
More of us are growing old, but pensioners don't have to be an economic burden
The pension commission, launched recently by the Labour government, announced this week that within the next 50 years pensioners will make up a quarter of the adult population. This alarming headline has triggered speculation that the ground is being prepared for an increase in pension age or the discarding of the triple lock.
The Government is keen to damp down speculation of any changes to the current system, fearing the electoral impact, not to mention the wrath of its own backbenchers, following the embarrassing retreat on the winter fuel allowance.
But the changing balance of the population needs to be addressed, so that growing old is viewed as an opportunity rather than as a slide into dependency. The reality is that older people are enjoying much better health than their parents' generation and many are continuing to work beyond retirement age. Today's grandparents are also more likely to be providing childcare – or helping their adult children onto the housing ladder – than putting their feet up.
George Osborne's highly political decision to introduce the triple lock, during the coalition government, may have looked like an easy win at the time, but by creating a massive financial liability has ended up by stoking intergenerational resentment. The state pension is now the second biggest item of government expenditure after health; by 2030 it is expected to cost around £15bn a year. Had the state pension simply kept pace with the cost of living, the cost would have been around a third lower.
An inflation-protected pension should surely now be the way forward, breaking the link with earnings but providing a safety net to underlie private savings. A government with the courage to propose this would be in a much stronger position to offer incentives to savers and promote greater financial independence in old age. Coupled with this should be serious reform to the social care sector, to lift the burden on the NHS and assuage the misery of too many older pensioners languishing in hospital. Again, incentives need to be put in place to encourage self-insurance, with a cap on care costs to enable a thriving social insurance sector and more private care providers.
The danger with the present Labour government is that it is ducking both these challenges and compounding the problematic legacy of previous administrations. It has postponed any decision on the reform of social care, despite the inevitable impact on the NHS budget in the meantime. As to pension saving, the Chancellor is actively reducing or removing pension tax reliefs as well as undermining private pensions providers by interfering in their investment decisions. Damaging private saving simply pushes the problem back on to the Government's books. This country has drifted into a mindset of state dependency and none of our politicians have the courage or foresight to break free.
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BBC News
a minute ago
- BBC News
Why Donetsk matters so much for Ukraine's defences against Russia
A key takeaway from the summit in Alaska is that Russian President Vladimir Putin reportedly wants to freeze the war in Ukraine along its current front line in return for the surrender of the rest of Donetsk holds about 70% of the region (oblast), including the regional capital of the same name, after more than a decade of fighting in which Donetsk and neighbouring Luhansk have been the bleeding heart of the Russia to gain all of Donetsk would cement its internationally unrecognised claim to the oblast as well as avoiding further heavy military Ukraine to withdraw from western Donetsk would mean the grievous loss not just of land, with the prospect of a new exodus of refugees, but the fall of a bulwark against any future Russian we look at why the territory matters so much. What does Ukraine still control? According to an estimate by Reuters news agency, Ukraine still holds about 6,600 sq km (2,548 sq miles) of territory in a quarter of a million people remain there, local officials said urban centres include Kramatorsk, Slovyansk, Kostyantynivka and forms part of Ukraine's main industrial region, the Donbas (Donets Basin), though its economy has been devastated by the war."The reality is these resources likely will not be able to be accessed for arguably a decade at least because of the [land] mines..." Dr Marnie Howlett, departmental lecturer in Russian and East European Politics at the University of Oxford, told Reuters."These lands have been completely destroyed, these cities completely flattened."Resignation and betrayal: What handing Donbas to Putin would mean for UkraineUkraine in maps: Tracking the war with RussiaWhat security guarantees for Ukraine would actually mean Where is the territory's military value? A recent report by the US-based Institute for the Study of War (ISW) describes a "fortress belt" running 50km (31 miles) through western Donetsk."Ukraine has spent the last 11 years pouring time, money, and effort into reinforcing the fortress belt and establishing significant defense industrial and defensive infrastructure," it from the region speak of trenches, bunkers, minefields, anti-tank obstacles and barbed forces attacking in the direction of Pokrovsk "are engaged in an effort to seize it that would likely take several years to complete", the ISW are certainly part of the Ukrainian defence but so is the topography."The terrain is fairly defensible, particularly the Chasiv Yar height which has been underpinning the Ukrainian line," Nick Reynolds, Research Fellow for Land Warfare at the UK-based Royal United Services Institute (Rusi), tells BBC he adds: "If you look at the topography of the Donbas, eastern Ukraine in general, overall the terrain doesn't really favour the Ukrainians.""The city of Donetsk is high ground. It's all downhill as you go west, which isn't great for the Ukrainians in terms of running defensive operations. "That's not just about drawing in for the close fight or difficulties going up and down hill, a lot of it is also about observation and thus the ability to co-ordinate artillery fires and other forms of fire support without putting drones up."Likewise bits of high ground are better for radio wave propagation, better for co-ordination of drones."Chasiv Yar, which the Russians recently claimed to have captured, "is one of the last bits of high ground the Ukrainians control", he via satellite imagery, whether provided by Ukraine's international partners or commercial, is very important, Reynolds notes, "but it is not the same as being able directly to co-ordinate one's own tactical missions". Does the Russian military need all of Donetsk? Western Donetsk is just a small part of a front line stretching some 1,100km but it has seen some of the fiercest Russian attacks this were Moscow to channel its ground forces in any different direction, it is doubtful whether they would make any better progress."In the south, the front line in Zaporizhzhia is now very similar to the one in the Donbas, so that would be just fighting through extensive defensive positions as well," says Reynolds."The Russians face the same problem trying to bash through in the north, so they certainly wouldn't be pushing on an open door." Would Ukraine be able to rebuild its defences further west? In theory, in the event of a peace deal, the Ukrainians could move their line back further would, of course, be the issue of unfavourable terrain, and building deep defences would take time, even with the help of civilian contractors not having to work under fire. But theory is one thing and Rusi's land warfare research fellow cannot see the Ukrainian military giving up western Donetsk without a fight."Even if the Trump administration tries to use ongoing US support or security guarantees as leverage," Nick Reynolds says, "based on previous Russian behaviour, based on the explicitly transactional approach that the US administration has taken, it is hard to see how the Ukrainian government would want to give up that territory." Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has said his country will reject any Russian proposal to give up the Donbas region in exchange for a ceasefire, arguing that the eastern territory could be used as a springboard for future attacks.


The Independent
31 minutes ago
- The Independent
Galleries warn they will be ‘crippled' by new policy which allows people to visit for free
Britain's leading heritage organisations have urged the government to close a 'loophole' in new consumer rights legislation, warning it could 'cripple them'. Heads of organisations including the National Trust, Tate, Historic Royal Palaces and Victoria & Albert Museum wrote to the government to highlight how the new rules could allow people to abuse their membership schemes. The Digital Markets, Competition and Consumers Act (DMCCA) will allow consumers a 'two-week cooling off period' after purchasing a charity membership scheme. This means they could obtain the membership, use its perks to enjoy paid-exhibitions or visits for free, before cancelling and getting a full refund days later. The letter, seen by The Times, asks the prime minister to ensure charities are treated differently to commercial businesses to protect this vital revenue stream. A National Trust spokesperson told The Independent: "Up to now membership has been treated as a charitable donation by law and this is part of a long-held recognition that UK charities are fundamentally different from commercial businesses. 'Charities are currently facing sustained financial pressures, due to the difficult economic climate. This legislation would add to that cost burden and see more charities having to reduce their vital services. 'Just last month the Government made a firm commitment through the Civil Society Covenant to support our sector: closing this loophole would be a clear demonstration of that commitment." The DMCCA was introduced by the previous Conservative government but has been put into place under this government. It is intended to protect consumers following growing concerns around 'subscription traps'. However, heritage organisations and galleries have become increasingly reliant membership schemes for vital funding in recent years. 'The proposed cooling-off period would create a loophole that could allow people to join charities as members and enjoy benefits, such as free entry to sites, for a two-week period before claiming substantial refunds for the rest of the year,' their letter to the government reportedly reads. 'This threatens to cripple the very future value of membership itself as a functional model of income generation for charities with visitor models — currently worth hundreds of millions [of pounds] to charities across the UK every year.' Under the rules, someone could hypothetically buy a National Trust family membership for £168.60 before visiting several sites within two weeks - which could cost upwards of £100 for the family. They could then cancel their membership, receiving a full membership refund, having not paid for their visits. A similar concern applies to galleries, who sometimes offer members free access to paid exhibitions. A government spokesperson said it was engaging with charities on the issue and added: 'The Digital Markets, Competition and Consumers Act does not change the definition of what constitutes a consumer contract. 'Our plans to protect consumers from rip-off subscriptions will not unfairly affect charities, and we continue to engage closely with them to understand their concerns.'


The Independent
31 minutes ago
- The Independent
FTSE 100 at new peak despite fading rate cut hope
London's FTSE 100 hit a new all-time high on Wednesday, shrugging off a hot UK inflation print and fresh falls among technology stocks on Wall Street. The FTSE 100 index closed up 98.92 points, 1.1%, at 9,288.14. It had earlier traded as high as 9,301.19. The FTSE 250 ended up 52.62 points, 0.2%, at 21,885.88, but the AIM All-Share finished 3.48 points lower, 0.5%, at 759.74. Figures from the Office for National Statistics showed UK consumer price inflation picked up to 3.8% in July from 3.6% in June, exceeding FXStreet-cited market consensus expectations of 3.7%. On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 0.1%, defying the consensus forecast of a 0.1% decrease but slowing from a 0.3% rise in June. Core consumer price inflation, which excludes energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, picked up to 3.8% annually from 3.7% in June, and against consensus expectations of another 3.7% rate. Annual service price inflation, a gauge which has been in focus in recent months, picked up to 5.0% in July from 4.7% in June, ahead of 4.8% consensus. The ONS said that 'transport, particularly air fares, made the largest upward contribution' to the July annual inflation rate, partly due to the timing of school holidays. Barclays said the figures increase the risk that the Bank of England will hold interest rates steady for longer. Callum McLaren-Stewart, at Citi, thinks the hurdle for a September rate cut now looks 'borderline impossible' although he continues to see a cut in November as likely on the basis of fiscal contraction in the autumn budget. But Pantheon Macroeconomics thinks sticky inflation will keep rates on hold for the rest of the year. 'The big picture remains that inflation is set to stay miles above target for the foreseeable future,' Elliott Jordan-Doak, at Pantheon, said. Rate sensitive housebuilders bucked the upbeat mood on the FTSE 100. Persimmon fell 0.3% and Taylor Wimpey dipped 0.5%. In better news for the sector, average UK house prices increased by 3.7% to £269,000 in the 12 months to June, picking up from a downwardly revised 2.7% in the 12 months to May, according to ONS data. May's figure was revised from growth of 3.9% before, partly reflecting a change in how new build inflation is assessed. House prices rose 3.3% in England, 2.6% in Wales, 5.9% in Scotland and by 5.5% in Northern Ireland from a year ago. Despite the fading rate cut hopes, the pound eased to 1.3468 dollars late on Wednesday afternoon in London, compared with 1.3503 dollars at the equities close on Tuesday. The euro edged down to 1.1661 dollars, lower against 1.1669 dollars. Against the yen, the dollar was trading lower at 147.15 yen compared with 147.75 yen. In Europe, the CAC 40 in Paris ended slightly lower, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt closed down 0.6%. In New York, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.1%, the S&P 500 was 0.5% lower, and the Nasdaq Composite declined 1.2%. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury was at 4.29%, narrowed from 4.31%. The yield on the US 30-year Treasury was 4.90%, trimmed from 4.91%. Technology stocks bore the brunt of the losses on Wall Street after a report produced by a branch of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology suggested 95% of companies are getting zero return on their investment in generative artificial intelligence. Russ Mould, at AJ Bell, noted these findings follow hot on the heels of comments from OpenAI chief executive Sam Altman that suggested investors are 'over-excited' in this area. 'For now, this looks like a mild and possibly necessary correction after an extremely strong run for this space and the companies within it. Investors will be watching closely to see if AI stocks stabilise from here or the selling continues. Nvidia's quarterly earnings next week now look even more crucial than they already were,' Mr Mould commented. On the FTSE 100, ConvaTec gained 5.6% as the medical products supplier started a share buyback worth up to 300 million dollars. United Utilities firmed 3.5% as Barclays upgraded to 'overweight' and set a 1,535 pence share price target. But the Nasdaq losses on Wall Street saw Polar Capital Technology Trust and Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust – both investors in the technology sector – fall 3.2% and 1.6% respectively. On the FTSE 250, Ithaca Energy shot up 10% after reporting a big jump in half-year profit, confirming its dividend plans, and increasing its 2025 production guidance. The North Sea-focused oil and gas company said pre-tax profit almost tripled to 146.2 million dollars in the second quarter from 52.9 million dollars a year before, as revenue more than doubled to 746.4 million dollars from 361.6 million dollars. Average production in the first half was 123,600 barrels of oil equivalent per day, up from 53,000 a year before. Ithaca raised its full-year guidance to between 119,000 and 125,000 boe per day from between 109,000 and 119,000. On AIM, Fevertree Drinks slumped 9.9% as Exane BNP downgraded to 'underperform' with a 740p per share price target. Elsewhere, positive trading updates supported timber distributor James Latham and fishing tackle and equipment retailer Angling Direct, up 3.2% and 6.7% respectively. A barrel of Brent traded at 66.70 dollars late on Wednesday afternoon, up from 66.08 dollars on Tuesday. Gold firmed to 3,341.46 dollars an ounce against 3,325.33 dollars. The biggest risers on the FTSE 100 were ConvaTec Group, up 13 pence at 244.2p, United Utilities, up 39p at 1,159.5p, Unilever, up 148p at 4,692p, Cola Europacific Partners, up 200p at 6,840p and Imperial Brands, up 85p at 3,141p. The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were Polar Capital Technology Trust, down 13 pence at 388.5p, Rolls-Royce, down 33.5p at 1,026p, easyJet, down 10.2p at 508.4p, ICG, down 38p at 2,162p and Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust, down 17p at 1,066p. Thursday's local corporate calendar has full-year results from recruiter Hays. The global economic calendar on Thursday has a slew of composite PMI readings, UK public sector borrowing data, US weekly jobless claims figures and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index.