Tariffs aren't good news but it could have been much worse
Fundamentally, tariffs are negative for trade.
The US is a significant export market for Ireland, and many sectors now face duties of 15% which did not exist last year.
The biggest issue is pharmaceuticals, which are the largest Irish export to the US, valued at €44bn in 2024.
In recent months US President Donald Trump had threatened enormous duties on drugs imported by America.
He had ordered a national security investigation of the pharmaceutical sector.
Last night, Tánaiste Simon Harris said his understanding was that after the investigation concludes the maximum tariff which could be imposed would be 15%.
So, while the threat of more damaging duties is averted, pharmaceuticals made in Ireland may well face 15% tariffs in future, up from zero at present.
Another key sector for Ireland is the manufacture of computer chips.
Like pharmaceuticals it has been subject to a separate investigation by the Trump administration and faced the possibility of punitive tariffs, but it too could face a 15% tariff after the investigation ends.
Last night, European Commission President Ursula Von Der Leyen said there was no decision yet regarding spirits exported to the US.
This is critically important to Ireland's whiskey industry which has already seen several recent closures.
There had been speculation that sector could have been part of a zero-for-zero tariff arrangement, but that is not yet agreed.
Another important area for Ireland is aircraft leasing.
Ms Von Der Leyen said last night that aviation would be part of a tariff-free arrangement.
For other EU countries the massive duty of 27.5% which was imposed on European cars now falls to 15%.
Some existing tariffs will be folded into that baseline 15%, meaning it would be an all-in tariff.
For example, it is expected to include the existing "most favoured nation" duties of 4.8% which exist currently under World Trade Organization rules.
The fact there is a deal at all avoids the threat of a prolonged tit-for-tat trade war.
It means businesses can plan, investments can be made, and job-creating projects can proceed.
But exporters are already seeking Government support as they navigate the new reality of the Trump administration's tariffs.
The EU-US agreement is not a trade deal in the usual sense.
Normally these pacts are negotiated over years and culminate in a document running to hundreds of pages.
What was announced yesterday was the framework of a deal with much detail yet to be finalised. Yesterday wasn't the end of the negotiations, but it was a milestone.
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2 hours ago
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Apprentice training schemes mentioned in the revised NDP are of course welcome, however, in the immediate term availability of trained personnel is not the problem. Recent lay-offs by indigenous companies points to this with others stating they are operating well below capacity. Reduced local authority levies and other costs within the State's control would be more effective, particularly in the short-term. The cost of building is also having a damaging impact on further vitally-needed supply. Dublin is the second most expensive city in Europe to build apartments with the cost of delivering a two-bed apartment around €600k in Dublin, and €460k to deliver a three-bed house. Ireland now has the second highest proportionate housing expenditure in the EU. Several Government initiatives have been introduced to address these costs including the Croi Conaithe Cities Scheme, First Home Equity Scheme, and the Help to Buy scheme among others. However, these demand-side subsidies have not had the desired impact and therefore need to be enhanced including a recalibration of the caps set for the First Home Equity and the Help to Buy Schemes, respectively, and allowing the payment support of the Croi Conaithe Cities scheme to be made upfront. Garry Keegan: 'The National Development Plan's revised aspiration of 300,000 new homes over the next five years will only be achieved if radical steps are taken.' The recently announced reduction in the minimum size requirement for apartments and other deregulations to increase the number of allowable units per core proves that the Custom House is listening to expert and experienced advice from the construction industry. More needs to be done to reduce the gap between construction costs and what can be achieved in the open market. By adopting the same collective approach as has been done in the recent past to address the most pertinent issue facing the State, only then will this current crisis be averted. Dr Garry Keegan is a former Dublin City councillor, former ESB board member and recently published Infrastructure Projects and Local Communities . He has worked on infrastructure and housing development projects over the past three decades.
