Best Timberwolves vs. Warriors Player Props, ATS Bets: Wolves Seek 3-1 Lead
Julius Randle and the Timberwolves are coming off a 102-97 win in Game 3 and seeking to take a 3-1 lead in Game 4 of their matchup vs. the Warriors tonight.
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources.
Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content.
With Stephen Curry out of the lineup for the Warriors (7), their defense has played well enough to keep two of their first three Western Conference Semifinal games vs. the Wolves (6) close.
But despite entering the fourth quarter of Game 3 with a 73-69 lead on Saturday night, the Warriors struggled to get stops down the stretch, especially over the final 4:38 after Draymond Green left the game following his sixth foul.
The Warriors were able to keep Game 3 close thanks to Jimmy Butler III (33 points, 7 rebounds, 7 assists) and Jonathan Kuminga (30 points, 6 rebounds, 3 assists), but they'll need much more offensively from Brandin Podziemski and Draymond Green, who combined for 7 points in Game 3, to even the series tonight.
Wolves vs. Warriors Game 4 Betting Odds
DK FD bet365 MIN spread -5.5 (-110) -5 (-112) -5 (-110) GSW spread +5.5 (-110) +5 (-108) +5 (-110) MIN ML -225 -210 -220 GSW ML +185 +176 +180 Total 199.5 (o-110; u-110) 200.5 (o-112; u-108) 200.5 (o-110; u-110)
How to Watch Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game 4
Tipoff: 10 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN
Timberwolves vs. Warriors Series Winner Odds (as of May 12)
DraftKings : MIN -800; GSW +550
: MIN -800; GSW +550 FanDuel: MIN -900; GSW +610
Wolves vs. Warriors Game 4 Player Props
Jonathan Kuminga Over 17.5 Points (-110 at DraftKings) -- 1 unit
The Western Conference Semifinals went sideways for the Warriors before halftime of Game 1, as Stephen Curry left the series opener in the second quarter (even though they ended up winning that game anyway).
With Curry out of the lineup due to his hamstring injury and Golden State now holding longer than 5-to-1 odds to advance, Kuminga's play has been by far the biggest positive development for the Curry-less Warriors.
The up-and-down fourth-year forward was out of the rotation for most of the first-round series between the Warriors and Rockets. He was huge for Golden State in Game 3, though, with 30 points in 35 minutes. He also finished that game as the only Warrior with a positive plus-minus, at +5, which all but guarantees him another heavy workload in Game 4.
Based on his usage rate of 25 percent or greater in all three games in this series -- including 28.8 in Game 3 -- Kuminga should once again have the ball in his hands a ton tonight. If his usage rate is 25 percent or higher, again, in extended minutes, another 20-point night should be well within reach.
So, in addition to taking Kuminga to go over 17.5 points, also consider Kuminga 20+ points. This prop is particularly tempting at +146 at FanDuel given that DraftKings lists it at +100 as of Monday afternoon.
Wolves vs. Warriors Game 4 Pick, Best Bets
We wrote before Game 3 that it didn't feel like this version of the Warriors could score enough to take down the Wolves. That nearly backfired after Butler and Kuminga came out hot.
But Minnesota, which has made a habit of finishing strong in the playoffs, outscored Golden State 33-24 to go up 2-1.
The Timberwolves have now won the fourth quarter in all of their playoff games, and they've done so by a margin of at least six in seven of their eight postseason contests to date. The Wolves outscored the Lakers in the fourth quarter by a total of 42 points across five games, and they've outscored the Warriors by 22 total points through three games, as detailed below:
Game 1: MIN 28, GSW 19 (+9)
Game 2: MIN 32, GSW 28 (+4)
Game 3: MIN 33, GSW 24 (+9)
With Golden State leaning heavily on veterans Butler and Draymond Green, I expect the Wolves to once again own the fourth quarter tonight. That should allow them to cover this spread, even if it's tight (and/or the Warriors are ahead) entering the fourth.
And if you're wondering whether it's possible to take an alt spread for a particular quarter, I have great news for you: MIN 4th Quarter -3.5 is available at +157 at DraftKings.
Wolves vs. Warriors Game 4 Best Bets:
Wolves -5.5 (-110 at bet365) -- 1 unit
Wolves 4th Quarter Alt Spread -3.5 (+157 at DK) -- 0.5 units
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