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Yahoo
26 minutes ago
- Yahoo
NVR, Inc. (NVR): A Bull Case Theory
We came across a bullish thesis on NVR, Inc. on Invest in Quality's Substack by Invest In Assets. In this article, we will summarize the bulls' thesis on NVR. NVR, Inc.'s share was trading at $7,830.44 as of August 7th. NVR's trailing and forward P/E were 16.56 and 17.39, respectively according to Yahoo Finance. Copyright: alotofpeople / 123RF Stock Photo NVR, Inc. is a U.S. homebuilder and mortgage banking company with a differentiated, capital-light approach that has made it one of the most efficient compounders in the housing sector. Operating under brands like Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes, NVR avoids the typical risks associated with land development by using land option agreements instead of purchasing land outright. This strategy not only minimizes exposure to real estate market swings but also enhances return on invested capital—an exceptional 58%—while allowing the company to maintain a net cash position of $1.11B and an interest coverage ratio of 75.4x. Its business model comprises two synergistic segments: homebuilding, which drives the bulk of revenues through home deliveries and pricing, and mortgage banking, which generates income via origination fees, interest, and loan sales. NVR's operational efficiency is further reflected in its 25% gross margin and 19.3% operating margin, alongside a 5-year EPS CAGR of 17.4% and revenue CAGR of 8%. The company's disciplined capital allocation has translated into a 17.1% 5-year stock price CAGR, underscoring its status as a reliable compounder. Its strong moat lies in its land-light model, robust balance sheet, vertically integrated mortgage arm, and strong regional brand equity. NVR also rewards shareholders through aggressive buybacks, reducing share count and boosting per-share returns. With consistent mid-teen growth in revenue, earnings, and free cash flow—even across housing cycles—NVR offers a compelling combination of resilience, profitability, and capital return, making it a standout long-term holding in a traditionally cyclical industry. Previously, we covered a on NVR, Inc. by Kairos Research in May 2025, which highlighted the company's land-light strategy, disciplined execution, and shareholder alignment. The company's stock price has appreciated by approximately 7.6% since our coverage. This is because the thesis has continued to play out. Invest In Assets shares a similar view but emphasizes NVR's operational efficiency and compounding potential. NVR, Inc. is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 48 hedge fund portfolios held NVR at the end of the first quarter which was 45 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of NVR as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock. Disclosure: None. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
Yahoo
26 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Atlassian Corporation (TEAM): A Bull Case Theory
We came across a bullish thesis on Atlassian Corporation on Compounding Your Wealth's Substack by Sergey. In this article, we will summarize the bulls' thesis on TEAM. Atlassian Corporation's share was trading at $168.06 as of August 8th. TEAM's forward P/E was 39.53 according to Yahoo Finance. christina-wocintechchat-com-FVgECvTjlBQ-unsplash Atlassian delivered a strong Q2 2025 performance, reporting $1.38 billion in revenue, up 22.3% year-over-year and beating estimates by 2.2%. Subscription revenue surged 22.8% to $1.31 billion, driven largely by cloud growth, which reached $928 million, a 25.7% increase. The company sustained robust profitability with gross margins expanding 1.9 points to 85.3% and operating margins rising 4.6 points to 24.3%. Non-GAAP EPS of $0.98 surpassed expectations by 16.7%. Net new annual recurring revenue (ARR) soared 1,695.5% year-over-year to $159 million, supported by strong premium and enterprise edition upgrades, which grew 40%. Atlassian's AI features saw rapid adoption, with monthly active users climbing 50% quarter-over-quarter and token usage increasing fivefold, reinforcing AI as a key engagement driver embedded across its platform. The launch of Teamwork Collection, a bundled cloud suite, exceeded expectations with significant deployments at major automotive, semiconductor, and gaming firms. Enterprise sales gained momentum with a record number of $1 million+ ACV deals, more than doubling year-over-year, highlighting deepening penetration in large accounts. However, free cash flow (FCF) margin declined 10.5 points to 26%, and Q4 FCF fell 13% due to timing shifts in billing and collections, reflecting the transition to annual billing and multiyear deal linearity. Guidance for Q3 2025 revenue slightly missed estimates, reflecting caution around macro uncertainties and migration complexities in large enterprises. Despite these near-term headwinds, Atlassian reaffirmed its long-term targets of 20% CAGR revenue growth and 25%+ operating margins by FY2027, underpinned by continued investments in AI, cloud migration, and sales execution. Overall, Atlassian's results showcase durable growth, strong customer expansion, and a well-positioned product portfolio driving secular cloud adoption trends. Previously, we covered a on Atlassian Corporation by Deep Value Returns in May 2025, highlighting strong free cash flow and long-term growth targets. Since then, the stock has depreciated about 19% amid modest near-term growth. Sergey shares a similar view but emphasizes Q2 2025 results, AI adoption, and cloud growth, while noting some near-term cash flow challenges. Atlassian Corporation is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 82 hedge fund portfolios held TEAM at the end of the first quarter which was 75 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of TEAM as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock. Disclosure: None.
Yahoo
26 minutes ago
- Yahoo
PriceSmart, Inc. (PSMT): A Bull Case Theory
We came across a bullish thesis on PriceSmart, Inc. on Countervail Capital's Substack by Johann Colloredo-Mansfeld. In this article, we will summarize the bulls' thesis on PSMT. PriceSmart, Inc.'s share was trading at $111.29 as of August 7th. PSMT's trailing P/E was 23.43 according to Yahoo Finance. Copyright: stocking / 123RF Stock Photo PriceSmart, Inc. (PSMT), a U.S.-based operator of 54 membership warehouse clubs across Latin America and the Caribbean, has been financially resilient but largely ignored by markets. Despite consistent 7.3% revenue CAGR since FY 2020, margin expansion, and a strong balance sheet with no debt, the stock has remained flat for a decade, sharply underperforming U.S. peers like Costco and BJ's. PSMT's operations resemble a long-EM, short-dollar carry trade: it collects revenues in local currencies but sources and finances in U.S. dollars, making FX a primary driver of performance. Empirical analysis shows that a 1% local currency appreciation boosts annual revenue growth by ~3% and EBITDA margins by 0.57%. Valuation multiples tend to rise indirectly through these fundamentals during weak-dollar regimes. In such scenarios, simulations suggest PSMT equity could return over 5x within three years, albeit with elevated tail risk. In contrast, under strong-dollar regimes, outcomes are stable but muted, with capital preservation and a 1.5x median return. Currently, PSMT trades at steep discounts—79% on TEV/EBITDA and 68% on TEV/Sales—despite similar returns on capital and higher margins versus peers. It yields 1.2% on dividends and 1.8% on free cash flow, offering positive carry while acting as a leveraged hedge on USD weakness. With improving fundamentals, robust FX-driven upside optionality, and current valuation misalignment amid a weakening dollar backdrop, PSMT equity presents a rare opportunity: an attractively priced, positive-carry instrument offering asymmetric upside and capital protection—an underappreciated bet on dollar depreciation embedded in a fundamentally solid business. Previously, we covered a bullish thesis on PriceSmart, Inc. (PSMT) by Charly AI in April 2025, which highlighted the company's strong financials, regional expansion, and undervaluation. The company's stock price has appreciated approximately 9% since our coverage. This is because the thesis began to play out. Johann Colloredo-Mansfeld shares an identical thesis but emphasizes FX-driven upside optionality. PriceSmart, Inc. is not on our list of the 30 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 20 hedge fund portfolios held PSMT at the end of the first quarter which was 22 in the previous quarter. While we acknowledge the potential of PSMT as an investment, we believe certain AI stocks offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk. If you're looking for an extremely undervalued AI stock that also stands to benefit significantly from Trump-era tariffs and the onshoring trend, see our free report on the best short-term AI stock. READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock. Disclosure: None.
