
World equities flat, crude oil prices fall as Trump, Putin hold high-stakes talks
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Global stocks were flat but still traded near record highs on Friday as U.S. President Donald Trump and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin held high-stakes talks in Alaska over Ukraine.U.S. Treasury bond prices fell across the board with markets anticipating a Federal Reserve interest rate cut.The Dow hit an intra-day record high during the session, becoming the last of Wall Street's main indexes to climb to a new peak this week. The benchmark S&P 500 and the Nasdaq dropped, dragged down mainly by technology, financials, industrials and utilities stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.08%, the S&P 500 fell 0.29% and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.40%."This market continues to move higher and the story is just earnings and margins," said Talley Leger, chief market strategist at The Wealth Consulting Group in New Jersey."The inflation numbers that we saw this week were mostly services and in a services-based economy like ours, this is good for profit margins." Data showed that U.S. retail sales increased solidly in July, rising 0.5% from the prior month, after an unexpected spike in producer price data on Thursday renewed inflation concerns and pared market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts this year.European shares touched a near five-month high before pulling back, as investors drew encouragement from a largely positive earnings season. The pan-European STOXX 600 index finished flat at 0.06%. The MSCI All Country World Index consolidated recent gains. It was last flat at 951.70, just shy of the record level of 954.21 set on Wednesday. Trump and Putin met face to face in Alaska in a high-stakes meeting that could determine whether a ceasefire can be reached in the deadliest war in Europe since World War Two.Trump has said a second summit involving Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy could follow if the talks with Putin go well. Details and the longevity of any agreement will be key, and for now investors are on standby. Ukraine's government bonds - key indicators of the mood - have largely stalled in recent days at a still-distressed 55 cents on the dollar."There's still a small degree of risk premium in European markets because of the war. Any type of resolution will ultimately pare that back," said Shaniel Ramjee, co-head of multi-asset at Pictet Asset Management, adding that oil and other commodity prices could also react. "But I think that the market has learnt not to expect too much from these negotiations. Ultimately, Zelenskiy and the Europeans are not invited. They will need to be involved in any final negotiation," Ramjee added. The two-year note yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Fed, rose 1.1 basis points to 3.751%, paring earlier losses. The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose 2.7 basis points to 4.32%. In currency markets, the dollar weakened 0.38% to 146.72 against the Japanese yen and was down 0.15% at 0.806 against the Swiss franc. The euro was up 0.48% at $1.1702.The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was last trading down 0.34% at 97.85. Japanese GDP data released on Friday showed the economy expanding by an annualised 1.0% in the April-to-June quarter, beating analyst estimates.Brent crude fell 1.5% to settle at $66.85 per barrel. U.S. crude fell 1.8% to settle at $62.80.Spot gold rose 0.09% to $3,338.65 an ounce. U.S. gold futures settled almost flat at $3,382.60. Cryptocurrency markets stabilised after bitcoin touched a record $124,480.82 on Thursday. It was down 0.78% at $117,033.52.
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Hindustan Times
11 minutes ago
- Hindustan Times
No fresh hike in tariff over oil, Donald Trump hints
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New Indian Express
26 minutes ago
- New Indian Express
Half-baked Alaska: Trump, Putin leave peace in the oven
It is instructive that disappointment at the fizzle-out was not accompanied by surprise. Trump and Putin are given to hyperbole and carry the carcass of failed forecasts and claims. In September 2014, Putin claimed that Russian forces could conquer Kyiv in two weeks. Then, in February 2022, Putin declared that Russia would get to Kyiv within days. Similarly, Trump claimed in the run-up to the US presidential polls he would end the war in Ukraine in 24 hours. Three years and nearly a million deaths later, Russia is far from claiming victory and Trump's claim has been flailing for over 207 days. Trump draws his inspiration for geopolitics from his experience as a deal-making real estate baron. It is not surprising that he spoke about swapping land—much like realtors in Delhi exchanging corner plots for parcels of land. Business is omnipresent in Trump's playbook. The US entourage included Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick. Titled 'Pursuing Peace', the summit seemed less about the war and more a bilateral investment and trade meet between two friendly, not adversarial, nations. It is manifest that the US toolbox included a minerals-for-peace idea as a sweetener for Putin. In the run-up to the summit, Bessant held forth that it would explore commercial ties between the US and Russia, and declared that all options were on the table. The options included opening up Alaska's natural resources to Russia (which arguably has the capability to explore such a terrain), lifting of sanctions on Russian aviation, and even access to the rare earth deposits in territories currently occupied by Russia. It may be recalled that in May, Trump and Zelenskyy signed a minerals-for-peace deal. Ukraine has 22 of the 50 minerals defined by the US Geological Survey as critical for the production of chips, electric vehicles and defence equipment. The deal was billed by Trump as a payback for the $300-billion US support to Ukraine. The reality, as a recent study by Science Direct shows, is that nearly half of Ukraine's metal resources are now under Russian occupation. Clearly, even though the issue of ceasefire was unresolved, the two sides which met for nearly three hours did discuss possibilities that could unravel in the future.


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