American Airlines Stock Slides 7%—On Outlook For Rest Of Year
American Airlines reinstated its 2025 outlook, though with significantly lower expectations than the ... More carrier forecasted in January. getty
American Airlines shares were down roughly 7% mid-morning Thursday after the carrier reinstated its 2025 forecast well below its outlook at the beginning of the year.
American adjusted its 2025 forecast with per-share estimates ranging from a loss of as much as 20 cents to earnings of up to 80 cents—significantly down from its January forecast of between $1.70 and $2.70 earnings per share.
On the company's quarterly earnings call, American Airlines CEO Robert Isom cited consumer weakness, lackluster business travel demand and operational problems due to a series of weather events.
American's third-quarter profit forecast fell short of Wall Street's expectations, though the carrier's executives told Wall Street analysts demand appears to be stabilizing, and even improving in the coming months.
Earlier this month, Delta Air Lines and United Airlines reported that travel demand has stabilized, though both carriers also lowered their 2025 forecasts compared to the beginning of the year.
While the Dow Jones U.S. Airline index remains down 3% for the year, it is up 57% compared to its lowest point in April immediately following President Trump's Liberation Day announcement.
Because Wall Street investors are forward-looking. Although American reported higher-than-expected second-quarter 2025 revenue ($14.39 billion vs. $14.3 billion expected) and earnings per share (95 cents adjusted vs. 78 cents expected), the carrier issued a cautious forecast for the third quarter and narrowed its full-year guidance, citing ongoing uncertainty in travel demand. Why Did Airlines Lower Their Full-Year Outlooks For 2025?
The airline industry had predicted a strong year of travel demand, but 2025 has served up a few unexpected curveballs. In March, as President Trump talked up his plan to impose double-digit tariffs on most countries around the world, a clutch of major U.S. airlines dimmed their 2025 forecasts, citing dipping consumer confidence and shaky macroeconomic conditions. The next month, most major U.S. carriers, including American, pulled their 2025 financial guidance after Trump issued his the 'Liberation Day' tariff announcement. In the days immediately afterward, airline bookings took a nosedive, consumer spending analyses showed. While the three U.S. legacy carriers—Delta, United and American—have taken pains to tell investors that conditions have stabilized since April, all three carriers have cut back their full-year forecasts. For the third quarter, American said it expects an adjusted per-share loss of 10 cents to 60 cents, potentially far worse than the 7-cent loss expected by analysts polled by the London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG).
What Trump's raft of tariffs—delayed until Aug. 1—will do to consumer confidence later this year. Historically, higher inflation tends to contract consumer discretionary spending on items like travel. Further Reading
Delta Shares Leap 13% On Profit Forecast That's Down From January (Forbes)
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See page 5 for further discussion. _________________________________________________________________________ "In the second quarter, farmers' drive to get the most out of every acre led to higher demand for our best-in-class seed and crop protection solutions. Coupled with our continued focus on cost discipline and operational excellence, this resulted in impressive margin expansion for the quarter. Turning to the first half of the year, growth platforms, cost discipline as well as our leadership of the North America corn and soybean market helped us deliver results that exceeded our expectations. While we continue to navigate a fluid macro environment, we are raising our full year guidance as a result of the strength of our global business and the setup for our Latin American business in the second half. This stronger view of 2025 also underscores our confidence in delivering our 2027 financial framework, and in the value our business offers, both in the short- and long-term." Chuck MagroChief Executive Officer _________________________________________________________________________ Summary of Second Quarter 2025For the second quarter ended June 30, 2025, net sales increased 6% versus the same period last year. Organic1 sales increased 7%. Volume was up 6% versus prior year on growth in both Crop Protection and Seed. Crop Protection volume increased 11% over the prior year driven primarily by Latin America on demand for new products, fungicides, spinosyns, and biologicals. Seed volume increased 3% versus prior year due primarily to increased corn area and share gains in North America. Price was up 1% versus prior year, reflecting higher Seed pricing, partially offset by competitive price dynamics in Crop Protection, primarily in Latin America. GAAP income from continuing operations after income taxes was $1.38 billion in second quarter of 2025 compared to $1.06 billion in second quarter of 2024. 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Volume growth in the quarter reflects increased corn area and share gains in North America, partially offset by lower soybean area in North America and just-in-time seed purchases in Argentina, shifting sales to the second half. The increase in price is due primarily to demand for top technology and increased out-licensing income. Unfavorable currency impacts were led by the Canadian Dollar. Segment operating EBITDA was $1.86 billion in the second quarter of 2025, up 10% from the second quarter of 2024. Price execution and market share gains in North America, product mix, reduction of net royalty expense, and ongoing cost and productivity actions more than offset increased compensation and research expense, and the unfavorable impact of currency. Segment operating EBITDA margin improved by about 185 basis points versus the prior-year period. 2Q 2Q % % ($ in millions, except where noted) 2025 2024 Change Organic1 Change North America $3,954 3,753 5 % 6 % EMEA $282 $251 12 % 23 % Latin America $154 $207 (26) % (19) % Asia Pacific $147 $120 23 % 25 % Total 2Q Seed Net Sales $4,537 $4,331 5 % 6 % 2Q Seed Operating EBITDA $1,863 $1,698 10 % N/A Seed net sales were $7.24 billion in the first half of 2025, up 2% from the same period of 2024. The sales increase reflects a 3% increase in price and a 2% increase in volume, partially offset by a 3% unfavorable currency impact. Price gains in most regions, led by North America, demonstrate demand for top technology and the strength of the portfolio, coupled with increased out-licensing income. 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The price decline was primarily due to the competitive pricing environment in Latin America, partially offset by North America price increases. Unfavorable currency impacts were led by the Brazilian Real. Segment operating EBITDA was $334 million in the second quarter of 2025, up 31% from the second quarter of 2024. Raw material deflation, productivity savings, and volume growth more than offset the unfavorable impact of currency, price pressure, and higher compensation and bad debt expense in SG&A. Segment operating EBITDA margin improved by approximately 310 basis points versus the prior-year period. 2Q 2Q % % ($ in millions, except where noted) 2025 2024 Change Organic1 Change North America $675 $647 4 % 5 % EMEA $465 $422 10 % 7 % Latin America $518 $443 17 % 25 % Asia Pacific $261 $269 (3) % (2) % Total 2Q Crop Protection Net Sales $1,919 $1,781 8 % 9 % 2Q Crop Protection Operating EBITDA $334 $255 31 % N/A Crop Protection net sales were approximately $3.63 billion for the first half of 2025 compared to approximately $3.52 billion in the same period of 2024. The sales increase reflects an 8% increase in volume, partially offset by a 2% decline in price and a 3% unfavorable impact from currency. The price decline was primarily due to market dynamics in Latin America. The increase in volume was driven by demand for new products, fungicides and biologicals. Unfavorable currency impacts were led by the Brazilian Real and the Turkish Lira. Segment operating EBITDA was $711 million for the first half of 2025, up 26% from the same period last year. Raw material deflation, productivity savings, and volume growth more than offset the unfavorable impact of currency, price pressure, and higher compensation and bad debt expense in SG&A. Segment operating EBITDA margin improved by approximately 355 basis points versus the prior-year period.1H 1H % % ($ in millions, except where noted) 2025 2024 Change Organic1 Change North America $1,288 $1,263 2 % 3 % EMEA $1,116 $1,092 2 % 4 % Latin America $775 $687 13 % 23 % Asia Pacific $450 $480 (6) % (5) % Total 1H Crop Protection Net Sales $3,629 $3,522 3 % 6 % 1H Crop Protection Operating EBITDA $711 $565 26 % N/A 2025 Market Outlook & GuidanceFarmers continue to prioritize top-tier seed and crop protection technologies to maximize and protect their yields to keep pace with record global demand for grain and oilseeds. Global corn area is up in 2025, with a five percent increase in North America, driven by favorable corn economics relative to soybeans and other crops. Expectations for a large production year in 2025 and trade uncertainty have pressured grain prices in most major growing regions. However, the global corn stocks-to-use ratio for the 2025/2026 crop year is still expected to be at its lowest point in over a decade. In Crop Protection, our latest view of the market for the full year continues to be a "flattish" environment, with volume gains offset by pricing headwinds. For Corteva's Crop Protection business, we are expecting full-year double-digit volume gains in excess of low-single-digit pricing headwinds from broad-based portfolio gains, including new products and biologicals. As it pertains to ongoing tariff negotiations around the world, we are not expecting a material net impact on our full-year 2025 results given policies in place today. Global grain and oilseed demand is not expected to decline, regardless of any changes in trade flows. As a result of its strong first half performance and expectations for modest growth in the second half, the Company increased full-year 2025 guidance3 with net sales expected to be in the range of $17.6 billion to $17.8 billion, growth of ~5% at the mid-point. Operating EBITDA1 is expected to be $3.75 billion to $3.85 billion, growth of 13% at the mid-point. Operating EPS1 is expected to be $3.00 to $3.20 per share, growth of 21% at the mid-point. The Company expects to repurchase approximately $1.0 billion of shares in 2025. The Company is not able to reconcile its forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures, to its most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures, as it is unable to predict with reasonable certainty items outside of its control, such as Significant Items, without unreasonable effort. Second Quarter Conference CallThe Company will host a live webcast of its second quarter 2025 earnings conference call with investors to discuss its results and outlook tomorrow, August 7, 2025, at 9:00 a.m. ET. The slide presentation that accompanies the conference call is posted on the Company's Investor Events and Presentations page. A replay of the webcast will also be available on the Investor Events and Presentations page. About CortevaCorteva, Inc. (NYSE: CTVA) is a global pure-play agriculture company that combines industry-leading innovation, high-touch customer engagement and operational execution to profitably deliver solutions for the world's most pressing agriculture challenges. Corteva generates advantaged market preference through its unique distribution strategy, together with its balanced and globally diverse mix of seed, crop protection, and digital products and services. With some of the most recognized brands in agriculture and a technology pipeline well positioned to drive growth, the company is committed to maximizing productivity for farmers, while working with stakeholders throughout the food system as it fulfills its promise to enrich the lives of those who produce and those who consume, ensuring progress for generations to come. More information can be found at Cautionary Statement About Forward-Looking StatementsThis press release contains certain estimates and forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, which are intended to be covered by the safe harbor provisions for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, and may be identified by their use of words like "plans," "expects," "will," "anticipates," "believes," "intends," "projects," "estimates," "outlook," or other words of similar meaning. All statements that address expectations or projections about the future, including statements about Corteva's financial results or outlook; strategy for growth; product development; regulatory approvals; market position; capital allocation strategy; liquidity; sustainability targets and initiatives; the anticipated benefits of acquisitions, restructuring actions, or cost savings initiatives; and the outcome of contingencies, such as litigation and environmental matters, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements and other estimates are based on certain assumptions and expectations of future events which may not be accurate or realized. Forward-looking statements and other estimates also involve risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the company's control. While the list of factors presented below is considered representative, no such list should be considered to be a complete statement of all potential risks and uncertainties. Unlisted factors may present significant additional obstacles to the realization of forward-looking statements. Consequences of material differences in results as compared with those anticipated in the forward-looking statements could include, among other things, business disruption, operational problems, financial loss, legal liability to third parties and similar risks, any of which could have a material adverse effect on the company's business, results of operations and financial condition. Some of the important factors that could cause the company's actual results to differ materially from those projected in any such forward-looking statements include: (i) failure to obtain or maintain the necessary regulatory approvals for some of the company's products; (ii) failure to successfully develop and commercialize the company's pipeline; (iii) effect of the degree of public understanding and acceptance or perceived public acceptance of the company's biotechnology and other agricultural products; (iv) effect of changes in agricultural and related policies of governments and international organizations; (v) costs of complying with evolving regulatory requirements and the effect of actual or alleged violations of environmental laws or permit requirements; (vi) effect of climate change and unpredictable seasonal and weather factors; (vii) failure to comply with competition and antitrust laws; (viii) effect of competition in the company's industry; (ix) competitor's establishment of an intermediary platform for distribution of the company's products; (x) risks related to recent funding and staff reductions at U.S. government agencies; (xi) risk related to geopolitical and military conflict; (xii) effect of volatility in the company's input costs; (xiii) risks related to the company's global operations; (xiv) effect of industrial espionage and other disruptions to the company's supply chain, information technology or network systems; (xv) risks related to environmental litigation and the indemnification obligations of legacy EIDP liabilities in connection with the separation of Corteva; (xvi) impact of the company's dependence on third parties with respect to certain of its raw materials or licenses and commercialization; (xvii) failure of the company's customers to pay their debts to the company, including customer financing programs; (xviii) failure to effectively manage acquisitions, divestitures, alliances, restructurings, cost savings initiatives, and other portfolio actions; (xix) failure to raise capital through the capital markets or short-term borrowings on terms acceptable to the company; (xx) increases in pension and other post-employment benefit plan funding obligations; (xxi) risks related to pandemics or epidemics; (xxii) capital markets sentiment towards sustainability matters; (xxiii) the company's intellectual property rights or defense against intellectual property claims asserted by others; (xxiv) effect of counterfeit products; (xxv) the company's dependence on intellectual property cross-license agreements; and (xxvi) other risks related to the Separation from DowDuPont. Additionally, there may be other risks and uncertainties that Corteva is unable to currently identify or that Corteva does not currently expect to have a material impact on its business. Where, in any forward-looking statement or other estimate, an expectation or belief as to future results or events is expressed, such expectation or belief is based on the current plans and expectations of Corteva's management and expressed in good faith and believed to have a reasonable basis, but there can be no assurance that the expectation or belief will result or be achieved or accomplished. Corteva disclaims and does not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement, except as required by applicable law. A detailed discussion of some of the significant risks and uncertainties which may cause results and events to differ materially from such forward-looking statements is included in the "Risk Factors" section of Corteva's Annual Report on Form 10-K, as modified by subsequent Quarterly Reports on Forms 10-Q and Current Reports on Form 8-K. Regulation G (Non-GAAP Financial Measures)This earnings release includes information that does not conform to U.S. GAAP and are considered non-GAAP measures. These measures may include organic sales, organic growth (including by segment and region), operating EBITDA, operating earnings (loss) per share, and base income tax rate. Management uses these measures internally for planning and forecasting, including allocating resources and evaluating incentive compensation. Management believes that these non-GAAP measures best reflect the ongoing performance of the Company during the periods presented and provide more relevant and meaningful information to investors as they provide insight with respect to ongoing operating results of the Company and a more useful comparison of year over year results. These non-GAAP measures supplement the Company's U.S. GAAP disclosures and should not be viewed as an alternative to U.S. GAAP measures of performance. Furthermore, such non-GAAP measures may not be consistent with similar measures provided or used by other companies. Reconciliations for these non-GAAP measures to U.S. GAAP are provided in the Selected Financial Information and Non-GAAP Measures starting on page A-5 of the Financial Statement Schedules. Corteva is not able to reconcile its forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures to its most comparable U.S. GAAP financial measures, as it is unable to predict with reasonable certainty items outside of the Company's control, such as significant items, without unreasonable effort. For significant items reported in the periods presented, refer to page A-10 of the Financial Statement Schedules. Beginning January 1, 2020, the Company presents accelerated prepaid royalty amortization expense as a significant item. Accelerated prepaid royalty amortization represents the non-cash charge associated with the recognition of upfront payments made to Monsanto in connection with the Company's non-exclusive license in the United States and Canada for Monsanto's Genuity® Roundup Ready 2 Yield® and Roundup Ready 2 Xtend® herbicide tolerance traits. Due to the ramp-up of Enlist E3TM, Corteva significantly reduced the volume of products with the Roundup Ready 2 Yield® and Roundup Ready 2 Xtend® herbicide tolerance traits beginning in 2021, with expected minimal use of the trait platform thereafter. In 2023 and 2024, the company committed to restructuring activities to optimize the Crop Protection network of manufacturing and external partners, which are expected to be substantially complete in 2026. The company expects to record approximately $150 million to $165 million net pre-tax restructuring charges during 2025 for these activities. Organic sales is defined as price and volume and excludes currency and portfolio and other impacts, including significant items. Operating EBITDA is defined as earnings (loss) (i.e., income (loss) from continuing operations before income taxes) before interest, depreciation, amortization, non-operating benefits (costs), foreign exchange gains (losses), and net unrealized gain or loss from mark-to-market activity for certain foreign currency derivative instruments that do not qualify for hedge accounting, excluding the impact of significant items. Non-operating benefits (costs) consists of non-operating pension and other post- employment benefit (OPEB) credits (costs), tax indemnification adjustments, and environmental remediation and legal costs associated with legacy businesses and sites. Tax indemnification adjustments relate to changes in indemnification balances, as a result of the application of the terms of the Tax Matters Agreement, between Corteva and Dow and/or DuPont that are recorded by the Company as pre-tax income or expense. Operating earnings (loss) per share is defined as "earnings (loss) per common share from continuing operations - diluted" excluding the after-tax impact of significant items, the after-tax impact of non-operating benefits (costs), the after-tax impact of amortization expense associated with intangible assets existing as of the Separation from DowDuPont, and the after-tax impact of net unrealized gain or loss from mark-to-market activity for certain foreign currency derivative instruments that do not qualify for hedge accounting. Although amortization of the Company's intangible assets is excluded from these non-GAAP measures, management believes it is important for investors to understand that such intangible assets contribute to revenue generation. Amortization of intangible assets that relate to past acquisitions will recur in future periods until such intangible assets have been fully amortized. Any future acquisitions may result in amortization of additional intangible assets. Net unrealized gain or loss from mark-to-market activity for certain foreign currency derivative instruments that do not qualify for hedge accounting represents the non-cash net gain (loss) from changes in fair value of certain undesignated foreign currency derivative contracts. Upon settlement, which is within the same calendar year of execution of the contract, the realized gain (loss) from the changes in fair value of the non-qualified foreign currency derivative contracts will be reported in the relevant non-GAAP financial measures, allowing quarterly results to reflect the economic effects of the foreign currency derivative contracts without the resulting unrealized mark to fair value volatility. Base income tax rate is defined as the effective income tax rate less the effect of exchange gains (losses), significant items, amortization of intangibles (existing as of Separation), mark-to-market (gains) losses on certain foreign currency contracts not designated as hedges, and non-operating (benefits) costs. ® TM Corteva Agriscience and its affiliated companies. 8/6/2025 View original content to download multimedia: SOURCE Corteva Agriscience Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
