
Yuan eases in tight trade as China holds key lending rates steady
China kept benchmark lending rates steady on Monday, as expected, after it reported slightly better-than-expected second-quarter economic data.
The spot yuan opened at 7.1771 per dollar and was last trading at 7.179 as of 0311 GMT, 32 pips lower than the previous late session close and 0.37% weaker than the midpoint.
'We believe the current domestic and external environment continues to support the yuan, which may remain stable with mild fluctuations in the absence of external shocks,' CICC analysts said in a note.
China's economy grew at a slightly faster pace than expected in the second quarter, showing resilience in the face of U.S tariffs.
As August approaches, markets are likely to focus more on shifts in tariff expectations and developments in U.S. Federal Reserve appointments, CICC analysts said.
China wants to bring its trade ties with the U.S. back to a stable footing, its commerce minister said last week, adding that recent talks in Europe showed there was no need for a tariff war while urging the U.S. to act in a manner befitting of a superpower.
The onshore yuan was trading in narrow ranges in the morning session, with intraday volatility less than 30 pips.
Prior to the market opening, the People's Bank of China set the midpoint rate at 7.1522 per dollar, 262 pips firmer than a Reuters' estimate. The spot yuan is allowed to trade 2% either side of the fixed midpoint each day.
Market risk sentiment was lifted after China announced the start of construction on what will be the world's largest hydropower dam, located on the eastern rim of the Tibetan plateau and estimated to cost around $170 billion.
China's long-dated treasury futures dropped to their lowest level in five weeks on Monday, while bond yields broadly rose across tenors.
The offshore yuan traded at 7.1824 yuan per dollar, down about 0.01% in Asian trade.
Investors are also eyeing an upcoming Politburo meeting, expected later this month. UBS economists said the government is likely to maintain a supportive macro policy tone, but see limited urgency or likelihood for major new stimulus, citing stronger-than-expected second-quarter GDP growth.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Business Recorder
4 hours ago
- Business Recorder
ECB holds rates with US tariffs decision on horizon
FRANKFURT: The European Central Bank held interest rates steady Thursday as policymakers waited to see whether the eurozone would be hit by higher US tariffs threatened by President Donald Trump. The pause brought to an end a streak of consecutive cuts stretching back to September 2024 that has seen the ECB slash its benchmark deposit rate to two percent. The swift reduction in borrowing costs for businesses and households in the 20 members of the single-currency bloc has come as inflation has fallen back from the double-digit peaks seen at the end of 2022. Consumer prices in the eurozone rose at a pace of two percent in June, exactly in line with the ECB's target for inflation. The sinking price pressures have opened the way for the ECB to lower interest rates, while concerns over the outlook for the eurozone have mounted. In its rates announcement the ECB said that the economic environment remained 'exceptionally uncertain, especially because of trade disputes'. Trump has set a deadline of August 1 to impose a basic tariff rate of 30 percent on goods from the EU, but negotiations to find a compromise deal have progressed. A spokesman for the European Commission said earlier on Thursday a deal with the United States is 'within reach', while diplomats said Wednesday the US had tabled a deal for a general 15-percent tariff. ECB to keep rates steady as trade conflict clouds economic outlook While waiting for a resolution to the trade dispute – or an unsuccessful end to talks – the ECB would want 'more clarity' before making their next move, UniCredit analysts said. Trade talks 'Neither the economic data nor latest data regarding price dynamics demand an immediate response from the ECB,' according to Dirk Schumacher, chief economist at German public lender KfW. Eurozone inflation came in at exactly two percent in June and economic indicators including rising factory output have encouraged more optimism about the health of the economy. The ECB would also want to 'keep some powder dry for the case of emergency' if Trump were to apply harsh tariffs, Berenberg analyst Felix Schmidt said. 'A further escalation in the trade dispute would have a significant negative impact on the eurozone economy,' leading to more rate cuts, Schmidt said. The increased strength of the euro against the dollar as a result of tariff uncertainty could also encourage policymakers to further soften the ECB's monetary policy stance. The euro has surged almost 14 percent against the dollar since the start of the year, boosted by investor moves to dump US assets in the face of Trump's impetuous policymaking and attacks on the US Federal Reserve. Strong euro A stronger euro would make imports cheaper and further suppress inflation. The ECB is already predicting the indicator to dip to 1.6 percent in 2026 before returning to target in 2027. Investors will be listening closely to ECB President Christine Lagarde's comments in Frankfurt at 2:45 pm (1245 GMT) for indications of what could come next. Lagarde dropped a strong hint that the ECB's cutting cycle was 'getting to the end' at the last meeting in June, while stressing a data-dependent and meeting-by-meeting approach in the face of uncertainty. After Thursday's pause, observers will turn their attention to how ECB thinking is developing ahead of its next gathering in September. 'A relatively quiet July meeting could feature some heightened scrutiny on how comfortable policymakers would be with another euro rally,' according to ING bank analyst Carsten Brzeski. Worries over currency fluctuations 'may not make their way to official communication, but could help tilt the balance to a more dovish overall tone,' Brzeski said.


Business Recorder
5 hours ago
- Business Recorder
Oil prices gain on US trade optimism, drop in crude inventories
LONDON: Oil prices rose on Thursday, buoyed by optimism over U.S. trade negotiations that would ease pressure on the global economy and a sharper-than-expected decline in U.S. crude inventories. Brent crude futures had gained 52 cents, or 0.76%, to $69.03 a barrel by 1040 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed 60 cents, or 0.9% to $65.85 per barrel. 'The U.S. crude inventory draw and the trade efforts are adding some support to prices,' said Janiv Shah, an analyst at Rystad. Two European diplomats said on Wednesday that the EU and the United States were moving towards a trade deal that could include a 15% U.S. baseline tariff on EU imports and possible exemptions, potentially paving the way for another major trade agreement following the Japan deal. On the supply side, U.S. Energy Information Administration data on Wednesday showed U.S. crude inventories fell last week by 3.2 million barrels to 419 million barrels, exceeding analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 1.6 million-barrel draw. Oil prices fall as tariff deadline looms Oil had also seen some support from a suspension of Azeri crude exports from the Turkish port of Ceyhan and a brief halt to loadings at Russia's main Black Sea ports which has since been resolved. BP said that organic chlorides were detected in some of the oil tanks in the terminal at Ceyhan, adding that oil loading continued from some of the tanks with chloride levels assessed to be within normal specifications, while export activities via the BTC pipeline also continued. But analysts expect oil price gains to remain limited. 'Uncertainty over U.S.-China trade talks and peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia is limiting further gains,' said Hiroyuki Kikukawa, chief strategist of Nissan Securities Investment, a unit of Nissan Securities, predicting WTI would likely remain range-bound between $60 and $70 a barrel. Russia and Ukraine held peace talks in Istanbul on Wednesday, discussing further prisoner swaps, though the two sides remain far apart on ceasefire terms and a possible meeting of their leaders. 'Next to watch would be the demand indicators as we are in the peak season and any upside or downside would impact refining margins,' Shah added.


Business Recorder
10 hours ago
- Business Recorder
South African rand slips after week of gains
JOHANNESBURG: The South African rand slipped in early trade on Thursday after a week of gains, dragged down by an uptick in the dollar and a weaker global gold price. At 0715 GMT, the rand traded at 17.58 against the dollar , down 0.4% on Wednesday's closing level. The dollar was up 0.1% against a basket of global currencies , while spot gold traded down 0.3%. In recent days, the rand had benefited from investor optimism that the country's budget would pass after months of delays and revisions. South Africa's parliament passed the last major budget bill late on Wednesday after the two biggest parties in the governing coalition found common ground after months of disagreements. With no major domestic data releases for the rest of this week, the rand may now move mainly on global drivers. The Johannesburg Stock Exchange's Top-40 index rose 0.3% in early trade. The yield on the benchmark 2035 government bond was little changed at 9.82%.