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Wall Street ends higher, dollar firms ahead of a big week for market risk

Wall Street ends higher, dollar firms ahead of a big week for market risk

CNA3 days ago
NEW YORK :U.S. stocks advanced and the dollar firmed on Friday as investors girded themselves for the week ahead, which includes a Federal Reserve policy meeting, crucial corporate results and U.S. President Donald Trump's August 1 deadline for negotiating trade deals.
"There's increasing confidence that the economy won't be derailed by tariffs," said Thomas Martin, Senior Portfolio Manager at GLOBALT in Atlanta. "In the meantime, companies are reporting good earnings, the economic numbers are coming in within the range and people want to own stocks. They don't want to miss out."
All three indexes closed in positive territory and notched weekly gains. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq logged fresh record closing highs and the blue-chip Dow ended 0.25 per cent shy of its all-time closing level reached on December 24, 2024.
Gold lost some shine, pressured by the dollar as healthy risk appetites lured investors away from the safe-haven metal.
With Trump's negotiating deadline just a week away, the U.S. and its trading partners are scrambling to reach trade agreements, with European negotiators heartened by the deal with Japan announced on Tuesday.
Intel's shares INTC.O dropped 8.5 per cent after the chipmaker forecast steeper-than-expected quarterly losses and said it had halted or scrapped new factory projects in the U.S. and Europe.
More than a third of the companies in the S&P 500 have posted results, 80 per cent of which have beaten estimates, according to LSEG data.
Analysts now expect year-on-year second-quarter earnings growth of 7.7 per cent, compared with the 5.8 per cent estimate as of July 1.
Four members of the Magnificent 7 group of Artificial Intelligence-related megacap stocks - Amazon, Apple, Meta and Microsoft are on next week's earnings docket, and market participants will scrutinize the companies' conference calls for signs that AI expenditures are beginning to pay off and whether tariff-related uncertainties continue to weigh on forward guidance.
U.S. economic data released on Friday showed an unexpected decline in new orders for core capital goods, as companies hold back on big ticket purchases amid the fog of ongoing trade talks.
The Fed is expected to convene next week for a two-day monetary policy meeting, which is expected to culminate in a decision to let its federal funds target rate stand in the 4.25 per cent to 4.50 per cent range. The meeting comes at a moment in which Fed Chair Jerome Powell is facing criticism from Trump for not cutting rates.
"The Fed is going to do what it's going to do and Powell is going to stay in his job," Martin added. "The economy is doing great, so they really don't need to lower short-term interest rates."
"Inflation is still a question, so they're better off not lowering rates if they don't have to," Martin said.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 208.01 points, or 0.47 per cent, to 44,901.92, the S&P 500 rose 25.30 points, or 0.40 per cent, to 6,388.65 and the Nasdaq Composite rose 50.36 points, or 0.24 per cent, to 21,108.32.
European shares settled lower as market participants parsed mixed corporate earnings and awaited developments in the U.S.-EU trade negotiations.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rose 0.47 points, or 0.05 per cent, to 941.82.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rose 0.01 points, or 0.00 per cent, to 941.36.
The pan-European STOXX 600 index fell 0.29 per cent, while Europe's broad FTSEurofirst 300 index fell 5.79 points, or 0.27 per cent
Emerging market stocks fell 10.29 points, or 0.81 per cent, to 1,257.00. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan closed lower by 0.93 per cent, to 661.17, while Japan's Nikkei fell 370.11 points, or 0.88 per cent, to 41,456.23.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell 2.4 basis points to 4.384 per cent, from 4.408 per cent late on Thursday.
The U.S. dollar gained strength but remained on course for its biggest drop in a month as investors focused on economic data, tariff negotiations and central bank meetings on the calendar for next week.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, rose 0.23 per cent to 97.68, with the euro down 0.11 per cent at $1.1741.
Against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened 0.44 per cent to 147.65.
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin fell 1.66 per cent to $116,805.28. Ethereum declined 2.52 per cent to $3,645.63.
Oil prices softened as investors mulled downbeat economic news and signs of growing supply, despite optimism that U.S. trade deals could boost global economic growth.
U.S. crude fell 1.32 per cent to $65.16 per barrel, while Brent fell to $68.44 per barrel, down 1.07 per cent on the day.
Gold prices dropped in opposition to the firming dollar, amid signs of progress in U.S.-EU trade talks.
Spot gold fell 0.9 per cent to $3,337.66 an ounce. U.S. gold futures fell 1.24 per cent to $3,329.10 an ounce.
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Dollar strengthens after US and EU agree to tariff deal
Dollar strengthens after US and EU agree to tariff deal

CNA

time42 minutes ago

  • CNA

Dollar strengthens after US and EU agree to tariff deal

TOKYO/LONDON :The dollar rose against major peers on Monday after the United States and the EU struck a framework trade pact, the latest in a flurry of deals to avert a global trade war, with investors also looking to this week's U.S. and Japanese central bank meetings. Meeting in Scotland on Sunday, U.S. President Donald Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the deal provided for an import tariff of 15 per cent on EU goods, half the rate Trump had threatened from August 1. That follows last week's U.S. agreement with Japan, while top U.S. and Chinese economic officials will resume talks in Stockholm on Monday aiming to extend a truce by three months and keep sharply higher tariffs at bay. The euro was last at $1.1693, down 0.4 per cent on the day, reversing an initial knee-jerk rise in Asia trade as investors' focus shifted to what an easing in global trade tensions meant for the dollar overall. "The mood music on U.S. trade negotiations has been a little brighter following agreements with Japan and the EU," said Paul Mackel, global head of FX research at HSBC. "If more 'trade deals' are reached, this could help to reduce this source of policy uncertainty that has weighed against the dollar, at least for now. It could also see other factors such as relative yields becoming more influential." The dollar tumbled sharply earlier this year, particularly against the euro, as fears dramatically higher tariffs on trade with most of its major partners would hurt the U.S. economy caused investors to consider shifting out of U.S. assets. Normally the gap between yields on government bonds is a major factor for currency moves, but at present the euro is meaningfully higher than the gap between U.S. and euro zone yields would imply. The euro was also last down slightly on the yen and sterling, having hit a one-year high on the Japanese currency, and a two-year high on sterling at the start of trade. The dollar was stronger elsewhere, up 0.15 per cent on the yen at 147.83, while the pound was down 0.13 per cent at $1.3428. As concerns subside about the economic fallout from punishing tariffs, investor attention is shifting to corporate earnings and central bank meetings in the United States and Japan in the next few days. Both the Fed and the Bank of Japan are expected to hold rates steady at policy meetings this week, but traders will watch subsequent comments to gauge the timing of the next moves. Investors will also be watching to see Trump's reaction to the Fed's decision. The U.S. President has been putting the Fed under heavy pressure to make significant rate cuts, and Trump appeared close to trying to fire Powell last week, but backed off with a nod to the market disruption that would likely follow. In cryptocurrencies, ethereum jumped 1.7 per cent and reached as high as $3,940.25, the most since December 2024.

US and EU avert trade war with 15% tariff deal
US and EU avert trade war with 15% tariff deal

Straits Times

time2 hours ago

  • Straits Times

US and EU avert trade war with 15% tariff deal

Find out what's new on ST website and app. US President Donald Trump meets with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, in Turnberry, Scotland, on July 27. TURNBERRY, Scotland - The United States struck a framework trade deal with the European Union on July 27, imposing a 15 per cent US import tariff on most EU goods, half the threatened rate, and averting a spiralling battle between two allies which account for almost a third of global trade. US President Donald Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced the deal at Mr Trump's luxury golf course in western Scotland after an hour-long meeting that pushed the hard-fought deal over the line, following months of negotiations. 'I think this is the biggest deal ever made,' Mr Trump told reporters, lauding EU plans to invest some US$600 billion (S$769.07 billion) in the United States and dramatically increase its purchases of US energy and military equipment. Mr Trump said the deal, which tops a US$550 billion deal signed with Japan last week, would expand ties between the trans-Atlantic powers after years of what he called unfair treatment of US exporters. Dr von der Leyen, describing Mr Trump as a tough negotiator, said the 15 per cent tariff applied 'across the board', later telling reporters it was 'the best we could get'. 'We have a trade deal between the two largest economies in the world, and it's a big deal. It's a huge deal. It will bring stability. It will bring predictability,' she said. The deal, which Mr Trump said calls for US$750 billion of EU purchases of US energy in coming years and 'hundreds of billions of dollars' of arms purchases, likely spells good news for a host of EU companies, including Airbus, Mercedes-Benz and Novo Nordisk, if all the details hold. Top stories Swipe. Select. Stay informed. 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German carmakers, VW, Mercedes and BMW were some of the hardest hit by the 27.5 per cent US tariff on car and parts imports now in place. The baseline 15 per cent tariff will still be seen by many in Europe as too high, compared with Europe's initial hopes to secure a zero-for-zero tariff deal. But Mr Bernd Lange, the German Social Democrat who heads the European Parliament's trade committee, said the tariffs were imbalanced and the hefty EU investment earmarked for the US would likely come at the bloc's own expense. Mr Trump retains the ability to increase the tariffs in the future if European countries do not live up to their investment commitments, a senior US administration official told reporters on July 27 evening. The euro rose around 0.2 per cent against the dollar, sterling and yen within an hour of the deal's being announced. Mirror of Japan deal Mr Carsten Nickel, deputy director of research at Teneo, said the July 27 accord was 'merely a high-level, political agreement' that could not replace a carefully hammered out trade deal. 'This, in turn, creates the risk of different interpretations along the way, as seen immediately after the conclusion of the US-Japan deal.' While the tariff applies to most goods, including semiconductors and pharmaceuticals, there are exceptions. The U.S. will keep in place a 50 per cent tariff on steel and aluminium. Dr Von der Leyen suggested the tariff could be replaced with a quota system ; a senior administration official said EU leaders had asked that the two sides continue to talk about the issue. Dr Von der Leyen said there would be no tariffs from either side on aircraft and aircraft parts, certain chemicals, certain generic drugs, semiconductor equipment, some agricultural products, natural resources and critical raw materials. 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'Remember, their economy is US$20 trillion... they are five times bigger than Japan,' a senior US official told reporters during a briefing. 'So the opportunity of opening their market is enormous for our farmers, our fishermen, our ranchers, all our industrial products, all our businesses.' Mr Trump has periodically railed against the European Union, saying it was 'formed to screw the United States' on trade. He has fumed for years about the US merchandise trade deficit with the EU, which in 2024 reached US$235 billion, according to US Census Bureau data. The EU points to the US surplus in services, which it says partially redresses the balance. Mr Trump has argued his tariffs are bringing in 'hundreds of billions of dollars' of revenues for the US, while dismissing warnings from economists about the risk of inflation. 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Malaysia cuts growth forecast on tariff volatility
Malaysia cuts growth forecast on tariff volatility

Straits Times

time3 hours ago

  • Straits Times

Malaysia cuts growth forecast on tariff volatility

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