always valued relationships with American clients, who delivered large, stable orders for years uninterrupted - the US is its biggest market.
During the supply chain and geopolitical chaos of the pandemic, the company's clients started asking it to look into diversifying manufacturing from China.
He spent a month in Vietnam in 2022 in search of a new production base, but was disheartened by what he saw - upfront rental costs were extremely high, hiring skilled workers was difficult and shipping raw materials and equipment from China was expensive. The challenges there made the company realise it would take more time than expected to plan for the move.
In the years since, Ah Biao said the company maintained good relations with his US clients, the biggest of which is Learning Resources Inc, a retailer of educational toys.
His factory produces educational toys for the Vernon Hills, Illinois-based company, which sued the Trump administration in April over the tariffs.
At its peak, as much as 80% of Learning Resources's products were made in China, Chief Executive Officer Rick Woldenberg told Bloomberg News, but as US relations with China worsened he decided to build up supply chains elsewhere.
"After Trump 1.0, we believed that the clock was ticking and our fear was not Mr.Xi,' he said, referring to Chinese President Xi Jinping. "Our fear was American politicians.'
Woldenberg, whose products include the popular Farmer's Market color sorting game and the Code and Go Robot Mouse sold online and at stores including Target and Walmart, said he sees no choice but to move manufacturing away from China. He's had tough conversations with long-term suppliers over the last several months.
"We've told our factories they need to move and we've told them that it's an urgent matter and we told them we have to move,' he said.
"I don't know where is safe. I can tell you that the wind is blowing in such a way that I don't feel secure in my future to have a manufacturer in China - I really don't.'
At the start of 2025, about 60% of Learning Resources's products came from China, with the rest sourced from Taiwan, South Korea and elsewhere. That level, Woldenberg said, is "low for our industry, but we now know not low enough.'
While some see Trump's attempt to curb imports from China in the context of a superpower rivalry between the world's two biggest economies, manufacturers have yet to receive any direct state support.
Officials are concerned about manufacturers' plans to lay off workers or shift overseas, but financial assistance is unlikely as local governments in China are grappling with high debt levels, said multiple Guangdong-based Chinese exporters and one government worker who have direct knowledge of such discussions, and who spoke on the condition of anonymity due to sensitivities around the issue.
The Department of Commerce of Guangdong Province didn't reply to a faxed request for comment.
The US and China agreed to maintain tariffs at their current, lower levels following discussions in London earlier this month.
But Ah Biao no longer holds out hope that things between the US and China will improve in the longer term.
"It would be great if the two sides talk and make compromises, but it won't bother me much if it doesn't go well,' said Ah Biao. "We've been through the worst.'
That pushed Ah Biao to pull the trigger finally on his Vietnam move, and he isn't the only one. In the first quarter of this year, combined investment from China and Hong Kong into Vietnam reached nearly $2 billion, up 23% from the year before, according to Vietnamese government data.
"We are hearing from Chinese companies,' said John Dwyer, founder of Peregrine Management International, a Hanoi-based firm that assists companies looking to relocate to Vietnam.
"Their customers want to start production in Vietnam factories. They are looking for ways to de-risk themselves.'
Shifting to Vietnam inevitably means that some of Ah Biao's workers must relocate, too. To sweeten the offer for his more senior employees, Ah Biao said that he may consider to raise their compensation by 50% at least, with guaranteed vacation time for them to go back to China to see their families.
It's a big, and expensive, gamble for Ah Biao, but at 40, retirement is still too far away to contemplate folding. He thinks he's young enough to make big bets during a time of turmoil to scale up his business, but he has learned a valuable lesson of not putting all of one's eggs into one basket.
"I always tell my people that we should act like an 'unkillable cockroach,'' said Ah Biao. "It's deeply embedded in our DNA.' - Bloomberg
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


BusinessToday
9 minutes ago
- BusinessToday
Ringgit Could Bounce Back Next Week
The Malaysian Ringgit experienced a volatile week, initially weakening to nearly 4.30 per US Dollar following US strikes on Iran over the weekend, before recovering much of its ground as geopolitical tensions eased. The currency is now expected to trade within a range of 4.22-4.26/USD in the week ahead, with market attention shifting firmly back to US macroeconomic indicators. While the Ringgit had been trading broadly stable in line with expectations, Monday saw markets unsettled by the geopolitical developments, pushing the currency close to the 4.30/USD mark. However, this initial risk-off sentiment dissipated swiftly. The US Dollar Index (DXY) traded on a softer footing this week, ranging between 97.7 and 98.4, even amidst the initial geopolitical stir. Notably, investors turned towards Euro-denominated assets rather than the greenback, as the spike in oil prices proved short-lived. Risk appetite recovered significantly after President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, helping to reverse much of the Ringgit's earlier weakness. A subsequent pullback in both oil prices and the DXY further reinforced this recovery, driven by increasingly dovish signals from the Federal Reserve. Markets are now closely monitoring upcoming US economic data. The US core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) reading, due tomorrow, is a key focus, with consensus expecting a 0.1% month-on-month increase. Attention will then shift to next week's crucial labor market data, where Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) are anticipated to ease towards the 100.0k mark and the unemployment rate could potentially rise to 4.3%. June's manufacturing data will also be scrutinized for early signs of any tariff-related strain on the economy. With geopolitical risks largely unwound, the focus is squarely returning to US macro data. Softer employment figures could reinforce expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut as early as September, aligning with analysts' base case. Fiscal developments in the US may also take center stage, particularly President Trump's proposed 'big, beautiful bill,' which is expected to get a Senate vote by July 4th. Technically, Kenanga Research said the USDMYR pair remains anchored around its 5-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 4.24. Its direction in the coming week will largely hinge on incoming US macroeconomic data, with key support identified at 4.20 and resistance at 4.27. Related


The Star
24 minutes ago
- The Star
Dollar lingers near 3-1/2-year low as traders wager on US rate cuts
SINGAPORE: The dollar drifted on Friday, hovering near its lowest level in 3-1/2 years against the euro and sterling, as traders wagered on deeper U.S. rate cuts while awaiting trade deals ahead of a July deadline for President Donald Trump's tariffs. With the geopolitical tremors of Israel-Iran conflict in the rear view after a ceasefire that appeared to be holding, market focus this week has been on U.S. monetary policy. The prospect of Trump announcing the next Federal Reserve chair, who is expected to be more dovish, earlier than usual to undermine the current chair Jerome Powell has raised odds of the central bank cutting rates. Powell, whose term ends in May, was also interpreted as being more dovish this week in testimony to U.S. Congress, adding to expectation of more rate cuts. Traders are now pricing in 64 basis points of easing this year versus 46 bps expected on Friday. "The sooner a replacement is announced for Powell, the sooner he could be perceived to be a 'lame duck'," said Carol Kong, a currency strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia. The Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday that Trump has toyed with the idea of selecting and announcing Powell's replacement by September or October, a move analysts say could lead to the person operating as a shadow Fed chair, undermining Powell's influence. Trump has not decided on a replacement for Powell and a decision is not imminent, a person familiar with the White House's deliberations told Reuters on Thursday. "Such an outcome could introduce some volatility into financial markets if the nominee makes public comments markedly different to the current chair," CBA's Kong said. "For now, expectations President Trump will choose a more dovish chair will keep downward pressure on FOMC pricing and the USD." Trump has repeatedly attacked Powell and called for rate cuts this year, stoking investor worries about the slow erosion of U.S. central bank's independence and credibility. The euro was steady at $1.1693 in early trading after hitting $1.1745 in the previous session, its highest since September 2021. Sterling last fetched $1.3733, just below the October 2021 top of $1.37701 touched on Thursday. The dollar index, which measures the U.S. unit versus six other currencies, was lingering near its lowest since March 2022 at 97.378, on course for a 2% decline in June, its sixth straight month in the red. The index has dropped more than 10% this year as Trump's tariffs stoke U.S. growth worries, leading investors to look for alternatives. The yen was a bit weaker at 144.73 per dollar, while the Swiss franc was last at 0.8013 per dollar, perched near its strongest level in a decade. Investor attention will also be on progress on trade deals ahead of the July 9 deadline for Trump's "reciprocal" tariffs as nations scramble to get an agreement over the line with the clock ticking. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said on Thursday the EU should do a "quick and simple" trade deal with the United States rather than a "slow and complicated" one. A White House official said on Thursday the U.S. has reached an agreement with China on how to expedite rare earths shipments to the United States. The dollar's weakness pushed the Australian dollar often considered a risk proxy, to a seven-month high of $0.6564 on Thursday. It last fetched $0.6559 in Asia mid-morning on Friday. The Aussie is set for a 1.6% gain for the week, its strongest week since early April. Emerging market currencies also got a lift from the beaten-down dollar, with the Taiwan dollar surging to its strongest level since April 2022. Traders in Taiwan said the local currency's rise was being driven by expectations of interest rate cuts in the United States, the general global weakness of the greenback and the continued flood of foreign capital into the island. "These trends can't be stopped - the direction coming from the Americans is very clear," said one Taiwan-based market participant. - Reuters


The Star
24 minutes ago
- The Star
US says deal with Beijing will expedite rare earth exports from China
US President Donald Trump. — Reuters WASHINGTON: The United States has reached an agreement with China on how to expedite rare earth shipments to the U.S., a White House official said on Thursday, amid efforts to end a trade war between the world's biggest economies. President Donald Trump earlier said the United States had signed a deal with China on Wednesday, without providing additional details, and that there might be a separate deal coming up that would "open up" India. During U.S.-China trade talks in May in Geneva, Beijing committed to removing non-tariff countermeasures imposed against the United States since April 2, although it was unclear how some of those measures would be walked back. As part of its retaliation against new U.S. tariffs, China suspended exports of a wide range of critical minerals and magnets, upending the supply chains central to automakers, aerospace manufacturers, semiconductor companies and military contractors around the world. "The administration and China agreed to an additional understanding for a framework to implement the Geneva agreement," a White House official said on Thursday. The understanding is "about how we can implement expediting rare earths shipments to the U.S. again", the official said. A separate administration official said the U.S.-China agreement took place earlier this week. U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick was quoted as saying by Bloomberg: "They're going to deliver rare earths to us" and once they do that "we'll take down our countermeasures." On Friday, China's commerce ministry said the two countries recently confirmed details on the framework of implementing the Geneva trade talks consensus. It said China will approve export applications of controlled items in accordance with the law. It did not mention rare earths. While the agreement shows potential progress following months of trade uncertainty and disruption since Trump took office in January, it also underscores the long road ahead to a final, definitive trade deal between the two economic rivals. China has been taking its dual-use restrictions on rare earths "very seriously" and has been vetting buyers to ensure that materials are not diverted to U.S. military uses, according to an industry source. This has slowed down the licensing process. The Geneva deal had faltered over China's curbs on critical minerals exports, prompting the Trump administration to respond with export controls of its own preventing shipments of semiconductor design software, aircraft and other goods to China. In early June, Reuters reported China had granted temporary export licenses to rare-earth suppliers of the top three U.S. automakers, according to two sources familiar with the matter, as supply chain disruptions began to surface from export curbs on those materials. Later in the month, Trump said there was a deal with China in which Beijing would supply magnets and rare earth minerals while the U.S. would allow Chinese students in its colleges and universities. - Reuters