Atlanta Braves at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions
Season series: First meeting; Braves won 2-1 last year
The Braves have lost 5 straight and 7 of 9 after an 8-1 loss at the Texas Rangers Sunday. This is a weird team this season. They've scored 9 runs twice in the last 10 games, and they've scored 1 or fewer twice in the stretch. 3B Austin Riley is 0-for-11 since returning from the IL.
The Royals are in the thick of the Wild Card hunt after taking 2 of 3 from the Cleveland Guardians over the weekend. They won 4-1 Sunday as 3B Maikel Garcia hit his 10th homer of the year. He's 8-for-22 with 2 homers and 4 RBIs over the last 7 days. The Royals are 4 games out of a playoff spot.
Braves at Royals projected starters
RHP Spencer Strider vs. LHP Rich Hill
Strider (4-8, 3.72 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 through 72 2/3 innings.
Hill (0-1, 1.80 ERA) makes his second start of the season. He allowed 1 ER on 6 H and 2 BB with 1 K in 5 IP against the Chicago Cubs Tuesday.
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Braves at Royals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:23 p.m. ET.
Braves at Royals picks and predictions
Royals 4, Braves 3
Moneyline
I'm siding with the ROYALS (+140) because they're the second-toughest team to strike out. That means Strider's pitch count and walks could get out of control early. The Royals' pen is eighth with a 3.69 ERA, and Atlanta is 19th with a 3.99 ERA.
Run line/Against the spread
PASS. We're taking the value on the ML.
Over/Under
Its slated to be 93 degrees with a 6-mph breeze blowing out to left-center. The Braves are 7-1-2 O/U in their last 10, and the Royals are 5-5. Kauffman is a pitcher's park, and the Royals are 19-33-1 O/U in home games this year. And that's where I'm headed.
Give me the UNDER 9.5 (-110) as this total is just too high for me.
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