Inflation Expectations Are Now Just Tariff Expectations
As early signs emerge that tariffs will drive up prices, the Federal Reserve faces a crucial question: Will tariff-induced inflation be short-lived, as the level of prices adjusts to the higher tariffs, or will it persist, as a series of feedback loops lead to further price increases?
One feedback loop that the Fed is always on guard for is longer-run inflation expectations becoming 'unanchored' — that is, the rate is not expected to remain stable. If businesses and consumers expect higher inflation over the next several years, they may adjust their behavior now in setting prices, negotiating wages and making purchasing decisions. This would help make persistently higher inflation a reality, requiring the Fed to do more to reduce inflation to its target of 2% by keeping interest rates higher or even raising them.
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Bloomberg
8 minutes ago
- Bloomberg
Bloomberg Daybreak: Trump-Musk Feud
On today's podcast: 1) Elon Musk and President Donald Trump engage in a public dispute the traded personal barbs and weighed down Tesla stock and Musk's personal wealth. The dispute began over differences on the GOP tax legislation, with Musk opposing the bill and Trump accusing Musk of being motivated by self-interest. After Tesla shares tanked 14% and Musk's personal wealth dropped by $34 billion, Musk signaled a willingness to cool tensions with Trump, responding to a user's advice to "cool off and take a step back for a couple days" with "Good advice." 2) Tensions appear to be easing between the US and China. President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed to further trade talks to resolve disputes over tariffs and rare earth minerals. The two leaders had a 90-minute call, during which Trump acknowledged that the trade relationship with China had gotten "a little off track" but said they are now "in very good shape" with a trade deal. 3) Investors brace for a critical May Jobs Report. Traders are awaiting the key monthly nonfarm payrolls report, which may reinforce expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at least twice this year.
Forbes
9 minutes ago
- Forbes
High-Yield Savings Account Rates Today: June 6, 2025
Rates on savings accounts are the same compared to one week ago. You can now earn as much as 5.84% on your savings. Searching for an account where you can save for a rainy day or retirement? Here's a look at some of the best savings rates you can find today. Related: Find the Best High-Yield Savings Accounts Of 2025 Traditional savings accounts, called "statement savings accounts" in the banking world, have been notorious for paying paltry interest in past years, especially after the Great Recession. That's changed more recently, and you can find rates 10-times higher than those offered by traditional financial institutions if you opt for an online bank or a credit union. The highest yield on a standard savings account with a $2,500 minimum deposit amount within the last week has been 5.84%, according to data from Curinos. If you spot a basic savings account with a rate in that ballpark, you've done well for yourself. Today's average APY for a traditional savings account is 0.22%, Curinos says. APY, or annual percentage yield, reflects the actual return your account will earn during one year. It accounts for compound interest, which is the interest that accrues on the interest in your account. High-yield savings accounts typically pay much more interest than conventional savings accounts. But the thing to know is you may have to jump through some hoops to earn that higher rate, such as becoming a member of a credit union or putting down a large deposit. On high-yield accounts requiring a minimum deposit of $10,000, today's best interest rate is 4.88%. That's about the same as last week. The average APY for those accounts is now 0.23% APY, unchanged from a week ago. On high-yield savings accounts with a minimum opening deposit of $25,000, the highest rate available today is 3.94%. You'll be in good shape if you can get an account offering a rate close to that. The current average is 0.24% APY for a high-yield account with a $25,000 minimum deposit. Interest rates on savings accounts typically fluctuate in response to other rate changes throughout the economy. Savings rates are primarily influenced by the Federal Reserve's rate moves, and the central bank has finally begun reducing its benchmark federal funds rate as inflation has fallen closer to the Fed's 2% goal. Financial institutions usually adjust borrowing and savings rates soon after the Fed changes rates. The Fed votes to adjust rates eight times per year during meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Curinos determines the average rates for savings accounts by focusing on those intended for personal use. Certain types of savings accounts—such as relationship-based accounts and accounts designed for youths, seniors and students—are not considered in the calculation. The best high-yield savings account pays 5.84% now, according to Curinos data, so you'll want to aim for an account that delivers a yield in that ballpark. But rates aren't everything. You want an account that charges few fees, offers great customer service and has a track record of being a stable institution. Savings yields are variable and can change depending on economic conditions or a bank's particular financial need. Usually rates are influenced by the federal funds rate, meaning that a bank tends to raise or lower its rates along with the Fed. Online banks and credit unions tend to offer the best yields because they can pass along savings from low overhead while also striving to attract new customers.
Bloomberg
38 minutes ago
- Bloomberg
Italy's Economy Still Seen Growing 0.6% Amid Consumer Demand
Italy's statistics institute issued a growth forecast for 2025 matching that of the government two months ago, suggesting it sees the economy holding up against a backdrop of global trade tensions. Gross domestic product will rise 0.6% this year and then 0.8% in 2026, according to a report by ISTAT in Rome published on Friday. That chimes with the outlook from Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni's government, which halved its prediction for growth in projections released in early April.
