logo
European markets to start the week on a negative note as Israel-Iran attacks escalate

European markets to start the week on a negative note as Israel-Iran attacks escalate

CNBC6 hours ago

London.
Dukas | Universal Images Group | Getty Images
Good morning and welcome to CNBC's live blog covering European financial market action and the latest regional and global business news, data and earnings.
Futures data from IG suggests London's FTSE will open 2 points lower at 8,841, Germany's DAX down 42 points at 23,455, France's CAC 40 down 14 points at 7,664 and Italy's FTSE MIB 65 points lower at 39,858.
Global markets on Monday will be assessing escalating Israel-Iran tensions after a weekend of tit-for-tat missile attacks and airstrikes. Oil prices have risen as a result of the strikes, which have seen energy facilities targeted, and gold prices have rallied as investors sought a safe haven asset.
— Holly Ellyatt
It's a busy week for investors and markets, with the U.S. Federal Reserve's next interest rate decision due Wednesday.
Fed funds futures are pricing in a nearly 97% likelihood of the central bank keeping rates unchanged, as per CME's FedWatch tool, despite U.S. President Donald Trump's continued pressure on Fed Chief Jerome Powell for a rate cut.
Some key gatherings and data releases will also be watched closely this week. The Paris Air Show kicks off Monday, and last week's Air India disaster and flaring tensions in the Middle East are likely to dominate conversations there. Meanwhile, the Group of Seven industrialized nations are meeting in Canada for the next few days.
The flags of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, the United States, and the European Union ahead of the Group of Seven (G-7) Leaders' Summit in Banff, Alberta, Canada, on Saturday, June 14, 2025.
Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images
On the data front, the ZEW survey of economic sentiment in Germany and Europe will be released on Tuesday and U.K. inflation data is due Wednesday.
We then have the Bank of England's monetary policy decision on Thursday. Economists aren't expecting a rate cut at the meeting, with the bank highly likely to keep its base rate at 4.25%.
— Holly Ellyatt

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Russian oil freight rates to India ease further, proposed EU curbs may reverse trend
Russian oil freight rates to India ease further, proposed EU curbs may reverse trend

Yahoo

time42 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Russian oil freight rates to India ease further, proposed EU curbs may reverse trend

MOSCOW (Reuters) -IFreight rates for Russian oil shipments from the Baltic ports to India eased further in the period from late May to early June, thanks to high tanker availability, but the trend may reverse if Europe's proposed lower price cap comes to fruition. The European Union has put forward a new sanction package against Russia over Ukraine and proposed to lower the Group of Seven nations' price cap on Russian crude oil to $45 a barrel from $60 a barrel. The G7 countries and the EU, imposed the $60 cap on Russian oil in late 2022, restricting access to Western shipping and insurance services for above-cap purchases in a bid to curb Moscow's revenues. However, as the price of Russia's flagship Urals crude has fallen below the cap, Western shipowners have been able to return to its oil market. Urals crude price estimates in Russia's ports have stabilised below $60 per barrel since early April, allowing more Western shipping companies, primarily Greek, to resume shipping services, increasing tanker availability and putting freight rates under pressure. By Wednesday, the cost of Urals oil loaded from the Baltic Sea port of Primorsk was about $54.72 per barrel. The cost of shipping Urals oil from the Baltic ports, including Ust-Luga, to India fell to between $5.5 million and $5.7 million from about $6 million per one-way shipment on average in April and May, and about $8 million early in March. Russian crude shipping rates rose sharply after a new round of U.S. sanctions on Russian energy interests unveiled in January took effect. Russian oil sellers were forced to look for new tankers to replace those hit by sanctions. Freight rates still remain above levels in January, when the cost of shipping Russian crude from the Baltic ports to India was between $4.7 million and $4.9 million per one-way shipment. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

US stock futures higher as Israel-Iran conflict spikes oil prices
US stock futures higher as Israel-Iran conflict spikes oil prices

USA Today

time43 minutes ago

  • USA Today

US stock futures higher as Israel-Iran conflict spikes oil prices

US stock futures higher as Israel-Iran conflict spikes oil prices Show Caption Hide Caption Global oil prices spike after Israeli strike on Iran Global oil prices surged after Israel launched a strike on Iran, escalating fears of wider conflict in the Middle East. unbranded - Newsworthy U.S. stock futures are higher even as fighting between Israel and Iran spiked oil prices. Futures linked to the blue-chip Dow rose 0.36%, while broad S&P 500 futures added 0.42% and tech-heavy Nasdaq futures gained 0.49%. Oil prices extended gains after Israel temporarily knocked out a natural gas processing facility and targeted fuel storage tanks during strikes over the weekend as part of its campaign against Tehran's nuclear program. Oil jumped by the most in three years late last week when Israel first attacked Iran and Iran fired back. Iran is considering shutting down the Strait of Hormuz, a senior commander said, but analysts were skeptical this would happen. "The closure of Hormuz is a low-risk event as Iran would be damaging its own position, both economically and politically, by irritating its main customer," said Natasha Kaneva, head of global commodities research at JP Morgan, in a note late last main players in the Middle East have strong incentives to keep the conflict contained given the economic transformation currently planned and implemented in the Gulf region requires a sustained absence of conflict." Separtely, President Donald Trump warned Iran not to touch U.S. targets or else it could face the "full strength and might" of the American military. Oil prices, inflation and the Fed If the Israel-Iran conflict causes oil prices to continue surging, inflation will jump and consumers will pay the price. The price of oil makes up about half the price of a gallon of gas, so one of the first things to be affected by rising oil prices would be prices at the pump. But oil also affects the cost of producing things and transporting them to your local store, so even consumers who don't drive or use public transportation will eventually feel the squeeze of more expensive oil one way or another. The threat of inflation will likely keep the Federal Reserve on hold, economists said. Almost no one forecasts a rate cut when the Fed wraps up its two-day policy meeting mid-week, according to the CME Fed Watch tool that tracks the odds the market puts on a rate move at each Fed meeting. Medora Lee is a money, markets, and personal finance reporter at USA TODAY. You can reach her at mjlee@ and subscribe to our free Daily Money newsletter for personal finance tips and business news every Monday through Friday.

US stock futures steady with focus on Mideast tensions, Fed meeting
US stock futures steady with focus on Mideast tensions, Fed meeting

Yahoo

time43 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

US stock futures steady with focus on Mideast tensions, Fed meeting

(Reuters) -U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Monday as easing oil prices helped calm sentiment despite ongoing attacks between Iran and Israel and increased focus on the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. Wall Street indexes shed more than 1% on Friday as oil prices surged 7% after Israel and Iran traded air strikes, feeding investor worries that the combat could widely disrupt oil exports from the Middle East. The dangers of further escalation loomed over a meeting of the Group of Seven leaders in Canada, with U.S. President Donald Trump expressing hope on Sunday that a deal could be done, but no signs of the fighting abating on the fourth day of war. Crude prices, however, pulled back slightly from January highs, offering some respite to investors worried about a resurgence in inflation. The surge in oil prices comes ahead of the Fed's monetary policy decision on Wednesday, when policymakers are widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged. Investors will focus on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's comments as well as the central bank's updated projections for monetary policy and the economy for clues on potential rate cuts later this year. Money market moves show traders are pricing in about 48 basis points of rate cuts by the end of 2025, with a 55% chance of a 25-bps rate cut in September, according to CME Group's Fedwatch tool. "We expect the median participant to take on a more stagflationary flavor following April's tariff surprises, despite eased financial conditions from the weaker dollar, with higher inflation and downgraded GDP growth in 2025," Barclays strategists said in a note. "The dot plot is likely to show delayed rate cuts, with just one this year and three in 2026." Key data this week includes monthly retail sales and import prices. By 5:38 a.m. ET (0938 GMT), S&P 500 E-minis were up 23.75 points, or 0.4%, Nasdaq 100 E-minis rose 99 points, or 0.46%, and Dow E-minis added 143 points, or 0.34%. Shares of Sarepta Therapeutics plunged 30% in premarket trading after the company disclosed a second case of patient death due to acute liver failure after receiving its gene therapy for a rare form of muscular dystrophy. U.S. Steel rose 5% after Trump approved Nippon Steel's $14.9 billion bid for the company. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into the world of global news and events? Download our app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store