Red Sox at Astros prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for August 11
Garrett Crochet is slated to take the mound for Boston against Cristian Javier for Houston. This is Javier's first start since returning from elbow surgery in May of 2024.
These teams met at the beginning of the month in Boston and the Red Sox swept the series outscoring the Astros 15-5. Boston has since lost their last two but still sit just four games behind the Blue Jays in the Amercian League East. Houston's mediocre August (4-5) coupled with Seattle's surge (8-1) this month have combined to see the Astros' lead in the American League West dwindle to just 0.5 games. Needless to say, this is a series with massive ramifications.
Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.
We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch the first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details & how to watch Red Sox at Astros
Date: Monday, August 11, 2025
Time: 8:10PM EST
Site: Minute Maid Park
City: Houston, TX
Network/Streaming: NESN, SCHN
Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.
Odds for the Red Sox at the Astros
The latest odds as of Monday:
Moneyline: Red Sox (-173), Astros (+144)
Spread: Red Sox -1.5
Total: 7.0 runs
Probable starting pitchers for Red Sox at Astros
Pitching matchup for August 11, 2025: Garrett Crochet vs. Cristian Javier
Red Sox: Garrett Crochet (13-4, 2.25 ERA)
Last outing: August 5 vs. Kansas City - 2.57 ERA, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 4 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 8 StrikeoutsAstros: Cristian Javier (0-0, 0.00 ERA)
Last outing: This is Javier's first appearance since May of 2024 (elbow)
Red Sox: Garrett Crochet (13-4, 2.25 ERA)
Last outing: August 5 vs. Kansas City - 2.57 ERA, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 4 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 8 Strikeouts
Astros: Cristian Javier (0-0, 0.00 ERA)
Last outing: This is Javier's first appearance since May of 2024 (elbow)
Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!
Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Red Sox at Astros
The Red Sox have won 7 of their last 10 games
Rookie Roman Anthony is 8-28 (.286) in August
Trevor Story was 1-12 over the weekend against the Padres but is hitting .333 in August (11-33)
Christian Walker is 6-21 (.285) over his last 5 games
Carlos Correa is riding an 8-game hitting streak (15-33)
If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Expert picks & predictions for tonight's game between the Red Sox and the Astros
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Monday's game between the Red Sox and the Astros:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Boston Red Sox on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Houston Astros at +1.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 7.0.
Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC
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