LGI Homes (LGIH) Reports Earnings Tomorrow: What To Expect
LGI Homes missed analysts' revenue expectations by 5% last quarter, reporting revenues of $351.4 million, down 10.1% year on year. It was a disappointing quarter for the company, with a significant miss of analysts' adjusted operating income estimates and a significant miss of analysts' EBITDA estimates.
Is LGI Homes a buy or sell going into earnings? Read our full analysis here, it's free.
This quarter, analysts are expecting LGI Homes's revenue to decline 20.1% year on year to $481.4 million, a further deceleration from the 6.6% decrease it recorded in the same quarter last year. Adjusted earnings are expected to come in at $1.31 per share.
Analysts covering the company have generally reconfirmed their estimates over the last 30 days, suggesting they anticipate the business to stay the course heading into earnings. LGI Homes has missed Wall Street's revenue estimates six times over the last two years.
Looking at LGI Homes's peers in the home builders segment, some have already reported their Q2 results, giving us a hint as to what we can expect. D.R. Horton's revenues decreased 7.4% year on year, beating analysts' expectations by 5%, and Taylor Morrison Home reported revenues up 2%, topping estimates by 3.9%. D.R. Horton traded up 12.9% following the results while Taylor Morrison Home was down 9.1%.
Read our full analysis of D.R. Horton's results here and Taylor Morrison Home's results here.
Investors in the home builders segment have had steady hands going into earnings, with share prices flat over the last month. LGI Homes is up 4.4% during the same time and is heading into earnings with an average analyst price target of $93.33 (compared to the current share price of $54.48).
When a company has more cash than it knows what to do with, buying back its own shares can make a lot of sense–as long as the price is right. Luckily, we've found one, a low-priced stock that is gushing free cash flow AND buying back shares. Click here to claim your Special Free Report on a fallen angel growth story that is already recovering from a setback.
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Steinert Illustration of the three-stage XRT and 3D-laser separation process, reporting the mass yields, Au recoveries and Au grades for the Estelle RPM gold bulk sample The results presented in Figure 2 demonstrated that a high density fraction can be recovered through ore sorting in which 48.8% Au is recovered in a mass yield of 11.3% in the first pass. This generated a concentrate of 5.72 g/t Au from a 1.32 g/t feed – a 4.33 times upgrade in the first pass through the ore sorter. Steinert strongly recommends Nova Minerals implement sensor sorting into the Estelle RPM process, to obtain a relatively high grade concentrate in a low mass yield. The implementation of the ore sorting technology has the potential to be further 3. Cumulative gold recovery (%), mass pull (%) and grade (g/t) for the Estelle RPM gold bulk sample Heap Leaching Metallurgical Test Work Results Heap leaching is a low capital and operating cost alternative to conventional mill processing techniques for gold recovery from lower grade ore sources. It is a well-proven and cost-effective approach used by the majors including Barrick Gold, Newmont, Kinross Gold's Alaskan Fort Knox and Eldorado Gold's Kışladağ mine to name a few. Heap leaching can potentially recover the gold from 100's of millions of tons of lower grade material, and the reject material from the ore sorters, which otherwise would be regarded as waste. This has the potential to significantly increase the gold production from the project. Figure 4 below shows how a typical heap leach process works with ore put through an optional pre-application phase before being stacked on an impermeable heap pad. 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Suitable for all climates eg: The Fort Knox gold mine in Alaska uses heap leaches to extract gold. Nova engaged METS Engineering to undertake test work to evaluate the amenability of RPM to heap leaching. METS undertook a comprehensive prefeasibility heap leaching test work program on low grade RPM ore. The program consisted of crush size sensitivity testing, agglomeration and percolation testing and culminated in four heap leach column tests. The material used in the column test was crushed using High Pressure Grinding Rolls (HPGR). Table 1 presents the results of the column leach test work which shows that at an achievable crush size of 3.35 mm after 59 days of leaching 68.7% gold extraction can be achieved from RPM low grade ore. Cyanide consumption ranged from 0.61 to 0. 92 kg per ton of ore. Lime consumption ranged from 0.081 to 0.139 kg per ton of ore. Both reagent consumptions are reasonable for heap leaching. Table1. Heap leach column test work results Test ID Crush Size Days under leach Au % NaCN (%) NaCN kg/t Lime kg/t MN3544 3.35 mm 59 68.7 0.05 0.92 0.139 MN3545 2.00 mm 43 62.6 0.05 0.77 0.095 MN3546 1.00 mm 43 73.4 0.05 0.77 0.109 Figure 5 illustrates the gold leaching kinetics for each of crush size obtained from the column test work. The low grade ore was still leaching when the columns were terminated and during heap leach operations in the field a much longer leach cycle could be 5. RPM column leach test work results RPM Conceptual Flowsheet Based on the positive test results Nova is pleased to present a high level conceptual flowsheet for RPM processing that is being further developed with test work and engineering underway. This flowsheet demonstrates the capability to fully utilize the RPM resource combining Steinert Ore Sorting Technology, Heap Leaching and CIP/CIL. The high-level conceptual flowsheet is presented in Figure 6. The implementation of ore sorting technology is designed to allow for the upgrading of low-grade RPM mined ore to high grade concentrate appropriate to feed a CIP/CIL plant. The rejects from the ore sorter will then be heap leached in a suitably sized operation to maximize the recoverable gold from the RPM deposit. Additional engineering and economic trade-off studies will be conducted to determine the optimum size of the heap leach operation and CIP/CIL plant to achieve the best economic outcomes for the Estelle 6. High level conceptual flowsheet for Estelle RPM ore Qualified Persons The information contained in this report, relating to metallurgical results, is based on, and fairly and accurately represent the information and supporting documentation prepared by Mr Damian Connelly. Mr Connelly is a full-time employee of METS Engineering who are a Contractor to Nova Minerals Limited, and a Fellow of The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy. Mr Connelly has sufficient experience which is relevant to the style of mineralisation and type of deposit under consideration, and to the activity being undertaken to qualify as a Competent Person as defined in the 2012 Edition of the Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Exploration Targets, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves and as Qualified Person as defined in Regulation S-K 1300 under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (S-K 1300). Mr Connelly consents to the inclusion in the report of the matters based on the results in the form and context in which they appear. About Nova Minerals Limited Nova Minerals Limited is a Gold, Antimony and Critical Minerals exploration and development company focused on advancing the Estelle Project, comprised of 514 km2 of State of Alaska mining claims, which contains multiple mining complexes across a 35 km long mineralized corridor of over 20 advanced Gold and Antimony prospects, including two already defined multi-million ounce resources, and several drill ready Antimony prospects with massive outcropping stibnite vein systems observed at surface. The 85% owned project is located 150 km northwest of Anchorage, Alaska, USA, in the prolific Tintina Gold Belt, a province which hosts a >220 million ounce (Moz) documented gold endowment and some of the world's largest gold mines and discoveries including, Nova Gold and Paulson Advisors Donlin Creek Gold Project and Kinross Gold Corporation's Fort Knox Gold Mine. The belt also hosts significant Antimony deposits and was a historical North American Antimony producer. Further discussion and analysis of the Estelle Project is available through the interactive Vrify 3D animations, presentations, and videos, all available on the Company's website. Forward Looking Statements This press release contains 'forward-looking statements' that are subject to substantial risks and uncertainties. All statements, other than statements of historical fact, contained in this press release are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements contained in this press release may be identified by the use of words such as 'anticipate,' 'believe,' 'contemplate,' 'could,' 'estimate,' 'expect,' 'intend,' 'seek,' 'may,' 'might,' 'plan,' 'potential,' 'predict,' 'project,' 'target,' 'aim,' 'should,' "will' 'would,' or the negative of these words or other similar expressions, although not all forward-looking statements contain these words. Forward-looking statements are based on Nova Minerals Limited's current expectations and are subject to inherent uncertainties, risks and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Further, certain forward-looking statements are based on assumptions management believes to be reasonable at the time such statements are made, including but not limited to, continued exploration activities, Gold and other metal prices, the estimation of initial and sustaining capital requirements, the estimation of labor costs, the estimation of mineral reserves and resources, assumptions with respect to currency fluctuations, the timing and amount of future exploration and development expenditures, receipt of required regulatory approvals, the availability of necessary financing for the Project, the availability of funding sources, the availability of collaborative relationships, permitting and such other assumptions and factors as set out herein. Apparent inconsistencies in the figures shown in the MRE are due to rounding. Forward-looking information is subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking information, including but not limited to: risks related to changes in Gold prices; sources and cost of power and water for the Project; the estimation of initial capital requirements; the lack of historical operations; the estimation of labor costs; general global markets and economic conditions; risks associated with exploration of mineral deposits; the estimation of initial targeted mineral resource tonnage and grade for the Project; risks associated with uninsurable risks arising during the course of exploration; risks associated with currency fluctuations; environmental risks; competition faced in securing experienced personnel; access to adequate infrastructure to support exploration activities; risks associated with changes in the mining regulatory regime governing the Company and the Project; completion of the environmental assessment process; risks related to regulatory and permitting delays; risks related to potential conflicts of interest; the reliance on key personnel; financing, capitalization and liquidity risks including the risk that the financing necessary to fund continued exploration and development. These and other risks and uncertainties are described more fully in the section titled 'Risk Factors' in the final prospectus related to the public offering filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements contained in this announcement are made as of this date, and Nova Minerals Limited undertakes no duty to update such information except as required under applicable law. For Additional Information Please Contact Craig Bentley Director of Finance & Compliance & Investor Relations E: craig@ M: +61 414 714 196Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
