Toronto Blue Jays at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions
Toronto Blue Jays at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions
The Toronto Blue Jays (35-30) and the St. Louis Cardinals (36-29) open a 3-game set Monday. First pitch from Busch Stadium in St. Louis is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's MLB odds around the Blue Jays vs. Cardinals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Cardinals swept 3-0 last year
The Blue Jays took 2 of 3 games at the Minnesota Twins, but fell short of a sweep with a 6-3 loss in Sunday's finale, failing to cash as +163 underdogs while the Over (8.5) hit. DH George Springer gave Toronto a brief 3-2 lead with an RBI double in the third, but Twins 3B Brooks Lee and C Christian Vázquez responded with back-to-back homers off SP Bowden Francis in the fourth, putting Minnesota ahead for good.
The Cardinals are also coming off a 2-1 series win, taking 2 of 3 games at home from the LA Dodgers. Like Toronto, they came up short of a sweep, falling 7-3 as +117 underdogs Sunday with the Over (9.5) cashing. St. Louis pitching allowed just 1 run combined over the first 2 games, but SP Michael McGreevy was touched up for 4 ER on 8 hits across 6 innings in the loss, striking out 5 without issuing a walk.
Blue Jays at Cardinals projected starters
RHP José Berríos vs. RHP Andre Pallante
Berríos (2-2, 3.67 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 76 innings.
Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 2-1 home victory vs. Philadelphia Phillies Wednesday
2025 road stats: 1-1, 3.07 ERA (29 1/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 in 5 starts
Career vs. Cardinals: 3-0, 3.16 ERA (31 1/3 IP, 11 ER), 0.93 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 in 5 starts, including 1-0 with 1.29 ERA in 1 start last year
Pallante (4-3, 4.91 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.0 K/9 through 66 innings.
Last start: No-decision, 4 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 0 BB, 2 K in 10-7 home defeat vs. Kansas City Royals Tuesday
2025 home stats: 2-1, 5.68 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.50 WHIP, 4.6 K/9 in 5 starts
Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-0, 5.40 ERA (6 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 10 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 1 start and 3 relief appearances
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Blue Jays at Cardinals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:04 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML) : Blue Jays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Cardinals -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
: Blue Jays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Cardinals -115 (bet $115 to win $100) Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Blue Jays -1.5 (+155) | Cardinals +1.5 (-190)
: Blue Jays -1.5 (+155) | Cardinals +1.5 (-190) Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Blue Jays at Cardinals picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 5, Cardinals 4
TORONTO (-105) has won each of Berríos' last 2 starts, with the right-hander allowing just 1 run combined across those outings. Berríos has held opponents to 2 earned runs or fewer in 6 of his last 8 starts. On the other side, Pallante has struggled, giving up 3 or more runs in 3 consecutive appearances -- including a rough outing Tuesday against Kansas City, when he was tagged for 7 earned runs.
BET BLUE JAYS (-105).
The Cardinals are too expensive to take at +1.5 (-190), while the Blue Jays have only won by multiple runs in 2 of their last 6 games.
PASS on the run line.
The Over is 9-1 in Toronto's last 10 games and 8-3 in St. Louis' last 11. Three of Pallante's last 4 starts -- including each of his last 2 -- have also gone Over.
BET OVER 8.5 (-110).
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