Cork-based pharma consultancy plans to double headcount amid tariff uncertainty
• How one Irish consultancy is preparing to grow despite Donald Trump's latest tariff threats
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Irish Times
6 minutes ago
- Irish Times
EU and US agree tariff deal after months of fractious talks
The European Union and United States have agreed a deal that will lock in tariffs on most EU imports to the US, but prevent the prospect of an economically devastating trade war, sources said on Sunday evening. The final terms were worked out during a meeting between European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen and US president Donald Trump at his Turnberry golf resort in Scotland. The EU hopes the deal will draw a line under months of uncertainty, shifting deadlines and threats from Mr Trump, which have defined the fractious trade negotiations. Speaking before the meeting on Sunday, Mr Trump indicated pharmaceuticals might not be covered by the terms of any agreement, signalling coming tariffs on the sector. 'We have to have them made in the United States, we want them made in the United States ... We can't be in a position where we're relying on other countries,' he said. Mr Trump flew to Scotland on Friday night and was then seen playing golf at his Turnberry resort on Saturday and again on Sunday. Ms von der Leyen, head of the EU executive that has been negotiating with the Trump administration, was pushing to get a preliminary deal on tariffs over the line after months of talks. Speaking to reporters before the start of the meeting on Sunday afternoon, Mr Trump said there were three or four 'sticking points' between the parties. 'I think the main sticking point is fairness,' he said. Mr Trump said he felt Europe needed to open up its market to American agricultural products, a nod to EU rules that ban chlorine-washed chicken or hormone-treated beef. 'They have to open to American products,' he said. 'We do a deal today with the European Union that will be the end of it, we'll go a number of years before we have to discuss it again.' Mr von der Leyen, who described Mr Trump as a 'tough negotiator' and deal maker, said: 'I think the president is right, we have a 50-50 per cent chance to strike a deal.' Negotiators had been working towards an agreement that would see the EU accept blanket tariffs of 15 per cent on future trade with the US. European governments appeared resigned to stomaching that level of tariffs on future trade in order to end the uncertainty Mr Trump's threat of potentially much higher import levies has created in the European economy, or a possible US-EU trade war if no deal was agreed. The EU believed a deal was close to being done for the last number of days, pending final sign-off from Mr Trump. The commission briefed ambassadors from the EU's 27 states on Sunday, giving diplomats an update on where talks stood before Ms von der Leyen and Mr Trump sat down together. US commerce secretary Howard Lutnick travelled from Washington to Scotland on Saturday, with EU trade commissioner Maros Sefcovic flying in from Brussels. Senior commission figures were in contact with officials from the Japanese government over the weekend in order to gauge how the very final stages of their negotiations played out behind the scenes as a US tariff deal was agreed last week. That agreement saw Japan accept 15 per cent tariffs on its products sold to the US. Cars produced in the EU and sold in the US have faced 25 per cent import duties, while steel and aluminium products have been charged twice that amount. US president Donald Trump playing a round of golf at his Turnberry golf resort in Scotland on Sunday. Photograph:A 10 per cent tariff has applied to nearly all trade since the start of April, with two sectors, pharmaceuticals and computer chips, exempt from those measures. Mr Trump has promised to introduce steeper tariffs targeting pharma and semiconductors later. The EU is hoping to secure commitments that future tariffs on pharma, and existing rates on cars, would be capped at 15 per cent. Mr Trump has said the US will impose tariffs of 30 per cent on practically all imports from the EU from August 1st in the event no agreement is reached. In such a scenario the EU has said it will hit back with its own 30 per cent tariffs on €93 billion of US trade. France, Germany and many other EU states are prepared to back the EU opening an investigation to determine if it is facing economic coercion, allowing the bloc to turn to emergency powers in an escalating trade war. The EU's anti-coercion instrument, known as the 'big bazooka', would allow the union to restrict the European operations of US multinationals and tech giants, and introduce export controls on transatlantic trade. Meanwhile, EU commissioner Michael McGrath has said that the European Union is 'aggressively extending' its network of international trade agreements, having recently concluded deals with Mexico, Switzerland, Indonesia and the Mercosur South American trade bloc. He said that the meeting between Mr Trump and the president of the European Commission is a 'significant and decisive moment', with hopes for a tariff deal. The EU is also in trade negotiations with India, Thailand, the Philippines and the UAE as the escalating trade war between Washington and the European bloc continues, Mr McGrath, the EU commissioner for justice and consumer protection, said. The EU's objective is to reach a 'comprehensive final settlement' on all outstanding trade issues, including pharmaceuticals, Mr McGrath told RTÉ's This Week radio programme on Sunday. The 'ideal scenario' would be agreement on a 'zero-for-zero deal' on a range of goods, he added. However, if the US pushes ahead with its threatened 30 per cent tariffs on EU goods, the EU is ready with counter-tariffs on €93 billion worth of US exports, he said. 'The terms of trade that we had up to just six months ago are no longer available. The world has changed, and we have had major disruption to the system of global trade. We have to recognise the reality.' Asked to comment on the rapidly deteriorating humanitarian and starvation crisis in Gaza, and the EU's reluctance to place sanctions on Israel, Mr McGrath said the EU was doing 'all that it possibly can to achieve progress on the ground' within its 'limited mandate'. Unfortunately the EU 'does not speak with one voice on this issue', he said. Police snipers are positioned on the roof of the Trump Turnberry hotel during US president Donald Trump's visit in Turnberry, Scotland. Photograph: Getty Images Hundreds of protesters gathered in both Edinburgh and Aberdeen for demonstrations against Mr Trump's visit, organised by the Stop Trump Coalition. Mr Trump has said there was a 50-50 chance that the US and the 27-member European Union could reach a framework trade pact, adding that Brussels wanted to 'make a deal very badly'. - Additional reporting Reuters and PA
Irish Examiner
2 hours ago
- Irish Examiner
Jim Power: Budget countdown begins with big promises
The publication of the summer economic statement has set the budgetary process in motion, and the destination will be reached in early October. The two relevant ministers have outlined a budget package of €9.4bn, with a net tax package of €1.5bn, and an expenditure package of €7.9bn. This expenditure package will be comprised of current expenditure increases of €5.9bn or almost 75% of the total; and capital spending of €2bn or just over 25% of the total. Proposed Vat cut On the tax side, the Government has given a commitment to reduce the Vat rate for part of the hospitality sector — the food element — to 9% and this would cost around €580m in foregone taxes. If this is delivered and applies from January 1 next, it means that effectively less than €1bn would be available for personal tax changes. To put this in context, it is estimated that a 1% indexation of the employee tax credit would cost around €230m in a full year, so to index for projected inflation in 2026 would cost somewhere in the region of €460m; or a 1% decrease in the 40% tax rate would cost around €540m. If the government delivers the Vat cut from the beginning of 2026, which it has committed to, the tax package will be small. So not surprisingly, there are suggestions that the cut might be delayed until July, thereby significantly reducing the cost in 2026. If this transpires, the hospitality sector would have every right to be aggrieved. Restaurants and food businesses are the most crucial element of our tourism product, and many businesses are struggling to stay afloat. Inflation Data released by the CSO last week show that in 2024, Irish food prices are the third highest in the EU-27 and are 12% above the EU average. In the year to May, agricultural output prices increased by 20.7%, with cattle prices up by 48%. These prices obviously feed into restaurant input costs, but the pressures are compounded by labour costs, insurance, water charges, commercial rates etc. I am a supporter of the reduced Vat rate, and I think it is now more appropriate to provide some limited support to a key employer of people all over the country, and a vital part of the tourism offering, rather than to pump money through excessive expenditure into an economy that is still doing quite well. Does the Irish economic cycle need a continuation of out-of-control current expenditure now? I think not. Even if the Vat cut is pushed out, the extent of the easing of the personal tax burden will be miniscule. We should have learned from the past We should have learned our lessons from the pro-cyclical policies of the past. The summer economic statement projects planned expenditure of €108.7bn this year, which is €3.3bn higher than planned in Budget 2025, and it is likely to turn out even higher than this latest projection. Not surprisingly, the Irish Fiscal Advisory Council is not happy and has justifiably accused the Government of 'poor planning and budgeting.' Obviously, the ability of the two ministers to deliver the proposed budgetary package, and indeed to deliver the ambitious, but detail lacking, revised National Development Plan, will be heavily contingent on the future performance of the economy, and especially the actions of Donald Trump. Downward creep in projections There is not a lot of detail in relation to economic assumptions in the summer economic statement, but it is interesting to note that for 2025 the Department of Finance is projecting growth of 2% in modified domestic demand (MDD), down from 2.5% in April, and 2.9% in Budget 2025 last October. For 2026, MDD is projected to grow by 1.8%, down from 2.8% in April, and 3% in Budget 2025. There is downward creep occurring in Ireland's economic projections, which seems logical in the context of Trump-induced uncertainty. In relation to the National Development Plan, it is quite amazing that we must await detail on the projected spend until close to budget time. What in the name of God has been happening since January? The aspirations outlined in the revised plan — such as energy, water, housing, transport infrastructure, and climate change — are difficult to argue with, but delivery on time and on budget will be essential. One hopes there will be greater control, transparency and accountability in relation to National Development Plan delivery than we have seen with major infrastructure projects such as the children's hospital and the infamous bicycle shed.
The Irish Sun
3 hours ago
- The Irish Sun
The incredible €3.7million home in Dublin City centre with indoor pool, spacious rooms and huge kitchen among perks
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