
South China Sea: Asean, Beijing need recalibrated approach to reach binding code of conduct
Disputes in the
South China Sea have heightened insecurity in the
Indo-Pacific , with claimant nations pursuing diplomatic and legal resolutions, including arbitration, while non-claimant states have advocated for freedom of navigation and compliance with the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (Unclos).
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Over the years,
Asean and
China have sought to maintain peace and stability by resolving long-standing territorial disputes peacefully, first with the Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea in November 2002, and later through negotiations for a Code of Conduct (COC) framework adopted in August 2017.
However, a serious gap remains between the diplomatic efforts and the complex reality of drafting the binding COC.
Since negotiations started in March 2018, there have been no apparent breakthroughs for early conclusion of the COC. As a result, this lack of progress jeopardises the credibility of Asean and China, increasing tensions and the potential for conflict.
Although there was reason for optimism following the third reading of the Single Draft COC Negotiating Text, the Asean Foreign Ministers' Retreat held on January 19 in Langkawi,
Malaysia reiterated the importance of maintaining positive momentum towards the early conclusion of an effective and substantive COC that is in accordance with international law, including the 1982 Unclos treaty.
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A revised strategy will be essential for progressing COC negotiations to more effectively address conflicting sovereignty claims among the claimants; otherwise, the dream of an effective binding code will remain problematic and elusive.
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Asia Times
6 hours ago
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Hot race for Pacific's deep sea mineral wealth
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Calls for moratoriums or environmental safeguards serve as tools of diplomatic leverage or political differentiation rather than as expressions of systemic restraint. The logic of extraction, once engaged, prioritizes continuity; regulatory caution is outpaced by technological momentum. This is a structurally induced outcome of a system where access is governed less by rules than by capabilities. Control over seabed minerals is increasingly a function of who can act first, remain longest and extract most efficiently. Precedent supplants principle. The seabed will be shaped through deployments, licenses and machinery already descending into the depths. For states seeking mineral security and strategic autonomy, the calculus is clear: defer the ecological reckoning and secure the resource base now. Paulo Aguiar earned a master's degree in International Relations from NOVA University Lisbon, specializing in Realism, Classical Geopolitics and Strategy. As a professional in geopolitical risk analysis and strategic foresight, Paulo regularly shares his insights through various publications and on his own Substack.


South China Morning Post
11 hours ago
- South China Morning Post
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South China Morning Post
13 hours ago
- South China Morning Post
With US-China rivalry ‘putting the squeeze on' Asian markets, is taking sides an option?
Caught in the undertow of swirling power plays between China and the United States, Asia has become like a piece of driftwood battered by the pounding of opposing tides. With key tariff deadlines approaching in July, and in light of lingering trade tensions between the world's two biggest economies, many countries in the region are facing a delicate, pragmatic choice: bow to Washington's growing pressure to crack down on supply chains and enforcement – or preserve the economic ambiguity that underpins their deep ties with Beijing? Asian countries have entwined their supply chains, technology, markets and investment with Beijing – accounting for one-third of China's total trade volume, or US$1.89 trillion last year. Meanwhile, some of them may need security assurances from the US amid the growing Chinese influence in the region, analysts said. China remains the top trading partner for 18 countries across the region and has been the largest trading partner of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (Asean) for 15 consecutive years. Meanwhile, economic asymmetry and military advantage have often translated into Beijing's leverage in market power while, for many in the region, Washington represents security, diversification and strategic rebalancing, with its military presence, investment and advanced technology, analysts said. That leaves many Asian economies walking a tightrope – benefiting from China's vast market while remaining wary of the risks of over-dependence. For much of Asia, maintaining ties with both while caught in between has become a survival strategy.