
Unity Reports First Quarter 2025 Financial Results
"The Company's first quarter results once again meaningfully exceeded expectations on both revenue and Adjusted EBITDA, highlighting our progress as we continue to build a culture of execution and discipline,' said Matt Bromberg, President and CEO of Unity.
'The early success of Unity Vector and continued strong demand for Unity 6 underscore our positioning as the leading integrated platform supporting developers across the full lifecycle of game development,' Bromberg continued.
First Quarter 2025 Results:
Revenue was $435 million, compared to $460 million in the first quarter 2024.
Create Solutions revenue was $150 million, compared to $164 million in the first quarter 2024.
Grow Solutions revenue was $285 million, compared to $297 million in the first quarter 2024.
GAAP net loss was $78 million, with a margin of (18)%.
GAAP basic and diluted net loss per share was $0.19.
Adjusted EBITDA was $84 million, with a margin of 19%.
Adjusted EPS was $0.24.
Net cash provided by operating activities was $13 million.
Free cash flow was $7 million.
Revenue
Revenue was $435 million, down 6% year-over-year driven by our portfolio reset.
Create Solutions revenue was $150 million, down 8% year-over-year, primarily due to a decrease in professional services revenue and consumption services revenue, both caused by the portfolio reset. The year-over-year decrease was partially offset by strong growth in subscription revenue.
Grow Solutions revenue was $285 million, down 4% year-over-year. The change was driven by declines in select Grow products, partially offset by the earlier than expected rollout of Unity Vector.
Basic and Diluted Net Loss per share
Basic and diluted net loss per share was $0.19, as compared to $0.75 for the same period in 2024.
Net Loss and Net Cash Provided by or Used in Operating Activities
Net loss for the quarter was $78 million, compared to $291 million in the first quarter of 2024.
Net loss margin was (18)%, compared to (63)% in the first quarter of 2024.
Net cash provided by operating activities for the quarter was $13 million, compared to net cash used in operating activities of $7 million in the first quarter of 2024.
Adjusted EBITDA, Free Cash Flow, and Adjusted EPS
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $84 million, with a margin of 19%, compared to $79 million in the first quarter of 2024, with a margin of 17%. The better than expected adjusted EBITDA margin in the first quarter of 2025 was due to better cost control and higher than expected revenue.
Free cash flow for the quarter was $7 million, compared to negative $15 million in the first quarter of 2024.
Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $0.24, compared to $0.28 in the first quarter of 2024.
Liquidity
As of March 31, 2025, our cash and cash equivalents, and restricted cash was $1,552 million, and increased by $24 million, as compared with $1,528 million as of December 31, 2024. This increase was primarily driven by proceeds from issuance of common stock from employee equity plans, and from our operations, offset by the net cash outflows from our debt refinancing.
Q2 2025 Guidance 1
Revenue of $415 to $425 million.
Adjusted EBITDA of $70 to $75 million.
About Unity
Unity [NYSE: U] offers a suite of tools to create, market and grow games and interactive experiences across all major platforms from mobile, PC, and console, to extended reality (XR). For more information, visit Unity.com.
UNITY SOFTWARE INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(In thousands, except par share data)
(Unaudited)
As of
March 31, 2025
December 31, 2024
Assets
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents
$
1,541,170
$
1,517,672
Accounts receivable, net
552,958
573,884
Prepaid expenses and other
144,514
133,795
Total current assets
2,238,642
2,225,351
Property and equipment, net
89,972
98,819
Goodwill
3,166,304
3,166,304
Intangible assets, net
980,584
1,066,235
Other assets
170,453
180,698
Total assets
$
6,645,955
$
6,737,407
Liabilities and stockholders' equity
Current liabilities:
Accounts payable
$
16,538
$
13,948
Accrued expenses and other
273,444
294,951
Publisher payables
339,129
394,284
Deferred revenue
188,490
186,304
Total current liabilities
817,601
889,487
Convertible notes
2,232,143
2,238,922
Long-term deferred revenue
14,710
16,846
Other long-term liabilities
154,863
165,004
Total liabilities
3,219,317
3,310,259
Commitments and contingencies
Redeemable noncontrolling interests
234,740
230,627
Stockholders' equity:
Common stock, $0.000005 par value:
Authorized shares - 1,000,000 and 1,000,000
Issued and outstanding shares - 415,406 and 409,393
2
2
Additional paid-in capital
7,008,134
6,936,038
Accumulated other comprehensive loss
(8,501
)
(9,425
)
Accumulated deficit
(3,813,586
)
(3,735,944
)
Total Unity Software Inc. stockholders' equity
3,186,049
3,190,671
Noncontrolling interest
5,849
5,850
Total stockholders' equity
3,191,898
3,196,521
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity
$
6,645,955
$
6,737,407
Expand
UNITY SOFTWARE INC.
(In thousands, except per share amounts)
(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended
March 31,
2025
2024
Revenue
$
435,000
$
460,380
Cost of revenue
113,957
144,387
Gross profit
321,043
315,993
Operating expenses
Research and development
220,625
282,728
Sales and marketing
162,013
230,625
General and administrative
66,340
177,569
Total operating expenses
448,978
690,922
Loss from operations
(127,935
)
(374,929
)
Interest expense
(5,891
)
(6,035
)
Interest income and other income (expense), net
58,111
76,643
Loss before income taxes
(75,715
)
(304,321
)
Provision for (benefit from) Income taxes
2,192
(12,843
)
Net loss
(77,907
)
(291,478
)
Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interest and redeemable noncontrolling interests
(265
)
(404
)
Net loss attributable to Unity Software Inc.
(77,642
)
(291,074
)
Basic and diluted net loss per share attributable to Unity Software Inc.
$
(0.19
)
$
(0.75
)
Weighted-average shares used in computation of basic and diluted net loss per share
411,852
387,151
Net loss
(77,907
)
(291,478
)
Change in foreign currency translation adjustment
1,178
(3,461
)
Comprehensive loss
$
(76,729
)
$
(294,939
)
Net loss attributable to noncontrolling interest and redeemable noncontrolling interests
(265
)
(404
)
Foreign currency translation attributable to noncontrolling interest and redeemable noncontrolling interests
254
(710
)
Comprehensive loss attributable to noncontrolling interest and redeemable noncontrolling interests
(11
)
(1,114
)
Comprehensive loss attributable to Unity Software Inc.
$
(76,718
)
$
(293,825
)
Expand
UNITY SOFTWARE INC.
(In thousands)
(Unaudited)
Three Months Ended
March 31,
2025
2024
Operating activities
Net loss
$
(77,907
)
$
(291,478
)
Adjustments to reconcile net loss to net cash provided by (used in) operating activities:
Depreciation and amortization
96,217
101,810
Stock-based compensation expense
98,790
265,877
Gain on repayment of convertible note
(42,744
)
(61,371
)
Impairment of property and equipment
3,470
13,598
Other
(218
)
2,918
Changes in assets and liabilities, net of effects of acquisitions:
Accounts receivable, net
21,022
(9,740
)
Prepaid expenses and other
(10,602
)
(16,779
)
Other assets
10,023
(2,399
)
Accounts payable
2,198
5,273
Accrued expenses and other
(21,029
)
(4,269
)
Publisher payables
(55,155
)
25,558
Other long-term liabilities
(10,919
)
(23,584
)
Deferred revenue
(120
)
(12,787
)
Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities
13,026
(7,373
)
Investing activities
Purchases of property and equipment
(5,718
)
(7,190
)
Net cash used in investing activities
(5,718
)
(7,190
)
Financing activities
Proceeds from issuance of convertible notes
690,000
—
Purchase of capped calls
(44,436
)
—
Payment of debt issuance costs
(13,236
)
—
Repayments of convertible note
(641,691
)
(414,999
)
Proceeds from issuance of common stock from employee equity plans
21,611
25,998
Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities
12,248
(389,001
)
Effect of foreign exchange rate changes on cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash
4,197
(6,202
)
Increase (decrease) in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash
23,753
(409,766
)
Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, beginning of period
1,527,881
1,604,267
Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, end of period
$
1,551,634
$
Expand
About Non-GAAP Financial Measures
To supplement our consolidated financial statements prepared and presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (GAAP) we use certain non-GAAP financial measures, as described below, to evaluate our ongoing operations and for internal planning and forecasting purposes. We believe the following non-GAAP measures are useful in evaluating our operating performance. We are presenting these non-GAAP financial measures because we believe, when taken collectively, they may be helpful to investors because they provide consistency and comparability with past financial performance.
However, non-GAAP financial measures have limitations in their usefulness to investors because they have no standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and are not prepared under any comprehensive set of accounting rules or principles. In addition, other companies, including companies in our industry, may calculate similarly-titled non-GAAP financial measures differently or may use other measures to evaluate their performance, all of which could reduce the usefulness of our non-GAAP financial measures as tools for comparison. As a result, our non-GAAP financial measures are presented for supplemental informational purposes only and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for our consolidated financial statements presented in accordance with GAAP.
We define adjusted EBITDA as GAAP net income or loss excluding benefits or expenses associated with stock-based compensation, amortization of acquired intangible assets, depreciation, restructurings and reorganizations, interest, income tax, and other non-operating activities, which primarily consist of foreign exchange rate gains or losses. We define adjusted EBITDA margin as adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of revenue. We define adjusted gross profit as GAAP gross profit excluding expenses associated with stock-based compensation, amortization of acquired intangible assets, depreciation, and restructurings and reorganizations. We define adjusted gross margin as adjusted gross profit as a percentage of revenue.
We define adjusted cost of revenue as GAAP cost of revenue, excluding expenses associated with stock-based compensation, amortization of acquired intangible assets, depreciation, and restructurings and reorganizations. We define adjusted research and development expense as research and development expense, excluding expenses associated with stock-based compensation, amortization of acquired intangible assets, depreciation, and restructurings and reorganizations. We define adjusted sales and marketing expense as GAAP sales and marketing expense, excluding expenses associated with stock-based compensation, amortization of acquired intangible assets, depreciation, and restructurings and reorganizations. We define adjusted general and administrative expense as general and administrative expense excluding expenses associated with stock-based compensation, depreciation, and restructurings and reorganizations. We define free cash flow as net cash provided by (used in) operating activities less cash used for purchases of property and equipment.
We define adjusted EPS as net income or loss excluding benefits or expenses associated with stock-based compensation, amortization of acquired intangible assets, depreciation, restructurings and reorganizations, and the income tax impact of the preceding adjustments (cumulatively "adjusted net income"), increased by the tax effected impacts from any relevant dilutive securities, divided by the diluted weighted-average outstanding shares. The effective tax rate used in calculating adjusted EPS is estimated for each period, based on the net income or loss adjusted for the items noted above, and may differ from the effective rate used in our financial statements. Shares of common stock that are excluded in our calculation of GAAP diluted net loss per share due to their antidilutive impact on such calculations, are included in the diluted weighted average outstanding shares used in our calculation of adjusted EPS, to the extent they have a dilutive impact on adjusted EPS given the adjusted net income in each period.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This press release and the earnings call referencing this press release contain 'forward-looking statements,' as that term is defined under federal securities laws, including, but not limited to, statements regarding Unity's outlook and future financial performance, including: (i) Unity's ability to further enhance its platform, accelerate product innovation and enhance financial performance; (ii) expectations regarding Vector, including the impact on financial results, as well as expectations regarding Vector's improvements over time and Unity's ability to mature the product and operate it at scale; (iii) Unity's opportunities in the AR and VR gaming and entertainment market; (iv) expectations regarding revenue from non-strategic portfolio; and (v) Unity's financial guidance for the second quarter 2025.
The words 'aim,' 'believe,' 'may,' 'will,' 'estimate,' 'continue,' 'intend,' 'expect,' 'plan,' 'project,' and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions. If the risks materialize or assumptions prove incorrect, actual results could differ materially from the results implied by these forward-looking statements. Risks include, but are not limited to, those related to: (i) the impact of macroeconomic conditions, such as inflation, high interest rates, tariffs, sanctions and trade barriers, and limited credit availability which could further cause economic uncertainty and volatility; (ii) competition in the advertising market and Unity's ability to compete effectively; (iii) ongoing restrictions related to the gaming industry in China; (iv) ongoing geopolitical instability, particularly in Israel, where a significant portion of the Grow operations is located; (v) Unity's ability to recover or reengage its customers, or attract new customers; (vi) the impact of any decisions to change how Unity prices its products and services; (vii) Unity's ability to achieve and sustain profitability; (viii) Unity's ability to retain existing customers and expand the use of its platform; (ix) Unity's ability to further expand into new industries and attract new customers; (x) the impact of any changes of terms of service, policies or technical requirements from operating system platform providers or application stores which may result in changes to Unity or its customers' business practices; (xi) Unity's ability to maintain favorable relationships with hardware, operating system, device, game console and other technology providers; (xii) breaches in its security measures, unauthorized access to its platform, data, or its customers' or other users' personal data; (xiii) Unity's ability to manage growth effectively and manage costs effectively; (xiv) the rapidly changing and increasingly stringent laws, regulations, contractual obligations and industry standards that relate to privacy, data security and the protection of children; (xv) the effectiveness of the company reset; (xvi) Unity's ability to successfully transition executive leadership; (xvii) Unity's ability to adapt effectively to rapidly changing technology, evolving industry standards, changing regulations, or changing customer needs, requirements, or preferences; and (xviii) the effectiveness of Vector. Further information on these and additional risks that could affect our results is included in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including our Annual Report on Form 10-K, filed with the SEC on February 20, 2025 and our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, filed with the SEC on May 7, 2025, and our future reports that we may file with the SEC from time to time, which could cause actual results to vary from expectations. Copies of reports filed with the SEC are available on the Unity Investor Relations website. Statements herein speak only as of the date of this release, and Unity assumes no obligation to, and does not currently intend to, update any such forward-looking statements after the date of this release except as required by law.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
24 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Cava Shares Crash. Should Investors Buy the Stock on the Dip or Run for the Hills?
Key Points Cava shares sank after its same-store sales growth slowed. The company still has a long expansion runway, and therefore, plenty of growth potential for the stock. 10 stocks we like better than Cava Group › Shares of Cava Group (NYSE: CAVA) plunged after the Mediterranean-themed restaurant operator's same-store sales growth slowed in its fiscal second quarter (ended July 13), missing expectations. The stock is now down nearly 40% year to date as of this writing. Let's dive into the company's latest results and prospects to see if investors should buy the dip or steer clear of the stock. Same-store sales growth slows After reporting double-digit growth in comparable-restaurant sales (comps) each of the past four quarters, Cava's growth slowed considerably in its fiscal Q2. Comps edged up just 2.1% with guest traffic largely flat. That was well below the 6.1% increase that analysts were expecting, based on market intelligence site StreetAccount's estimates, and a big slowdown from recent quarters. Metric Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4 2024 Q1 2025 Q2 2005 Comps growth 14.4% 18.1% 21.2% 10.8% 2.1% Traffic 9.5% 12.9% 15.6% 7.5% -- Price and product mix 4.9% 5.2% 5.6% 3.3% 2.1% Data source: Cava Group. The company started the quarter strong, but once it lapped the introduction of its popular grilled steak a year ago, growth slowed. In response, Cava plans to push forward with more menu innovations, including the introduction of chicken shawarma in the coming weeks and cinnamon sugar pita chips. It said tests of chicken shawarma in select markets went well, and it expects the new item to help drive comps. Overall revenue for the quarter climbed 20% year over year to $278.2 million. It opened 16 new restaurants in the period, bringing its total to 398 locations, a nearly 17% increase compared to a year ago. It entered two new markets during the quarter, in Pittsburgh and Michigan. Management now plans to open between 68 to 70 new locations this fiscal year, up from a prior forecast of 64 to 68. Long term, management's goal is to reach at least 1,000 stores by 2032. Its restaurant-level margins (RLMs) came in at 26.3% in the quarter, down slightly from 26.5% a year ago. RLMs measure how profitable a chain's individual restaurants are before corporate costs, and they're an important restaurant industry metric. The company's RLMs just trail the 27.4% figure of Chipotle Mexican Grill despite having much lower scale than its larger rival. On the profitability front, Cava's adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) climbed 23% year over year to $42.1 million. The company also generated $98.9 million in operating cash flow in the quarter and free cash flow of $21.9 million. Management lowered its full-year comps outlook for the year, taking it from 6% to 8% growth down to a range of 4% to 6% growth. But it maintained its 2025 adjusted EBITDA outlook of $152 million to $159 million, and its RLM margin forecast of 24.8% to 25.2%. Should investors buy the dip? In hindsight, with the restaurant industry's comps growth slowing in general, combined with the lapping of the introduction of Cava's highly popular grilled steak, it may not be that big of a surprise to see the chain's comps growth slow dramatically. That said, it doesn't take away from the fact that Cava is still a highly popular concept. The company's biggest opportunity is still its ongoing expansion. With fewer than 400 locations, it has a long growth runway that it is able to self-fund. These are also highly productive stores with an impressive average unit volume of nearly $3 million and top-tier RLMs. Trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of nearly 123 and a forward price-to-sales ratio (P/S) of 7 based on 2025 analyst estimates, Cava stock is not cheap. However, if the company gets to 1,000 store locations in 2032, it could be generating close to $4.5 billion in revenue with consistent mid-single-digit comps growth. With Chipotle currently sporting a forward P/S ratio of 4.8, Cava stock has the potential to more than double over the next seven years if it were to trade at the same multiple that Chipotle does today. That's a strong outlook, and the restaurant chain could still expand beyond that point. As such, the stock's year-to-date slump does present an interesting opportunity. Long-term investors can consider taking a starter position in Cava now and add more shares on future dips. Should you invest $1,000 in Cava Group right now? Before you buy stock in Cava Group, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and Cava Group wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $668,155!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,106,071!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,070% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 184% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of August 13, 2025 Geoffrey Seiler has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Chipotle Mexican Grill. The Motley Fool recommends Cava Group and recommends the following options: short September 2025 $60 calls on Chipotle Mexican Grill. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Cava Shares Crash. Should Investors Buy the Stock on the Dip or Run for the Hills? was originally published by The Motley Fool Error while retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data
Yahoo
an hour ago
- Yahoo
This Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock Is Dirt Cheap Compared to Its Growth
Key Points Chip stocks have been some of the biggest beneficiaries throughout the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution. While companies like Nvidia and AMD fetch the most attention, they rely heavily on the foundry services of TSMC. Despite notable valuation expansion, Taiwan Semiconductor remains dirt cheap based on one overlooked metric. 10 stocks we like better than Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing › One stock that has consistently outperformed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite throughout the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution is the foundry and fabrication specialist Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE: TSM). While its share price has posted monster gains of 174% over the last three years, there's still a good argument to be made that TSMC (as it's known for short) remains attractively valued. Let's dig into the catalysts fueling such epic growth at TSMC and then assess some lesser-understood valuation techniques that may help investors see why the stock still looks attractive at its current price point. TSMC's growth is off the charts... Before diving into TSMC's financial profile, it's worth reviewing how the company fits into the broader AI picture. Companies such as Nvidia, Advanced Micro Devices, and Broadcom have enjoyed record growth over the last few years thanks to booming demand for their GPU clusters and data center networking equipment. At the same time, hyperscalers such as Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet have experienced surging growth across their integrated AI ecosystems -- including applications in cloud computing infrastructure, cybersecurity, workplace productivity software, and more. While rising capital expenditures represent strong tailwinds for GPU and custom ASIC businesses, the trend is arguably even more favorable for foundry services such as TSMC. Why is that? Simply put, it actually manufactures many of the chipsets and systems equipment sold by the companies referenced above. Budget increases for chips and infrastructure represent a hidden -- and often overlooked -- tailwind for TSMC, regardless of whose chips are in demand. TSMC's mission-critical fabrication solutions provide the company with significant pricing power. These dynamics can be seen from the financial profile above, underscored by the company's steepening revenue growth trend in parallel with improving gross profit margins. ... and it appears it can sustain this growth One of the interesting aspects of TSMC's investor materials is that the company publishes revenue growth reports on a monthly basis rather than solely in a quarterly report. In the table below, I've summarized the company's monthly revenue growth throughout 2025: Category January February March April May June July Revenue growth YoY 35.9% 43.1% 46.5% 48.1% 39.6% 26.9% 25.8% Data source: TSMC Investor Relations. During the second quarter, TSMC generated $30 billion in sales thanks to continued demand for highly coveted 5nm and 3nm chip nodes. Revenue growth seems to have stalled a bit in June and July, but I do not see this as a long-term trend. Keep in mind that new GPU architectures such as Nvidia's Blackwell and AMD's MI350 and MI400 series are still in early stages of rollout and development. As infrastructure spending continues to accelerate across the AI landscape, TSMC is in position to benefit from such robust secular themes. Why I think TSMC stock is dirt cheap Common valuation methodologies often include ratios such as price-to-sales (P/S) or price-to-earnings (P/E). These metrics can be helpful when benchmarking a company against a set of peers, but they can be misleading when these ratios begin to expand meaningfully. For example, if you take a look at the chart below, you'll notice that TSMC's P/S and P/E multiples have risen throughout the AI revolution. Such a degree of valuation expansion might lead investors to believe that the stock is overbought and has become pricey. While such logic has merit, it does not always apply. A more nuanced way to value the chipmaker is by using its price/earnings-to-growth ratio (PEG), a metric popularized by legendary fund manager Peter Lynch. Essentially, it accounts for the P/E ratio as well as the earnings growth over a period of time. A good rule of thumb is that a PEG ratio below 1.0 signals that the stock is undervalued. Per the chart above, the stock has a PEG ratio based on next year's earnings of 0.6. I think the PEG ratio compression illustrated above can be attributed to a few factors. Wall Street's bullish view calls for the anticipation of accelerating earnings from TSMC supported by ongoing AI infrastructure spend. However, increased earnings revisions are likely outpacing appreciation in Taiwan Semi stock -- basically normalizing the company's PEG ratio without a sell-off as the primary driver. In addition, I think the market might be underpricing TSMC due to broader macro uncertainty surrounding geopolitical tensions with China or general cyclicality of the chip market. The combination of PEG ratio compression and a robust financial outlook could make the stock a textbook candidate for investors seeking growth at a reasonable price. To me, the stock is dirt cheap at its current price point relative to its growth. Investors with a long-term time horizon may want to take advantage of this rare opportunity to own a chip stock positioned to ride and dominate the AI infrastructure wave. While many semiconductor and AI stocks continue to trade at a premium, TSMC appears to be an undervalued opportunity anchored amid a sea of frothy valuations. Should you invest $1,000 in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing right now? Before you buy stock in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $663,630!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,115,695!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,071% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 185% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of August 13, 2025 Adam Spatacco has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock Is Dirt Cheap Compared to Its Growth was originally published by The Motley Fool
Yahoo
2 hours ago
- Yahoo
Is Amcor plc (NYSE:AMCR) Trading At A 44% Discount?
Explore Amcor's Fair Values from the Community and select yours Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Amcor fair value estimate is US$15.55 Amcor's US$8.73 share price signals that it might be 44% undervalued Analyst price target for AMCR is US$11.04 which is 29% below our fair value estimate Today we will run through one way of estimating the intrinsic value of Amcor plc (NYSE:AMCR) by taking the expected future cash flows and discounting them to today's value. We will use the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model on this occasion. Believe it or not, it's not too difficult to follow, as you'll see from our example! We would caution that there are many ways of valuing a company and, like the DCF, each technique has advantages and disadvantages in certain scenarios. If you want to learn more about discounted cash flow, the rationale behind this calculation can be read in detail in the Simply Wall St analysis model. This technology could replace computers: discover the 20 stocks are working to make quantum computing a reality. What's The Estimated Valuation? We use what is known as a 2-stage model, which simply means we have two different periods of growth rates for the company's cash flows. Generally the first stage is higher growth, and the second stage is a lower growth phase. To start off with, we need to estimate the next ten years of cash flows. Where possible we use analyst estimates, but when these aren't available we extrapolate the previous free cash flow (FCF) from the last estimate or reported value. We assume companies with shrinking free cash flow will slow their rate of shrinkage, and that companies with growing free cash flow will see their growth rate slow, over this period. We do this to reflect that growth tends to slow more in the early years than it does in later years. A DCF is all about the idea that a dollar in the future is less valuable than a dollar today, so we need to discount the sum of these future cash flows to arrive at a present value estimate: 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 Levered FCF ($, Millions) US$1.69b US$2.05b US$1.90b US$1.82b US$1.79b US$1.78b US$1.79b US$1.82b US$1.85b US$1.89b Growth Rate Estimate Source Analyst x6 Analyst x7 Analyst x1 Est @ -3.96% Est @ -1.85% Est @ -0.37% Est @ 0.66% Est @ 1.39% Est @ 1.90% Est @ 2.25% Present Value ($, Millions) Discounted @ 7.3% US$1.6k US$1.8k US$1.5k US$1.4k US$1.3k US$1.2k US$1.1k US$1.0k US$984 US$938 ("Est" = FCF growth rate estimated by Simply Wall St)Present Value of 10-year Cash Flow (PVCF) = US$13b After calculating the present value of future cash flows in the initial 10-year period, we need to calculate the Terminal Value, which accounts for all future cash flows beyond the first stage. The Gordon Growth formula is used to calculate Terminal Value at a future annual growth rate equal to the 5-year average of the 10-year government bond yield of 3.1%. We discount the terminal cash flows to today's value at a cost of equity of 7.3%. Terminal Value (TV)= FCF2035 × (1 + g) ÷ (r – g) = US$1.9b× (1 + 3.1%) ÷ (7.3%– 3.1%) = US$47b Present Value of Terminal Value (PVTV)= TV / (1 + r)10= US$47b÷ ( 1 + 7.3%)10= US$23b The total value, or equity value, is then the sum of the present value of the future cash flows, which in this case is US$36b. To get the intrinsic value per share, we divide this by the total number of shares outstanding. Relative to the current share price of US$8.7, the company appears quite good value at a 44% discount to where the stock price trades currently. Valuations are imprecise instruments though, rather like a telescope - move a few degrees and end up in a different galaxy. Do keep this in mind. Important Assumptions The calculation above is very dependent on two assumptions. The first is the discount rate and the other is the cash flows. If you don't agree with these result, have a go at the calculation yourself and play with the assumptions. The DCF also does not consider the possible cyclicality of an industry, or a company's future capital requirements, so it does not give a full picture of a company's potential performance. Given that we are looking at Amcor as potential shareholders, the cost of equity is used as the discount rate, rather than the cost of capital (or weighted average cost of capital, WACC) which accounts for debt. In this calculation we've used 7.3%, which is based on a levered beta of 0.995. Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility, compared to the market as a whole. We get our beta from the industry average beta of globally comparable companies, with an imposed limit between 0.8 and 2.0, which is a reasonable range for a stable business. Check out our latest analysis for Amcor SWOT Analysis for Amcor Strength Debt is well covered by earnings. Dividend is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the market. Weakness Earnings declined over the past year. Shareholders have been diluted in the past year. Opportunity Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the American market. Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%. Threat Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Dividends are not covered by earnings and cashflows. Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year. Looking Ahead: Whilst important, the DCF calculation is only one of many factors that you need to assess for a company. It's not possible to obtain a foolproof valuation with a DCF model. Rather it should be seen as a guide to "what assumptions need to be true for this stock to be under/overvalued?" For example, changes in the company's cost of equity or the risk free rate can significantly impact the valuation. Why is the intrinsic value higher than the current share price? For Amcor, there are three further factors you should consider: Risks: To that end, you should learn about the 5 warning signs we've spotted with Amcor (including 3 which are significant) . Future Earnings: How does AMCR's growth rate compare to its peers and the wider market? Dig deeper into the analyst consensus number for the upcoming years by interacting with our free analyst growth expectation chart. Other Solid Businesses: Low debt, high returns on equity and good past performance are fundamental to a strong business. Why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals to see if there are other companies you may not have considered! PS. The Simply Wall St app conducts a discounted cash flow valuation for every stock on the NYSE every day. If you want to find the calculation for other stocks just search here. Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data