Oil gains as US-China tariff pause extension boosts trade hopes
Brent crude futures gained 26 cents, or 0.39%, to $66.89 a barrel by 0015 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 22 cents, or 0.34%, to $64.18.
U.S. President Donald Trump extended a tariff truce with China by another 90 days, a White House official said on Monday, staving off triple-digit duties on Chinese goods as U.S. retailers prepared for the critical end-of-year holiday season.
This raised hopes that an agreement could be attained between the world's two largest economies, and could help sidestep a virtual trade embargo between them. Tariffs risk slowing down economic growth, which could sap global fuel demand and drag oil prices lower.
Investors are also looking ahead to a meeting between Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin on August 15 in Alaska to negotiate an end to the war in Ukraine.
The meeting is set amid heightened U.S. pressure on Russia, with the threat of harsher penalties on Russian oil buyers such as China and India if no peace deal is reached that could upset oil trade flows.
"Any peace deal between Russia and Ukraine would end the risk of disruption to Russian oil that has been hovering over the market," ANZ senior commodity strategist Daniel Hynes wrote in a note.
Trump set a deadline of last Friday for Russia to agree to peace in Ukraine or have its oil buyers face secondary sanctions, while pressing India to reduce purchases of Russian oil.
Washington has also been pressing Beijing to stop buying Russian oil, with Trump threatening to impose secondary tariffs on China.
The risk of those sanctions being enacted has receded ahead of the August 15 Trump-Putin meeting.
Also on the radar is U.S. inflation data later in the day, that could hint at the Federal Reserve's interest rate path. Any sign that the central bank may cut rates soon would support crude prices.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Khaleej Times
an hour ago
- Khaleej Times
Trump's gold tariffs accelerate Bitcoin's rise to record highs
Bitcoin is fast approaching uncharted territory, with prices surging as US President Donald Trump's steep tariffs on imported gold bars jolt traditional safe-haven markets and redirect capital into the world's largest cryptocurrency. A potent mix of macroeconomic shifts, institutional inflows, and policy reforms is propelling Bitcoin to the forefront of global finance, redefining its role as 'digital gold.' Early Monday, Bitcoin jumped more than 3.3 per cent to $122,150, according to TradingView, inching closer to its all-time high of $123,000 set earlier this summer. The rally followed Trump's decision to impose a 39 per cent tariff on imported gold — a move that disrupted bullion markets and sparked a flight of capital into digital assets immune to border taxes, storage limitations, and sudden regulatory changes. The gold tariff shock came alongside Trump's announcement of a 90-day extension on the pause for tariffs against Chinese goods, delaying a previous August 12 deadline. The reprieve briefly boosted risk sentiment in broader markets, but for Bitcoin, the more decisive factor was the blow to gold's appeal as a crisis hedge. Analysts say the shift is clear. 'For years, gold has held the mantle of crisis hedge,' said Nigel Green, CEO of global financial advisory group deVere. 'But when tariffs raise the cost of a physical asset, Bitcoin's frictionless nature — immune to taxes, borders, and policy whims—becomes exponentially more compelling. Trump's gold tariffs didn't just shift investor behaviour, they turbocharged Bitcoin's evolution into digital gold.' Institutional flows tell the story. In July alone, $14.9 billion poured into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) globally, with a record $12.8 billion heading into US spot funds. The scale of this investment underscores a growing conviction that Bitcoin is not just a speculative trade, but a strategic portfolio allocation in an era of political and economic volatility. 'Institutional capital doesn't move lightly,' Green noted. 'When a macro shock changes the economics of traditional havens like gold, digital alternatives suddenly look like necessities. Bitcoin is benefitting from both clarity in US policy and a growing recognition among institutions that value can—and should—exist outside the constraints of legacy systems.' Trump's policies are also actively supporting this shift. A recent executive order now allows cryptocurrencies in 401(k) retirement plans — a potential gateway to as much as $9 trillion in retirement assets. While this development was not the sole catalyst for Monday's surge, market participants say it strengthens the narrative of Bitcoin as a legitimate, long-term store of value. Henrik Andersson, chief investment officer at Apollo Crypto, said the breakout was 'overdue' after a month-long consolidation between $115,000 and $120,000. 'We have seen positive ETF flows, more treasury companies buying Bitcoin, and a number of positive developments coming out of the White House,' he said. 'In our view, it was just a matter of time before it would break up.' Beyond executive action, recent bipartisan legislation — the Genius Act and the Clarity Act — has further reassured investors by cementing the regulated status of cryptocurrencies in the US. This policy stability, coupled with geopolitical tensions and gold market disruptions, is fuelling a broad-based rally across digital assets. According to CoinMarketCap, total cryptocurrency market capitalisation rose nearly 2 per cent in the past 24 hours to $4.02 trillion, with trading volumes climbing almost 6 per cent to $176.88 billion. Ethereum, Solana, Tron, Dogecoin, and Hyperliquid gained up to 6 per cent, while smaller tokens like Pump(dot)fun, Lido DAO, and Ethena rallied between 10 and 16 per cent. The price momentum is also attracting longer-term investors, with some rebalancing portfolios away from physical assets vulnerable to political interference. 'If gold—once untouchable—is now vulnerable to regulatory shifts, digital alternatives are not just attractive, they're increasingly inevitable,' said Green. 'Trump's tariffs have helped rewrite the hierarchy of store-of-value assets.' Market strategists warn that the coming weeks could be pivotal. Bitcoin's ability to decisively clear the $123,000 threshold may set the tone for its next growth phase. Crypto analyst Altcoin Sherpa outlined two likely short-term scenarios: a gradual pullback to form a stronger base, or a sharp liquidity test near $120,000 influenced by Treasury movements and broader economic indicators. All eyes are now on mid-August US inflation data, with consumer and producer price reports expected to shape the Federal Reserve's September rate decision. A rate cut—currently seen as increasingly likely—could further weaken the dollar and provide another tailwind for Bitcoin. For now, Bitcoin's rally is being framed as more than a speculative spike. It is, in the eyes of many market participants, a structural reallocation of capital in response to the changing economics of safety and trust in the financial system.


The National
2 hours ago
- The National
‘I felt useless and needed to do something': UK MP on letter to triggering Palestine recognition move
A call from a friend in Gaza to an influential Labour MP was instrumental in Britain's historic move towards recognising the Palestinian state, she has told The National. Just days before the UK government announced its first steps in recognising the state, Sarah Champion received a phone call from a friend who told the politician that after months of struggling to find food in Gaza 'my family are just waiting to die', and everyone they knew felt the same. 'To lose hope is a horrific thing, I felt useless and knew I needed to do something to try and restore it,' Ms Champion told The National. The next steps she took were to have a decisive impact on Britain recognising Palestine as a sovereign nation and influencing President Donald Trump's view that starvation was genuine in Gaza. Had to act quickly The call taken by Ms Champion, chairwoman of Parliament's international development committee, was on Wednesday, July 23. The situation in Gaza was visibly deteriorating, with pictures of starving children shared on social media. There was a growing consensus to rein in Israel's actions, she felt, including its plans to further annex occupied West Bank territories. With parliament heading into summer recess Ms Champion had to act quickly if she was to maximise pressure on the government. She knew that very senior cabinet members − including the Foreign Secretary David Lammy − were dismayed by Israel's dismissal of their concerns and had been quietly lobbying Prime Minister Keir Starmer for Palestine recognition. If she could garner enough cross-bench parliamentary support then that could provide the impetus for a major political step. Message blitz Ms Champion and her team went to work sending WhatsApp messages and emails to fellow MPs to sign a letter that called on Mr Starmer to recognise Palestine. 'I was amazed how many we got, and in such a short space of time – just 30 hours – but I think it is a clear representation of the strength of feeling in Parliament in support of the Palestinian plight,' she said. The following night, France suddenly announced it would recognise Palestine, and by 5pm on the Friday she had amassed a record number of 221 signatures from MPs representing nine different parties. 'UK recognition would have a significant impact due to our historic connections and our membership on the UN Security Council, so we urge you to take this step,' the MPs said. Key to the gathering of signatures was the respect held by fellow MPs from all parties for Ms Champion, who has been consistently outspoken on the plight of Palestinians. With this in mind, Mr Starmer knew he had to respond quickly and while he did not immediately agree, he did use new language condemning Israel's 'disproportionate military escalation in Gaza' that was 'indefensible'. 'Set the agenda' However, with US President Donald Trump landing in Scotland just a few hours later, now was not the time to initiate a political earthquake. But having the American leader in Britain was useful as he would be meeting Mr Starmer on the Monday, by which time after continued weekend reports of the grim situation in Gaza, 255 MPs had now signed the letter. The letter, according to Ms Champion, had 'set the agenda for journalists when Trump came to the UK', and this made the President more aware of the dire situation. In the press conference with Mr Starmer, Mr Trump stated 'that's real starvation stuff, I see it, and you can't fake that,' adding 'we have to get the kids fed'. The letter had been 'a significant factor in his comments around believing starvation was occurring in Gaza', claims Ms Champion. Indication of urgency More important was the letter's impact on the British government's decision on July 29, just after Mr Trump left Scotland, to set out its steps towards recognition. 'The letter gave them an indication of the urgency, and I am glad they listened,' Ms Champion said. While Britain's move was met with fury from Israel, she argued that it sent a 'clear signal' that the UK believed 'Palestine is a viable state and needs to be treated as such; with all the protections and rights afforded to other nations'. 'To have a two-state solution, you have to have two states,' she added. 'And the Israeli cabinet needs to understand the status quo is neither acceptable nor going to continue.' Israel also needed to secure a ceasefire and work for a lasting peace that 'enables both countries to feel safe and respected', added the MP for Rotherham, in northern England. Britain, unless Israel meets certain conditions will now be joined by France, Canada, Australia and Malta at the UN General Assembly next month in recognising Palestine, taking the total of countries that do so to 152.


Khaleej Times
2 hours ago
- Khaleej Times
'Game changer': New rupee rule to deepen trade ties with India, says senior UAE official
A senior UAE trade and investment official has called India's latest rupee trade reform a 'game changer' that will deepen economic ties between the two nations. He predicted that non-oil trade would cross the $100 billion mark well before 2030, a figure he said looked unthinkable until just a few years ago. He noted that the move will not only benefit large corporations but also open fresh opportunities for small and medium-sized enterprises on both sides. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced on August 5 that Indian Category-I Authorised Dealer (AD) banks can now open Special Rupee Vostro Accounts (SRVAs) for foreign banks they already have correspondent relationships with, without needing prior RBI approval. What is an SRVA? An SRVA is a dedicated account that allows foreign banks to hold Indian rupees and process payments for trade with India. Until now, prior approval was mandatory. Industry experts say the change removes a long-standing barrier to local currency settlement. The reform has been widely hailed by UAE-based Indian business leaders, who say it will cut costs, speed up transactions, and strengthen the trade corridor between the two countries. Mohamed Haris, Chairman of Alhind Group, called it a positive step towards strengthening cross-border trade. He said the move will ease and speed up transactions between India and the UAE, benefiting businesses on both sides. Rohit Vachchani, co-founder and CEO of Merlin Group, said expanding the use of the rupee in cross-border trade and simplifying settlement processes will enhance efficiency and add resilience to the trade corridor. Historic bonds Highlighting the historic bonds between the UAE and India, the UAE official recalled how the Indian rupee was widely used in the Emirates in earlier decades. 'This reform builds on a long tradition of economic partnership,' he said. 'It will ease transactions, cut costs, and expand trade in ways that reflect our shared history and future ambitions.' 'Allowing settlement in rupees without prior approval will give Indian exporters a stronger competitive edge in the UAE and worldwide markets,' said Rayad Kamal Ayub, managing director of Rayad Group. Indian companies led by the tech industry would increasingly incorporate in the UAE, given the ease of doing business and tax benefits, he added. John Thomas of Dubai-based JV Thomson Chartered Accountants said the rules could encourage Indian companies hit by the recent 50 per cent US tariff on Indian goods to move manufacturing to Gulf countries, where tariffs are far lower. 'The UAE offers a strategic location, a favourable business environment, and a proven re-export model to the US,' he said. Exporters with large US orders are expected to lead the shift, followed by fast-moving consumer goods producers. The UAE is already a major destination for Indian investment, with more than 75,000 Indian companies registered with the Dubai Chamber of Commerce. Experts expect that number to rise sharply as more firms incorporate in the Emirates to leverage rupee settlement, CEPA benefits, and lower tariff exposure. Gagan Mehrotra, portfolio manager at Singapore-based Cocogem Fund, called it 'a visionary move' that will boost bilateral settlements without the 'cumbersome compliance' of third-currency transactions. 'A small Indian exporter can now bill in rupees without having to enter into complex foreign exchange contracts,' he said. The UAE is India's third-largest trading partner, with bilateral trade reaching $83.6 billion in 2023-24, according to India's Ministry of Commerce. Non-oil trade alone stood at $65 billion in 2024, boosted by the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) signed in 2022, which reduced tariffs on most goods. Many products now enter the UAE duty-free, and re-exports via UAE free zones can avoid duties entirely. Banking analysts say integrating payment systems, card networks, and payment messaging between the two countries will be key to maximising the benefits of the RBI's move.