
European spending drops as trade tensions hit consumer wallets
According to first estimates released by Eurostat on Monday, the seasonally adjusted volume of retail trade decreased by 0.7% in the eurozone and by 0.8% across the EU in May, compared to April.
The decline aligns with economists' forecasts but marks the sharpest drop since August 2023.
The setback follows a modest rebound in April, when sales rose by 0.3% in the eurozone and by 0.8% in the wider European Union.
On an annual basis, eurozone retail sales growth slowed from 2.7% in April to just 1.8% in May — the weakest expansion since July 2024.
Sector breakdown and national trends
Across the eurozone, all major retail sectors experienced contraction. Sales of food, drinks and tobacco fell by 0.7%, while non-food products — excluding automotive fuel — declined by 0.6%.
Automotive fuel sales dropped the most, falling by 1.3% in specialised stores.
In the broader EU, the declines were similarly spread, with food and beverage sales down 0.8%, non-food products dropping by 0.7%, and automotive fuel dipping 1.2%.
Among EU member states, the most severe monthly contractions were seen in Sweden (-4.6%), Belgium (-2.5%) and Estonia (-2.2%). Meanwhile, Portugal (+2.1%), Bulgaria (+2.0%) and Cyprus (+1.0%) posted the strongest increases.
Markets stay cautious as investors watch US trade moves
European equity markets remained largely flat on Monday.
The blue-chip Euro STOXX 50 hovered near 5,300 points, while the broader STOXX 600 was unchanged at 541, as investors awaited clarity on the direction of US trade policy.
The euro edged down 0.3% to $1.1730, while yields on 10-year German Bunds held steady at around 2.57%.
President Donald Trump is expected to issue a new wave of tariff warning letters later on Monday, targeting countries with trade surpluses with the United States.
While the list of recipients remains undisclosed, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed that the "Liberation Day" tariff package originally scheduled for 9 July would now take effect on 1 August.
Trump's administration had previously imposed a 20% import tax on EU-manufactured goods in April, but quickly reduced the rate to 10% as financial markets plummeted.
However, a separate deadline to reach an agreement with the European Union before tariffs rise as high as 50% has now been set for Wednesday.
So far, only China, the United Kingdom and Vietnam have managed to secure temporary exemptions through deals with Washington.
Trump has warned that any country aligning with the 'anti-American policies' of the BRICS bloc will face an additional 10% tariff — with no exceptions.
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Euronews
2 hours ago
- Euronews
UK alcohol duty: Is it killing European wine producers?
In February 2025, the UK government updated their alcohol duty rates and ended a temporary concession on wine that had been in place since 1 August 2023. The reprieve had been an 18-month-long move to help wine producers adjust to a new way of calculating alcohol duties. Namely, tariffs are now calculated by alcohol strength (ABV), rather than volume. This could be seen as a gentle push for consumers to more closely consider the strength of what they're drinking, and it aligns with a wider, societal trend towards moderating consumption. 'This approach is supported by public health experts including clinical advisors to the Department of Health and Social Care,' HM Treasury told Euronews. In 2024, the UK wine market, including fortified wine, was worth around £12.3 billion (€14.3bn), according to data from the Wine and Spirit Trade Association (WSTA). Although the UK does produce some wine domestically, it only accounts for around 1% of consumption by volume — roughly 12-15 million bottles per year. As such, the country relies heavily on imports to feed wine habits. Just over five months after the end of the government's grace period, how is the new duty system affecting the alcohol industry in Europe? And what knock-on effect has it had on consumer pricing? Are the UK's new rules affecting European wine producers? The end of the reprieve in the UK has meant that wine with an alcohol strength of 11.5-14.5% ABV will no longer be charged one flat duty rate as if it were 12.5% ABV. Whilst this means that the duty on 11.5-12.4% wine is cheaper, the duty on wines at 12.5-14.5% has increased. Taking into account the Retail Price Index (RPI) uprating, a bottle of 13% wine now pays £2.88 (€3.34) in tax, 21p more than before 1 February. 13.5% wine pays £2.99 (€3.46), 32p more. The biggest rise is for 14.5% wine which now pays £3.21 (€3.72), 54p more than before the end of the grace period. While this might not seem like a huge rise, it follows the key taxation change in August 2023, which saw 11.5-14.5% ABV wine pay 44p more tax, rising from £2.23 (€2.58) per bottle of still wine to £2.67 (€3.09). Added to this, upcoming EPR charges — based on packaging weight — will add extra expense that cannot always be passed on to consumers. Some suggest this change in duty is disproportionately affecting some producers, as their climates are more suited to certain wine styles. 'The hotter the climate, the higher the strength of the wine,' explained Stannard. Sunny climates produce grapes with more sugar, sugar ferments into alcohol and therefore the more sugar, the stronger the ABV. For example, medium to low alcohol white wines in the 10-11.5% ABV category, such as Muscadet, Soave and Pinot Grigio often come from cooler regions like France, Northern Italy and Germany. Wines with an ABV of 13.5-15% are those most affected by the end of the wine reprieve and typically come from warmer climates like Spain and southern Italy, as well as further afield, like Argentina, USA and Australia. This category includes wines such as Grenache (Garnacha), Shiraz (Syrah) and US Chardonnay. Some Californian reds have even become famous for being over 15% ABV. The wineries themselves are not responsible for paying the alcohol duty; that falls to the importers. While it's too soon to have concrete data on producer sales, the long term effect is predicted to manifest in numerous ways. Freddie Long, export manager at Spain's Long Wines, told Euronews that he expects a decrease in sales for high-alcohol Spanish red wines this year. On the other hand, Jessica Marzo, Director at Italica, a specialist importer of Italian wines said: 'We expect the demand for Italian wines will remain the same as previous years. The demand in general has remained steady however we are expecting more sales of lower ABV wines in comparison to the higher.' One UK-based wine seller told Euronews: 'European wines continue to be successful. Value [can be] found in Spanish, Portuguese and Italian wines, but South Africa still stands as better value.' This continued value in Spanish, Portuguese and Italian wines is perhaps best explained by lower labour costs and therefore lower priced bottles to start with. Italy has no official minimum wage and the legal salary thresholds in both Spain and Portugal are significantly lower than France's monthly €1,767, at €1,323 and €957 respectively. In South Africa, the minimum wage was set in March 2025 at R28.79 per hour (€1.39), which scaling up to a 40 hour week, totals around €240/ month. How are the UK's new duty rates affecting customers? Many importers stockpiled ahead of the 1 February change so much of the wine sold in the UK over the past few months will not have paid the increased duty rates. However, the impact on consumer habits may be visible in the year ahead. 'Within the Treasury, their modelling is a straight assumption that if you increase taxes by 3-4% there will be no impact on consumer behaviour so you can assume your revenue will go up by 3-4% too. There is plenty of evidence that that isn't true,' Stannard told Euronews. It's at a retailer's discretion if they choose to absorb extra costs. If 100% of charges have been passed down to the customer, here's how they might be affecting your glass. Hardly a bank-breaking increase, but if everyone in the supply chain adds a bit extra for profit, it may lead to much bigger price hikes. Future of the wine industry The US is the biggest importer of wine in the world by value. Germany is the largest by volume, closely followed by the UK which comes second in both measurements. Australia, France and Italy are the UK's favourite wine producers, with Spain coming in fourth, by volume and by value. In 2024, the UK imported 1.6 billion litres of wine. Much of that is imported in bulk, from new world producers like Australia, New Zealand and South Africa, bottled in the UK and redistributed. Around 20% of the bulk wine is re-exported in bottles to northern Europe. For producers, the major concern is that globally there is an oversupply of wine, WSTA's Simon Stannard told Euronews. Consumption rates are declining and although production rates have dropped a little over the past few years, the supply is still outweighing the demand. Reflecting on various trends impacting wine purchasing, Stannard added: 'Looking at the last 12 months, I think we'll see volume declines but whether those are any more significant than what is a relatively long-term trend [remains to be seen]. Value wise, overall value will be relatively static.' Though not solely caused by changes in taxation, many large producers of all wines, across the world, are looking at how they can produce lower ABV products. This will take time and there are limitations on how much strength can be reduced. This nonetheless aligns with overall market trends as people seek to lower their alcohol consumption. To support the demand for lower alcohol products, the industry is hoping for new reforms in the UK to match EU regulation on what can be labelled as wine. Currently products under a certain ABV must be labelled as a 'wine-based drink', according to UK regulation. This makes it less appealing for European producers as it requires them to produce bespoke packaging for the UK market.


France 24
9 hours ago
- France 24
Canada just can't win in trade war with Trump
The giant North American neighbors are rushing to conclude a new trade accord by July 21 but the process is proving painful for Canada. Overnight Thursday, Trump threatened to slap a 35 percent tariff on imports from Canada starting August 1. But products complying with an existing accord, the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), are expected to remain exempt, a Trump administration official and a source in Canada told AFP. "An agreement is of course possible but that shows how difficult it is for the Canadian government to negotiate with the US president," said Daniel Beland, a political science professor at McGill University in Montreal, referring to Trump's sudden announcement. -Six months of ups and downs- Canada has been a key trading partner and ally of the United States for decades. But along with Mexico, it now wears a bull's eye for Trump in his second stint in the White House as he tries to reorder the global system of largely free trade by slapping tariffs on friends and foes alike to address what he calls unfair trading practices. Trump has also spoken frequently of his idea of absorbing Canada to make it the 51st US state, a concept most Canadians find repugnant. Canada was rocked by Trump's first attacks after he took power in January. And bad blood between him and then-prime minister Justin Trudeau seemed to pour gas on the fire. Some degree of hope emerged when Mark Carney was elected in late April to replace Trudeau, pledging to stand up to Trump and defend Canada, its jobs and its borders. Since then, Carney and Trump have held two more or less cordial meetings -- at the Oval Office in May and at a Group of Seven summit in western Canada last month. Many people thought a new era was opening, and Carney won praise for his diplomatic and negotiating skills. During the second of those meetings, the two sides agreed to sign a new trade agreement by July 21. But in late June Trump angrily called off the trade talks, citing a new Canadian tax on US Big Tech companies. Canada scrapped the tax two days later so the trade talks could resume. Now they have been rocked again by Trump's new threat of 35 percent tariffs on Canadian goods. -Stay calm- Canada has taken to not reacting to everything Trump says. After Trump's latest outburst, Carney simply said, "the Canadian government has steadfastly defended our workers and businesses." But among Canadian people, Trump's threat-rich negotiating style elicits contrasting reactions, said Beland. "There are people who want a firmer response while others want to keep negotiating," he said. Since the beginning of this tug of war, Canada has responded to US action by imposing levies of its own on certain American products. Philippe Bourbeau, a professor at HEC Montreal, a business school, said people have to realize Trump has an underlying strategy. "You can criticize the aggressiveness of the announcements and the fact that it is done out in the open, but it is a negotiating tactic," said Bourbeau, adding that the relationship between the two countries is asymmetrical. "It is illusory to think this is a negotiation between parties of the same size. Canada will surely have to give up more to reach an agreement," he said. Before Trump came to power, three quarters of Canada's exports went to the United States. This was down to 68 percent in May, one of the lowest such shares ever recorded, as shipments to other countries hit record levels. "We are Donald Trump's scapegoats," said Genevieve Tellier, a professor of political science at the University of Ottawa. "He sees us as vulnerable, so he increases the pressure. He is surely telling himself that it is with us that he will score the big win he wants on tariffs," Tellier said. © 2025 AFP


Fashion Network
12 hours ago
- Fashion Network
Zalando takes majority stake in About You, targets 8% EBIT margin
Zalando and About You, two of Europe's leading online fashion platforms, have officially merged in a strategic move to unite their B2C and B2B strengths. While combining forces to accelerate growth across the region, both companies will retain distinct brand identities. Zalando will unveil the first outlook for the newly formed group on August 6, alongside its second-quarter earnings for fiscal year 2025. The European Commission approved the deal on July 1, including Zalando's voluntary public takeover offer to About You shareholders. Zalando has now acquired 91.45% of the former Otto Group subsidiary's share capital. As a next step, Zalando intends to initiate a squeeze-out of remaining minority shareholders, offering them fair cash compensation. The squeeze-out will occur through a merger between About You and a wholly owned Zalando subsidiary. Since announcing the planned merger on December 11, 2024, both companies say they've been preparing for this next phase—developing concrete plans to ensure a smooth transition post-merger. 'Zalando and About You both started as local startups and have grown into European success stories,' said Robert Gentz, Zalando's co-CEO and co-founder. 'We share a deep focus on quality, innovation, and staying close to our customers. Together, we'll be a powerhouse shaping the future of fashion and lifestyle e-commerce in Europe.' On the B2C side, the group plans to deliver differentiated and engaging shopping experiences for both customers and brands. In B2B, the integration of About You's payment solution Scayle complements Zalando's vision of building a full-scale operating system for the fashion and lifestyle sector. 'By combining our complementary logistics and software tools—Zeos, Tradebyte, and Scayle—we're creating an even more robust e-commerce operating system,' the companies stated. 'This will allow brands and retailers to efficiently manage multichannel businesses across Europe and beyond.' 'At the heart of this partnership is our shared mission to redefine how people shop for fashion and lifestyle products—and to bring real value to our customers and partners,' said Tarek Müller, co-CEO and co-founder of About You. Gentz added, 'This strategic transaction unlocks major collaborative opportunities while allowing About You to retain its identity and entrepreneurial energy.' Back in December 2024, Zalando reaffirmed its mid-term outlook for the combined group. By 2028, the company expects compound annual growth of 5 to 10 percent in both gross merchandise volume (GMV) and revenue. The merged entity is also targeting an adjusted EBIT margin of 6 to 8 percent—representing a significant boost in absolute earnings. Together, the companies aim to capture a larger share of Europe's €450 billion fashion and lifestyle market. This article is an automatic translation. Click here to read the original article.