logo
China leaves benchmark lending rates unchanged, matching forecast

China leaves benchmark lending rates unchanged, matching forecast

Reutersa day ago
SHANGHAI, Aug 20 (Reuters) - China kept benchmark lending rates unchanged for the third consecutive month on Wednesday, meeting market expectations, as authorities signalled they are in no rush to deliver monetary stimulus despite a string of recent disappointing economic data.
The steady LPR fixings highlighted the central bank's preference for targeted structural policies to support specific sectors of the economy, rather than resorting to broad-based monetary easing.
A de-escalation in trade tensions between Washington and Beijing also reduced urgency for more stimulus, as the world's two largest economies agreed to extend a tariff truce for another 90 days.
The one-year loan prime rate (LPR) was kept at 3.0%, while the five-year LPR was unchanged at 3.5%.
In a Reuters survey of 23 market participants conducted this week, all participants predicted no change to either of the two rates.
In the latest quarterly monetary policy report, the central bank said it would implement and refine moderately loose monetary policy while cautioning against funds idling within the banking system.
A string of July data pointed to signs of economic slowdown. China's factory output growth slumped to an eight-month low last month, retail sales slowed sharply, and new yuan loans contracted for the first time in 20 years.
China said last week that it would offer interest subsidies for businesses in eight consumer service sectors to support services consumption.
** HO WOEI CHEN, ECONOMIST, UOB
"Authorities may place greater emphasis on more targeted measures on the property market and consumption demand such as the loan interest subsidy policy and trade-in subsidies."
She expects a 10-basis-point rate reduction in the fourth quarter of this year, adding the "prospect of a further 50-basis-point cut to reserve requirement ratio (RRR) remains in place."
China "must continue to exert efforts in macro policies and increase them at appropriate time to promote the continued implementation of existing and established policies while maintaining policy continuity and stability," the official People's Daily said in a commentary on Wednesday.
It added that it will enhance policy flexibility to cope with changes in the external environment.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

India imports canola oil after 5 years as local prices surge
India imports canola oil after 5 years as local prices surge

Reuters

time4 minutes ago

  • Reuters

India imports canola oil after 5 years as local prices surge

MUMBAI, Aug 21 (Reuters) - India bought canola oil for delivery in August for the first time in nearly five years, as local prices hit a 3-½-year high, making overseas purchases lucrative, industry officials told Reuters. A shipment of 6,000 tons of canola oil from the United Arab Emirates is expected to arrive at Kandla port in Gujarat this month, said Rajesh Patel, managing partner at GGN Research, an edible oil trader. India mainly buys palm oil from Indonesia and Malaysia, while it imports soyoil and sunflower oil from Argentina, Brazil, Russia and Ukraine. In July, rapeseed oil prices in the spot market surged to 167,000 rupees ($1,914.02) per ton — the highest since February 2022 and almost 34% above year-ago levels. "The price rally is creating an opening for imports, and we might see more coming in since the new local crop won't hit the market until March next year," said a Mumbai-based dealer with a global trade house. India's soyoil imports have also been rising, with some buyers substituting costlier rapeseed oil with the cheaper alternative, he said. ($1 = 87.2510 Indian rupees)

Dollar drifts as investors ponder Fed independence, await Jackson Hole
Dollar drifts as investors ponder Fed independence, await Jackson Hole

Reuters

time15 minutes ago

  • Reuters

Dollar drifts as investors ponder Fed independence, await Jackson Hole

SINGAPORE, Aug 21 (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar drifted on Thursday as investors awaited policy cues from the Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole symposium while keeping an eye on renewed concerns over central bank independence after President Donald Trump's latest salvo. Currencies showed a muted reaction to the announcement that the United States and the European Union locked in a framework trade deal reached last month that includes a 15% U.S. tariff on most EU imports. The euro and sterling were flat at $1.1649 and $1.3460, respectively. The Japanese yen declined 0.3% to 147.85 while the Swiss franc nursed modest losses as well. Odds of a rate cut by the Fed next month eased slightly to 79%, offering mild support to the dollar as focus remained on whether Fed Chair Jerome Powell will push back against market expectations for a September cut when he speaks on Friday. There would likely be a greater reaction if Powell were to indicate the Fed could keep rates steady again, than if he leans in the direction of a cut, said Kenneth Broux, head of corporate research for FX and rates at Societe Generale. "The risks are asymmetric. Because it (a cut) is already priced in, the risk is that we go back to 50-50," said Kenneth Broux, head of corporate research for FX and rates at Societe Generale. The reaction to that would be a sell-off in near-tenor U.S. treasuries and a firmer dollar, Broux said. President Trump's call for Fed Governor Lisa Cook to resign on the basis of allegations made by one of his political allies has meanwhile revived investor concerns over his efforts to gain influence over the central bank. Trump has also repeatedly criticised Powell for being too slow to cut rates. Investors expect Trump will replace Powell, whose term ends in May, with a more dovish appointment. "Trump's desire for lower rates, even if not justified by the Fed's dual mandate, poses upside risks to the US inflation outlook and could trigger a loss of confidence in the US dollar and long-term US Treasuries if implemented," Lee Hardman, senior currency analyst at MUFG, said in a note. Earlier this month, Trump also said he would nominate Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Stephen Miran to serve out the final few months of a vacant Fed seat after Adriana Kugler unexpectedly resigned. The dollar index , which measures the U.S. currency against six other peers, was flat at 98.337 and on course for a 0.4% rise this week. The benchmark U.S. 10-year yield was a touch higher at 4.30%, while the two-year yield, which is more sensitive to the monetary policy, ticked up slightly to 3.756% . Some analysts cautioned that markets could end up being disappointed by Powell's speech on Friday, noting that the impact of Trump's tariffs on inflation remains unclear. Elsewhere, the Norwegian krone rose 0.6% each against the dollar and the euro , after data showed that Norway's mainland economy grew at a faster pace than economists had expected in the second quarter. First quarter growth was also revised up. Bearish bets on China's yuan, meanwhile, hit their highest since mid-May, with analysts turning short spurred by mounting concerns over the economy, a Reuters poll showed on Thursday. In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was down 0.8% at $113,527 while ether fell 1.3% to $4,303.89.

Oil rises on signs of strong demand, Russia-Ukraine peace uncertainty
Oil rises on signs of strong demand, Russia-Ukraine peace uncertainty

Reuters

time31 minutes ago

  • Reuters

Oil rises on signs of strong demand, Russia-Ukraine peace uncertainty

LONDON, Aug 21 (Reuters) - Oil prices rose on Thursday, bolstered by signs of strong demand in the United States, with uncertainty over efforts to end the war in Ukraine also lending support. Brent crude futures were close to a two-week high and up 43 cents, or around 0.6%, at $67.27 a barrel at 1203 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were up 45 cents, or 0.7%, at $63.16 a barrel. Both contracts climbed over 1% in the prior session. Russia said on Wednesday that attempts to resolve security issues relating to Ukraine over the war without Moscow's participation were a "road to nowhere". "If the White House's efforts do result in a halt to hostilities in Ukraine, and Russia gradually coming back into the international fold, it will be bearish for the crude market," said independent analyst Gaurav Sharma. "But for now the Brent price floor to watch out for remains at $65 a barrel." U.S. President Donald Trump has announced an additional tariff of 25% on Indian goods from August 27 because of India's Russian crude purchases, which make up nearly 35% of its overall oil imports. Russian embassy officials in New Delhi said on Wednesday that Moscow expects to continue supplying oil to India despite U.S. warnings. Given uncertainty over progress towards ending the war, the possibility of tighter sanctions on Russia has resurfaced, which has led to bullish sentiment among traders, said Tamas Varga, an analyst at PVM Oil Associates. Meanwhile, U.S. crude inventories fell by 6 million barrels last week to 420.7 million barrels, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday, against expectations in a Reuters poll for a 1.8 million-barrel draw. While the large draw indicates increased demand, the rise in crude levels at Cushing suggests underlying demand may be softer and that the draw was higher in part due to higher refinery runs and increased exports, Panmure Liberum's Ashley Kelty said. Investors were also waiting for policy cues that would signal an interest rate cut in September from the Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole symposium that begins on Thursday. Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak on Friday at 10 a.m. ET (1400 GMT).

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store