What to Watch: Fresh from Martinsville win, Denny Hamlin aims to double up at Darlington

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05-04-2025

Track: Darlington Raceway
Location: Darlington, South Carolina
Track length: 1.366 miles
When: Sunday, 3 p.m. ET
Where to tune in: FS1, MRN Radio, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio
Race purse: $11,055,250
Race distance: 293 laps | 400.2 miles
Stages: 90 | 185 | 293
Defending winner: Brad Keselowski, May 2024
Starting lineup: William Byron seals Busch Light Pole
Time for 2-for-2 for Hamlin?
Denny Hamlin has some momentum on his side, and the forward progress is well-timed. On the heels of his first NASCAR Cup Series victory of the season last weekend, this week's stop at Darlington Raceway provides another welcome opportunity.
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Hamlin possesses plenty of positive indicators heading into Sunday's Goodyear 400 (3 p.m. ET, FS1, MRN Radio, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio) at venerable Darlington, where he's a four-time Cup Series winner. The 44-year-old dominated like the days of old last Sunday at Martinsville Speedway, leading 274 of the 400 laps and collecting his sixth grandfather clock trophy. This week's venue is another stronghold for the Joe Gibbs Racing veteran, and he's predicted to be atop the heap in Racing Insights' full-field projections.
'I think last week was a great week for the team, no doubt about it,' Hamlin said. 'To get a win early, just to start to get some playoff bonus points, that's always a great thing. When we come here, absolutely. I know what I need out of the car. I'll know within the first few laps of practice whether it's got the 'it' that it needs to be good and if not, we'll go to work on it. But the confidence I have is knowing exactly what I need at this track. I know how to enter the corner; I know how to exit it. I know how much gas and brake to apply to make good speed here. It's just a matter of whether the car's working directly on that day and if it isn't, we can get it pretty close usually.'
MORE: Cup Series standings | Full 2025 schedule
Hamlin will start third in the 38-car field after putting his No. 11 Toyota on the second row in Saturday's Busch Light Pole Qualifying. He'll start behind polesitter William Byron, a Darlington winner in the spring of 2023, and a resurgent Ryan Preece, who continues to make the most of his first campaign with RFK Racing. Joe Gibbs Racing has already had one driver go on a tear this year, with Christopher Bell reeling off three consecutive wins spanning Atlanta, Circuit of The Americas and Phoenix. Hamlin could be the next with back-to-back success.
The No. 11 Toyota of Denny Hamlin speeds along the front straight at Darlington Raceway
Hamlin has led laps in 19 of his 25 career Cup Series starts at Darlington, including a string of the last 10, and he's been a top-five finisher here 52% of the time with an all-time best average finish of 8.2. Three of his Darlington wins — including his most recent in 2021 — were in the longer 500-mile classic, the Southern 500, but he's not selling this weekend's 400-miler short in terms of its punishing nature.
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'Even though this is a 400, it's still grueling,' Hamlin says. 'I think Darlington is by far one of the most grueling race tracks that you go to simply because it's going to be a warm one this weekend. It's going to be mentally taxing knowing that you have to hit your marks just perfect at this track and then, just knowing the mental side of it, you have 35 other guys out there that don't want to let you win.'
MORE: Full Saturday recap
From atop the pit box …
What do crew chiefs and pit crews have in focus to win Sunday's race?
Pit-stop strategy for teams at Darlington doesn't lend itself to experimentation or alternate gambits. With the tendency for rapid tire wear on the gritty 1.366-mile track, the call for crew chiefs is virtually always for fresh Goodyear rubber at all four corners of the car.
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Sunday's springtime edition at Darlington is 100 miles shorter than the 500-mile Labor Day classic, and the stages are split into near-even thirds. The timing of the pit stops may be a variable, but the type of pit-crew service should be a constant.
'You know when you pit here, you're going to come down and get four tires, every opportunity you get,' Randall Burnett, crew chief of Richard Childress Racing's No. 8 Chevrolet for Kyle Busch, told NASCAR.com. 'Last year was real unique. You had a couple back-to-back cautions there in the fall race where it was only a lap or two on tires. Some guys stayed out, but that lap or two made a difference. We came and pitted and put some tires on and were able to make up some spots just by a couple-lap different gain on tires there. So, yeah, tires are such a crucial thing here. It's gonna be really hot tomorrow, which is gonna make them even more valuable. So, yeah, you just do four tires here.
'How you break up the stages is a little unique. A lot of guys will short-pit and then try to run the second half of a stage longer. Some guys will run it to halfway and split it perfectly, so you've got the same amount of laps on your tires and try to use your tires equally. So there's a lot of different bearing strategies. It kind of depends on your pace and your fall-off and all that.'
A 100-year commemoration of the Goodyear Blimp is on the sidewalls for this weekend\
When drivers do come to pit, the track's demanding 'Too Tough to Tame' reputation also extends beyond the hard-edged racing surface down to a particularly tricky pit road. Pit entry is a difficult task, with drivers needing to slow their cars' momentum and navigate the wide apron to reach pit lane. It's a gritty area of the track, and pit road also has those same slick, sandy characteristics — especially as the weather turns warmer during the heat of the afternoon.
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MORE: Darlington Stripes through the years | Power Rankings
So while there might not be much guesswork with four-tire stops being the norm, the premium on precision in trying to change all four quickly is high.
'I think for us, it's always a big race for the pit crews, obviously, because you know what you've got in front of you — you're going to do four tires,' says Chris Burkey, Joe Gibbs Racing athletic director and a former pit-crew coach. 'There's really no strategy. Very rarely are you going to do the two-tire or fuel only. You're going to come down here and it's a man's race, not only on the track, but for us. And we really look forward to races like this, because you're going to do seven to eight pit stops this weekend. It's 100 miles shorter than the one in the fall when you're going to do 10 to 15 pit stops, right? But you know what you've got this week, and we really focus in on just doing four-tire pit stops.
'Man, if you can come out of here feeling good about what you did on pit road, you probably finished pretty well on the track, but we always look forward to Darlington. We always circle Darlington because it's really a man's race for us.'
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Pit-stall selection — the reward for a solid qualifying lap — stands out as another key. Burkey said choosing a stall closer to the exit in Turn 1 is preferable, but that the spots to avoid are further toward the entrance at Turn 4. A section of six stalls in that area have a slight curvature to the wall, plus another barrier that juts out before teams make their way down the rest of pit road.
'Those are the more challenging ones,' says Burkey, who describes those half-dozen stalls as 'an island.' 'Obviously, we want our guys to qualify well, so we can get up toward the front and be on that frontstretch there. It's pretty straightforward if you're down there, but if you're down on that Turn 4 exit there, they can be challenging.'
The 23XI Racing pit crew for Bubba Wallace\
RELATED: See where drivers will pit for Sunday's race
History tells us …
Expect a veteran presence up front. According to Racing Insights, every Darlington winner since 2006 has had a minimum of 100 career Cup Series starts. That was the case with both of last year's Darlington victors — Brad Keselowski, who turned his 534th Cup Series start into his 36th win, and Chase Briscoe, who prevailed in the Southern 500 in Cup start No. 134 for his second premier-series victory.
He may not be the favorite to win, but watch out for …
ERIK JONES. The Legacy Motor Club driver currently sits 29th in the early Cup Series standings, but his racing acumen at Darlington is among the circuit's best. Two of Jones' three Cup Series wins have come at Darlington (2019, 2022), and the track ranks tied for his best in top fives and top 10s and second-best in average finish (12.8). The 28-year-old driver has gone 86 starts since his last win, but Darlington has traditionally been one of his strong suits.
Fantasy update
NASCAR Fantasy Live expert Dustin Albino provides insight for your Sunday lineup.
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Like Martinsville last week, Darlington is among the toughest tracks for building the best fantasy lineup because of the changing track conditions throughout practice. However, a few cars stood out, particularly Ryan Blaney who had the fastest car on 20-, 25- and 30-lap averages by nearly a tenth of a second on fellow competitors that made an extended run. Ryan Preece and Kyle Busch also performed well over the long haul, which Darlington is known for having. My only lineup changes this week are dropping Chris Buescher in favor of Busch and flipping William Byron to outrun Denny Hamlin in the featured matchups.
Lineup: William Byron, Denny Hamlin, Chase Briscoe, Tyler Reddick, Kyle Larson.
Garage: Kyle Busch.
RELATED: More deep dives in Fantasy Fastlane
Speed reads
Our biggest pieces of the week — get covered for race day from all angles.
• Darlington Stripe's history: The track's outside-wall toughness, a 75-year tradition | Read more
• Racing Insights: Full finishing order projections for Sunday's Goodyear 400 | Read more
• Turning Point to Darlington: Keselowski the next veteran in line? | Read more
• Scenes and snapshots: Best photos from Darlington's Throwback Weekend | View gallery
• NASCAR Classics: Rewind with full-race replays from the Darlington archives | Watch races
• Paint Scheme Preview: All the vintage designs ready to hit the track | View gallery