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Retail inflation eases to 8-year low of 1.55% in July

Retail inflation eases to 8-year low of 1.55% in July

India Today2 days ago
Retail inflation eased sharply to 1.55% in July 2025, marking its lowest level since July 2017, according to provisional data released by the government. The drop represents a big decline of 55 basis points compared to June's 2.10%.Food inflation showed an even steeper drop, falling to -1.76% in July from the previous month, the lowest since January 2019. Both rural and urban areas experienced deflation in food prices, with rural food inflation at -1.74% and urban at -1.90%.The decline in overall inflation is largely attributed to favourable base effects and falling prices in key categories such as pulses, vegetables, cereals, transport and communication, education, eggs, and sugar and confectionery.Rural headline inflation fell to 1.18% in July from 1.72% in June, while urban inflation eased from 2.56% to 2.05%. Food inflation also declined sharply in both rural and urban sectors.Other categories showed mixed trends: housing inflation remained stable at around 3.17%, education inflation eased to 4.00%, and health inflation rose slightly to 4.57%. Transport and communication inflation dropped significantly to 2.12%, while fuel and light inflation edged up marginally to 2.67%.'The ninth straight fall in CPI might just have signaled the bottoming of inflation. While the low base will ensure a few more benign readings in the coming months, the point to keep in mind from policy perspective is that exit inflation for FY26 i.e., in March 2026, would be 3X higher from here," Sachchidanand Shukla, Group Chief Economist at Larsen & Toubro, told news agency ReutersThe news agency also quoted Sakshi Gupta, Principal Economist at HDFC Bank, who said, 'Inflation moderated below 2% as the disinflation in food continued. The inflation print was broadly in line with expectations and does not change the outlook on monetary policy as the RBI lowered inflation forecast for the year in its August policy. If tariff rates for India are closer to 25% or higher, the space for another rate cut in October could open up.'advertisement(Disclaimer: The views, opinions, recommendations, and suggestions expressed by experts/brokerages in this article are their own and do not reflect the views of the India Today Group. It is advisable to consult a qualified broker or financial advisor before making any actual investment or trading choices.)- Ends
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